Silveridea
SILVER top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Silver: I Like to Move It, Move It!I like to move it, move it,
I like to move it, move it,
I like to move it, move it,
We like to move it !
You were bouncing along – admit it! Silver, at any rate, is shaking its booty to the beat, while continuing to move upwards. It should keep up the party mood and hop above the resistance at $20.84 to enter the upper turquoise zone between $20.94 and $22.42, where it should finish wave v in turquoise as well as wave 3 in green. After the subsequent countermovement in the course of wave 4 in green, silver should resume the overarching ascent.
However, there still is a 40% chance that silver could lose its rhythm and drop below the support at $18.88, which would then result in a detour below the next support at $18.01 and through the orange zone between $17.46 and $15.33.
Silver analysis: bear market rally and what lies aheadSilver has risen by 11% in the last two weeks. This performance comes after losing about 30% since March 8, indicating a so-called bear-market rally.
The main macro driver behind the silver price recovery has been a sharp drop in US bond yields, with the 1 0-year yield falling to 3-month lows at 2.6%, its lowest level since April, as the market now expects the Fed to be more dovish because of the recession.
From a technical standpoint, silver is approaching an important area of technical resistance in the $20.5-20.6 range, which includes the 50-day moving average, which has been trading above the metal's prices for more than three months. This area was also the support level in May, which was then breached in late June, resulting in a sharp selloff.
The significant rebound from the lower line of the major descending channel indicates a positive short-term price momentum for silver , with the RSI breaking above 50 for the first time since April 20th.
An overshoot above $20.7, and then above the psychological level of $21, would provide the bulls with additional confidence. Then, $22-22.3 (May/June resistance & February-April support) provides an important resistance area, where some stronger seller pressure could appear.
However, as long as prices do not decisively exceed the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $22.6 and the 200-dma at $22.9, the broader silver's picture remains tilted to the bearish side.
Looking ahead, silver's strong correlation with safe-haven gold – which is currently close to one – is a positive factor if recession fears continue to fuel speculation on a dovish Fed. In contrast, if the Fed continues to tighten monetary policy despite the recession, this might keep silver prices relatively contained (below $22.5) for longer.
Analysis by Capital.com's forex and metals analyst Piero Cingari
Silver: CircuitousSilver seems to prefer things a bit more complicated, and thus has made a detour back above the mark at $21.25. However, as long as it stays below the resistance at $22.56, we still expect silver to directly continue the descent below $21.25 and into the lower orange zone between $18.78 and $16.88, where the overarching downward movement should end. There is a 38% chance, though, that silver could expand the detour above the resistance at $22.56. In that case, it should rise until the upper edge of the orange strip between $22.74 and $23.46 before resuming the descent.
DeGRAM | SILVER short!Silver is clear in the bearish trend.
Price action made a complex pullback and false break of the major resistance level.
A false break is a great signal and opportunity for a trend continuation trade.
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Silver: Whac-A-MoleYou know the arcade- and computer-game “Whac-A-Mole”, where you have to whack little mole-figures popping up randomly back into their holes? Quite similarly to these mole-figures, silver has repeatedly been popping up into the upper orange zone between $21.85 and $23.46. Now, we don’t want to whack it, as it still has some room in the upper orange zone to finish wave iv in orange. However, as soon as wave iv in orange is completed, silver should indeed move downwards to continue the overarching descent.
Silver: JumpyWhile bears aren’t normally known to be jumpy, the bears on the silver market have just shown signs of scariness. They must have been so focused on their way downwards that they didn’t realize how close they had already come to the support at $21.98. Although they have shrunken back from this mark, we expect them to pick up courage again quickly – after all, they have been so strong and composed lately. So, the bears should push silver below $21.98 and towards the orange zone between $20.91 and $19.59, where wave iii in orange should end. Then, a countermovement should lead silver back above $21.98, where it should finish wave iv in orange before resuming the overarching downwards movement.
XAGUSD - SILVER - LOOKING FOR THE LONGWe're looking for the LONG in SILVER - XAGUSD
We have hit the 618 retracement of the previous swing ( 15.12.2021 - 08.03.2022)
We are approaching a 1.272 extension of the last minor swing (28.03.2022-08.04.2022)
There is a buying tail now except we have no real evidence of buyers yet.
We could see further decline to 707 or 786. The 786 happens to match up with the 1.618 ext. This would be a great buying area.
Keep your eye on this one...
Silver: Tenacious B 🐻The rock band “Tenacious D” consisting of Jack Black and Kyle Gass must soon face competition, namely from “Tenacious B”. The bears on the silver market have rightfully earned this name by perseveringly dragging silver further down despite recurrent countermovement. The expression “to bear up” doesn’t exist for nothing, after all! We expect the bears to keep going and to lead silver below the support at $21.98 and into the lower orange zone between $21.39 and $20.27, where wave iii in orange should end. The following countermovement in wave iv in orange into the upper orange zone between $22.90 and $23.52 should serve as a booster for the greater downwards movement, which should then continue below $21.98.
Silver: Down, Boy!Silver is being a bit stubborn these days. After finishing wave (x) in blue at the lower edge of the orange zone between $27.39 and $28.66, it has generally been moving downwards. However, this movement has time and again been interspersed with upwards twitches, which have lately returned it to the mark at $25.49. Nevertheless, we still expect silver to continue its descent and to head for the support at $21.41 in the long run.
Silver has broken local trend lineSilver has broken the short-term trend line and is likely to drop as it is highly likely that this instrument will retest the weekly support before making any move to the upside.
Currently, 25.45 could give us a selling opportunity with a target @24.32
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Silver: Close Call 😮💨That was a close call! Silver has missed our alternative scenario by a hair’s breadth by popping above the resistance at $25.49. As it has gotten its act together just in time though and has drawn back again, we still expect silver to return into our pink trend channel to move downwards below the support at $21.41.
However, although it has been narrowly avoided, our alternative scenario with a probability of 45% remains. If it prevails, silver should rise into the blue zone between $25.88 and $29.34 first before turning around again.
Silver: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Silver.
The chart is self-explanatory. Silver price has been climbing up the local support trend line. RSI is about to reach the overbought area. Silver price has potential to drop. It may be supported by the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement level as well as the strong support zone if price keeps falling. If Silver price moves upwards, keep an eye on the 0.50 Fibonacci Retracement level where there is strong resistance.
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Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
SILVER top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
SILVER top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis