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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-8 : Counter-trend RallyHappy Friday everyone, Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Rally in Counter-trend mode. I interpret this as a moderate downward price trend for the SPY - possibly pulling the SPY into the GAP created after yesterday's opening GAP rally. I got into deep detail related to the potential anomaly event setting up over the next three weeks for the SPY & QQQ in this video. I also go into a fairly deep analysis of Gold and Silver - relating my expectations and how these moves align cleanly with an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. And, I even go into broad detail for BTCUSD and how I see multiple aligned Excess Phase Peak Patterns setting up to drive big trends over the next 3-4 weeks. As I stated near the end of this video, the next 5-7+ years are going to be filled with opportunity. I suggest everyone get ready for the biggest opportunity of your life. I hope you enjoy my videos and research. I know some of you have already experienced tremendous success following my research. I'm urging to you consider the opportunity that will be available as the markets continue to trend through my window of opportunity - and how you want to try to profit from these moves. Remember, the markets will always be there - but these opportunities are unique to the next 5-7+ years. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Fibonacci/Gann & 3-6-9 Chart Play: The TOP may be IN I was trying to identify if/how the market may be topping in relation to the post-election rally phase and started with a blank Daily SPY chart. After drawing a few line of the chart, I started with an idea that Broad market pullbacks may be the key to identifying/timing market expansion phases (coupled with a bit of logic). This video highlights this theory going back to 2018 and examines a number of price pullback trends as well as Fibonacci Timing structures related to Fibonacci Price Expansion blocks. I think you will find this very useful as I continue to delve deeper into the 3-6-9 structure, polarity shifts (binary shifts) and trying to unlock the secrets of price trends/extensions. Hope you enjoy... Oh.. and it looks like the US markets are about to top if my research is correct. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
Silver a win-winMy positioning Anyone who's been following me for a while knows I've been quite bullish on silver for the past few years. In fact, I initiated my AMEX:SLV position in early 2021 when it was in the low 20's and then in late 2022 I rotated almost 50% of that position into AMEX:SILJ when it was right around $8. It was mostly dumb luck but I nearly bottom ticked that market and bought within an hour or so of what's become a multi-year low. I've continued to hold these two core long term positions, while also trading around the core positions when short term setups present themselves. The win-win Before I get into the chart technicals I want to get into the fundamentals that I think make silver a win-win in the long term. I typically don't use fundamentals when I trade but I don't consider this a typical in-and-out trade. This is more of a long-term hold based on my own fundamental thesis and supported by chart technicals. The crux of my win-win thesis is that silver will outperform in both a bullish economic outcome and a bearish economic outcome. In the bullish economic scenario, the already voracious global silver demand will continue to increase as solar, AI and EV demand continues to grow. The question at this point isn't if, but how fast. The rate at which silver is being consumed could outstrip production by as much as 200moz by the end of this decade. While I expect scrap and new mining to somewhat fill that gap, it will eventually create a vacuum that only an increase in price will resolve. In the bearish scenario the globe slips into a severe recession. This would cause industrial use of silver to plummet but safe haven demand for silver to explode. While the demand in the bullish scenario is more gradual, the demand in the bearish silver is explosive and would likely lead to a hockey stick price move. The most bearish scenario for silver is that the globe goes into a mild recession, where demand for silver drops materially but the large safe haven demand doesn't materialize as it would in a severe recession. In this case silver may tread water and bounce around in range. The technicals The silver chart makes just as compelling of a case as the fundamentals. Silver has what Peter Brandt has affectionately referred to as "the mother of all cup and handles". While the 45 year pattern means this could take quite a long time to play out (years...decades?) it still offers a very nice long term potential and clear boundaries to trade within. Within this very large pattern we often see shorter timeframe patterns form that offer both long and short setups. This sets up a nice situation where you can have a long term core position, and then trade around that core position when shorter term setups present themselves, either long or short. The next few key support and resistance levels I'll be looking to trade around is the $40 level and the $48 level. Beyond that and we'll be into all-time-high territory where I'll trade whatever price action happens to be at that point in time. Options Another nice thing about SLV is it gives us options (no pun intended). For a scenario where I'm long term bullish but I think price has rallied too far, too fast and it's looking a little frothy in the short term, rather than closing some of my spot position outright and risk missing out on further rallying another approach is to sell OTM (out-of-the-money) covered calls. Implied volatility would be elevated so you'd likely be getting paid a good premium, and if price does rally up to or beyond your strike price, then you can either choose to hold and let your shares potentially be called away or if your still bullish you can roll the options up and out (up in strike and out in time). You'll collect more premium and move your sell point to a higher price at the cost of taking on more time risk. There are exhaustive resources out there if you're unfamiliar but interested in this type of strategy.
TVC:SILVERLong
by krugman87
SILVER My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for SILVER is below: The market is trading on 31.3070 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 32.361 Recommended Stop Loss - 30.604 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Are Silver Miners Poised to Outperform Gold Miners?Introduction: At the start of 2024, we were strong advocates for precious metals, and this strategy is paying off. Gold is consistently reaching new all-time highs, while silver is surging to levels not seen in over twelve years, finally capturing public attention. However, during a genuine bull run in precious metals, it's crucial to watch for mining stocks to outperform the spot prices of the metals. The lesser-known secret among gold enthusiasts is that investing in mining stocks often yields higher returns than holding physical metals. Analysis: Spot Prices vs. Mining Stocks: While gold and silver spot prices are making impressive gains, the true potential lies in mining stocks. Historically, mining stocks outperform physical metals during strong bull runs because of their leveraged exposure to rising metal prices. Silver Outperformance: We focus on the potential for silver to outperform gold, especially as silver has been gaining momentum. In this context, it's key to monitor the performance of silver miners (SIL) compared to gold miners (GDX). Broadening Wedge Pattern: Currently, the ratio between SIL and GDX is forming a broadening wedge pattern. A breakout from this pattern could signal a surge in silver mining stocks, indicating a shift where silver miners may start to outshine their gold counterparts. Conclusion: As precious metals continue their strong performance, the focus shifts to mining stocks, where the potential for higher returns lies. A breakout in the SIL-to-GDX ratio could mark the beginning of a new phase, with silver miners taking the lead. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on this ratio as a key indicator of the next big move in the precious metals sector. What are your thoughts on this potential shift? Share your insights below! Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SIL-to-GDX ratio, the broadening wedge pattern, and potential breakout targets) Tags: #Gold #Silver #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals #SIL #GDX #TechnicalAnalysis
AMEX:SIL
by Richtv_official
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-7 : Rally Pattern DayGood morning, Although I would argue the post-election rally may already be moving into exhaustion, the SPY Cycle Patterns suggest today is a Rally pattern in Trending mode. So, I expect the markets to attempt a bit of a carryover rally phase today - moving into a Counter-trend Rally pattern tomorrow. That counter-trend rally pattern suggests the markets will try to find a peak/top and roll downward into the close of the week. Gold and Silver appear to be basing with a potential for another move downward today - retesting recent lows. Based on my estimate related to Fibonacci Time Cycles, I believe Metals is looking for a momentum base to rally off of. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for a big move upward in Gold and Silver over the next 4 to 7+ trading days. Bitcoin is still in a Bullish trending phase after breaking into new highs. Today, I spent quite a bit of time going over the Excess Phase Peak pattern related to how the price is trending and what to expect. It is critical to understand that the markets will move away from this post-election relief rally phase over the next week or so. Ultimately, what has changed is that we have a new POTUS with new policies and objectives in 2025. Right now, everything is still pretty much the same as it was last week. Volatility is still high and I urge traders to stay cautious. The time for adding more liquidity will come after November 25-30. Remember, the number 1 rule for traders is to Protect Capital. You can still trade, just trade much smaller allocation levels for now. We are about to move into a period of moderate consolidation. Sit back and wait out this sideways trend. The real opportunity will come after November 25-30. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Gold Update: Post-Election WeaknessThe price of gold typically drops after U.S. elections, and this time is no different. This weakness coincides with the expected wave count on the chart, as Wave 4 correction was anticipated. (see related) Wave 3 is extended, and so is sub-Wave 5 within it, which is a common pattern for commodities. Wave 4 has now begun, and there are two ways to measure its potential target: 1. Wave 4 typically retraces Wave 3 by around 38.2%. 2. The trend channel formed through the peaks of Wave 1 and Wave 3, and the valley of Wave 2, suggests a potential bottom for Wave 4. This chart shows an amazing alignment of these two factors: the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement is at $2,428, and the bottom of the channel is around $2,450. These levels provide a strong double support for gold prices. The final upward impulse should at least retest the all-time high of $2,802 (the peak of Wave 3). The Cup & Handle pattern (see related ideas) has a target of $3,000.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by aibek
Silver Faces Heavy Resistance: Time to Consider a Short?The price of Silver recently reached a key weekly demand zone from 2012, a level that has historically been significant in the market. Currently, the price appears to be following a similar reversal pattern to Gold, suggesting potential downside in the near term. For a clearer understanding of this correlation, check out my detailed analysis of Gold on my page, where I delve into its ongoing reversal pattern. In the chart provided below, you’ll see my weekly analysis of Silver, highlighting this critical supply area: View the chart here. Market Sentiment and COT Insights Market sentiment in Silver is still leaning bullish among retail traders, contrasting with the more developed reversal in Gold. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report continues to show strong bullish positioning among retail traders in Silver, which often signals a potential contrarian move. Meanwhile, the Forecast Indicator, which captures seasonal tendencies, is pointing towards a possible reversal in Silver during this part of the year. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, Silver’s move into this weekly demand zone could mark the start of a more pronounced downtrend, aligning with the reversal patterns seen in Gold. Historically, this zone has acted as a strong resistance level, where price has struggled to break higher. As such, it’s a prime setup for a short position with a focus on capturing downside momentum. The current setup aligns with both technical signals and the COT report’s insights, indicating that smart money may soon start to unwind long positions, adding to the potential for further declines in Silver. Trade Setup Given the current scenario, we’re keeping a close eye on Silver for a short setup. Key factors to watch for confirmation include: -A sustained rejection at the current demand level. -Divergence signals aligning with a downward move. Further weakening in Gold, which could act as a leading indicator for Silver’s bearish movement. Final Thoughts The current analysis suggests that Silver could be entering a potential reversal phase, similar to what is already underway in Gold. However, it’s crucial to remain patient and wait for confirmation signals before committing to a short position. I’d love to hear your thoughts on this analysis. Do you think Silver’s reversal is imminent, or is there more room for upside before a potential downturn? Let me know in the comments below!
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
Will Silver Close at the High This Year?In September, we discussed the potential of silver forming a 'Cup & Handle' pattern, similar to what we observed with gold at the end of 2023. We saw how gold performed in 2024. If the Silver can settle at around here at the end of this year, establishing this formation, we should be able to see the rising trend of the Silver in 2025. In this tutorial, we will discuss why silver may close higher towards end of the year. Silver Futures & Options Ticker: SI Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00 Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
NQ breaks to new highs. Markets reacting to Election ResultsThis upward trend seems to have some momentum today. I'm not suggesting traders chase this rally and hold anything overnight, but I am seeing new highs on the ES/NQ charts, and IWM and other sectors are rallying to new ATHs today as well. This shows the scale of capital sitting and waiting for the election to play out. Traders were very concerned with the election outcome. At this point, I consider this rally phase a bit overcooked. The ES and NQ will likely continue to try to push higher as we move into the Santa Rally phase, but as a trader, I would be cautious of any overreaction to the election results. My best advice for my followers is to continue trading in minimal quantities unless you can handle taking huge lumps/losses over the next 3 to 4 days. The US markets will settle into next week, and after this emotional price move subsides, we'll start to trend based on more logical economic data. There will be some huge opportunities for skilled traders over the next 5+ months. Get ready. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by BradMatheny
1
Election Rally Sets Up Big REVERSION Shift - Stay CautiousThis quick video was initiated to show you how the ES/NQ are setting up new #2 Excess Phase Peak patterns after the overnight rally. Then I took a look at Gold/Silver. We are seeing a very broad shift into a reversion phase where the markets may move into a PANIC type of DEEP-V low over the next 48+ hours. The move in metals (related to the US Dollar rally), will likely result in a DEEP-V base/bottom - prompting a fairly strong recovery/rally phase in metals over the next 2+ weeks. Take a look at what happened during the COVID crisis. The same type of PANIC selling/shift took place then. The Dollar rallies on expectations/policy/or a crisis. This puts very strong pressure on Metals. Then, the markets settle into a reasonable expectation (post-event) and the US Dollar settles. But metals have been deeply undervalued because of the PANIC selling. Metals then move strongly back to the upside - removing to the pre-crisis price level, then move even higher as metals attempt to hedge risks related to the post-event/crisis economy. Get ready. This could be one of the biggest opportunities of your life. Get Some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by BradMatheny
Silver Is Breaking Out Of A Wedge! Silver is coming nicely to the downside, reversing after reaching levels above 34 and 35 back in October. Notice that this top formed with a wedge pattern, which typically occurs at the end of an impulsive sequence. I believe an important top is now in place for silver, suggesting a much deeper correction may unfold, especially if the dollar remains strong following Trump’s election win. After any pullbacks, further weakness is likely, particularly considering that when an ending diagonal completes, price can often retrace back to the starting point of that pattern. Grega
SAXO:XAGUSDShort
by ew-forecast
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-6 : Breakaway Post-ElectionWow. All I can say is WOW. Keeping a different schedule related to the markets had me in bed at about 9PM California time. Yea, I missed most of it last night. But my wife woke me up at midnight to tell me who won. When I got up this morning (early) and checked the markets, it sure looked like the world voted in favor of the Trump win, with a solid 2-3% rally overnight. This is where things start to get very interesting. We have about 70+ days until the inauguration (Jan 21, I believe). Between now and then, the US and global markets will attempt to shift towards new policies and expectations. Part of this will come from news, but much of it will come from policy expectations. Some sectors will shift direction. Others will extend existing trends. Smart traders should prepare for opportunities that align with their interests and realize that we are looking at some real risks over the next 4+ years. What I will state is I continue to believe the next 5-7+ years are the greatest opportunity of your life. Watch my video and buckle up. The markets are seeking a new base/frequency to transition into shifting expectations. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SILVER Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for SILVER. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 32.634. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 30.996 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by SignalProvider
1
Hedging Price Risk in Silver in a Pivotal Week This is a big week for financial markets, a long-anticipated election in the US is likely to have widely varying impacts across major asset classes. Safe haven assets such as silver stand to benefit from the uncertainty. There is also an FOMC meeting scheduled on 7/Nov (Thu) where the Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. A lower rate environment also serves as tailwind for silver. Finally, the Chinese parliament is expected to announce details of fiscal stimulus on 8/Nov (Fri). Fiscal stimulus in China also stands to benefit silver through higher investment demand as well as industrial demand. In what should fundamentally be a strong week for silver, prices have entered the week on a bearish note following a 3.4% decline last week. While fundamental outlook for Silver remains bullish, this eventful week may drive unwanted volatility. Indeed markets are expecting large moves in silver prices with silver options IV near a 1-year high. Source: CME Group CVOL Investors can strategically deploy CME silver weekly options along with a long position in silver to capitalize on the fundamental increase while remaining protected against volatility. BULLISH FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK FOR SILVER Mint Finance covered some of silver’s bullish fundamental drivers in a previous paper . In brief, robust growth from the photovoltaic (PV) sector is driving high demand. PV installations are surging, with global solar installations up 29% year-over-year, driven by aggressive climate policies and energy transition goals. This increase has directly boosted silver consumption, essential for PV production. At the same time, silver markets have stayed in a supply deficit for the past four years. Silver miners have struggled to keep pace with the rapidly increasing industrial demand. China’s massive stimulus package—its largest since the pandemic—also plays a crucial role, freeing up liquidity to revitalize its struggling economy. This stimulus supports sectors like PV and electronics, key industries for silver usage, while bolstering consumer confidence, which translates into heightened demand for silver in electronics and jewellery. Investment demand for silver has started to pick up pace. Since July, U.S.-listed silver ETFs have seen over $942 million in inflows, particularly after the Fed’s rate cuts, which makes non-yielding assets like silver more attractive. HIGHER SILVER JEWELLERY DEMAND IN INDIA The recent festival season in India saw high demand for silver as buyers opted for it over gold. Silver sales by volume are expected to have increased 30-35% YoY while gold sales fell by 15% according to data from the Indian Bullion & Jewellers Association. Rising investor interest in silver is partly due to its relative affordability compared to gold, which is trading at an all-time high. While high gold prices are dampening demand, especially for physical gold and jewellery, silver remains more accessible, supporting increased investment. Rising investment demand, particularly for jewellery, risks pushing silver further into deficit. While jewellery demand for silver had been modest in recent years, 2022 saw a significant increase. According to the Silver Institute, jewellery demand is projected to grow by 4% in 2024 (but below 2022 levels), with actual demand potentially exceeding this due to the strong seasonal trend. Increased demand would further tighten silver supplies, likely driving prices higher over the next year. UPCOMING FOMC MEETING AND CHINA STIMULUS TO DRIVE SENTIMENT China’s parliament has started it five-day meeting on 4/Nov (Mon) and is expected to announce the details of the fiscal support on 8/Nov (Fri). Analysts suggest the fiscal plan could reach 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion), with most funds likely allocated to refinancing local government debt. A substantial fiscal stimulus plan is likely to support silver prices. Recent economic data from China has also shown a recovering industrial sector as China’s manufacturing PMI rose from 49.8 to 50.1 in Oct as the manufacturing sector shifted into expansion after 5 months of contraction. In case the trend continues, stronger industrial demand also stands to push silver prices higher. SILVER IN THE MIDST OF CORRECTION DURING UPTREND Silver continued its bullish momentum from September into October but has corrected sharply over the past week. During the rally earlier this year, when silver prices corrected, they were able to find support at the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. With Silver presently just above the 38.2% level, it may find support here. Silver’s performance in the past two months has closely aligned with monthly pivot points. In both September and October, prices tested these pivot levels before moving higher. However, recent tests have shown smaller deviations from the pivot compared to prior months, suggesting that volatility could push prices slightly lower during this month’s test. There is strong reason to believe that the general bullish trend is likely to continue into next year. According to a poll at the LBMA precious metal conference, delegates expect silver prices to rise to USD 45/oz over 2025, reflecting a 37% increase from present levels. Precious metal analysts were highly optimistic about silver, stating that higher industrial demand combined with continued supply deficit was likely to drive strong gains. SEASONALITY SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR LARGE GAINS IN NOVEMBER Silver prices closed out October with a 4.6% increase but are currently nearly flat for November. Historically, November has been a mixed month for silver, with an average price increase of 1.88% since 2000, though with high standard deviation. Notably, only 42% of Novembers have shown positive gains. Despite this variability, past performance shows periods where silver either consistently declined or consistently rallied over multiple Novembers. Over the last two years, November has seen significant growth in silver prices; if this recent trend persists, silver could experience strong gains this month. SILVER’S PERFORMANCE AROUND ELECTIONS Certain safe haven and risk assets (gold, silver, BTC) stand to benefit from a Trump presidency. Historically, elections have impacted silver prices in varying ways. Following the Trump victory, silver stands to benefit. Looking at silver’s historical performance in the two weeks following elections since 1980, prices increased by an average of 0.7% when a Republican replaced a Democrat president. The Democrat-to-Republican shift has led to price rallies in two-thirds of cases. SILVER’S PERFORMANCE AROUND FOMC MEETINGS As mentioned, lower rates have a positive impact on non-yielding investment assets such as silver while also boosting industrial demand during periods with loose monetary policy. During the Fed easing cycles in 2001, 2007, and 2019, silver reacted positively to Fed rate cuts in 68% of cases (performance measured 1 week after FOMC meeting with monetary easing) with an average of 0.9% appreciation on the CME Silver front month contract. Source: CME FedWatch CME FedWatch tool is suggesting that a 25-basis point rate cut is most likely at the upcoming meeting on 7/Nov with a probability of 98%. As the outcome is largely anticipated, the impact of the meeting on silver prices may be minimal. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Silver remains bullish with strong fundamental drivers including the rapid growth in the PV industry and strong investment demand. This week, several major events are expected to drive significant volatility in the silver market. While these events are generally anticipated to boost silver demand, prices may remain unstable and could see short-term declines. Silver is currently trading near its support levels, but increased event-driven volatility this week could lead to significant price swings. In late October, for example, silver briefly surged nearly 4% above usual resistance levels during short bursts of volatility. Although trading volume remained concentrated near the support level, the risk of sudden, sharp moves remains. This could result in a long silver position being prematurely closed out. With a long position in silver futures at risk from near-term event risks, investors can deploy CME weekly options to hedge a long position from near-term volatility which increases tail risk. In the following hypothetical trade setup, investors can combine a long position in CME micro silver futures expiring in December (SILZ4) at an entry of 32 with a protective put using CME silver weekly options expiring on 8/Nov (Fri) (SO2X4) at a strike level of 31 (delta 20, premium of 0.087/oz or USD 435) offers a compelling trade setup while remaining hedged against near-term volatility. Using a delta-20 put option keeps the position fully delta-hedged for the week, as the delta of the long micro silver position aligns with the option’s delta at 20. Since each micro silver contract is one-fifth the size of a full contract, this setup effectively maintains the hedge. In case prices dip below 30.64 by Friday due to volatility from the election, FOMC meeting, and China parliamentary meeting, the put option would offset any losses from the futures leg. In the later part of the month, the outlook for silver is likely to be bullish given the fundamental factors highlighted above, in case prices rise, the position would become profitable above 32.44, offsetting the premium paid for the short-term option. The scenarios in which the position loses: 1) In case prices remain between 30.64 and 32.44 2) In case prices fall below 30.64 following the put option expiry on 8/Nov The scenarios in which the position profits: 1) In case prices fall below 30.64 before the put option expiry on 8/Nov 2) In case prices rise above 32.44 at any point It should be noted that it would be prudent to set a stop loss on the long futures position following options expiry at 31 to minimize losses in case of a decline after options expiry. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!Long
by mintdotfinance
Silver Technical AnalysisFxNews— Silver is trading in a bull market, above the 100-period simple moving average, while the Stochastic indicator signals an oversold condition. This provides a solid bid for bulls to enter the market. Immediate resistance rests at $33.10. The uptrend will likely resume if bulls close above this level. If this scenario unfolds, the next bullish target could be the October 21 high of $34.25. Please note that a break below the immediate support at $33.35 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by FxNews-me