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Silveranalysis

SILVER -pt. 4 - Ranging finished, big move triggered?Hello traders! In the previous posts, linked below, we outlighted two alternative scenearios for silver: either a cycle corrective move still to complete at 16 either a wave 1 in long term uptrend reusumption. Silver was ranging near the main trendline of this last cycle correction, and has been rejected for the third time in the 24.6 big volume area (see chart). After this last rejection, price broke the range to the downside suggesting the bearish scenario. NO FOMO here! We will wait for retest and confirmation to evaluate a short entry.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by GMR-Capital
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals. Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows: wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1 wave 3 target = $48 wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3 wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start) I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones. Fundamentals Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves. Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Cryptogold14
Silver Multi-Timeframe Analysis 30.01Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational technical analysis . Silver is currently testing a very strong weekly support/resistance area amd after this massive runup there is the possibility that we will see a short term correction away from the zone. On the daily timeframe you can see a beautiful distribution phase, where the market is starting to create lower highs and lower lows, so I am now just waiting for a break of the very strong previous support zone and then a retest, and then I will definitely enter a short to capitalize on the continuation to the downside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by basictradingtv
41
Silver outperform gold during crisis Silver outperform gold during major crisis. During each crisis, Gold and Silver always performed exceptionally well compared to many other markets. In this study, we could see that during major crises, silver outperforms gold. Commodities are a good inflation hedge asset, precious metals are a good inflation and currencies hedge asset. Interestingly, prior to each of its extreme peaks, the market did provide us with clues on its first wave. For the coming extreme, the first wave has just completed its moves. There is always a fundamental story tied to its first wave, follow-by an explosive move. What could be the story this round on its first wave? Covid follow-by high inflation? CME Micro Silver Futures Minimum fluctuation 0.005 = $5 0.01 = $10 0.1 = $100 1 = $1,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com See following link for the video version.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
Silver has started a new, major impulsive wave 3.The silver market began the initial subwave of a new, major impulsive wave, marked as the third in a sequence. This cyclical pattern can be traced back to the year 1932, with the completion of wave one in 1968, the corrective wave two in 1971, the impulsive wave three in January 1980, the corrective wave four in 1991, and ultimately, a truncated fifth wave that reached its peak in April of 2011. This entire sequence can be considered as the first impulsive wave in an even higher degree. The second corrective wave ended in March of 2020, with support being found at the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Currently, silver is preparing for what is expected to be the most explosive and unpredictable impulsive wave three in a very long-term scale. Resistance points include: - $24.69 (0.382 Fibonacci extension level) - $26.55 (0.238 Fibonacci retracement level) - $45.29 (0.382 Fibonacci extension level) - $49.83 (all-time high) - $83.11 (0.618 Fibonacci; golden ratio)
TVC:SILVERLong
by joerivdpol
Silver more precious than goldSilver performed better than Gold in percentage term during each crisis. We will study into the history of Silver and Gold. And during each crisis, Gold and Silver always performed exceptionally well compare to many other markets. Content: . Its price behavioural leading to each peak Price behavioural studies provide us a fundamental reason for every price movement. Especially the significant ones. Micro Silver Futures Minimum fluctuation 0.001 = $1 0.005 = $5 0.01 = $10 0.1 = $100 1 = $1,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
1
All silver traders need to watch these six data points It's important to stay informed about the market and various data reports that can affect silver prices. Here are some key data reports that traders should watch when trading silver: 1-Gold-silver ratio: The gold-silver ratio is the number of ounces of silver that are needed to purchase one ounce of gold. A high ratio indicates that silver is relatively cheaper compared to gold, while a low ratio means that silver is relatively more expensive. Traders can use this ratio to assess the relative value of silver and make informed buying and selling decisions. 2-Industrial demand: A significant portion of silver is used in industrial applications, such as electrical conductors, batteries, and medical equipment. Therefore, changes in industrial demand can have a significant impact on silver prices. Traders should watch for data on industrial production and manufacturing activity, as well as any news that could affect the demand for silver in these industries. 3-Investment demand: Silver is also used as a safe haven asset and can be bought and sold as a form of investment. Changes in investor sentiment and demand for silver as an investment can have a significant impact on prices. Traders should watch for data on investment demand, such as the level of silver holdings in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the level of silver bullion held by central banks. 4-US dollar strength: Silver prices are often inversely correlated with the strength of the US dollar. When the dollar is strong, silver prices tend to be weaker, and vice versa. This is because a stronger dollar makes silver more expensive for buyers using other currencies, which can decrease demand and lower prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar can increase demand for silver and push prices higher. Traders should watch for data on the value of the dollar, such as the US Dollar Index, to assess the strength of the currency and its potential impact on silver prices. 5-Inflation expectations: Silver is often seen as a hedge against inflation, as its value can potentially increase as the purchasing power of money decreases. Therefore, changes in inflation expectations can affect silver prices. Traders should watch for data on inflation, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), to assess the likelihood of future price increases and their potential impact on silver. 6-Interest rates: Changes in interest rates can also affect silver prices, as higher interest rates can make it more expensive for traders to hold silver and other commodities. This can decrease demand for silver and put downward pressure on prices. Conversely, lower interest rates can make it cheaper to hold silver and increase demand, potentially pushing prices higher. Traders should watch for data on interest rates, such as the Federal Reserve's benchmark rate, to assess the impact on silver prices.
BLACKBULL:XAGUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Silver (XAGUSD): Bearish Outlook Explained 🪙 Hey traders, At the end of December, Silver reached a solid weekly structure resistance. The market was nicely rejected from that. Analyzing a daily time frame, I spotted a confirmed breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern. It confirms the strength of the underlined zone. I expect a bearish move to 22.84 / 22.2 ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by VasilyTrader
5
Silver hit our target and ready for the next rally to $27.00 in 2022, Silver hit our target price of $24 this was due to a break up and out of a Triple Bottom (3 Rounding Bottoms). Now we see a new Bullish Diamond formation on Silver. We just need to wait for breakout Target $27.00 Fundamentals: Analysts predict that gold and silver will perform well in the new year as the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in the second half of 2023. This is due to the belief that a recession is imminent, which will reduce inflationary pressures and lead to falling interest rates. Chief North America economist Paul Ashworth of Capital Economics stated that despite the Fed's current hawkish stance, they still expect interest rates to decline by the end of 2023.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by Timonrosso