Long Term VWAP trend has turned bullish for Silver after 11 yrsAtfter 11 years of bearish VWAP trends in silver... it has turned bullish and is testing. Silver is interesting as we sit in this "inflationary" environment. I say "inflationary" with quotes as we have a CRB index rising WITH the DXY. This hasn't occurred since the early 1970's and points more towards a supply issue vs. a monetary problem. Hence we see things like food and oil scream higher while metals have been lagging. This bullish turn on the VWAP in silver could be pointing a change in the metals' action in the medium term though. A confirmation would require a break and hold above the highest VWAP, which failed and failed hard in April.
I was much more confident in a break out where we failed and was wrong... yet this setup still has strength behind it. If price gets back above the upper VWAP I will be keeping a close eye on metals into the fall.
Silverfutures
Silver near major support ZoneSilver ending below 50 days EMA of 56557 is not a very good news for Silver enthusiasts. Final support for Silver might be near 55375. Below 55375 Silver may fall to 54202 or as low as 51899. Way up silver is looking little difficult as there are many resistances on the way up starting from 56557. Other resistance on the way up can be 58177 and 59580. If silver does not take support at 55375 and bounce back it slide in silver can be sleek and super fast.
Silver: Keep the Pot Boiling 🫕Quite peppily, silver has vaulted upwards, only to stop short in front of its next destination. Now, it should keep the pot boiling and take up speed anew to make it into the upper green zone between $20.12 and $20.70, where it should finish wave 3 in green. After a short counter movement into the lower green zone between $19.56 and $18.93, silver should continue to climb northwards. There is a 40% chance, though, that silver might need a break and could drop below the support at $17.40. In that case, it should take a detour through the magenta colored zone between $17.23 and $14.14 first before rising effectively.
Silver breaks both the 50-day MA and the bearish trend lineWhat a day for silver !
Spot silver went up more than 5% to $19.7 per troy ounce in one of the best sessions this year, hitting the highest levels since August 18.
Silver's daily price action broke through both the 50-day moving average and the 2022 bearish trend line connecting the lower highs of April and August.
Momentum indicators show the daily RSI spiking above 50 and the MACD providing a bullish crossover last Friday. The latter has been a reliable bullish technical signal. The May 19 MACD bullish crossover led to a 5.7% rally until June. The July 21 MACD bullish crossover sparked a 12.1% rally to mid-August.
The following key resistance levels to keep an eye on are: 20.00 (psychological), 20.8 (August highs), and 21.15 (38.2% Fibonacci of 2022 low to high). The 50-dma at 19.23 now represents the immediate support level on the downside.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
Silver: I Like to Move It, Move It!I like to move it, move it,
I like to move it, move it,
I like to move it, move it,
We like to move it !
You were bouncing along – admit it! Silver, at any rate, is shaking its booty to the beat, while continuing to move upwards. It should keep up the party mood and hop above the resistance at $20.84 to enter the upper turquoise zone between $20.94 and $22.42, where it should finish wave v in turquoise as well as wave 3 in green. After the subsequent countermovement in the course of wave 4 in green, silver should resume the overarching ascent.
However, there still is a 40% chance that silver could lose its rhythm and drop below the support at $18.88, which would then result in a detour below the next support at $18.01 and through the orange zone between $17.46 and $15.33.
SILVER FUTURES (SILVER1!), H1 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 61692
Pivot: 60565
Support : 59367
Preferred Case: On the H1, price is moving below the ichimoku cloud which supports our bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 60565 in line with the pullback resistance to the 1st support at 59367 in line with the swing low support and 61.8% fibonacci projection.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance level at 61692 in line with the overlap resistance, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection .
Fundamentals: As investors are seeking to hedge against inflation , we have a weak bullish view on silver .
Silver: CircuitousSilver seems to prefer things a bit more complicated, and thus has made a detour back above the mark at $21.25. However, as long as it stays below the resistance at $22.56, we still expect silver to directly continue the descent below $21.25 and into the lower orange zone between $18.78 and $16.88, where the overarching downward movement should end. There is a 38% chance, though, that silver could expand the detour above the resistance at $22.56. In that case, it should rise until the upper edge of the orange strip between $22.74 and $23.46 before resuming the descent.
SILVER FUTURES (SILVER1!), H1 Potential for Bullish MomentumType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 62338
Pivot: 61354
Support : 60446
Preferred Case: On the H1, price is moving above the ichimoku cloud and has broken out from descending trendline which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 61354 where the swing low support is to the 1st resistance at 62338 in line with the swing high resistance,100% fibonacci projection, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 161.8% fibonacci extension .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 60446 in line with the overlap support and 61.8% fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: As investors are seeking to hedge against inflation , we have a weak bullish view on silver .
SILVER FUTURES (SILVER1!), H1 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 61225
Pivot: 60429
Support : 58199
Preferred Case: On the H1, price has broken out from the ascending channel and is moving below the ichimoku cloud which supports our bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 60429 in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 58199 in line with the swing low support and 61.8% fibonacci projection .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance level at 61225 in line with the overlap resistance, 50% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection .
Fundamentals: No major news
SILVER FUTURES (SILVER1!), H1 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 62362
Pivot: 61483
Support : 60211
Preferred Case: On the H1, price has broken out from the ascending channel and is moving below the ichimoku cloud which supports our bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 61483 in line with the overlap resistance to the 1st support at 60211 in line with the overlap support, 61.8% fibonnaci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection .
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance level at 62362 in line with the swing high resistance and 61.8% fibonacci projection .
Fundamentals: The outcome of the US CPI would confirm if inflation remains on a rising trend or if it is topping out which gives us a mixed bias on silver.
SILVER FUTURES (SILVER1!), H1 Potential for Bullish MomentumType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 62842
Pivot: 61613
Support : 60555
Preferred Case: On the H1, price is bouncing off the ichimoku support which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 61613 where the overlap support and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st resistance at 62842 in line with the 61.8% fibonacci projection and swing high resistance.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 60555 in line with the swing low support, 100% fibonacci projection, 161.8% fibonacci extension and 50% fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: Due to increasing inflation rates in the US,UK and other developed economies, we have a bullish view on the precious metal.
SILVER FUTURES (SILVER1!), H1 Potential for Bullish MomentumType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 63924
Pivot: 62180
Support : 60554
Preferred Case: On the H1, price is moving above the ichimoku cloud and MACD moving in a bullish momentum which supports our bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 62180 where the overlap support is to the 1st resistance at 63956 in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection, 50% fibonacci retracement, 38.2% fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 60554 in line with the swing low support.
Fundamentals: Due to increasing inflation rates in the US,UK and other developed economies, we have a bullish view on the precious metal.
SILVER FUTURES (SILVER1!), H1 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 61075
Pivot: 60809
Support : 60248
Preferred Case: On the H4, price is moving below the ichimoku cloud and moving along the descending trendline which supports bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 60809 in line with the 23.6% fibonacci retracement and overlap resistance to the 1st support at 60248 in line with the swing low support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance level at 61075 in line with the pullback resistance, 23.6% fibonacci retracement and 38.2% fibonacci retracement .
Fundamentals: Due to increasing inflation rates in the US,UK and other developed economies, we have a bullish view on the precious metal.
Silver: JumpyWhile bears aren’t normally known to be jumpy, the bears on the silver market have just shown signs of scariness. They must have been so focused on their way downwards that they didn’t realize how close they had already come to the support at $21.98. Although they have shrunken back from this mark, we expect them to pick up courage again quickly – after all, they have been so strong and composed lately. So, the bears should push silver below $21.98 and towards the orange zone between $20.91 and $19.59, where wave iii in orange should end. Then, a countermovement should lead silver back above $21.98, where it should finish wave iv in orange before resuming the overarching downwards movement.
Title: Silver Futures ( SI1! ), H4 Potential for dip!
Type: Bearish dip
Resistance : 25.065
Pivot: 24.8
Support : 24.230
Preferred case: Prices are consolidating in a triangle pattern. We see the potential for a dip from our Pivot at 24.8 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci Projection towards our 1st support at 24.230 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci Projection . RSI is at levels where dips previously occurred and prices are trading below our ichimoku clouds, further supporting our bearish bias.
Alternative scenario: If prices were to continue their rally, they can potentially reach our 1st resistance at 25.065 which is in line with 127.2% Fibonacci Projection .
Fundamentals: With inflation and war tensions might result in a fundamentally upwards bias on the pair. As FA and TA are in conflict, we would advise investors to be prudent in trading the precious metal.
SILVER potential for dip! | 8th April 2022Prices are consolidating in a triangle pattern. We see the potential for a dip from our 1st Resistance at 25.065 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci Projection towards our 1st support at 61.8% Fibonacci Projection. RSI is at levels where dips previously occurred.
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Silver futures potential dip! | 7th April 2022Title: Silver Futures (SI1!), H4 Potential for dip!
Type: Bearish dip
Resistance : 25.100
Pivot: 24.680
Support : 24.040
Preferred case: Prices are on bearish momentum and abiding by a descending trendline. We see the potential for a dip from our Pivot at 24.680 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci Projection towards our 1st support at 24.040 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci Projection . Our bearish bias is further supported by prices trading below our ichimoku cloud resistance.
Alternative scenario: If prices were to continue their rally, they can potentially reach our 1st resistance at 25.100 which is in line with 100% Fibonacci Projection.
Fundamentals: With inflation and war tensions might result in a fundamentally upwards bias on the pair. As FA and TA are in conflict, we would advise investors to be prudent in trading the precious metal.
silver update~morning, silver has finally broke downtrend in my eyes
i think it's going to rip from here, especially if dxy rejects that 10 year trendline
this move might be the beginning of a massive move to the upside (to around $100)
it isn't going to happen overnight, so don't expect a moonshot by tomorrow, but i think silver is a solid buy down here for a longer term hold.
Silver: Slowdown Slowed Down! 😟😟😟There is a lot for the silver price to do. Overall, we expect the price to fall under $21.41, but the correction was slowed down by the bulls. As long as the price can stay below $24.94, the primary scenario is intact.
Let's see if the bears can pull the course back down!
#SILVER XAGUSD ANOTHER BUYING OPPORTUNITYAs you can see in the previous silver analysis which has been tagged to this new analysis we forecast the 4H time frame bullish move and also we knew that we are in higher time frame bullish trend.
Now again price had a bearish corrective move in lower time frames and reached 0.61% Fibonacci ratio as well as important static support area, which gives us another opportunity to go long in silver one more time or the opportunity to add to our previous trade in case you are long time trader and your previous trade is still open.
Price currently is sitting on an important support area and also we can see reverse bullish divergence in 4H time frame which suggest to us that price can now start another bullish move. in spite of that price is above our EMA 144 which act as a support for us. Another confluence would be lacking of bearish momentum and seller participations in the market which you can see the result of this in changing cycle amplitude in lower time frames.
For trading I suggest it would be best if you wait for price to come above EMA 144 in 15M time frame and then you execute your buy trade.
Our first target would be the previous High which is around the price of 24.660 but since we are in bullish trend in Higher time frame you can probably manage your trade in order if the price managed to breach the resistance area and goes above the previous High.
#XAGUSD SILVER LONGTERM BUYING OPPORTUNITYIn Weekly time frame price has formed a line formation, and currently siting on a support area. As a result of this important support area price structure in 4H time frame has shifted to bullish as you can see and price is creating a HH and HL.
Now price is above 4H timeframe 144 EMA and also price is in bearish corrective move for retesting a previous resistance area which because of price bullish move has turned to support.
in lower time frames we have bullish divergence which is another confluence for our trading idea.
Now if price fail to come below the 23.045$ which is our previous low and manage to create a HL comparing to that low in 1H time frame we can technically say this lower time bearish corrective move has ended and we can look for buying opportunity today.
We should remember this is a long term buying opportunity and our target could be around the high of this weekly time frame line formation which is around 29$, so use a wide and good stop loss in order not to get stopped out of this big bullish move in line with your trading strategy.