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Silverfutures

Will Silver Close at the High This Year?In September, we discussed the potential of silver forming a 'Cup & Handle' pattern, similar to what we observed with gold at the end of 2023. We saw how gold performed in 2024. If the Silver can settle at around here at the end of this year, establishing this formation, we should be able to see the rising trend of the Silver in 2025. In this tutorial, we will discuss why silver may close higher towards end of the year. Silver Futures & Options Ticker: SI Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00 Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
1
GOLD and Silver Futures OUTLOOK for the week of Oct. 28, 2024Coming into this week we can see both Gold and Silver are trading away from bullish imbalances, also forming SMT's off those imbalances. We also see that both commodities have CISD's coming off the same lows. In my opinion Gold is showing relative strength, given the fact that it has a failure swing at the lows, while the contrary for Silver. My focus will be towards gold being the stronger pair to long in this scenario. Looking forward to a productive week. Bless.
COMEX_MINI:SILZ2024Long
by chaarate
2
Silver little bleak and weak now, but will shine later and how. Shadow of Silver today is greyish. As if the fading moon after a full moon day. Silver may consolidate between 82 to 78K levels. If 78K is broken by any chance, the threat of it falling to the levels of 65-68K looms large. If it reaches 65 to 68K level by any chance, Silver become a must accumulate commodity. On a long term time frame (14 to 28 months) Silver looks all set to cross 100K mark. If there is some global event that bring uncertainty, Silver can reach 100K sooner. Keep Watching this commodity. It is an accumulate at lower levels.
MCX:SILVER1!
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DAILY FOREX MARKET WATCH: SILVER IS BULLISH!Silver is the market analyzed. After respecting the W +FVG, a bullish BOS followed. The D1 shows another +FVG was formed, a bullish indication. I am looking for the D1 +FVG to be tested before price heads higher. It would be a great POI to long from. If you like the video, give a thumbs up and subscribe! And thanks! May profits be upon you. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!Long
by RT_Money
If Support Breaks, Where Does Silver Go?Gold (June) / Silver (May) Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2348.4, down 14.0 Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 28.052, up 0.068 Yesterday’s warm CPI and weak 10-year auction paved the way for a much-needed consolidation day for Gold and Silver. Still, the precious metals complex battled valiantly, exuding bull market trends within the intraday swings. Geopolitical headlines are certainly helping to stave off indiscriminate selling, but we now look to another slate of inflation data via PPI, coupled with an ECB policy decision this morning and a 30-year Bond auction at noon CT. Silver futures even went as far as setting a new local high after yesterday’s CPI data, but the broad risk-off undertow was just too much. Construction in Silver out above yesterday’s low of 27.64-27.76 and support aligning with Gold’s low of 2340.1-2343.1 should help fuel a bull continuation into the weekend. In the event of further weakness, we have additional levels of significant support highlighted below. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 2363.7-2364.1**, 2369.4-2371***, 2380.2-2384.5***, 2400**, 2466.5***, 2539.3-2560.1**** Pivot: 2355 Support: 2348.1-2351***, 2340.1-2343.1***, 2334.2-2337.1***, 2321.7-2325.3***, 2315.7**, 2298.7-2299.6***, 2285.7-2286.2***, 2279-2281.8*** Silver (May) Resistance: 28.15-28.24**, 28.39-28.44**, 28.57-28.66***, 28.71-28.90**, 29.22***, 29.88-30.35*** Pivot: 28.05 Support: 27.84-27.90**, 27.64-27.76***, 27.34-27.51***, 26.93-26.97***, 26.40-26.48*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:SI1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Options Blueprint Series: Iron Condors for Balanced MarketsIntroduction: In the nuanced world of options trading, the Iron Condor strategy stands out as a sophisticated yet accessible approach, especially suited for markets that exhibit a balanced demeanor. This strategy, belonging to the "Options Blueprint Series," is designed for traders who seek to harness the potential of stable markets. Iron Condors offer a way to generate profit from an underlying asset's lack of significant price movement, making it an ideal choice for periods characterized by low volatility. Understanding Iron Condors: An Iron Condor is a non-directional options strategy that aims to profit from a market that moves sideways or remains within a specific range. This strategy involves four different options contracts, specifically two calls and two puts, all with the same expiration date but different strike prices. It combines a bull put spread and a bear call spread to create a profitable zone. To construct an Iron Condor, a trader sells one out-of-the-money put and buys another put with a lower strike price (forming the bull put spread), while also selling one out-of-the-money call and buying another call with a higher strike price (forming the bear call spread). The essence of this strategy is to collect premium income from the options sold, with the trade being most profitable if the underlying asset's price remains between the middle strike prices of the calls and puts sold. The Iron Condor is lauded for its ability to generate returns in a stagnant or mildly volatile market, making it a preferred strategy among traders who anticipate little to no significant price movement in the underlying asset. However, it requires precise execution and an understanding of the underlying market conditions to mitigate risk and optimize potential returns. Market Analysis: The current financial landscape often presents scenarios where markets exhibit balanced behavior, characterized by low volatility and minor price fluctuations. In such environments, traditional directional trading strategies might not always offer the desired outcomes due to the lack of significant market movements. This is where the Iron Condor strategy shines, serving as an ideal tool for traders aiming to capitalize on market stability. Balanced markets are typically observed during periods of economic uncertainty or when major market-moving events are anticipated but have yet to occur. Investors' wait-and-see attitude during these times results in a trading range where prices oscillate within a relatively tight band. Utilizing Iron Condors in these scenarios allows traders to define a price range within which they believe the market will remain over the life of the options contracts. Successfully identifying these ranges can lead to profitable trades, as the sold options will expire worthless, allowing the trader to retain the premiums received. Implementing Iron Condors under such conditions requires a keen understanding of market indicators and trends. Traders must analyze historical volatility, forthcoming economic events, and overall market sentiment to gauge whether the market conditions are conducive to this strategy. This analysis is crucial in setting the strike prices for the options contracts, determining the width of the Condor's wings, and ultimately, the trade's risk-reward profile. Introduction to Silver Futures: Silver Futures represent a standard contract for the future delivery of silver, a precious metal with both investment appeal and industrial applications. Trading on the COMEX exchange, these futures provide a crucial tool for hedging against silver price volatility and speculating on future price movements. Key Features of Silver Futures: Contract Specifications: A standard Silver Futures contract on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) typically involves 5,000 troy ounces of silver. The price quotation is in U.S. dollars and cents per ounce. Point Values: Each tick (0.005) movement in the silver price represents a $25 change in the value of the Silver Futures contract. This point value is critical for calculating potential profits and losses in silver trading. Trading Hours: Silver Futures are traded almost around the clock (23 hours per day) in electronic trading sessions, providing opportunities to react to global economic events as they unfold. Margin Requirements: Trading Silver Futures requires a margin deposit, a form of collateral to cover the credit risk. The initial margin is set by the exchange and varies with market volatility. The current recommendation set by COMEX is $8,000 per contract. Options on Silver Futures: Options on Silver Futures offer traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call options) or sell (put options) the futures contract at a specified price before the option expires. These instruments allow for strategies like Iron Condors, providing additional flexibility in managing silver price exposure. Applying Iron Condors to Silver Futures Options: Implementing Iron Condors within the realm of Silver Futures Options requires a strategic selection of strike prices that reflect a balanced market's expected trading range. By capitalizing on Silver's historical volatility patterns and current market analysis, traders can construct Iron Condors to optimize their chances of success. Trade Setup: Underlying Asset: Silver Futures (Symbol: SI1!) Market Conditions: Anticipation of a stable to mildly volatile market environment. Strategy Components: Sell Put Option: Strike Price $22.50 Buy Put Option: Strike Price $21.95 Sell Call Option: Strike Price $23.85 Buy Call Option: Strike Price $24.30 Net Premium Received: 0.2680 points = $1,340 Maximum Profit: Net Premium Received $1,340 per contract Maximum Loss: Difference between strike prices minus net premium received = 0.55 / 0.005 x 25 – 1,340 = $1,410 per contract Trade Rationalization: This trade setup is designed to profit from a range-bound market, where the price of silver is expected to remain between key support and resistance price levels until the options' expiration. The selected strike prices reflect a balanced view of the silver market, aiming to maximize premium income while limiting risk exposure. The trade's success hinges on silver prices staying within the defined range, allowing all options to expire worthless and the trader to retain the collected premiums. Trade Management: Managing risks associated with Iron Condors involves closely monitoring silver prices and being prepared to adjust the strategy in response to significant market movements. This may include rolling out positions to different strike prices or expiration dates, or closing out the position to mitigate losses. Understanding the nuances of Silver Futures and their options is crucial for effective risk management in this strategy. Risk Management: Effective risk management is paramount when employing Iron Condors, particularly in the volatile commodities market. The Iron Condor strategy, by design, limits the maximum potential loss to the difference between the strike prices of the inner options minus the net premium received. However, market conditions can change swiftly, leading to potential challenges that necessitate proactive risk management techniques. Monitoring Market Conditions: Continuous observation of market dynamics is essential. Significant economic announcements, geopolitical events, or changes in supply and demand can impact silver prices drastically. Traders should stay informed and ready to act if the market moves against their position. Adjusting Positions: In the event of unfavorable market movements, traders may need to adjust their positions. This could involve closing out the position early to cut losses or 'rolling' the strategy to different strike prices or expiration dates to better align with the new market outlook. Use of Stop-Loss Orders: While not always applicable in options trading, setting conditional orders to exit positions can help limit losses. For Iron Condors, this might mean closing the trade if the potential maximum loss is approached. Diversification: Employing Iron Condors as part of a broader, diversified trading strategy can help mitigate risks. No single trade should expose the trader to disproportionate risk. Conclusion: The Iron Condor strategy offers a prudent approach for traders looking to capitalize on balanced markets, such as those often encountered with Silver Futures and Options. By selling options with strike prices outside the expected range of movement and protecting the position with further out-of-the-money options bought, traders can receive premium income while having a clear understanding of their maximum risk exposure. This strategy thrives in environments of low to moderate volatility, where the underlying asset—silver, in this case—is expected to fluctuate within a predictable range. The inclusion of Silver Futures and Options in this strategic framework not only illustrates the versatility of Iron Condors but also underscores the importance of comprehensive market analysis and robust risk management practices. By meticulously crafting their positions, monitoring market conditions, and being prepared to make adjustments as necessary, traders can effectively navigate the complexities of the commodities market, harnessing the potential of Iron Condors to enhance their trading portfolio. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:SI1!Education
by traddictiv
SILVER, Ascending-Wedge COMPLETED, Determinations and Targets!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about SILVER on several timeframe perspectives. As I pointed out in my previous ideas SILVER is in a more bearish condition with the bonds market being up as well as the DXY being up. These factors already point to a more bearish global term perspective for SILVER. Now a major consideration is the local term as well as there can be a major turning within the local term also and as I recently detected SILVER now completed a major formation as well as several other signs of an substantial reversal to setup and elevate important dynamics that should not be underestimated. Currently there is a massive volatility move to be considered within the upcoming dynamics. As when looking at my chart, SILVER recently showed up with this determining bearish momentum, this momentum broke out below the lower boundary of the ascending triangle-formation and printed an determining bearish spike towards the downside from where SILVER is now approaching the initial target-zones and is likely to continue with the bearish continuations as there are still several resistances within the area especially determined by the descending-resistance-line. The fact that SILVER now completed the major ascending-wedge-formation and already increased the bearish momentum activated the target-zones at 23.65, 23.25, and 22.85 as they are marked in my chart. Currently the DXY is setting up a major breakout into higher spheres as I mentioned in recent ideas, this means that such a breakout within the DXY is validating the bearish cause for SILVER. Also net short-positions held by institutionals increased further within the recent times which is also supporting a major drop in the price-action. Within the whole dynamics SILVER now continued with the origins of the ABC-wave-count with the wave A already completed as SILVER broke out below the lower boundary, the wave B is likely to pullback off the upper resistance if they are reached otherwise the wave B could also have a contracted amplitude. Once the target have been reached further considerations about the price-action need to be made and therefore we are putting SILVER on the watchlist for the upcoming price-action considerations. On the global term there is still a major formational structure developing which could point to an even larger breakout dynamic and volatility momentum once it has been validated. Thank you for watching my analysis. Support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
TVC:SILVER
by VincePrince
5
SILVER FUTURES, Pullback-Developments, BEARISH Indication!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about SILVER FUTURES on several timeframe perspectives. The SILVER FUTURES recently showed up with important pullbacks which moved on to test further remaining levels within the whole structure. From a market perspective the bonds market recently showed massive strength with T-bills emerging to form several higher highs and a continued upside movement. This upside movement is also given within the DXY, U.S.-Dollar Currency Index as the DXY continued to form strong movements to the upside putting pressure on the SILVER FUTURES asset. Within the chart SILVER FUTURES are forming this gigantic bear-flag-formation in which the price action is now testing the lower boundary a next consecutive time, as the boundary has been tested already over four times this increases the possibility for massive bearish pressure to show up once the price action actually formed a breakout below the lower boundary. Within this whole structure as the price action formed several consecutive lower highs and several lower lows a major pullback and continuation with an increase of bearish momentum and bearish pressure to the downside is not uncommon. With these terms in the perspective there are several important analysis factors to consider within the next times. Especially an further increase within the bonds, t-bills and the DXY will support the bearish scenario for Silver and then it will be necessary to determine the actual momentum setting up. Once the SILVER FUTURES completed the major gigantic bear-flag-formation the target-zones will be firstly within the 20.5 area, after that the 18.5 area, and when the price action reaches such a momentum that a reversal in this area is not possible in any case the next important determining target-zone will be within the 15.5 area. We keep an eye on the dynamics. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
COMEX:SI1!
by VincePrince
4
Huge market deficit, speculation, and investment appealSilver is a precious metal that has long been valued for its versatility, beauty, and rarity. Its unique properties have made it an important material for both monetary and industrial uses. While silver is often overshadowed by gold in terms of investment appeal, it has its own unique investment potential that should not be overlooked. Based on the data from The Silver Institute and Metals Focus, there are several developments in this space that may make silver an attractive option for investment or speculation in the coming months. To better understand this opportunity, it is important to be acquainted with the driving forces in the silver market. Silver is produced by mining and recycling. On the demand side, silver has a variety of uses, including in jewelry, silverware, investment, and industrial applications. In 2022, the total supply stood at 31,250 metric tonnes. Meanwhile, total demand reached 38,643 metric tonnes. The mining activity accounted for 81.84% (25,578 metric tonnes) of the supply in 2022, with recycling contributing the remaining 18.16% (5,618 metric tonnes). Mining output dropped by approximately 1% YoY, and recycling grew by about 3% YoY. As for the demand in 2022, industrial use accounted for 44.79% (17,309 metric tonnes), jewelry for 18.83% (7,280 metric tonnes), silverware for 5.91% (2,286 metric tonnes), photography for 2.21% (855 metric tonnes), and physical investment for 26.79% (10,356 metric tonnes); the remaining 1.47% of the demand relates to the other uses. The investment demand for silver doubled from 4,884 metric tonnes in 2017 to 10,356 metric tonnes in 2022. Furthermore, jewelry demand fully recovered from a slump during the Covid-19 epidemic, rising from 4,680 metric tonnes in 2020 to 7,280 metric tonnes in 2022. In fact, the total demand for silver returned stronger from the 2020 disruption, resulting in the market being undersupplied by 7,393 metric tonnes in 2022. As the World Silver Survey 2023 expects the total output to grow only by 2% in 2023, the market deficit represents an interesting dynamic that might prove to be impactful to the price of silver in the future. However, with the current weakness in the precious metals sector, we think it would be reasonable to either wait a little bit longer before entering a trade or start with very small purchases in multiple transactions (leaving more capital on the side for later). Our goal would be to get the entry closest to the $20 price tag and wait for silver to rise above $26. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAGUSD. One red arrow indicates the declining price from 5th May 2023 until yesterday; the other red arrow hints at volume, which started to decline more recently. Normally, such a relationship between the price and volume suggests that selling pressure is losing steam, and reversal can be impending. Technical analysis Daily = Bearish Weekly = Bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Tradersweekly
12
XAGUSD Is entering the long term buy zone. Excellent opportunitySilver crossed today under the 1D MA200 for the first time since March 13th with the 1D technicals approaching a critical oversold level (RSI = 33.922, MACD = -0.337, ADX = 28.236). This confirms that the range from the 1D MA200 to the HL trendline is the Buy Zone of the long term Megaphone pattern. We are starting a long term series of buys today. If you seek confirmation, you may wait until the LH trendline breaks, as it did on the March 13th breakout. Typically those are executed on strong green 1D candles. Our medium term Target is the R1 (TP1 = 24.500) and long term the R2 (TP2 = 26.130). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAGUSD
by InvestingScope
Silver may shine above mid channel ResistanceSilver futures tried to jump unsuccessfully above the Mid channel line resistance but has been unsuccessful so far. Closing above 74324 will unleash a new bull run in Silver which might have resistances at 76341 and 78000+. The two resistances can also be considered next targets in case of closing over 74324. In case the mid channel line proves to be potent resistance the supports for Silver future are at 72850 and 72490 (Major Support). If 72490 is broken by any chance next supports are at 70174 and 68017.
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Silver: Let the show begin…! 🎪Ladies and Gentlemen, step right up and let the show begin! Please welcome silver, our brilliant artistic performer, in the arena that is our chart… See next: a somersault into the orange zone between $24.45 and $25.05 to finish wave iv in orange, followed by a brave downwards leap to complete wave v in orange as well as wave (a) in blue. Watch with bated breath as silver then spirals upwards again, stopped only by the mark at $25.41, where it should rebound and glide further downwards. There is a 30% chance, though, that silver could gain too much upwards momentum and thus soar above the mark at $25.41. In that case, we would expect it to reach a new high in the form of wave alt.x in magenta first before turning downwards again.
COMEX:SI1!
by MarketIntel
Silver Levels & Strategy for next few daysDear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading. Sagar Bhai, Silver had an excellent run in last 1 month from below 55K level to 63K plus level. Silver has made LH-Lower High pattern on chart, trading below VWAP. Showing sign of tiredness after decent up move. Silver is likely to consolidate or correct from this level. This is a good time to book profit. 59000 to 60000 should be good range to enter in long position for few months. We are likely to get a chance near next US FED hike when US Dollar Index will get stronger. Please review & share your thoughts as well.
MCX:SILVER1!
by manishmgupta
1
Silver: TightIt’s getting tight! Silver hasn’t all that much room left to finish wave 4 in green… We expect it to make it in time, though, and to go for the resistance at $20.87 afterwards. Once above this mark, silver should push off into the orange zone between $22.11 and $23.72 to complete wave 5 in green as well as wave iii in orange, before starting a countermovement. However, there is a 45% chance that silver could fail to get its act together early enough and could thus drop below the support at $18.96, which would then trigger further descent below the next marks at $17.89 and $17.40.
COMEX:SI1!
by MarketIntel