Silvershort
SILVERIn a clear bearish channel. Odds are for further downside.
Blue triangle indicates the current range.
Green box is buy.
Red box is sell.
Blue line indicates potential support/resistance .
Green line indicates t/p.
This is a log chart.
This is not financial advice. All charts shown on my page, including this one, are just for fun.
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This chart is made using fib channels.
Elliott Wave View: Silver Extending LowerShort term Elliott Wave view on Silver (XAGUSD) suggests that the decline from February 21, 2019 ($16.21) is incomplete. Structure of the decline from $16.21 is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Wave B of this zigzag structure ended at $15.63. Wave C lower has started and should subdivide in 5 waves. Down from $15.63, wave ((i)) ended at $14.88 and wave ((ii)) ended at $15.34. The internal of wave ((i)) subdivides as 5 waves of lesser degree. Wave (i) of ((i)) ended at $15.35 and bounce to $15.58 ended wave (ii) of ((i)). The metal then turned lower in wave (iii) of ((i)) and ended at $14.95. Wave (iv) of ((i)) ended at $15.16 and wave (v) of ((i)) ended at $14.88.
Bounce in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure in lesser degree. Wave (a) of ((ii)) ended at $15.8, wave (b) of ((ii)) ended at $15.08, and wave (c) of ((ii)) ended at $15.34. Silver has since resumed lower and broken below wave ((i)) at $14.88, suggesting the next leg lower has started. We don’t like buying the bounce and expect bounce should find sellers in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at $15.34 stays intact
Silver Buy & SellAs shown in the chart, i believe silver is on its C leg, could extend further into the blue area or just go up from here. My TP & Sell zones are only a rough idea of where i think market will touch before it goes back down again.
DISCLAIMER
Please note that this chart is an opinion based chart only. Please trade at your own risk
Elliott Wave View: Short Term Weakness in SilverSilver broke below March 7 low ($14.96) and shows a sequence of lower low from Feb 21 high ($16.2), suggesting further downside is likely in the shorter cycle. The decline from Feb 21 looks is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from $16.2, wave (A) ended at $14.96 and wave (B) bounce ended at $15.64. Internal of wave (B) subdivided as a double three Elliott Wave structure where wave W ended at $15.53, wave X ended at $15.1, and wave Y ended at $15.63.
As Silver has broken below wave (A) at $14.96, this confirms wave (C) has started. An ABC zigzag Elliott Wave structure has a subdivision of 5-3-5. Thus, wave (C) lower needs to have at minimum 5 waves subdivision. Down from $15.63, wave ((a)) ended at $15.35, wave ((b)) ended at $15.58, and wave ((c)) of wave 1 ended at 14.95 low. Above from there we are currently in the bounce in wave 2 which should fail against 15.638 peak.
Potential wave (C) target can be measured as equal to wave (A), which comes to as low as $14.08 – $14.37. This will effectively retest the 2018 low at $13.87. Wave (C) may truncate and not reach the ideal equality at $14.08 – $14.37, but at least we should be able to see 5 waves subdivision within wave (C). Near term, while bounces stay below $15.63, expect Silver to extend lower.
Silver on turning pointSilver has reached an important resistance: the long term falling trend line! This line is coming from 2011.
A fight between bulls and bears is to be expected at this zone.
If the bears win the price will fall on to the lower limit of the trend channel (14.14$) - where we find also support from a swing trend line. Below that level the price finds another support on 13.91$ (fib retracement Zero and lower limit of the parallel trend channel).
RSI stays in bullish zone and is signalling strength; meanwhile MACD seems to give a new bearish sign.
It would be not too surprising if the bears make it this time.
But in longer term I expect the price to cross the resistance and to reach the circle.
The difference between investing now or investing at prices around 14$ isn´t very much. Some 8% to 12% or so.
This is no trading advice!!