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Silver Pauses at $30.76 Amid Solar Panel Demand DropSilver uptrend paused due to low demand for solar panels. On the technical front, the 100-period simple moving average acts as strong resistance. A dip below the immediate resistance of $30.76 will likely trigger a downtrend. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be revisiting $29.7. On the other hand, the bearish outlook should be invalidated if bulls stabilize above the 100-period simple moving average. Article: fxnews.me
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FxNews-me
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CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by Thief_Trader
SILVER'S TIME to TAKE BREATHER Fundamentals: Bricks buying and geopolitical tensions have kept Gold price elevated pulling up the silver price with it. I believe the Bricks meeting this Sept to be a selling event given that all of the purchase goals (for now) will be met by the meeting. Gold is the stronger of the two metals. I am leaning short Gold but I think silver has more downside potential given recessionary woes (industrial applications). Seasonal and Election: Looking back Sept-Oct are typically down months for metals. Technicals: The price is now up against heavy supply zone and major $30 psychological level. There is a head and shoulders pattern (4r) forming inside of a much larger head and shoulders pattern (2day) (See previous post). At the moment the price has failed to pop back up above the 4hr MA. It may recover. However, I will be selling into strength inside of the the supply zone with a stop on a 2day close above the $30.50 level. Fed Thoughts: The market has all but priced in a rate cut at this point. Every movement this year has been predicated on them (despite never materializing). I am of the belief that the cut itself will be a selling event regardless of whether or not we get a short lived rally. Expression: Given that I am skeptical on equities and bearish Silver I will be shorting SILJ given that it has a history of outperforming to the downside on Silver draw downs. In addition, the upside/risk is limited (as much as it can be haha). Major funds are not investing in juniors. They have and will put capital into majors like GOLD and NEM if metals continue to push higher. In addition, miners are not experiencing the upward pressure that Gold and Silver have because central banks and foreign buyers (the reason for the rally in metals) are NOT buying miners, they are buying physical metal. PAAS is also a strong short candidate. It is a basket case (major earnings miss) and will outperform to the downside.
VANTAGE:XAGUSDShort
by TheSilverOracle
2
Silver at the top of a channel?Silver has been trading traditional fib longs and and extensions in this big bull runup. However, we are very overextended, trading well in excess of big support over the past two days. We are also at a potential top in terms of it trend channel. The risk of a decline in silver is significant, and unlike gold which gives you a clue on the fifteen minutes charts, silver could simply start falling and keep going. Given the lack of bull fib support, I think this is a good spot to take profit and enter a small short position. There is a good chance that we begin the down leg of silver here.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by CeresTrader
1
#SILVER: A strong sell off expected! Dear Traders, OANDA:XAGUSD a strong sell off is expected on silver this week. Firstly because recently price have been overbought and there is going to be ' a strong bearish impulse' due to adjusting he market equilibrium. Secondly, the NFP and other strong news that can affect the silver future price significantly. We will have to keep close eye on the price action if price does not respect our zone then the idea will be automatically invalidated. we will update on this as we progress.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
6
BluetonaFX - SILVER Targeting Five-Month HighHi Traders! Silver is trading with bullish momentum after its ascending triangle break and is approaching its five-month high at 25.258. Price Action 📊 After the break and close above the 20 EMA, the market has been trading with bullish momentum and then broke above the ascending triangle's resistance. We are looking for further continuation towards the five-month high at 25.258, and our plan is to buy market dips. Fundamental Analysis 📰 Important market events this week that could increase the volatility in the US dollar and therefore in commodity prices are likely to be the ISM data and the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation, the Core PCE data. We will also have US GDP later in the week, and to round off the week, Fed Chair Powell will be speaking. Support 📉 23.556: PREVIOUS DAY'S LOW Resistance 📈 25.258: FIVE-MONTH HIGH Risk ⚠️ No more than 2% of your capital. Reward 💰 At least 4% of your capital. Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by BluetonaFX
Macro Monday 16~SIlver 2nd in RecessionMacro Monday 16 Silver Performance During and Immediately Post-Recession Over the past few weeks I have heard many financial analysts recommending holding Gold and Silver for protection against a recession scenario or at least holding some bullion as a diversifier or insurance against currency risk. Today’s Silver Chart and Golds Chart from last weeks Macro Monday are aimed at identifying how good these assets performed during the last 8 recessions. Last week we covered how gold performed during the last 8 recessions and discovered that gold provides an average return of +7.3% during recession periods whilst the S&P500 averaged a -35.6% decline. It is important to note that Gold’s price declined by -9.3% and -6.3% during 2 of the last 8 recessions, however it performed better than the S&P500 in both those scenarios during which the S&P500 declined -12.7% and -16.3% respectively. Last week’s chart of Gold demonstrated that it can offer protection during recessions whilst also potentially offering an average +7.3% return over those period. The Chart Interestingly Silver does not appear to be as protective as Gold during recession periods however it appears to make positive moves post-recession which is valuable to know as timing your silver allocation later in a recession cycle could be benefit your portfolio; 1. During 6 out of the last 8 recession periods Silver has declined in price by an average of -9%. - This is a lessor performance to Golds positive average of +7.3% over the same period. - However, Silver declines less than S&P500 which declines on average -35.6% over these same recessionary periods 2. Within a 6 months immediately post-recession Silver has increased in price 7 out of 8 times by an average of +18% (blue areas on chart) - This provides an argument for diversifying a portion of your gold or cash position into Silver late in a recession or at the end of a recession period. - Obviously timing this would be difficult however, if you had a Gold position that increased between +7 – 10% during what you believe to be a recession period, it could be beneficial to start allocating a portion of that position to Silver based on the average +18% potential within 6 months after the recession ends. There is no guarantee of course. The Silver Second Allocation Approach Based on the price history of Gold and Silver over the last 8 recessions there is an argument to not hold silver at the onset and/or during the recession itself (as silver declines -9% on avg during the recession period). At the onset and during a recession Gold has a much better record with an average return of +7.3% however, Silver can offer significant returns in the 6 months post-recession with an average return of 18%, thus as we wade closer to the end of a recession an allocation into Silver could put you on the right side of probability. No Guarantees. The Silver Long Hold Approach Interestingly if you check the data chart which I will share in the comments, you will see that Silvers overall performance (recession periods including the 6 months post-recession period) is positive with an average of +9.1%. In other words, if you held Silver through the recession period and the 6 months post-recession, the average return is 9.1%. Amazing what an additional 6 months of patience can achieve. This is where there is a potential argument to hold silver from the outset of a recession if you intend to hold it that 6 months post-recession. When you check Silvers post-recession performance (6 months post-recession), it can historically increase as high as +50.6% thus a Silver allocation does offer that upside potential that Gold does not. This adds to the Silver Long Hold Approach argument however this has to be weighed against a potential -58.3% decline during the recession period (also evident on the chart as the opposite extreme). Final Word The safety in Gold during a recession is attractive and the post-recession potential return in silver is hard to ignore. Silver can go down or sideways when gold first starts to increase, this has been the case historically and often gold increases for 18 – 24 months before silver really starts to move and catch up (I will follow up this point with a chart). I myself lean towards a later recession allocation to silver, lets say we get a 14 - 20% drop in silver with a 5 - 7.3% increase in gold, this could be a window to start building your smaller silver position from your gold or cash holding but for me, the silver position will always be smaller and allocated late into a recession. I want to emphasize there is no right approach, these are just considerations worth pondering about Gold and Silver portfolio allocations during recessions. The ultimate decision is up to you. I hope both the gold and silver chart provide you with some perspective and help keep you on the right side of probability. PUKA
OANDA:XAGUSD
by PukaCharts
2
BluetonaFX - SILVER Support Break OpportunityHi Traders! We have spotted a potential support break opportunity on the Silver 1D chart. The price action suggests that the market may want to go down to test further levels below. After a double top resistance at 26.129, there was a pullback into a price channel break, and then the market found support at 22.117. There was then a falling three methods candle formation, which is a bearish candlestick pattern. We are looking for a break and a close below 22.117; if we get this, then we have a first target at 21.500 and a second target at 20.787. If we do get a break and close below 22.117, then there are buying opportunities just above this level to target the long-term 26.129 resistance. Please remember to like, follow, and comment to support us. Your support is appreciated. BluetonaFX
TVC:SILVER
by BluetonaFX
2