Bullish on Gold and Silver | Long-Term As I mentioned in the previous post on DXY, my bias on the US Dollar index is bearish for the first half of September. Also, as the seasonality of Gold and Silver suggests, September is a negative month for these two cousins. So, in my opinion (not investment advice), in the last week of September and the first week of October, we might see good lows on Gold and Silver.
Remember, we cannot time the market, for now, I anticipate the lows to form at the end of September because the seasonality and the price action support this narrative for me. Also, the market is expecting the first rate cut on September 18, which, I believe, Gold and Silver already priced in that sentiment to some degree.
We can expect Gold to go as low as 2450$ before it attacks 2600$, and silver to revisit the 25$ - 26$ area after 4 months (the red scenario). I like the chart formation on Silver as it formed a very bullish structure on monthly and weekly charts. That's why I also put the yellow scenario which suggests Silver would dance around the 28$ level before it breaks out the 30$ and continue its journey towards 36$.
Silverlong
Poised for a Historic Breakout Beyond $50The chart represents the price action of Silver (XAGUSD) on a weekly timeframe, spanning multiple decades, from the late 1970s to the present. It shows major price cycles, long-term support and resistance levels, and key price patterns. The chart is designed to highlight a large cup and handle formation that appears to be developing over a long period, potentially indicating a significant future breakout.
Cup and Handle Formation:
The chart shows the possibility of a "Cup and Handle" pattern. This is a bullish continuation pattern where the price forms a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a consolidation (the handle) before potentially breaking out to higher levels.
The cup started forming after the massive spike in Silver prices around 1980 when it hit all-time highs near $50. This was followed by a prolonged decline over the years, forming the rounded bottom throughout the 1990s.
The price of Silver began recovering in the early 2000s, reaching another peak in 2011, followed by another downturn forming the "handle" of the pattern.
The breakout zone for this potential pattern is around $48 to $50, which coincides with Silver’s previous all-time highs.
Resistance Levels:
$50: The most significant historical resistance level, tested during 1980 and 2011, represents a crucial price level. A break above this would signal a major bull run.
$30 - $35: This region is a shorter-term resistance zone. The current price action is pushing toward the $30 handle, with minor pullbacks along the way, suggesting consolidation.
Support Levels:
$14 - $18: There is a strong support range, which Silver tested multiple times in recent years. This level has provided a foundation for upward movements and seems to have formed the lower boundary of the handle.
$20 - $22: A more immediate support level that aligns with previous price corrections in 2016, 2018, and 2020. This zone may provide short-term protection for the price in case of a retracement.
Long-term Perspective:
If the price breaks out of the current resistance levels, the next long-term target could be as high as $80 to $100, based on the magnitude of the cup and handle pattern.
Conclusion:
This chart on Silver presents a compelling case for a long-term bullish breakout. The formation of a large cup and handle pattern indicates that once Silver breaks above the $50 mark, it could potentially reach much higher levels. However, in the short term, there is strong resistance around $30, where consolidation may occur before another attempt at higher prices. A failure to break these levels could see Silver return to the $20 - $22 support zone.
Silver XAGUSD is breaking out for a Long
I mentioned during yesterday Sunday, that I was very bullish on the Silver price at the moment.
It appears to breaking out right now through Tops resistance on the Mid-timeframes.
Look for a price retracement for a Long buy.
I will get a trade organised in Silver probably closer to the New York session.
SILVER XAG/USD Money Heist Plan on BullishMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist SILVER "XAGUSD" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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DAILY FOREX MARKET WATCH: SILVER IS BULLISH!Silver is the market analyzed.
After respecting the W +FVG, a bullish BOS followed.
The D1 shows another +FVG was formed, a bullish indication.
I am looking for the D1 +FVG to be tested before price heads higher. It would be a great POI to
long from.
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LTC - 4 long years
It has once again been an outstanding experience to prepare for yet another bull run, which has now begun 📈. We have previously witnessed similar periods and understand that it requires a long and challenging effort to maintain our position and index during these uncertain times. This period will test our endurance and strategies, but we are proud to have maintained our stability and achieved remarkable results in previous bull runs 🏆. We look forward to future challenges and continue to strive for excellence in our endeavors 💪.
XAGUSD SILVER Robbery Plan To Loot MoneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist XAGUSD Silver market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 3h timeframe
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday
Bullish on Gold and SilverHey everyone,
I'm back with another update on Silver and Gold 🤓
A month ago I showed you how Silver and Gold might react in June and their movement wasn't too far from my expectations. Both Gold and Silver followed their seasonality direction for June (a bearish move). Now as we passed a week of July, Silver and Gold price actions suggest that they are willing to follow their seasonality pattern in July as well; if so, we will see a nice rally higher towards the upside targets I highlighted on the chart.
What will give us the confidence to stay bullish? The market remains positive on the September rate cut. For example, if the CPI number comes lower or equal to expectations this week, it can strengthen the market sentiment on a 0.25% rate cut in September.
How about the price action? Well, it's a bit tricky here, but for Silver, I can say a daily candle close above $32 and for Gold above $2432, is a strong confirmation for them to hit higher prices. Watch out for corrections these days, as they can be surprising and might be fast and sharp. But don't worry until we call these down moves a "correction" 😊. As we are bullish for the long term we see corrections as a buying opportunity 😉
What's the target? In the coming months, maybe July and August (we cannot time the market), in case of getting the above-mentioned confirmations, Silver can hit $36.4 and Gold can see $2580 and higher. Additionally, a DXY daily close below 104 would be a cherry on top of the cake.
#SILVER: Time for another bullish move? Comment down your views!OANDA:XAGUSD
Price is in sideways in smaller timeframe, possible price was waiting for fed decision on interest rates, however, the news came out to be mixed. It is still not (100%) clear that the price will rebound straightforward. Likely, we will see mix price actions in coming time. Good luck and trade safe.
**Trade safe and if you like the idea and matches your bias, like and comment the idea, for more follow us**
Team SetupsFX_
Gold Glimmering with Hope: Job Data Fuels Short-Term Price RiseGold prices in overseas markets experienced a welcome climb on Friday, snapping a three-day losing streak. Spot gold at the Comex exchange, a key benchmark, rose by $17 to $2,322 per ounce. This upward movement can be attributed to two key factors: recent US jobless data and ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
The release of US unemployment data on Thursday played a pivotal role in boosting gold's appeal. The data hinted at a potential softening in the previously red-hot US labor market. This has sparked speculation among some analysts that the Federal Reserve may consider slowing down its aggressive interest rate hike plans in the near future.
The Fed has been raising interest rates to combat persistent inflation. However, these rate hikes tend to strengthen the US dollar, making gold – a non-interest-bearing asset – less attractive to investors. So, any indication of a pause or slowdown in the rate hike cycle can be seen as positive news for gold prices.
This sentiment was further bolstered by the performance of silver, another precious metal often viewed as a proxy for gold. Silver prices also rose, climbing to $29.20 per ounce from the previous day's closing of $28.94.
Looking at the bigger picture, the overall outlook for gold prices in the short term remains somewhat bearish. The Fed's hawkish pronouncements, persistent inflation concerns, and a potentially strengthening US dollar continue to pose headwinds for the precious metal.
Here's a breakdown of the key factors influencing gold prices:
• Weakening US Labor Market: The recent US jobless data suggesting a potential slowdown in the labor market has fueled speculation of a pause in interest rate hikes by the Fed, which could benefit gold prices.
• Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed's aggressive tightening of monetary policy through interest rate hikes is a major challenge for gold. Higher rates strengthen the dollar and make gold less attractive as an investment.
• Inflation: Inflationary pressures remain a concern, and the upcoming PCE data release could significantly impact gold prices. A higher-than-expected inflation reading could reinforce the need for continued rate hikes, putting downward pressure on gold.
• US Dollar Strength: A strong US dollar makes gold more expensive for foreign investors, further limiting demand.
While the short-term outlook may be uncertain, gold's long-term value proposition as a safe-haven asset remains intact. Investors seeking a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty may continue to view gold as a valuable addition to their portfolios.
In conclusion, gold prices experienced a temporary reprieve on Friday, driven by hopes of a shift in the Fed's monetary policy. However, the release of key inflation data later in the day and the broader economic landscape continue to cast a shadow on the short-term prospects for gold. Investors should carefully consider all these factors before making any investment decisions.
SILVER - A Money Doubling Pocket in the Long Term ~ 2 years Silver has broken out of a 4 year old resistance and it has a potential of about 100% ROI in the long term to touch it's all time high.
RSI, Momentum and Trend intact and as the consolidation breakout is after 4 years, the price move would be significant, expecting a minimum 30-50% ROI.
I would consider Silver Bees to invest.
Could the Silver Price Hit $100 per Ounce?The silver market has long attracted investors due to its potential for significant returns. Recently, Keith Neumeyer, CEO of First Majestic Silver, has been vocal about his belief that silver could reach $100 per ounce or even higher. This article explores the factors that could drive such a dramatic increase and examines the realism of this prediction.
Historical Context and Recent Performance
Silver has experienced notable gains since 2020, hitting a nearly 12-year high of $32.33 per ounce in May 2024. Neumeyer's prediction of silver reaching $100 per ounce has been discussed in various interviews, including those with Palisade Radio, Wall Street Silver(, and Kitco.
Factors Supporting Neumeyer’s Prediction
1. Market Cycles and Historical Trends : Neumeyer draws parallels between the current market and the early 2000s, suggesting a similar rebound in commodity prices.
2. Supply-Demand Imbalance : There is a significant deficit in the silver market due to increasing industrial demand from technologies such as electric vehicles and renewable energy sources.
3. Industrial Demand : Silver's applications in renewable energy and electronics are growing, with reports from (metalsfocus.com) highlighting a substantial expected deficit in 2024.
4. Potential Catalysts : Major investments, like those from high-profile investors such as Elon Musk, could drive silver prices up dramatically.
Challenges and Consideratio ns
1. Geopolitical and Economic Stability : Factors like the US dollar's strength, Federal Reserve policies, and global tensions will impact silver prices.
2. Market Manipulation : Concerns about manipulation in the silver market could suppress potential price increases.
3. Historical Price Movements : Historical peaks just under $50 per ounce indicate that a significant shift in investor behavior is needed to reach $100.
Expert Opinions and Outlook
Opinions vary among industry experts. While Peter Krauth of Silver Stock Investor shares Neumeyer’s optimism, suggesting silver could eventually reach $300, others like David Morgan and Gareth Soloway see more conservative targets around $50 per ounce in the near term.
Conclusion
While $100 per ounce for silver is possible, it requires a mix of favorable conditions, including a substantial supply deficit and rising industrial demand. Neumeyer presents compelling arguments for a bullish outlook, but investors should consider a broad range of data and expert insights before making investment decisions.
Silver and Gold | Short-term and long-term targetsOANDA:XAGUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
The past two weeks' price action suggests that we can expect the correction to continue in June for Silver and Gold. After last week's NFP and unemployment rates, the expectation for rate cuts has been pushed a bit further to the last quarter of 2024 which fueled dollar to maintain its strength. On the other hand, if you take a look at the seasonality of Gold and Silver you will notice that June is usually the month for Gold to rest a bit and for Silver to show some correction.
So, In the short term, I would like to see lower prices on silver and gold and personally, I might add some more to my positions. The following are the areas for Silver and Gold which I consider as discount prices if as a long-term investor.
Silver: $27.5 - $28 is a good discount area for silver. But it doesn't mean it would definitely reach this area. I expect another rally from July with a target of $33.6 to $36.4 area.
Gold: $2190 - $2230 is the area that I believe gold will see in the near future. Then we might see another leg up on gold to hit the $2580 - $2650 area.
Silver Idea - $100/oz by the middle of 2026It's quite simple really. If we are in a precious metals bull market, signaled by the most recent breakout in gold and silver, then this is how i expect the next few years to occur in the silver market.
In order for the price to breakout higher, $30/oz is required to be broken first, then $50/oz as the gold/silver ratio breaks down below the indicated 13 year long red support line.
Assuming the arc indicates an approximate timeframe, based on the pattern I'm seeing in the gold/silver ratio, by the middle of 2026 silver should be circa $100/oz. This would only require $3000/oz gold and a gold/silver ratio of 30.