Silver or XAU/USD hits golden crossI am thrilled to share some exciting news - silver has just hit a golden cross!
For those unfamiliar with the term, a golden cross is a technical analysis term that occurs when the 50-day moving average exceeds the 200-day moving average. This bullish signal indicates a potential upward trend in the price of silver.
This is fantastic news for all who have closely monitored the silver market. Considering long silver and taking advantage of this upward trend is an excellent opportunity.
So, I encourage you to consider your investment strategy and add silver to your portfolio. With the golden cross in place, it's an ideal time to take advantage of this bullish signal and potentially profit from the upward trend.
Silverchart
Silver Price Analysis: Exploring Resistance, CP, Volume, Events Upon analyzing the chart, it is evident that silver has been trading within a parallel channel for almost a year, indicating a well-defined price range. In the previous trading session, the price of silver reached the resistance line of this channel. For short-term traders, a critical resistance level to watch is 74060. If this level is not surpassed convincingly, it could lead to a potential downturn towards the control price (CP) line. It is worth noting that silver has yet to test the CP line and the 100-day moving average (MA) successfully.
Taking into consideration the parallel channel pattern, it suggests that silver prices may experience a decline towards levels around 73000 , 71800 , and 71360 .
Furthermore, volume plays a significant role in the current scenario. Short-term investors should be cautious and await a successful breakout of the channel for a potential upside move towards price levels of 74900 , 75560 , and even exceeding 76800 . Monitoring the volume and price action closely will provide further insights into the market direction and potential trading opportunities.
As a market participant, it is important to closely monitor the following market-moving events, as they have the potential to impact the prices of gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas:
Monday, Jun 12, 2023
23:30 Federal Budget Balance (May) and Note Auctions: These events have a medium impact and can provide insights into the economic health of the country, potentially influencing investor sentiment and market movements.
Tuesday, Jun 13, 2023
11:30 Employment & Unemployment, Avg Earning Index, Claimant Count Change: These medium-impact events provide crucial data on the labor market, which can have a significant effect on commodity prices.
18:00 CPI and Core CPI: These high-impact events reveal the inflation rate, which is closely watched by traders as it can impact the value of commodities.
Wednesday, Jun 14, 2023
02:00 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock: This medium-impact event discloses the inventory levels of crude oil, which can influence crude oil prices.
18:00 PPI and Core PPI: These medium-impact events measure changes in producer prices and can affect commodity prices.
20:00 Crude Oil Inventories: This high-impact event reports the weekly changes in crude oil stocks, which can impact the price of crude oil.
23:30 Fed Interest Rate Decision & Projection, and FOMC Economic Projections & Statement: These high-impact events provide insights into the monetary policy decisions of the Federal Reserve, which can have a broad impact on commodity markets.
Thursday, Jun 15, 2023
00:00 FOMC Press Conference: This medium-impact event involves a press conference following the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, providing further context and potential market-moving statements.
18:00 Import Prices MoM & YoY: This low-impact event reports changes in import prices, which can indirectly affect commodity prices.
20:00 EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change: This low-impact event reveals the weekly changes in natural gas inventories, potentially impacting natural gas prices.
Friday, Jun 16, 2023
01:30 Net Long-term TIC Flows: This low-impact event discloses the flows of international capital, which can have an indirect impact on commodity markets.
17:15 Fed Waller Speech: This low-impact event involves a speech by a Federal Reserve official, which may provide insights into monetary policy and influence market sentiment.
19:30 Michigan Consumer Sentiment: This medium-impact event measures consumer confidence, which can affect demand for commodities.
Monitoring these events will help traders and investors stay informed about potential catalysts that can impact the prices of gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas.
Silver outperform gold during crisis Silver outperform gold during major crisis.
During each crisis, Gold and Silver always performed exceptionally well compared to many other markets.
In this study, we could see that during major crises, silver outperforms gold.
Commodities are a good inflation hedge asset, precious metals are a good inflation and currencies hedge asset.
Interestingly, prior to each of its extreme peaks, the market did provide us with clues on its first wave.
For the coming extreme, the first wave has just completed its moves. There is always a fundamental story tied to its first wave, follow-by an explosive move. What could be the story this round on its first wave? Covid follow-by high inflation?
CME Micro Silver Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.005 = $5
0.01 = $10
0.1 = $100
1 = $1,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
See following link for the video version.
$XAGUSD - Goes to $26Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Silver continues its uptrend since September 30, 2021 when it hit the newly lows of the year. The uptrend is backed by the FED’s tapering plan which should start in November. Despite the positive US Jobless Claims, the US Dollar index remains under pressure below the 93.7 level.
🔔 The US Dollar index is still vulnerable below the 93.7 which is a crucial resistance. The DXY chart I was posting in my previous articles still seems to be valid and the USD might drop to 92.5 - 92.4 levels to complete the expanding diagonal pattern.
🔔 As for the technical analysis, Silver on a daily chart is currently testing a resistance level formed by MA100. If XAGUSD doesn’t overtake this resistance, it might drop to $23.5 to find the next support backed by the EMA50.
🔔 RSI indicator shows signs of a correction ahead, MACD remains bullish. Hence, after a slight correction, XAGUSD may continue the uptrend up to $26 and $26.8.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
A healthy correctionThe Green Neckline @$26.50 is the major resistance at the moment. Breaking it would signal huge upside potential. Depending on how long this consolidation is, if less than a 6 MONTH consolidation, the pattern most likely will be for $35.00 an ounce, $10 gains. if the consolidation is for more than 6 MONTHS, a long term Inverse head and shoulders will have developed, with a target of +$40 an ounce.
Silver 200MAI am watching silver on the 15-minute chart. Will it get rejected by the 200MA for the third time in the past six days? If so, expect a strong move downwards like the previous two times it's been rejected, pointing to a weaker silver price. Also, pay attention to MACD during the past two rejections, always quiet before the storm.
SILVER Trend continuationhow safe is this spot to enter ?
is it likely to lose momentum and reverse or will it complete the run to the other zone.
to have profited one would have entered at the zone at the bottom and after the consolidation on the resistance line. 2 opportunities for a longterm trade. candle sizes remain consistent and healthy , next week continuation or not?????
feedback
Silver turning bullishSilver on the daily time frame is now at a resistance, with Stoch Rsi showing that the selling pressure is fading and Adx shows that the bearish trend is also fading (bearish line makes crossover downwards with the trend strength line).
This means that after selling Silver from 17.900 (which I published a week ago) it's now time to look for a buy entry.
How to trade:
Since there are multiple resistance levels and it's now approaching the 1st one I advice to start with a small buy position so that you have the space to add more if it might go 16.281. A break of 17.200 is also a nice entry for another buy positions. Take profit would be in the 18.000-18.500 region. A stop-loss at 15.400 is preferable.