Silvercharts
SILVER BUY IDEASilver created a higher high with so much liquidity sitting above and we have seen also a clear structural shift in our bias as CHOCH happened in the higher time frame and we have spotted a very high buy point of demand with a clear order block. Hence trade was triggered!
Advanced SMC
Silver breaks both the 50-day MA and the bearish trend lineWhat a day for silver !
Spot silver went up more than 5% to $19.7 per troy ounce in one of the best sessions this year, hitting the highest levels since August 18.
Silver's daily price action broke through both the 50-day moving average and the 2022 bearish trend line connecting the lower highs of April and August.
Momentum indicators show the daily RSI spiking above 50 and the MACD providing a bullish crossover last Friday. The latter has been a reliable bullish technical signal. The May 19 MACD bullish crossover led to a 5.7% rally until June. The July 21 MACD bullish crossover sparked a 12.1% rally to mid-August.
The following key resistance levels to keep an eye on are: 20.00 (psychological), 20.8 (August highs), and 21.15 (38.2% Fibonacci of 2022 low to high). The 50-dma at 19.23 now represents the immediate support level on the downside.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
SILVER top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The Silver BulletSilver - Intraday - We look to Buy at 20.09 (stop at 19.92)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Daily signals are mildly bullish. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 20.10, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 20.58 and 21.20
Resistance: 20.83 / 21.50 / 26.00
Support: 20.40 / 20.10 / 18.93
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SILVER, possible reversal?Silver(4h) has formed a double top after breaking the monthly doji. Today, after opening, the price has formed a bearish price action, with a gap opening. It is likely that the price is likely to drop to the monthly level of support.
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Silver analysis: bear market rally and what lies aheadSilver has risen by 11% in the last two weeks. This performance comes after losing about 30% since March 8, indicating a so-called bear-market rally.
The main macro driver behind the silver price recovery has been a sharp drop in US bond yields, with the 1 0-year yield falling to 3-month lows at 2.6%, its lowest level since April, as the market now expects the Fed to be more dovish because of the recession.
From a technical standpoint, silver is approaching an important area of technical resistance in the $20.5-20.6 range, which includes the 50-day moving average, which has been trading above the metal's prices for more than three months. This area was also the support level in May, which was then breached in late June, resulting in a sharp selloff.
The significant rebound from the lower line of the major descending channel indicates a positive short-term price momentum for silver , with the RSI breaking above 50 for the first time since April 20th.
An overshoot above $20.7, and then above the psychological level of $21, would provide the bulls with additional confidence. Then, $22-22.3 (May/June resistance & February-April support) provides an important resistance area, where some stronger seller pressure could appear.
However, as long as prices do not decisively exceed the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $22.6 and the 200-dma at $22.9, the broader silver's picture remains tilted to the bearish side.
Looking ahead, silver's strong correlation with safe-haven gold – which is currently close to one – is a positive factor if recession fears continue to fuel speculation on a dovish Fed. In contrast, if the Fed continues to tighten monetary policy despite the recession, this might keep silver prices relatively contained (below $22.5) for longer.
Analysis by Capital.com's forex and metals analyst Piero Cingari
Jamie Gun2Head - Selling SilverTrade Idea: Selling silver
Reasoning: Finding resistance at the 61.8% Fibonacci level, may the bear trend continue!
Entry Level: 18.905
Take Profit Level: 18.150
Stop Loss: 19.110
Risk/Reward: 3.68:1
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Big Moment For SilverHi, this is my new update for Silver. Silver has lost 32% of its value since March 2022 and I expect we have reached the bottom. If we look at the purple rectangles we see that the area between $18 - 19.50 always acted like support and resistance level in different periods. In July 2020 we broke the multi year resistance level (2014-2020) and we never backtested. I think now we have finally backtested it like a support level and at the same time we have reached a 61.8% FIB retracement level. We also have an oversold RSI level and I expect we are going to make a double bottom in the RSI like I drew and that will give us a bullish momentum. In the short term I expect we are going from $18 - 20.50 to backtest the 200 weeks moving average and I will update you guys in the near future.
Current silver XAG resemble BTC 2018 pattern As the points numbered it has some resemblance between BTC and Silver (current price: $25.70) where points 1-5 has already touched an important trendline. To see what will happen to the future price action, we will have to see what is the price reaction at the trendline.
If it hovers around the top of the trendline a quite some time, go LONG when the price tighten and the spread is small seems to be a better probability.
If price get some kind of dramatic reaction especially to the down side of the trendline, expect a CAPITULATION event happening soon. Long term holders will have to place their stop loss lower than $7 mark. Short term holders can place orders around the $12-$9 mark and expect a bull run for 2-5 years afterwards.
Of course the timeframe for BTC is daily and silver is weekly however because BTC moves fast and large enough I consider them to offsetting each other. However if its outside this plan you should know where to place the stop losses with reasonable R:R ratio.
May the best plan wins!!
Right Angled Descending Broadening WedgeChart Story here is.. from a Ascending broadening wedge the bears took it down.. and there was a great chance that a Bullish divergence would appear.
It did... course went up and so a Descending triangle formation was there to bring the course down again. Because the price then widens a bit on the downside in a sideways move, I consider it a Right Angled Descending Broadening Wedge for now.
Besides this pattern, you could probably also make a W pattern out of it but the characteristic of the Broadening wedge is "often", that after hitting the top or bottom 2 or 3 times the price comes back halfway during a rise or fall and then breaks out.
these scenario's makes it possible to trade them but in times of macro economic uncertainties at the moment, caution is advised at all times. manage your risks at all times.
disclaimer: this is not a financial advise
SILVER on the weekly chart looking great.SILVER weekly chart:
The most manipulated asset in world history
in my opinion and opinion of many other top
economist. Take a look at the price and the
RSI, we have classic Bullish Divergence right now,
which is a higher low on price and higher low
on the RSI...The DeMark 9 indicator is showing
we may be close to the bottom as well. Price
targets and support levels listed.
SILVER bullish outlookSILVER managed to break through its consolidation, which formed a triangle pattern on the daily graph, and now is heading for a price increase. Both indicators, MACD and RSI, are also confirming the bullish pattern.
If this pattern continues, XAGUSD will probably test its previous high around 26.10 In the opposite scenario, the price might test its previous low at 20.58
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DeGRAM | SILVER short!Silver is clear in the bearish trend.
Price action made a complex pullback and false break of the major resistance level.
A false break is a great signal and opportunity for a trend continuation trade.
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#Silver taking a short for silver as we hit the top of the fibMy medium term bias is bearish for silver and entering a short at current levels.
My new silver idea...Based on the Fed's adamant nature on raising rates over the next two meetings, I see weakness in the silver price. But not much more.
I think the Fed pauses and possibly pivots to easing after August when the true nature of the coming recession reveals itself.
Following that I see a rapid rise in the price of silver, in a similar time frame between 2008 and 2011. However I do see silver will retaking $50/oz much quicker than it did the last time.
Then the price of silver is in no man's land and we must base our projects based on measurements of silver compared to other investments or commodities.