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Silverlong

Silver analysis: How far the bear market rally might go?Silver is in the midst of a bear market rally, up 8% in the last two weeks and 13% since the end-of-August lows. Although silver prices are still 23% below the peak reached in March, recent price movements suggest that silver is attempting to make a trend reversal at these levels. Slowing market pricing for Fed interest rates next year has prompted the rally in silver prices over the past weeks. Investors reduced their forecasts for interest rates in the second half of 2023, and in the last week they priced in a first drop of 25 basis points after Fed funds are expected to reach a high of 4.9% in the first quarter of 2023. An asset like silver that is extremely vulnerable to US interest rates has been granted some breathing room by both the decrease in Treasury yields – the US 10y yield has dropped by 30 basis points in the past week – and the weakening of the US dollar – with the DXY index falling below 110. Silver has been strongly and inversely correlated with the US dollar performance throughout the year. The Federal Reserve meeting next week poses a concern because it could reignite hawkish arguments about the need to curb inflationary increases, which might halt the silver's rally. However, understanding how likely the Fed views a recession in 2023 will be critical, given the market builds many of its expectations for the conclusion of the hiking cycle next year on this matter. A new attempt to break the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (2022 max-min range) can be seen on the daily silver technical chart. Sellers fought back hard at this level in September, pushing prices below the $19.7–20 zone. This level was breached in early October, causing prices to rise to $21.1-21.2 (38.2% Fibonacci). Momentum indicators indicate that bullishness is gaining traction. The 14-day RSI surpassed 50 days once more, and the MACD indicates a bullish crossover close to the zero line. If silver is successful in breaking over $19.8, a new overshoot toward $21.1 or $21.6 (200-day moving average) is possible. At that point, sellers might resume offering fierce pushback. Next Wednesday, a very hawkish Federal Reserve could return to exert downward pressure, leading to a retest of the 18.2 support level. Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
by Capitalcom
Silver market catches airSilver is performing magnificently, exactly in the momentum moves envisioned by the Elliott waves. At the moment, we are in the wave (iv) of the . The wave (iii) we have completed at the high of $ 21.3 A slope of almost 19% in less than a week. Where else is there something like that? We reach the end of wave at least at the 1.618 extension at 22.135$, but also the 200% extension at 23.12$ can be reached easily. Often the fifth waves reach the 1 extension of the wave, which is approximately at 22.8$. So, an overshooting wave can be expected according to the current structure. Good for all who are invested in silver. The (iv) should bottom at the 0.382 retracement at $20.020 and then extend the last impulse wave before we correct again in the .
COMEX:SI1!Long
by DavidJankowski
Silver in inverted head and shoulders.Silver - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 19.67 (stop at 19.57) A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming. Previous resistance located at 19.65. A break of bespoke resistance at 19.50, and the move higher is already underway. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Our profit targets will be 19.94 and 20.20 Resistance: 19.65 / 20.00 / 20.20 Support: 19.20 / 19.00 / 18.60 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by OANDA
SILVER SHORT TERM BULLISH OUTLOOKThe price of the precious metal rose today, recovering from previous losses. But it still keeps raging, expecting the Fed interest rate decision. Technical indicators are suggesting entering into long position, MACD histogram is above 0 line and RSI is above the neutral 50 line, which might provide a speculative short term opportunity for traders to get advantage of. In this scenario the price of the instrument might test the levels of 20 dollars, on the other hand, if the trend reverses, the price might reach its previous support level at 18.75 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
TVC:SILVERLong
by legacyFXofficial