Don't Trip on the Silver Dip!Silver (XAG/USD) maintains the top. Therefore I expect the precious metal to plunge towards a decisive break below the September 16 low of 18.76, which would indicate that this month’s rebound was a dead-cat bounce, raising the prospect of a retest of the September 1 low of 17.53. Furthermore, a decisive break below 17.53 would be a sign that silver had resumed its medium-term downtrend.
Silveranalysis
Silver Chart With Resistance Levels & Inside Bar Bull Break
This chart points out a head and shoulders pattern, which is very bullish. I also drew the resistance lines showing the potential price.
The chart also shows an inside bar bull break which is also very bullish.
Keep in mind i am not a chart expert.
Please comment on my charting.
Silver Market near to bottom Silver got off to a good start and built a clean 5-part move through September 12, where it closed the wave at $20,020 per ounce. Expected after wave is a correction between the 0.618 Fibonnaci retracement and the 0.887 Fibonacci retracement. This area, starting from 18.4$ has silver now expired and with the entry of the territory of the (i) now the alternative wave (iv) excluded.
Silver is expected to change trend direction in the pink trend reversal area and complete the , then continue to rise higher in a wave .
Long Term VWAP trend has turned bullish for Silver after 11 yrsAtfter 11 years of bearish VWAP trends in silver... it has turned bullish and is testing. Silver is interesting as we sit in this "inflationary" environment. I say "inflationary" with quotes as we have a CRB index rising WITH the DXY. This hasn't occurred since the early 1970's and points more towards a supply issue vs. a monetary problem. Hence we see things like food and oil scream higher while metals have been lagging. This bullish turn on the VWAP in silver could be pointing a change in the metals' action in the medium term though. A confirmation would require a break and hold above the highest VWAP, which failed and failed hard in April.
I was much more confident in a break out where we failed and was wrong... yet this setup still has strength behind it. If price gets back above the upper VWAP I will be keeping a close eye on metals into the fall.
GOLD & SILVER | BIGGER PICTURE
GOLD - The Yellow Metal
The precious metal has broken the all important support of $1680 after more than 2 years. On the bigger picture, we have seen forming a cup & handle pattern and was predicting a breakout above Covid high will bring it to $4000 to $5000.
However, the pattern failed badly and yellow metal formed a double top at $2070 instead.
Trendwise, the metal is trading below the 100EMA meaning the trend is downward.
Current Scenario;
As long as Gold trades below the neckline of double top ($1680); the possible target seems to be at $1350 - $1300.
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SILVER - Lustrous White Metal
The white shinning metal is also trading below the all important support of $21 which it breaks after more than 2 years time. Silver is also trading below the 100EMA making it in a bearish trend. The downside target remains open at $15 and will remain intact as long as price remains belows $21.
Let us know what do you think of the idea?
Silver Bullion Spot Price - Spike up! Oct 3rd, 2022Significant pump up at about 8% today. . I will be watching this carefully. Not sure if this is a sign of a reversal considering the economy. Heads up. FYI only.. Thanks.
Disclaimer
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,( Technical Analysis ) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
SILVER POSSIBLE BULLISH MOVE Hello traders , today i share my silver analysis with you .
i think that silver may be bullish very soon and here is why :
- We Have Weekly Candle Closed As A Hammer on a key support level
- Bullish Rsi Divergence (Lower lows on price higher lows on Rsi )
- We Have an Inversed Head and shoulders in the making
But We have a Trendline that must be broken for this analysis to be Valid.
SILVERHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT SILVER SL1! is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
SILVER BUY IDEASilver created a higher high with so much liquidity sitting above and we have seen also a clear structural shift in our bias as CHOCH happened in the higher time frame and we have spotted a very high buy point of demand with a clear order block. Hence trade was triggered!
Advanced SMC
SILVER possible sell zone!!SILVER 4h has been rejected from the weekly resistance creating a series of lower highs with multiple rejections. As the long-term trend is down, GOLD silver has broken out of the local structure and the highly likely price will continue to drop. On the retest of the previous support as resistance, as sell trade is high probable.
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SILVER SHORT TERM BULLISH OUTLOOKThe price of the precious metal rose today, recovering from previous losses. But it still keeps raging, expecting the Fed interest rate decision.
Technical indicators are suggesting entering into long position, MACD histogram is above 0 line and RSI is above the neutral 50 line, which might provide a speculative short term opportunity for traders to get advantage of.
In this scenario the price of the instrument might test the levels of 20 dollars, on the other hand, if the trend reverses, the price might reach its previous support level at 18.75
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DeGRAM | SILVER longSilver's price went down from its recent resistance level and created a complex pullback.
The market is gaining momentum
Price action is likely to break the resistance level and go up.
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Silver Bearish Picture (Highlights and Overview)This idea is the detailed explanation of my previous idea about XAGUSD (see related ideas). Although my chart is self explanatory with all the captions but I would like to elaborate a little more in this text. We just recently broke out of the accumulating descending triangle come bearish reversal a few months ago and heading towards the previous support levels. We just recently hit the Target zone 1 at 17.55, as demonstrated by the graphics in the chart. Our tide is longer than it appears and we need to break lower than 17.00 to see the Target Zone 2.
Fundamental aspects and core analysis:
1- We did hit the 19.63 price level this week (0.618 Fibo retracement level from previous month of August 2022) but failed to break it since we did not close weekly candle above it, so we are likely to continue downwards right from here but let us just wait for a good Daily or at least H4 candle to sell
2- What bullish momentum we are looking at is the reaction of the supporting region, marked as Target Zone 1, so we can comfortably deem it correction
3- The Feds are committed to increase the interest rates to 3%+ during this coming Wednesdays FOMC meeting (21rst September 2022), therefore, USD is expected to get even stronger than now so silver is expected to react downwards
4- If we go retest Target Zone 1, we are looking at a "h" pattern which marks the formation of new low than previous one so we can expect it to break further lower either to 17.00 or Target zone 2 (but this is still to be confirmed if we bounce from here at 0.618 August monthly retrace level back to lower prices)
Be patient, always ensure proper risk management, happy trading and happier profits :-)
SILVER (XAGUSD) Detailed Technical Outlook 🪙
What to expect from Silver?
In this video, we will analyze the price action on Silver,
the structure and we will discuss the potential scenarios.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Silver: Keep the Pot Boiling 🫕Quite peppily, silver has vaulted upwards, only to stop short in front of its next destination. Now, it should keep the pot boiling and take up speed anew to make it into the upper green zone between $20.12 and $20.70, where it should finish wave 3 in green. After a short counter movement into the lower green zone between $19.56 and $18.93, silver should continue to climb northwards. There is a 40% chance, though, that silver might need a break and could drop below the support at $17.40. In that case, it should take a detour through the magenta colored zone between $17.23 and $14.14 first before rising effectively.