Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
Silverprice
XAGUSD Analysis: Unveiling Silver's Next Move Through Elliott WaThis XAGUSD analysis utilizes Elliott Wave theory to uncover potential silver price movements. By identifying key wave patterns, this analysis offers insights into upcoming trends and market shifts, providing traders with a clearer outlook on silver's future direction.
GOLD is going to start getting much cheaper in SILVER terms.Gold has been on an absolute tear lately as the de facto U.S. corporate government has been printing and spending FRNs (Federal Reserve Notes) into oblivion. As a result, real money is gaining value against the Federal Reserve's monopoly money. Naturally, those who saw the money devaluation coming have been buying gold to preserve their purchasing power, but silver has been lagging behind, even though it has also been appreciating. Although the price of precious metals is, and will continue to be, on the rise, the price of gold is about to get much cheaper in terms of silver. Instead of buying gold, I believe the best move right now is to buy silver, hold it, and once the exchange rate drops to the 35/45 to 1 area, then exchange your silver for gold.
I believe that in the next year to a year and a half, we will see the price of gold cut in half in silver terms, which means it will take half the silver to buy the same amount of gold, effectively doubling the purchasing power of silver versus gold.
Good luck!
Nice Entry Point In SilverSilver spot price remains in an uptrend, and has broken out of a bull flag pattern. Bullish crossover on MACD coincides with breakout from the bull flag.
Fundamentals support the case for higher silver spot price in the long term: stubbornly high inflation, large fiscal deficits, weakness in regional banks and commercial real estate (Fed will need to ease to avert financial crisis), as well as 4 years straight of deficits in physical metal.
This post does not constitute financial advice.
COMEX:SI1!
SILVER, This Crucial FORMATION is About to Activate the BEARS!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest analysis of SILVER from several timeframe perspectives. The recent determinations within the SILVER price are so severe that I saw no other approach besides deeply analyzing the current bearish indication within my analytics backend and approaching the most acute indications here. Especially, as SILVER is emerging with these heavily accelerated bearish pullbacks liquidating the bulls in the market and penetrating the still remaining supports the major bearish dynamics are increasing more and more and should not be underestimated.
The DXY, U.S.-Dollar Index is trending towards the upside with one new higher after the other together with the more than $100 Trillion market-cap bonds market trending towards the upside this is setting up a huge bearish sentiment for the asset of SILVER as investors open interest declines in SILVER and the bears are expecting the bulls to be roasted. In chart terms this means that SILVER on the weekly timeframe perspective is building this gigantic descending triangle foramtion that will be completed with a final breakout below the lower boundary and from there on the major bearish targets of 19.015 will be the minimum target of this gigantic descending triangle formation.
There are also many other factors that indicate the major bearish breakout and net long-liquidation scenario to emerge in the next times especially because SILVER is forming this major wave count on the lower timeframe perspectives with the bearish wave A setting the momentum of the bearish wave count. Now within this local wave-count SILVER is forming the ascending wedge as the main flag pole bearish wave B that is going to set up the origin of the bearish wave C extension once it has been completed. Together with the descending triangle, this is going to be a double confirmation, the major descending triangle on the weekly, and the bearish wave count on the local.
Taking all the factors into consideration here, SILVER is in a highly bearish condition with the major market developments decreasing the net-long open interest in SILVER as well as the grievous bearish formations that are setting up the next bearish waves to emerge within the next times. In this case, once the bearish momentum curve accelerates into the final target zones it will be important to determine how SILVER continues from there on because with a massive bearish pressure, there is also the potential that SILVER just continues beyond the target zones.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of SILVER. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Silver: Whac-A-MoleYou know the arcade- and computer-game “Whac-A-Mole”, where you have to whack little mole-figures popping up randomly back into their holes? Quite similarly to these mole-figures, silver has repeatedly been popping up into the upper orange zone between $21.85 and $23.46. Now, we don’t want to whack it, as it still has some room in the upper orange zone to finish wave iv in orange. However, as soon as wave iv in orange is completed, silver should indeed move downwards to continue the overarching descent.
Silver has been put in strong trading zone for long positionsHi
First of all, I have to say that I'm a newcomer and this is my very first analysis based on what recently studied about price actions and trends, so I just put my chart here in order to exchange ideas and record my ideas.
I've been watching the silver price for a week and as many of you know, I was really waiting for the 23$ to open a long position (which is equal to 61.8 fib level), but as it couldn't hold the price, I looked for another strong support at 22.6 wichs easily broke. So now the last support in this area is that low orange trend line. That trend line is so trustworthy cause it has held the price in the long term run. As the price reacted to this line, I was convinced to open a long position at 22.3$ (checked the pivot in the low time frames). The low trend line has also overlapped with the 71.6 fib level. I know it's not a relevant level for making a decision, but when you put all these data together, it seems logical to go for a long position. Note that if we lose this level of support, the next one would be 21.3$ ~ 21$.
Continue on I see three minor resistance at 22.6$, 23, and 23.5 in the way of reaching 24$. The price will struggle with these lines, but at the end of the day, I expect that we reach that high. It's too soon to talk about what will happen after reaching to 24$ level, but it's crystal clear that this level is so critical and if the price break that resistance, we would see another attack to the (almost) ten years high line at 30 $
Bulls are getting ready in Silver?!?Yes, it seems like the bulls are getting ready to attack!
IF the silver price overcomes the 23.6 % Fib level and 50's MA with a sustained close around 23.30 USD, it would be time to fasten your seat belts.
IF XAG/USD doesn't overpower this critical resistance area and is making a move to the south, I would take another short trade into consideration. But this situation needs to be re-evaluated.
$XAGUSD - Goes to $26Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Silver continues its uptrend since September 30, 2021 when it hit the newly lows of the year. The uptrend is backed by the FED’s tapering plan which should start in November. Despite the positive US Jobless Claims, the US Dollar index remains under pressure below the 93.7 level.
🔔 The US Dollar index is still vulnerable below the 93.7 which is a crucial resistance. The DXY chart I was posting in my previous articles still seems to be valid and the USD might drop to 92.5 - 92.4 levels to complete the expanding diagonal pattern.
🔔 As for the technical analysis, Silver on a daily chart is currently testing a resistance level formed by MA100. If XAGUSD doesn’t overtake this resistance, it might drop to $23.5 to find the next support backed by the EMA50.
🔔 RSI indicator shows signs of a correction ahead, MACD remains bullish. Hence, after a slight correction, XAGUSD may continue the uptrend up to $26 and $26.8.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
Silver - does the support last?Technical analysis of silver XAGUSD - viewed in the D1 chart
The price of silver has been in a congestion zone between USD 21.67 and USD 30.09 since August 2020. Within this range, the technical starting position is neutral in the medium term. Looking at the overarching chart, we ultimately expect the range to dissolve towards the north and thus a continuation of the cyclical overarching upward trend towards initially 35.00-37.50 USD and 38.50 USD.
Countermovement ended?
In the short term, the chart is bearish after the dissolution of a trading range of several weeks on June 16. The important support cluster at USD 25.60-25.80 (this includes the lower limit of a consolidation, the 61.8% fibonacci retracement of the interim rally from the March low to the May high and the 200-day line ) recently triggered a technical countermovement, as we favored. It rose to $ 26.77 on Tuesday before renewed selling pressure.
Focus on support
As long as the next resistance region of USD 27.00-27.40 cannot be overcome, we continue to favor taxes towards USD 24.80, USD 23.50 / USD 24.00 and possibly USD 21.67-22.63. A corresponding follow-up sell signal would arise with a significant slide below USD 25.60. Should the USD 27.40 mark be surpassed in the long term, however, an advance towards USD 28.29 would be likely. Above that, the bulls would clearly gain the upper hand and should target the overarching critical zone at USD 30.00 / 30.09.
Note:
Despite careful analysis, Global Investa does not accept any liability for the content, topicality, correctness or completeness of the information provided. The information provided does not constitute investment advice, purchase recommendations or investment brokerage.
$XAGUSD - Technical analysis and some fundamentalsHi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Silver once again outperformed Gold today by gains, Silver is up just over 1%, while Gold gained only 0.24%.
🔔 According to the CFTC data as of March 9, there is a 20,000 spread between the overall net positions on Silver Futures, with an edge going to short positions. The update of the CFTC data on Silver will be released later tomorrow, worth checking it out.
🔔 As per the technicals, silver seems bearish below the ascending channel, the retest of the channel’s dynamic support as resistance, on March 11 adds fuel to the bearish sentiment of XAG/USD.
🔔 Although Silver might look ascending in a short uptrend, supported by a signal from MACD, MA100 and MA200 act as a strong resistance lying right next to the dynamic level which acted as a strong resistance previously, there is a key level and a pattern which might halt the uptrend for a longer period.
🔔 A falling wedge pattern formed on a 4H XAG/USD chart suggests that there should be one more leg down before Silver could regain power and continue upwards. There is a strong resistance at levels $26.60 and $26.75, which should be tested soon enough, the area of this resistance’s strong repulsing force is backed by multiple static resistance points, upper edge of the wedge pattern and the upper edge of the local ascending channel.
🔔 If Silver is not able to break and close above $26.75 and is rejected by this resistance area, the sharp fall may send it back to $24.90 and $24.35. If Silver is able to close above $26.75, then it might signal the bullish continuation of the precious metal, however the first scenario looks more relevant based on the chart analysis and the data from CFTC.
🔔 To minimize your risk wait for the touch of the dynamic resistance mentioned above or breakout from the lower local dynamic support (black)
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.