Silver hovering right above major support,watch for bearish moveSell below 17.34. Stop loss at 17.48. Take profit at 17.11.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Silver is now hovering above 17.34 major support (swing low support, Fibonacci retracement, ascending support) and a clean break of this level would trigger a bearish move to drive price down to at least 17.11 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
RSI (34) sees an ascending support line hold price up really well correspondingly. A similar break of this support line would trigger a bearish move downwards.
Silveridea
Silver testing major resistance, prepare for a potential reversaSilver continues to test major resistance at 17.03 (Fibonacci retracement, breakout area) and a potential reversal could occur at this level. We can see that price has made a bearish exit of our long term ascending support-turned-resistance line and coupled with a bearish divergence, this could be the setup for a strong drop.
RSI (34) has made a bearish exit of our long term ascending support-turned-resistance line signaling that a reversal is impending. Coupled with the bearish divergence we’re seeing vs price, this could be the precursor of a major bearish move.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver approaching major resistance!Silver is seeing major resistance at 16.313 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this level. The next major level of resistance is at 16.639 (Long term 38.2% retracement, horizontal pullback resistance) and the next major level of support is at 15.62 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,3,1) is also seeing major resistance below our 99% level and stochastic could rise to that level before having a corresponding reaction.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver Mid-term Short OpportunityHello Traders,
Today we would like to present you TVC:SILVER as it seems to decline in near future. Let us break down the analysis.
Starting with the fundamentals/macro overview as usual:
TVC:SILVER is currently not a very much watched instruments in the financial market, however it shows some interesting pattern. These pattern we would like to provide you.
As TVC:SILVER is in our trading watchlist for commodities combined with TVC:GOLD for the precious metals, it may shows some capital outflows coming in near future for mid-term.
After President Trump will talk in front of the congress by 2:00AM gmt in which he may give a statement of his tax reform and budged plan. "World financial markets will be scrutinizing the 9 p.m. address in the House of Representatives for specifics of how the Republican president aims to make good on promises to tackle tax reform, boost infrastructure spending and simplify regulations he says are harming business." (source Reuters) His content of the speech and tone will be important. He says to bring "one of the best tax reforms which the U.S. had in quite a long time."
In addition markets predicts with a probability of 62.0% vs. 31.0% (yesterday) a rate hike of 25 basis points. This may confirm bearish sentiment towards precious metals as we currently see in TVC:GOLD as well, as it forms our well said bearish pattern.
However, keep in mind that the speech by President Trump at 2:00AM gmt could completely change the picture in worst case.
As we look at our intermarket indications we we get confirmed with our statement, as they currently warn for a big upside moves on mid-term. They mention a short-midterm outflow of capital!
We always mention the importance of intermarket flows, as we believe that investors only repark their money due to sentiment and global macro-economic conditions. Therefore, we always keep in mind the in-and outflows with the help of our intermarket indications that lead us towards better timing when making a trading decision. As you might know that timing is one of the most important things when it comes to trading.
As seen in the chart, our two of our intermarket indications showing a divergence and currently moving in selling territory which might indicate a soon outflow of capital towards other asset classes. One of them is currently turning south ( Silver vs. Currencies). We take into regard always the BIG 4: Currencies, Bonds, Stocks and Commodities.
Looking at the technical perspective and current trading range, we see a clear trend channel in where TVC:SILVER currently moves. However, it currently flirts with a decisive zone (our 50% Resistance Level). Around that level it will be decided what trend direction we see next. As market bounced several times at the drawn trend line above that red drawn decisive range, we might see sooner or later trend reversal patterns. Together with all our analysis, this might confirm our standpoint that TVC:SILVER might move to the downside (first turquoise box or further to the second turquoise box) before continuing long term bullish trend. This move may be initiated in the next 0-3 weeks. If we see a bearish pattern we might take advantage of getting at least a 4:1 Risk/Reward out of the trade.
So, summarizing everything together, we believe that TVC:SILVER might fall to the downside at least on mid-term before continuing long term bullish trend. This underlines our intermarket indications that are currently diverging bearish. The fundamental perspective may give Silver a driver to to potential bearish sentiment around the decisive territory as we soon get interesting trading setups.
We wish you much success,
The Secrets2Trade Team
SILVER long term UPsideSince 5-6 weeks I became a great fan of Elliott Waves theory. However i'm pritty new in this. So I would appreciate ctiticism. ctiticism.
Here is a complex corrective structure ABC - connection to X and Elliot descending triangle corrective pattern. If I am right about that there is next IMPULSE in development.
IF the current move breaks the triangle and goes at least 1-2 pips abouve the D point, than i would wait for wave 2 , which shall retrace wave 1 less than 100% and i would BUY.
Long term orientation - holding potentially for an year with moving SL.
Initial SL 15 or NO SL for those who can afford. Target 1 -20 USD , Target 2 - 30-35 USD!
If the current move does not break the triangle i'm wrong therefore!
REMARK: I totally don't have a clue if the IMPULSE will develop the way it is displayed. The essense here is the 2 wave which could confirm a start of an impulse and opportunity to jump on the train early in the state of development of wave 3.
SH SIORTLVER ::: RISK CALL :::SILVER is expected to SINK now.
The reason why we feel SILVER may SINK.
* On weekly basis it has just started SINKING
* To Rise and come near 14.98 levels
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is SINKING.
* RSI (14,CLOSE) is SINKING.
* CCI (20,CLOSE) is SINKING.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to Rise. Our SELL call shall be from SELL BELOW :15.22, SL: 15.28, Tgt 01: 15.05, Tgt 02: 14.98, Tgt 03: 14.76.
The view expressed here is on weekly basis. [b ]Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
SILVER SHORT ::: RISK CALL :::SILVER is expected to SINK.
There are many reason why we feel it may ......
* BEARISH ENGULFING in WEEKLY Chart.
* To SINK and come near 14
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may SINK.
* RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
* CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also saying the same.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our short call shall be from 15.22 with a SL @: 15.27 Tgt01: 15.08 Tgt02: 15.02 Tgt03: 14.83. This may be very quick as we are expecting Silver to bounce back from mid week. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
SILVER SHORTXAGUSD is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may sink.
01. It has not sustained quarterly buy level.
02. Pinball in daily Chart.
03. To sink and come near quarterly sell level of 14.12
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may sink.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our sell call shall be from Short below 15.56 SL@: 16.77 Tgt 01: 15.44 Tgt 02: 14.52 Tgt 03: 14.12. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.