SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the SILVER pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 30.919.
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Silver
Silver H4 | Potential bullish breakoutSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and could climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 32.36 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 31.60 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the ascending trendline.
Take profit is identified between 32.90 and 33.03 which is a resistance zone that is bounded by the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-6-25: Counter-Trend RALLY Today's pattern is a counter-trend Rally pattern. I read this as a downward trending type of rally phase/bar.
Much like yesterday's rally in the markets. Today should be just the opposite - a downward trending bar.
I believe this is a move downward setting up the Deep-V pattern which should hit early next week.
I suggest traders prepare for a rollover-topping pattern near this upper resistance area and prepare for the markets to move downward - seeking support.
Gold and Silver will likely move downward as well if the market does roll over, as I suspect. Gold and Silver tend to move downward when the markets shift into a downward trend.
Bitcoin is trapped within a range (again), and it appears that over the next few days, it will attempt to move downward with the markets.
Again, the next four to five days will be a do-or-die type of move. I've been telling all of you this Deep-V breakdown will happen for more than thirty days, so I'm watching to see if it really does happen.
Either way, it is now a bad idea to take some profits near these highs in preparation for any potential breakdown.
Get Some.
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Could Silver's Price Soar to New Heights?In the realm of precious metals, silver has long captivated investors with its volatility and dual role as both an industrial staple and a safe-haven asset. Recent analyses suggest that the price of silver might skyrocket to unprecedented levels, potentially reaching $100 per ounce. This speculation isn't just idle talk; it's fueled by a complex interplay of market forces, geopolitical tensions, and industrial demand that could reshape the silver market landscape.
The historical performance of silver provides a backdrop for these predictions. After a notable surge in 2020 and a peak in May 2024, silver's price has been influenced by investor sentiment and fundamental market shifts. Keith Neumeyer of First Majestic Silver has been an outspoken advocate for silver's potential, citing historical cycles and current supply-demand dynamics as indicators of future price increases. His foresight, discussed across various platforms, underscores the metal's potential to break through traditional price ceilings.
Geopolitical risks add another layer of complexity to silver's valuation. The potential for an embargo due to escalating tensions between China and Taiwan could disrupt global supply chains, particularly in industries heavily reliant on silver like technology and manufacturing. Such disruptions might not only increase the price due to supply constraints but also elevate silver's status as a safe-haven investment during times of economic uncertainty. Moreover, the ongoing demand from sectors like renewable energy, electronics, and health applications continues to press against the available supply, setting the stage for a significant price rally if these trends intensify.
However, while the scenario of silver reaching $100 per ounce is enticing, it hinges on numerous variables aligning perfectly. Investors must consider not only the positive drivers but also factors like market manipulation, economic policies, and historical resistance levels that have previously capped silver's price growth. Thus, while the future of silver holds immense promise, it also demands a strategic approach from those looking to capitalize on its potential. This situation challenges investors to think critically about market dynamics, urging a blend of optimism with strategic caution.
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we can see a demand range. We can buy in that range with an appropriate reward to risk.
Gold demand in China is showing signs of a strong rebound, even as the physical flow of gold from the UK to the United States continues. Meanwhile, analysts at Heraeus Precious Metals have indicated that there is evidence suggesting that the growing demand for silver in the solar industry may have peaked.
Last week, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank acted in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, while the European Central Bank implemented a 25-basis-point rate cut.
Regarding silver, Heraeus analysts questioned whether China could sustain its rapid growth in the solar energy sector. They reported, “The total installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) panels in China reached 886.66 gigawatts in 2024, marking a 46% increase compared to the previous year.
This 277-gigawatt expansion exceeded industry forecasts and surpassed China’s own 2024 capacity projections by 17 gigawatts. However, while this growth is remarkable, it falls short of the record 54% increase seen in 2023, following a 28% rise in 2021. This trend suggests that China may be approaching its peak photovoltaic capacity growth.”
The analysts also noted that, over the past two years, rapid solar energy growth has been driven by unprecedentedly low photovoltaic module prices, largely due to intense competition among manufacturers. They explained, “However, in 2025, polysilicon producers (GCL and Tongwei) have agreed to limit their production, while solar module manufacturers (Jinko, JA Solar, and Canadian Solar) have reached a minimum pricing consensus to restore profitability. This could drive up the price of solar modules, leading to higher capital costs for projects.”
They added, “Projections indicate that 232 million ounces of silver were used in 495 gigawatts of photovoltaic applications in 2024. If installation rates remain steady year-over-year, solar demand for silver could reach a record 270 million ounces in 2025, an increase of 39 million ounces.”
Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett announced that the Trump administration is focusing on reducing the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds rather than the Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rate cuts. Over the weekend, Trump remarked that the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision not to cut interest rates was a “good” move, indicating his emphasis on 10-year yields.
This policy could contribute to financial stability and help control inflation. However, some analysts have warned that Trump’s measures, along with spending cuts by his ally Elon Musk, may not have a significant impact, as a large portion of U.S. government expenditures remains allocated to healthcare, social security, and defense.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, economists at Morgan Stanley no longer anticipate that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in March. They now predict only one rate cut in 2025, expected in June. As Morgan Stanley stated, “The implementation of tariffs earlier than expected is likely to halt the downward inflation trend at a higher level, making any short-term rate cuts impossible.”
Silver Rallies on Trade War Concerns and Strong Industrial DemanSilver rose above $32 per ounce on Wednesday, a three-month high, as trade and economic uncertainties fueled safe-haven demand. A weaker US dollar also supported prices. The US delayed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada but enforced a 10% levy on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to impose its own tariffs and consider sanctions on US firms. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive year of market deficits in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, offsetting weaker jewelry and silverware consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.80 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade : Where's The Deep-V Bottom?I created this video to help illustrate what I believe are nearly perfect setups of multiple Excess Phase Peak Patterns over the past 30+ days in the SPY and QQQ.
It is incredible how these patterns continue to form/setup in a broadening sideways price channel. If we didn't know to look for these patterns, we could easily mistake this volatility as some type of longer-term buying opportunity.
Remember, if my research is correct, we are going to see an almost immediate reversal of the trend over the next 48 hours - leading to a Deep-V set up in the early few days of next week.
I've been wrong before, but I really do believe this Deep-V downward trend is about to happen.
I believe some news event over the weekend could send the markets into a minor panic-type selloff.
Additionally, I believe the disruptions related to what is happening in DC and other areas may be enough to send the markets searching for support.
Recent earnings have not been fantastic, and we are moving into a relatively complacent Q1:2025. So, I still believe we are moving into a broadening "megaphone" price range on the SPY and QQQ.
One thing is certain right now: In about 4 to 7 days, we'll know whether my Deep-V base/bottom pattern call (from more than 30 days ago) was accurate.
Buckle up, folks. This is when things get really interesting.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 2-5-25 Update : Rally PatternRight now, the markets continue to struggle to move higher. We are seeing a solid upward price trend, but I'm watching the MNQ and metals for any signs of weakness.
At this stage of the market's price action, I'm cautiously waiting for the ROLLOVER to setup.
My patterns suggest we move into a Counter-Trend Rally phase tomorrow (which would be a downward trending bar).
I believe the end of the trading day may see a very solid Long-Squeeze (trending downward) today.
And, as of right now - I'm just sitting on my trades, waiting for the Rollover to happen.
I would not suggest taking any big long trades right now unless you are prepared for the risks.
Sometimes, this is what trading is all about.
Looks like things are going to get very exciting over the next 3-5+ days.
GET SOME.
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Platinum Verging on Historic Breakout PL1!Bullish divergence in on-balance volume along with sustained price-suppression have put platinum on breakout watch as we see strength in so many other commodities.
Notably, volume has expanded meaningfully in the platinum futures market, and tariff tantrums may be the nail in the coffin as far as keeping a lid on price..
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-5-25: Rally PatternFor some reason, the first video I created did now complete the UPLOAD to Tradingview. Don't know why.
I waited more than 60 minutes for it to upload, then gave up, saved it, and uploaded it to another location so you could access it. Check my profit for more info.
This is a short video highlighting why I believe the markets will rally a bit in early trading and then roll over into a strong downward trend through the end of this week.
Gold and Silver should continue to try to rally higher.
Bitcoin is about to break downward - targeting 80-85k
That is the short update today.
Get some.
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Manufacturing Data Fuels Silver's RiseSilver rose above $31.5 per ounce, near its highest since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data stimulated demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs eased protectionist concerns. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, reinforcing silver’s industrial demand outlook.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth market deficit in 2025, with strong industrial and retail investment demand outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Key resistance levels are 32.50, 33.00, and 33.50. Support stands at 31.80, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Silver, bullish or bearish? Greetings, traders! Welcome to this Silver (XAGUSD) market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
XAGUSD Silver outlookThis is my current view on XAGUSD. I have a trade running which has a lose target starting around $36, but will be subject to change as the price action develops. I'm in silver for the chance that we see much higher prices than that!!. Trading spot is a small part of my exposure to the silver sector.
Silver is in the bullish trend after testing supportHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
SILVER Retesting Support - Continuation Toward 31.80?OANDA:XAGUSD recently broke above a key resistance zone, which has now turned into a support area. The price is currently retesting this level, creating a potential opportunity for buyers to step in and continue the bullish momentum.
If the support holds and we see bullish confirmation, such as rejection candles or a bounce, the price is likely to move higher toward the $31.80 level. This setup reflects a classic break-and-retest scenario, signaling potential trend continuation.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have additional insights on this setup!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Feb 4, 2025: Rally PatternToday's rally pattern will attempt to provide some relief related to the recent breakdown in the SPY. Overnight, the ES/NQ rallied to FILL THE GAP. So, today, I believe the SPY will attempt to rally back above 600-601, then stall out and consolidate.
Today may be a "GO GOLFING" day in the markets.
I would not advise anyone to get Uber-Long in the markets right now. My research suggests the markets will roll downward near the end of this week - seeking the DEEP-V bottom/base I've predicted near 2-10~2-13.
Gold and Silver should attempt another rally phase over the next 3 to 4 days. I expect metals to continue to rally into this expansion phase, and I'm initially targeting $3200 for gold.
Bitcoin is trapped in a big Excess Phase Peak pattern that I believe will resolve into a breakdown price trend.
The Deep-V and other breakdown patterns, which my cycle research says are pending, will drive Bitcoin downward, possibly targeting the $72k levels again.
Today may be a relatively FLAT type of Rally day. So, play cautiously.
Get some.
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Silver H1 | Falling to overlap supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 31.29 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 31.06 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 31.97 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SILVER Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 31.579.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 33.065 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 30.622.
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Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Gains as U.S. Factory Growth and Market Deficit Support Prices
Silver rose above $31.5 per ounce, staying near its highest level since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data increased demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs reduced concerns over protectionist policies. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, strengthening silver’s outlook as a key industrial metal. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive market deficit in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.90 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Feb 3, 2025 Afternoon UpdateWell, it seems everyone did quite well playing my prediction of a breakdown (again) in the markets today. Last week, I continued to warn the markets were very fragile and would likely break downward aggressively.
Of course, the political drama (tariffs) helped to move the markets a bit this weekend. But, still, it was great to hear from everyone who made a healthy profit today.
GET SOME.
I also have been getting questions about the RALLY - RALLY - (counter-trend) RALLY setting up on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday this week. So, I created this video to help you understand why I believe those RALLY days will be rather muted on Wednesday/Thursday and maybe a type of topping pattern on Tuesday.
I see the markets as breaking downward (breaking away from the dual Excess Phase Peak patterns), and because of that, I see the markets should attempt to move aggressively downward over the next 15+ days. I don't see any reason for the markets to mount a big rally right now - unless we are talking about a pullback in a downtrend.
So, watch this video, pay attention to what I see, and then we'll see how things play out.
Go GET SOME. This is a true trader's market.
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