Silver is Ready to Reverse Downward trendSilver seems to be left behind amid major interest for crude, aluminum and natural gas. While silver prices are ending the week with quite a strong upside move showing intentions to leave a downward channel that has been forming since June 2021.
Let’s take a closer look at the silver price chart and start with the “Morning star” candlestick pattern that has been forming on a weekly timeframe chart for the last five weeks. In this pattern the “Morning star” is presented by three candlesticks in the same area. And this pattern is formed close to the strong support level at $22.06-22.12 per ounce. This support level was confirmed in September and November 2020.
It is worth noting that the downward movements since September 7 have been in a form of a downward wedge that is considered as a reversal pattern. Moreover, the resistance of this pattern is already broken to the upside. Considering the height of this wedge, we may have $24.84-24.94 per ounce as a target for silver prices. The second target, considering the width of the wedge, may be projected at $25.60 per ounce.
At the moment silver prices are trying to break the resistance of the 4.5-month downward channel. And for this to happen prices should reach $23.90 per ounce.
We may see multiple technical upside signals on the daily and weekly timeframe charts.
My forecast is that silver prices may reach even $26 per ounce in the coming weeks to meet the resistance line formed by January and May peaks. If the $26-26.30 landmark would be broken we may have room for further upside movement to $29-30 per ounce. In this case, the upward trend would be established and we would have an upside movement to the height of the consolidation that started in June 2020, and that would guide us to $36-37 per ounce.
James Anderson, Chairman and CEO of Guanajuato Silver Company suggests that silver prices may reach $40 per ounce by the middle of 2022. "If we have a weak economy coupled with a drive towards needing and using more silver, you're going to have base metal mines shutting down that produce silver as by-product, just as an enormous demand for silver comes to the fore," he said. "In that environment, you could easily see silver go to the $40 price range. But it is more likely we will see silver at $30 before it hits $40. I can see it hitting $40 halfway through next year."
