SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-3-25 : Up-Down-UP Pattern CounterToday's pattern, and Up-Down-Up in counter-trend mode, suggests the markets will attempt to move downward after the open and attempt to retrace some (or most) of Friday's gain.
I do believe this downward price move is essential for the markets to build a moderate base before attempting to move higher into the march 11-16 topping pattern my research suggests will prompt another breakdown in price.
Ultimately, these moves up and down over the past 30+ days are establishing a sideways (mega-phone type) price structure that I warned was likely to happen more than 90+ days ago (back in December 2024).
What we are seeing right now is a rolling of price while uncertainty continues to drive capital away from technology, semis and innovation - moving into safety and security.
This will continue until July or August 2025, then capital will suddenly shift back into risk-ON in my opinion.
By the time everyone thinks the markets are breaking downward (crashing), that is when I think the markets will make a sudden shift toward growth and innovation as the US resumes a growth phase in late 2025 (carrying into 2026).
Currently, we are in a minor little "pause/rally" phase after the last bout of selling. This rally will likely end sometime after March 11 - leading to a breakdown in price starting between 3-14 and 3-17.
This is a trader's market.
Gold/Silver appear to have found a footing and seem to be bouncing. We'll see if Gold/Silver move above critical resistance and continue to rally higher.
BTCUSD has rebounded back to support/resistance, but has also moved into a new DUAL Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests increased price volatility for Bitcoin. I still believe we are moving into a very side-range consolidation pattern for Bitcoin.
I suggest staying fairly cautious today and setting up some trades for the pause/rally I expect to carry through this week for the SPY/QQQ. No need to get too greedy on a Monday.
Get some.
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Silver
SILVER Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 31.462.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 32.363.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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XAGUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 31.42–31.54, a pullback resistance.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 30.87, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 32.00, a pullback resistance.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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BRIEFING Week #9 : Is this just a Bad Dream ?!Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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SILVER supported by 50 DMA The Week Ahead 03rd March ’25Silver (XAG/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, supported by the long-term uptrend, characterized by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent pullback appears to be a corrective move, currently testing a rising trendline support zone, which remains crucial for trend continuation.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support: $30.80 (previous consolidation range and trendline support)
Major Support Levels:
$30.60
$30.20
$30.00
Immediate Resistance: $31.25 (short-term breakout level)
Major Resistance Levels:
$31.59
$31.86
$32.00
Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above $31.25
A successful breakout above $31.25, supported by strong momentum, would reaffirm the bullish trend.
This would open the way for an upside move toward the $31.59 resistance, followed by extended gains toward $31.86 and $32.00 over the longer timeframe.
The continuation of higher lows and higher highs would further strengthen the bullish structure.
Bearish Alternative: Breakdown Below $30.80
A confirmed breakdown below $30.80 and a daily close beneath this level would invalidate the bullish outlook.
This could trigger a deeper retracement toward $30.60, with further downside risk extending toward $30.20 and $30.00 if selling pressure intensifies.
A breakdown below $30.00 would shift the market structure into a potential bearish reversal.
Conclusion
Silver (XAG/USD) remains bullish in the broader trend as long as $30.80 holds as support. A breakout above $31.25 would signal trend continuation, targeting higher resistance levels. However, a breakdown below $30.80 would suggest deeper retracement, potentially shifting sentiment to the downside. Traders should monitor these key levels for confirmation of the next move
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver (XAG/USD) Bullish Sentiment with Key Levels in Focus
Silver (XAG/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, supported by the long-term uptrend, characterized by a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent pullback appears to be a corrective move, currently testing a rising trendline support zone, which remains crucial for trend continuation.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support: $30.80 (previous consolidation range and trendline support)
Major Support Levels:
$30.60
$30.20
$30.00
Immediate Resistance: $31.25 (short-term breakout level)
Major Resistance Levels:
$31.59
$31.86
$32.00
Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above $31.25
A successful breakout above $31.25, supported by strong momentum, would reaffirm the bullish trend.
This would open the way for an upside move toward the $31.59 resistance, followed by extended gains toward $31.86 and $32.00 over the longer timeframe.
The continuation of higher lows and higher highs would further strengthen the bullish structure.
Bearish Alternative: Breakdown Below $30.80
A confirmed breakdown below $30.80 and a daily close beneath this level would invalidate the bullish outlook.
This could trigger a deeper retracement toward $30.60, with further downside risk extending toward $30.20 and $30.00 if selling pressure intensifies.
A breakdown below $30.00 would shift the market structure into a potential bearish reversal.
Conclusion
Silver (XAG/USD) remains bullish in the broader trend as long as $30.80 holds as support. A breakout above $31.25 would signal trend continuation, targeting higher resistance levels. However, a breakdown below $30.80 would suggest deeper retracement, potentially shifting sentiment to the downside. Traders should monitor these key levels for confirmation of the next move
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPY/QQQ Plan your Trade For 2-28 : Gap Up - LowerToday's pattern suggests the markets will open with a slight GAP UP (higher), then transition into a downward price trend throughout the rest of the day.
After yesterday's deep selling, I suspect there may be a bit more of an uptrend in early trading.
The 584-585 level on the SPY was hit. That was my original projected downside target for the Feb 21-24 breakdown in price.
We've also seen Bitcoin collapse a little over 25%.
I believe this deep selling in Bitcoin prompted a "sell-everything" type of breakdown in the SPY/QQQ and other assets (gold/silver).
Once this move subsides/bases, I believe we'll see 2-3 days of basing/bottoming, then a reasonably strong reversion rally in the SPY/QQQ as the sell-everything fear settles.
This would be a good time to look for initial "anchor" positions in certain assets related to a moderate recovery rally between now and March 11-14 - maybe a bit later.
Overall, we are moving solidly into my expanding megaphone pattern and should continue to see increased price volatility.
The next phase of the market trends is a moderate recovery rally. Then, as we approach the March 21-24 breakdown phase, we will see more selling.
Get ready for a base/bottom setup. Then, we'll see the price move into a recovery phase, and the SPY may target 600 to 604 before topping again.
Get some.
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Silver’s Price Action Hints at Further Decline After reaching a high in mid-February, Silver formed a lower high on the 25th, even as Gold hit a new all-time high.
Following the recent decline in both metals, this pattern repeated itself—Silver did not make a new low, whereas Gold did, but found support in a key zone.
However, analyzing the price structure, Silver’s chart remains bearish. In recent trading hours, a small flag continuation pattern has formed, signaling potential further downside.
Given this setup, I expect Silver to break the pattern and continue its decline, with 31 as the next key support level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAG/USD Bearish Flag (27.2.25)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 31.06
2nd Support – 30.66
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XAG/USD - Wedge Breakout (Weekly Forecast Feb 24-28)The XAG/USD Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 31.25
2nd Support – 30.67
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SILVER SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅SILVER is approaching a demand level of 30.80$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-27: Weekday FLUSH PatternToday's Weekday FLUSH pattern is similar to a CRUSH pattern. It usually represents a very wide-range price bar with the potential for a big breakdown or breakaway type of price action.
Given yesterday's fairly wide price action and the NVDA earnings last night - I would not be surprised to see quite a bit of profit-taking in early trading, leading to an initial downward price trend, then moving into a basing/bottoming phase after 12-1PM ET.
In other words, a fairly large DIP/Sell-off leading to a base/bottom, then flipping bullish through the end of the day today.
Overall, I believe the SPY/QQQ will continue to try to push higher in the Excess Phase Peak pattern - reaching a peak between March 5-10 (only about 5-7+ trading days away).
Thus, we don't have a big rally ahead of us - only about 3-5+ days of a fairly strong rally over the next 5-10 trading days.
Now that the selling pressure has abated, metals should be forming a base or bottom. Get ready for an explosive move higher.
BTCUSD has broken downward and is not in the larger consolidation phase. This phase will likely continue for at least 2+ weeks before we attempt to move into the search for the Ultimate Low (likely below $75k).
Buckle up. Things are about to get very interesting.
Get some.
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XAGUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is nearing our sell entry at 32.00, a pullback resistance close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 31.19, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 32.57, above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update For 2-26-25Please take a moment to watch this video, in which I share my techniques and highlight what I believe will be the next setup phase for the SPY/QQQ, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin.
It looks like the selling pressure is nearly over, and I think the shift to a moderate recovery rally could set up over the next 24-48 hours.
It could be a good setup for skilled traders.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend.
After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation.
Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ.
It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends.
BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support.
This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support.
Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place.
Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom.
Get some today.
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 29.766 level.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-25-25: Rally PatternToday's Rally pattern will likely prompt a fairly strong recovery (upward) price move in the SPY before the markets turn/rollover and head lower again after reaching a top.
I see this move paired with the Metals cycle patterns, which suggest metals will move downward. I believe this will be the result of stronger USD price levels, which will translate into an initial SPY rally phase (driving the price higher) and then rolling over into more selling.
Ultimately, I believe the lows on Wednesday or Thursday will be the immediate base/bottom for this breakdown phase (near 587-593).
I'm not getting overly aggressive related to today's RALLY pattern.
I don't believe the markets have the momentum to rally very hard today and I believe we'll see a ROLLOVER type of move today - resulting in more downward selling.
BTCUSD is usually tied to the QQQ/NQ related to price action and the breakdown of BTCUSD may put additional pressure on the QQQ/NQ today.
So, get ready for a pretty volatile day. My estimate is price will ROLL DOWNWARD after a moderately strong open. Then, get ready for some volatility.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SILVER INTRADAY previous breakout level retest?The Silver (XAGUSD) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The price action creates a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation appears to be a breakout and a corrective pullback towards the previous support zone.
The key trading level is at 3166, which is the previous consolidation range. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 3166 level could target the upside resistance at 3253 followed by the 3316 and 3340 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 3166 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 3125 support level followed by 3100.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.