XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Balances at Key SupportXAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Balances at Key Support
As reflected in the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver this morning is trading near $30.2, just above a critical support zone formed by:
→ The psychological level of $30.00;
→ The lower boundary of the ascending channel. As indicated by the blue arrows, this lower boundary has consistently provided support, enabling bullish reversals in silver prices throughout 2024.
However, the price is currently below the 200-day moving average (MA), which is trending downward. An examination of price action in November reveals a lack of sustained growth following two breaches of the psychological level. As the red arrows illustrate:
→ On the first occasion, the price encountered resistance near $31.50;
→ On the second, it failed to rise above $31.
This could indicate weak demand, increasing the risk of a bearish breakout below the key support zone, potentially breaking the 2024 uptrend.
Meanwhile, analysts remain optimistic, citing strong fundamentals. According to media reports:
→ ANZ Research analysts forecast silver prices reaching $35.4 in 2025;
→ JP Morgan analysts predict silver at $36;
→ Saxo Bank analysts anticipate prices climbing to $40 by 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Silver
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Silver 4hr Timeframe Silver has risen by 3.90% in just over a day. I anticipate a reaction around the 30.7399–30.8383 zone due to multiple confluences, including a reversal point, a 4-hour order block, the 0.618 Fibonacci level, an ascending trendline from November 13th, and structural factors. This area presents a potential sell opportunity, with a target drop to the 30.2753 level.
Meanwhile, gold is approaching my area of interest, which appears to be another promising sell setup. If both gold and silver align as sell opportunities, it’s a strong indication of market synchronization, increasing the likelihood of this scenario playing out.
Dollar Index Basket
Is now reacting off my area of interest I expect double tap to then move higher
Gold 1hr
my area of interest for gold 2669.412 -2673.545
Silver, bullish or bearish? Greetings, traders! Welcome to this Silver (XAGUSD) market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
XAGUSD - Silver will stabilize above $30?!Silver is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term ascending channel. If the decline continues, we can see the demand zones and buy within that zones with the appropriate risk reward.
The first range is suitable for short-term transactions and the second range is suitable for medium-term transactions.
Peter Krauth, author of The Great Silver Bull and publisher of SilverStockInvestor, has stated that silver could achieve substantial gains during a rate-cutting cycle, with advancements in artificial intelligence potentially emerging as a new driver of demand. Krauth examined the silver market and investment opportunities for 2025, highlighting the significant impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts on silver prices, a point supported by historical data.
He explained, “In the last three rate-cutting cycles, if you look at silver prices from trough to peak, silver has, on average, risen by 332%.” Krauth added, “This process might take about one to two years, but it still offers remarkable returns, doesn’t it? You can review the data—this is how silver has historically performed.”
He further noted that if the U.S. economy enters a recession—an outcome many analysts forecast for the first half of 2025—silver could deliver outstanding performance.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, has outlined extensive plans to reshape the nation’s energy policies. According to news sources, Trump intends to request funding from Congress to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. His transition team is preparing a comprehensive energy policy agenda to be implemented shortly after he assumes office.
Trump also aims to repeal President Biden’s clean energy initiatives and prioritize natural gas. He may condition U.S. financial support for the International Energy Agency (IEA) on its refocusing towards oil and gas while countering its emphasis on green energy.
At the same time, analysts at Deutsche Bank have expressed concerns that the Federal Reserve might cancel its anticipated December rate cut. These concerns stem from stronger-than-expected economic resilience, a stable labor market, and persistent inflation above 2.5%.
Although the analysts still forecast a rate cut in December, the risk of a delay has increased. They predict that the federal funds rate will reach 4.375% by the end of 2025, exceeding the estimated neutral range. This suggests that the Fed may maintain higher rates for an extended period.
Furthermore, Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to lower rates to a neutral range of 3.75-4.00% in 2026 and 2027, as the impact of tariffs is likely to gradually reduce private domestic demand, creating room for more rate cuts in the long term.
SILVER Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 30.151
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 30.562
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold hard to TA, but Silver save the day, got 5 bullish targetsGold hard to TA, but Silver save the day, got 5 bullish targets
Biden attack to Russia change the trend for now, bearish signal maybe later when Trump become president. The presidential inauguration is always held on Jan 20, so after Trump inauguration maybe bearish signal again
XAG/USD 27.11.24FXOPEN:XAGUSD
Hello Traders,
Here's a quick update on silver. Today, we successfully completed our small 12345 setup. This marks the formation of our big wave 1, and we are now in the wave 2 support region. The stop-loss should be placed below the starting point of wave 1 or under the fiv levels of wave 2. Be careful the nromal spread at silver is 20+ so rather make the sl a little bit bigger before you get stopped out and the chart turns around.
XAUUSD Potential price correction from crossing of Resistance leGold (XAUUSD) has recently broken and closed above the $2,650 resistance zone, indicating strong bullish momentum. The market is now approaching the previous week's high at $2,686 and the psychological level at $2,700. Additionally, a global upward trendline, which has supported the price since the summer, lies above these levels.
At these resistance points, there may be selling pressure, potentially causing the price to consolidate or move sideways. The market might also seek liquidity above the previous week's high before retracing. A break and retest scenario is possible, where the price tests these resistance levels and then pulls back. The target for this pullback is the support zone around $2,635.
It's important to monitor price action near these key levels to confirm potential reversals or continuations. Traders should also consider external factors, such as economic data releases and geopolitical events, which can influence gold prices
XAUUSD Potential Up movement in the short-termThe XAU/USD market has demonstrated resilience at the 2,620 support level, with multiple tests resulting in rejections and the formation of long-tailed bars, indicating buyer intervention. This area functions as a swap zone where buying momentum has reasserted itself. On the daily chart, the price briefly dipped below the prior daily low, capturing liquidity before rebounding. Notably, the price remains within the previous week's range, oscillating between its upper and lower boundaries. The inability to breach the 2,620 support level suggests that buyers may aim to challenge the resistance zone near 2,679
G&S ratio rising could be bearish on metals medium termThe G&S ratio is back above resistance (now support) and wants to break out of the bullish wedge in dark rose color.
If that happens, an inverse H&S formation could play out and shoot us up (blue line) to the extension of the rising resistance of the (yellow) bearish rising wedge. This would mean a last hurray spike of the ratio, to touch the apex a last time before falling again.
The final fall of the G&S ratio would then signal the risumption of the bull market and the further collapse in the G&S ratio would signifie a raging bull market for precious metale (both silver and gold - but especially silver).
The bull market in metals is unavoidable with the current macro sitauation. However its resumption could be delaid if this set up plays out.
Working off the fall of Silver. H4 26.11.2024Working off the fall of Silver 📉
Silver continues to fall, which I showed in the last analysis . On Monday we got a pushing volume down and if they give a new pullback, I advise to sell with targets around 29 and below. There is still potential for decrease. Major volumes remained up, major segment is also overlapped down and DPOC contract near 31.30 accumulated which gave a reaction down.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-27: BreakAway PatternHappy day before Thanksgiving, everyone.
Stay safe this holiday and remember to share hugs and love with all the people that are the most important in your life.
Trading will be there tomorrow and the next day - always.
Family, health, and loved ones always come before trading/work.
Today is a Breakaway pattern for the SPY. I suspect the SPY will still struggle near the 600 level and possibly REJECT into a downward price trend over the next 5+ trading days.
The QQQ is showing a very clear Flagging formation whereas the SPY is showing more overall strength.
Gold and Silver make a big GAP move higher. This is nice to see. I still believe Gold will attempt to rally above $3000 before the end of 2024 and Silver will attempt to rally above $35 before the end of 2024.
Bitcoin is now moving into a projected consolidation phase. The pending breakdown phase may see Bitcoin move down to the $74k to GETTEX:82K level. Buckle up.
Remember, we are going to have Thanksgiving holiday and shortened trading hours. If you have not already moved a large portion of your capital into CASH, you could be taking unwanted risks.
Get some.
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