Silver Almost Ready To Run Part II
Since it`s top in may silver has been in corrective mode. I exited my last trade on April 14 close to the top and have been on the sidelines since then – see my last idea. In my opinion the correction is nearing its end.
Looking at gold I expect this next upcycle to be even more aggressive then the last. I´m not in the camp of the triple top – to the contrary – I expect gold to break its highs and run. It hasn`t even retraced 38% of it´s upmove (low in Sep 22) and already wasted so many weeks correcting in terms of time. Both very bullish since imo. Market was in need of some breathing so long-term moving averages could catch up.
I would suggest to have exposure to gold and silver. Key is to be patient now and wait for the entry to come. It may take 1-2 more weeks. COT does not look as good as in march yet. I would actually like to see ~21.60 maybe even a marginal break of the red uptrend, which is intact since sep 22. Not sure if we get that low ~22.30 is monthly mid Bollinger. Somewhere in between I will look to buy. Weekly RSI 6 is at ~34 nearing oversold.
Interesting point is that gold has broken its uptrend-line – something that is often necessary for a market to bottom, its when technical traders sell their positions – while silvers uptrend-line is still intact.
Silveranalysis
Majestic Trade First Majestic Silver - NYSE:AG
- Risk/Reward Ratio 12
- Positive Divergence
- Spring reversal from under ascending triangle
- Green circle is the convergence of 200 DSMA,
POC & break out from falling wedge. A break &
close above $7.10 may be confirmation
You could enter here and place your stop as outlined on the chart and be ok with 20% hit in the event of. Or you wait for the confirmation above the noted levels before entering and place a higher stop.
PUKA
SILVER Analysis 30July2023With the formation of a new LL in the wave structure, it is certain that the possibility of greater bearish continuation. It is possible that currently a complex correction wave is formed to determine the wave (2) where Wave 2 is always a correction wave. If you want to do a short, you can do it when the price approaches LH
SILVER Analysis 24July2023I see this commodity positively bullish, now the price is stuck in the SND area and I try to provide Fibo Retracement, and the results are quite supporting this analysis to find the long area. There are 2 SND areas that are quite striking here, where the SND area intersects with Fibo 0.618 and 0.236, and the 0.236 Fibo area is also close to the bullish trendline, quite interesting?
Silver 4H Pivot Price: 24.98Silver
stabilizing above 24.98 will support rising to touch 25.16 then 25.35 then 25.53
stabilizing under 24.98 will support falling to touch 24.65 and then 24.50
Pivot Price: 24.98
Resistance prices: 25.16 & 25.35 & 25.53
Support prices: 24.65 & 24.50 & 24.20
timeframe: 4H
Silver- Confortable above supportLast week was a good one also for Silver, with the price managing to break above two important resistances: 23:20 and 24:50.
Now XagUsd is trading comfortably above the latter, which should provide support now.
That being said, dips in the 24.50 zone should be bought and the target could be set in the previous high zone around 26.
Negation comes with a daily close under support
Huge market deficit, speculation, and investment appealSilver is a precious metal that has long been valued for its versatility, beauty, and rarity. Its unique properties have made it an important material for both monetary and industrial uses. While silver is often overshadowed by gold in terms of investment appeal, it has its own unique investment potential that should not be overlooked. Based on the data from The Silver Institute and Metals Focus, there are several developments in this space that may make silver an attractive option for investment or speculation in the coming months.
To better understand this opportunity, it is important to be acquainted with the driving forces in the silver market. Silver is produced by mining and recycling. On the demand side, silver has a variety of uses, including in jewelry, silverware, investment, and industrial applications. In 2022, the total supply stood at 31,250 metric tonnes. Meanwhile, total demand reached 38,643 metric tonnes.
The mining activity accounted for 81.84% (25,578 metric tonnes) of the supply in 2022, with recycling contributing the remaining 18.16% (5,618 metric tonnes). Mining output dropped by approximately 1% YoY, and recycling grew by about 3% YoY.
As for the demand in 2022, industrial use accounted for 44.79% (17,309 metric tonnes), jewelry for 18.83% (7,280 metric tonnes), silverware for 5.91% (2,286 metric tonnes), photography for 2.21% (855 metric tonnes), and physical investment for 26.79% (10,356 metric tonnes); the remaining 1.47% of the demand relates to the other uses.
The investment demand for silver doubled from 4,884 metric tonnes in 2017 to 10,356 metric tonnes in 2022. Furthermore, jewelry demand fully recovered from a slump during the Covid-19 epidemic, rising from 4,680 metric tonnes in 2020 to 7,280 metric tonnes in 2022. In fact, the total demand for silver returned stronger from the 2020 disruption, resulting in the market being undersupplied by 7,393 metric tonnes in 2022.
As the World Silver Survey 2023 expects the total output to grow only by 2% in 2023, the market deficit represents an interesting dynamic that might prove to be impactful to the price of silver in the future. However, with the current weakness in the precious metals sector, we think it would be reasonable to either wait a little bit longer before entering a trade or start with very small purchases in multiple transactions (leaving more capital on the side for later). Our goal would be to get the entry closest to the $20 price tag and wait for silver to rise above $26.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAGUSD. One red arrow indicates the declining price from 5th May 2023 until yesterday; the other red arrow hints at volume, which started to decline more recently. Normally, such a relationship between the price and volume suggests that selling pressure is losing steam, and reversal can be impending.
Technical analysis
Daily = Bearish
Weekly = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Silver- Yet another important resistance brokenSimilar to Gold, CPI also triggered a resistance break for Silver, unlike Gold though, yesterday XagUsd has broken also above another important level...
At this moment chart structure is very bullish and we could expect another rally to 26 recent high.
24.50 old resistance is now support and in this zone, traders should look for buying opportunities.
BluetonaFX - SILVER Ascending Channel 24.000 Target HIT!Hi Traders!
Our Silver ascending channel opportunity (LINK TO ORIGINAL IDEA BELOW) from a few days ago worked to perfection, and the market agreed with our bullish view. The 23.228 was finally broken with momentum, and we had a massive bull rally to our profit target of 24.000 to fulfil our opportunity.
We are now trading just above the 24.000 level. There is another resistance level at 24.521, so if the bullish momentum continues, that will be the next target.
Please do not forget to like, comment, and follow, as your support really helps us.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
DeGRAM | SILVER in upward channelSilver is in a bullish trend. It had higher highs and higher closes.
Price is coiling up before expansion by creating a consolidation zone following bullish momentum.
We expect pullback to support and fibo level and look for buying opportunities.
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SILVER Forecast 6July2023if this is an a-b-c correction and wave c is usually the same length as wave a, then there is a high probability that XAG will go down.
This is signaled by the current price at the trendline and strong resistance area. if XAG turns out to respond positively to the trendline and makes a strong bearish signal, then it is likely to go to fibo extension 1.
XAGUSD I Overextended "W" formation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAGUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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BluetonaFX - SILVER Potential Double Top OpportunityHi Traders!
There is a potential double top pattern forming on the Silver 4H chart. This depends on the very important level on the chart, which is 23.091.
Originally, we had a price rejection at 23.091, which we marked on the chart. The price rejection formed a price channel to the downside; there was then a break of this channel in an attempt to re-test 23.091, and we have found resistance again near this level.
If 23.091 holds again, the chart pattern will become a double top pattern, which is bearish. If there is a momentum break and a close above 23.091, the potential double top will be broken, and then there are long-term levels to the upside. We have a calculated long-term Vector level of 24.205.
There are opportunities for possible entries near 23.091, or another option is to wait either for a confirmation sign of a breakout or a reversal. There are great risk-reward opportunities for both options.
Please remember to like, comment, and follow us, as your support greatly helps us.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
China Solar Demand Surges and Silver Mining Supply ConstrainedChina, the global powerhouse, has recently witnessed an astounding surge in solar demand, skyrocketing by a remarkable 14%! This tremendous growth is a testament to the country's commitment to clean energy and sustainability. As investors, we can capitalize on this upward trajectory and positively impact our portfolios and the environment.
In addition to the soaring solar demand, the mining supply of silver, a precious metal with diverse industrial applications, is facing constraints. This development presents an intriguing scenario for those seeking to diversify their investment portfolios with a long-term perspective. Silver's versatility and pivotal role in various industries, including solar energy, electronics, and healthcare, make it an attractive asset.
Now, how can we seize this opportunity? Well, the answer lies in strategically adding silver to our investment portfolios. By doing so, we can benefit from the increased demand driven by China's solar growth while also taking advantage of the supply constraints in the silver mining industry.
As investors, staying ahead of the curve and proactively identifying emerging trends and opportunities is crucial. Therefore, consider including silver in your long-term investment strategy. Its growth potential and the positive environmental impact of supporting clean energy initiatives make it an exciting prospect for any forward-thinking investor.
Remember, investing is not only about financial gains but also about contributing to a sustainable future. By adding silver to our portfolios, we can align our investments with our values while potentially reaping substantial rewards.
Exciting Opportunity: Will Silver Bounce Off the MA50 Again?Our favorite shiny metal, silver, is gearing up for another potential bounce off the MA50, and I couldn't be more thrilled about the possibilities it presents.
As avid silver traders, we have witnessed the power of technical analysis and the significance of key moving averages. The MA50 has proven to be a reliable indicator, acting as a strong support level for silver's price movements. And guess what? It's happening again!
Over the past few weeks, silver has been exhibiting a fascinating pattern, aligning itself with the MA50. This convergence has historically led to significant upward movements in silver's price, making it an ideal time to keep a close eye on this precious metal.
You might be wondering why you should be excited about this. Well, my fellow traders, the potential for substantial gains is again within our grasp! By putting silver on your watchlist and staying tuned to its price action, you can seize the opportunity to capitalize on a potential bounce off the MA50.
Here's your call to action: Add silver to your watchlist today. Stay vigilant, keep a close eye on the MA50, and be prepared to take action when the time is right. This exciting opportunity could lead to remarkable profits, and you will want to take advantage of it!
As always, please remember that trading involves risks, and conducting thorough research and analysis is essential before making any investment decisions. Stay informed, stay disciplined, and always trade responsibly.
Silver or XAU/USD hits golden crossI am thrilled to share some exciting news - silver has just hit a golden cross!
For those unfamiliar with the term, a golden cross is a technical analysis term that occurs when the 50-day moving average exceeds the 200-day moving average. This bullish signal indicates a potential upward trend in the price of silver.
This is fantastic news for all who have closely monitored the silver market. Considering long silver and taking advantage of this upward trend is an excellent opportunity.
So, I encourage you to consider your investment strategy and add silver to your portfolio. With the golden cross in place, it's an ideal time to take advantage of this bullish signal and potentially profit from the upward trend.
DeGRAM | Silver a trend continuation opportunitySilver dropped from the resistance, and it created a descending channel.
Price action created a resistance and a fibo level as confluence zone.
If the market fails to break through the resistance level , we can sell from the confluence level.
We anticipate a trend continuation trade.
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