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Silver Losing Momentum In silver, we had a strong move upwards from the $17/oz range to a high of roughly $19.755/oz. Recently, however, the price has failed to maintain momentum to regain those highs and has steadily pushed lower in an evident regression trend on the daily chart from 05 Sep 2019 to the present. I believe that silver will retest the $17/oz range, and from there, we will have a stronger confirmation on the short term direction of silver's price. As well the gold to silver ratio rebounded from a yearly low of roughly 1XAU:79.38XAG to currently 1XAU:84.89XAG. In the meantime, I believe silver to be a short trade. However, in the long run, silver seems to be bullish as the gold to silver ratio is at historical peak levels.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by Zacmando
Silver Poised For A Mega MoveAt the time of publishing this research report, Gold is trading at $1488 and silver is at $17.50. Gold dropped more than 1% on Friday which makes the prices plunged from $1510 to $1480($30 move). The Donald J.trump tweet on Friday had a significant impact on the market in which he showed optimism ahead of his meeting with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He at the White House on Friday afternoon. Please, note-Our Trading position for gold and silver is active in our portfolio. Trump tweeted: “Good things are happening at China Trade Talk Meeting. Warmer feelings than in the recent past, more like the Old Days. I will be meeting with the Vice Premier today. All would like to see something significant happen!” The announcement of a possible partial trade deal between the U.S. and China boosted investors' risk appetite which drove the stock market higher and pressured precious metals complex. The Interest rate cuts has played a major role in the steep incline which we have witnessed in the precious metals complex however right now markets are pricing in a lesser chance of a rate cut in October, with the latest estimates from the CME FedWatch Tool projecting a 67% chance of a cut versus the 87% chance just a couple of days ago. Old comments-You need to keep in mind that at the moment it seems that markets have gotten ahead of themselves and pricing in a more than 80% chance of looser U.S. monetary policy however if the fed won't cut rates or even if easing will get delayed then it will turn to be negative for the entire precious metals space. Britain and the EU have fixed there next meeting on the Brexit deal which also helped to boost investors' risk appetite and brought positivity back into the market. Old comments-Technical levels to watch out for, Advises and recommendation from Goldsilveranalyst Although we understand all the factors mentioned which are supporting the price of Gold are still there including continuous fall in yields, geopolitical risks, fears of the industrial economy and notions of Quantitative easing coming from the major central banks of the world but despite the bullish momentum which we are witnessing,we have doubts about the sustainability of Gold's surge. Prices moved up substantially, and even though gold prices can reach $1585, we believe investors should lock in some profit at these levels. Gold has had a great run over the last year, up 17%. It has been a perfect storm of sorts for Gold , especially on the interest-rate front. With long-term interest rates declining globally, Gold has been an attractive alternative to debt," Gold is an excellent alternative to any risk, including economic instability and geopolitical tensions. However, at these levels, Gold is just too expensive. The two metals we recommend considering right now are platinum and silver . Both are historically quite cheap versus Gold , and in our opinion, may offer more upside potential should gold keep grinding higher,". "The price of platinum has mostly traded above the price of Gold , but that is not the case today. For those looking for an alternative to Gold , we recommend consideration of platinum and silver ," Summary-our macro research report suggests that the room for the equity market and the DXY to move higher from the level they are currently at- still exist,investors needs to be aware and cautioned what media is portraying and should research the market on there own,or should take the advise by the seasoned analysts however there shouldn't be any conflict of interest involved with in the advise itself. Even though the possibility for the equity market to grow even higher still exist we recommend investors to stay away from the stock indices as the reward doesn't worth the risk in itself. Our independent bias towards the precious metals complex remains bearish until gold breaks above $1,525 an ounce as breaking above would support more investors and traders to long gold with heavy conviction. Until that happens our bearish conviction will remain within the precious metal sector. Data to watch Next week’s biggest data release will be the U.S. retail sales on Wednesday, which are estimated to come in at 0.3% in September. The U.S. Beige book is also scheduled for publication on Wednesday. “Retail sales are a key measure of optimism. Any weakness there should help gold . Other key data sets to watch include the NY Empire State manufacturing index out on Tuesday and Thursday’s slate of numbers such as U.S. housing data, industrial production, and the Philly Fed manufacturing index.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by GoldSilverAnalyst
Elliott Wave View: Has Silver Started the Next Leg HigherShort term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally in Silver (XAGUSD) to 17.79 ended wave (1) as a 5 waves impulse. The pullback to 17.24 in the metal ended wave (2) with the internal as a double zigzag. Down from 17.79, wave W ended at 17.27, wave X bounce ended at 17.64, and wave Y ended at 17.24. The metal has broken above wave (1) and resumed higher within wave (3). Up from 17.24, wave ((i)) ended at 17.48, wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 17.31, wave ((iii)) ended at 17.8, and wave ((iv)) ended at 17.80, above from there it ended wave ((v)) of 1 at 18. Expect the metal to pullback in wave 2 of (3) in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling Silver. As far as pivot at 17.24 low stays intact in the dips, expect the metal to extend higher.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Silver Fundamental Analysis – September 16th 2019Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for Silver trades: New Zealand Performance of Services Index: The New Zealand Performance of Services Index for August was reported at 54.6. Forex traders can compare this to the New Zealand Performance of Services Index for July which was reported at 54.8. UK Rightmove House Prices: UK Rightmove House Prices for September decreased by 0.2% monthly and increased by 0.2% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to UK Rightmove House Prices for August which decreased by 1.0% monthly and which increased by 1.2% annualized. Chinese Retail Sales: Chinese Retail Sales for August increased by 7.5% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 7.9% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Chinese Retail Sales for July which increased by 7.6% annualized. Chinese Industrial Production: Chinese Industrial Production for August increased by 4.4% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 5.2% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Chinese Industrial Production for July which increased by 4.8% annualized. Chinese Fixed Assets ex Rural: Chinese Fixed Assets ex Rural for August increased by 5.5% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 5.7% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Chinese Fixed Assets ex Rural for July which increased by 5.7% annualized. Chinese Property Investment: Chinese Property Investment for August increased by 10.5% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Chinese Property Investment for July which increased by 10.6% annualized. Chinese Surveyed Jobless Rate: The Chinese Surveyed Jobless Rate for August was reported at 5.2%. Forex traders can compare this to the Chinese Surveyed Jobless Rate for July which was reported at 5.3%. Final Italian CPI: The Final Italian CPI for August increased by 0.4% monthly and 0.4% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 0.5% and of 0.5%. Forex traders can compare this to the Italian CPI for July which increased by 0.5% monthly and by 0.5% annualized. The Final Italian Harmonized Italian CPI for August was reported flat at 0.0% monthly and increased by 0.5% annualized. Economists predicted a decrease of 1.7% and an increase of 0.5%. Forex traders can compare this to the Italian Harmonized Italian CPI for July which decreased by 1.8% monthly and which increased by 0.5% annualized. US Empire Manufacturing Index: The US Empire Manufacturing Index for September is predicted at 4.0. Forex traders can compare this to the US Empire Manufacturing Index for August which was reported at 4.8. Should price action for Silver remain inside the or breakout above the 17.400 to 18.150 zone the following trade set-up is recommended: Timeframe: D1 Recommendation: Long Position Entry Level: Long Position @ 17.800 Take Profit Zone: 19.600 – 20.000 Stop Loss Level: 17.200 Should price action for Silver breakdown below 17.400 the following trade set-up is recommended: Timeframe: D1 Recommendation: Short Position Entry Level: Short Position @ 17.100 Take Profit Zone: 15.900 – 16.500 Stop Loss Level: 17.400
OANDA:XAGUSD
by PaxForex
Analysis of SILVER 12.09.2019The price above 200 MA, indicating a growing trend. The MACD histogram is below the zero lines. The oscillator Force Index is above the zero lines. If the level of resistance is broken, you should follow the recommendations below: • Timeframe: H4 • Recommendation: Long Position • Entry Level: Long Position 18.300 • Take Profit Level: 18.800 (500 pips) If the price rebound from resistance level, you should follow the recommendations below: • Timeframe: H4 • Recommendation: Short Position • Entry Level: Short Position 17.800 • Take Profit Level: 17.600 (200 pips) USDJPY A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 108.20 GOLD A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1506.00 USDCHF A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 0.9890 GBPUSD A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.2350
OANDA:XAGUSD
by PaxForex
Silver Looks Friggin BullishHello Traders, There has been a lot of talk about the precious metals recently (Gold / Silver) with many different reasons for the resurgent interest in precious metals ranging from the classic "store of value" to "finite resource" to "growing lack of trust in fiat currencies". From a Fundamental Analysis point of view I don't really know anything about Silver apart from the basics so if you are reading this and know your stuff about Silver please put it in the comment section. This chart is from a TA perspective. Since the beginning of 2002 the price of Silver went on a bull run which peaked in April 2011. That run lasted about 10 years with gains in the region of 1125%. Very nice if you were long on Silver. From an Elliot Wave perspective the price printed a nice set of bullish impulse waves. Then over the course of the next 4.5 to 5 years the price retraced to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, pretty much to the wick. WickHunter loves it when the market obeys Fibonacci. This entire move looks like a massive Wave 1 and Wave 2 has been completed and price is gearing up for a wave 3. "If" this is the case and tbh that's exactly what it looks like, then Silver could go to the moon here. I've used the Fibonacci extension tool on that wave 1/2 and plotted the 1.618, 2.618, 3.618 and 4.236 extensions as targets. Nobody knows which of the targets will be hit, only time will tell. WickHunter
TVC:SILVERLong
by WickHunter
Elliott Wave View: How High Can Silver Go?Since forming the low on November 2018 at $13.9, Silver has rallied 40% to current price of $19.4. The move higher from $13.9 low took the form of a 5 waves impulsive Elliott Wave structure. On the 1 hour chart below, we can see wave (4) pullback ended at $16.92. The metal has since resumed higher in wave (5) with subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from $16.92, wave 1 ended at $18.65 and wave 2 ended at $18.02. Near term, while dips stay above $18.02, Silver should continue to see more upside. We don’t like selling Silver and expect buyers to appear to buy the dips in 3, 7, or 11 swing. This view is valid as far as pivot at $18.02 low stays intact in the first degree. Possible target to the upside is 2.618% Fibonacci extension from Nov 2018 low which comes at $20.2 – $20.3 area. This is likely going to end only wave ((3)) in higher degree from Nov 2018 low, so it won’t end the entire rally yet. After it reaches the target of $20.2 – $20.3, Silver has chance to do a larger pullback to around $18 – $19 in wave ((4)) before another leg higher to end 5 waves up from November 2018 low.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Silver Cup and Handle - $90.00 USD Target?Silver has a clear cup and handle formation present (and looking to be resolving) on the monthly chart. Given the price action in silver recently (check out my earlier analysis which predicted this most recent surge as well as the move up in gold in July) it is worth looking at the longer-term trajectory for silver to determine whether we should be selling, buying or staying on the sidelines. It is worth noting that pattern analysis is an art, not a science, however it is a fact that the longer the time frame the pattern is observed (e.g. monthly vs. daily patterns) the more validity is tends to have. The measured move from the base of the cup to the ridge of the cup pattern projects an eventual target of close to $90.00 USD (well north of 300% from present levels) With this in mind, this pattern will likely resolve over YEARS, not weeks or months, but given the strong tailwind that this could provide for silver and silver associated investments, it is worth considering how you will play (if at all) this market.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by Profit_Link
Elliott Wave View: Silver Remains SupportedShort Term Elliott Wave structure from the chart below suggests the rally in Silver to $17.5 ended wave (3). The metal then pullback in wave (4) to 16.91 with internal structure as a triangle. Triangle is labelled as ABCDE with subdivision of each leg in 3 waves. Triangle is therefore a 3-3-3-3-3 structure. In this case, wave A ended at 16.5, wave B ended at 17.39, wave C ended at 16.83, wave D ended at 17.19, and wave E ended at 16.91. We can also see each leg in the triangle subdivides in another 3 waves. The metal has resumed higher in wave (5). Up from 16.91, wave 1 ended at 17.77 and wave 2 pullback ended at 17.49. Wave 1 subdivided as a 5 waves impulse structure. Wave ((i)) ended at 17.14 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 16.96. Up from there, wave ((iii)) ended at 17.74, wave ((iv)) ended at 17.55, and wave ((v)) of 1 ended at 17.77. Silver still needs to break above 17.77 to confirm the next leg higher has started and avoid a double correction. We don’t like selling the metal. As far as pivot at 16.91 stays intact, expect Silver to extend higher.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Analysis of SILVER 27.08.2019The price above 200 MA, indicating a growing trend. The MACD histogram is above the zero lines. The oscillator Force Index is above the zero lines. If the level of resistance is broken, you should follow the recommendations below: • Timeframe: H4 • Recommendation: Long Position • Entry Level: Long Position 17.800 • Take Profit Level: 18.150 (350 pips) If the price rebound from resistance level, you should follow the recommendations below: • Timeframe: H4 • Recommendation: Short Position • Entry Level: Short Position 17.500 • Take Profit Level: 17.400 (100 pips) USDJPY A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 105.55 GOLD A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1536.00 USDCHF A possible long position at the breakout of the level 0.9815 GBPUSD A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.2255
COMEX:SI1!
by PaxForex
MEDIUM TERM(XAUXAG): WAVE COUNT|BULLISH TARGETS+STRUCTURAL [TA]Commodity and Fixed Income Series : Part 1 Commodities ( Ratios+the most popular and widely traded Commodities ) The Essential note s from this chart are the following( Indicator analysis included in the comments ): {4.5 minute read} To begin with the easiest part of the chart. The supports were identified on the quarterly chart which will be linked in the comments. There are 3 main support levels :1. ~80(RED LINE) 2. ~70-66(BLUE LINE) 3. ~58-60(GREEN LINE) Somewhat more difficult part of the chart are the bullish targets . There are 2 main targets and 1 psychologica l. The 2 main targets were derived based on fibonacci extensions from the quarterly chart #1 ~94, #2 ~110 ; and the obvious psychological target is circa: 100 . Q: What is the method used to label the Wave count? -Following the ABC correction(2008-2011), gold has clearly outperformed silver. This is partially because of the new production methods that were introduced after 2012( more cost-effective extraction of silver as a byproduct while mining for other metals). In effect, this boosted the supply of silver relatively to gold; positively affecting the gold-to-silver ratio . Hence, the W-X-Y-X-Z Wave count fits the best into the current chart structure. Q: Bullish on silver? - Not yet . As it can be observed from the chart, prior to the ABC correction(2008-2011) ; there was a boom in the demand for gold as the primary metal of value used as a protection against inflation . This pattern should occur during the next recession, yielding a potential target for the ratio of around ~110. Other worthy notes: 2020 Election will have an impact on practically every market; Commodities are no exception . Nevertheless, in the medium term , I am relatively more bullish on silver in comparison to gold . This is supported by continuously downtrending volume as we progress through the bullish channel(pitchfork) . The ABC orange labelled correction is obviously a far fetched idea, since we do not know the timing nor the absolute top for the ratio yet. It's included just for the sake of general market principles. P.S. I do realize the chart is quite hard to be understood, mostly because it is labelled to the smallest and extreme detail. If there are any poor understandings of the labels, I'd be able to answer any additional questions in the comment s. >>I do not share my ideas for the likes or the views. This channel is only dedicated to well informed research and other noteworthy and interesting market stories.>> However, if you'd like to support me and get informed in the greatest of details, every thumbs up or follow is greatly appreciated ! Step_Ahead_oftheMarket- {Make sure to check out my previous series on US(SPX) Sector including 11 episodes of the major US sectors} This chart is a continuation to one of my most popular charts from last week: Full Disclosure : This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references or use of my content for private or corporate purposes- contact me through any of my social media channels.
OANDA:XAUXAGShort
by step_ahead_ofthemarket
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