Silvershort
Why Silver Will Outperform Gold 400%
The major monetary metal in history is silver, not gold
For most of mankind throughout most of history, silver has been the much more important monetary metal, familiar as the metal of daily commerce. Gold was used only for very, very large payments, which most people make only rarely, if ever.
Both silver and gold are monetary metals, i.e., they both benefit from monetary demand. (Monetary demand is also called “investment” demand. It is demand for silver as silver, and as an ingredient making something.) Most analysts miss silver’s monetary demand because they focus on silver’s use in industry. Certainly, since silver was politically demonetized beginning in the mid 1870s a vast amount of purely monetary demand disappeared. Today, most silver is used in fabrication, roughly split three ways among silverware and jewellery, photographic, and other industrial uses. But when confidence in central bank issued fiat money begins to fade, when fear strikes investors’ hearts, they run not only to gold, but also to silver. Especially in America.
GOLD IS DEAD?In short our full net short position in gold and silver is well justified from the measurement of risk and reward at the time writing this article/idea
As we are seeing from the past couple of days mining stocks,gold and silver have been moving sideways and volatility have been decreased in a significant manner,many inexperienced traders gets confused at this point as they thought no significant price move is going to happen and there is no point to watch this market but reality is exactly opposite
low volatility in gold often precedes huge moves in prices and we are attaching the chart below so you see it clearly,what we saw in this market (having experience of more than 6 years) that in most cases implication of low volatility meant that a huge bearish move is about to take place,we are attaching two charts below so you could be able to see that why recent low volatility should be seen as upcoming bearish movement,to watch this we have to see gold stocks to gold ratio and the gold stock to the general stock ratio,https://www.tradingview.com/x/IE2AUB3u/
if you look at both ratios you could clearly see that entire sideways movement in p.m sector is verifying the breakdown in both ratios,on a short term basis you could see the prices not moving if you will try to look at long term picture then you should be ready to see significant decline in prices
ok let's quickly jumped into silver,we already have wrote in our previous articles that silver still can made a short term small upswing before it plunges back,we still support our previous idea that either silver can decline immediately or it could move little higher before quick decline continues,we can compare the analogy of late nov 2017 to current situation
GOLD-our previous comment on this metal is still up-to date
i would like to add few things today and that is comparison of current situation to 1st nov 2017 when gold made its final top and quickly plunges back and made its breakdown below 50 day moving average.well that session was quite interesting,those who followed our instruction made huge profit at that particular session,as we already know volatility has been decreased and gold almost did nothing yesterday,if we compare the situation to gold previous breakdown below 50day moving average the implication seems quite bearish,
Adding things up-As we already wrote many times that an small upswing in white and yellow metal is still probable and in white metal that's what we are seeing right now gold miners under performance makes this point even more valid,overall it seems that the big decline is just around the corner
we will update you anyway!!!
Silver is approaching strong support, watch for a bounceXAGUSD is approaching strong support at 16.35 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce could occur at this level to push price all the way up to our major resistance level at 16.78 once again. It’s important to note that we can see a short term descending resistance line which needs to be broken to open a bigger move up.
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing strong support above 4.5% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
XAGUSD reversing nicely, watch for a further drop!XAGUSD is reversing nicely below major resistance at 16.80 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal resistance area, Fibonacci extension) and a strong drop could occur from here pushing price down to 16.58 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing strong resistance at 92% where a corresponding reaction could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
XAGUSD testing resistance, potential for a drop!XAGUSD is testing its resistance at 16.949 (100% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance) and could potentially fall to support area between 16.161 (L T 61.8% Fibonacci extension , 100% Fibonacci extension , swing low support) and 16.025 (61.8% Fibonacci extension , 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ). We have also identified a 2nd resistance at 17.101 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 76.4% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback resistance).
RSI (55, 5, 3) shows a descending resistance that price is approaching which could lead to a corresponding fall in price.
Silver testing major support, potential for a bounce!XAGUSD is testing major support at 16.36 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) and a potential bounce could occur at this level to push price up to 16.71 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance, Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also seeing major support above 4.3% where a corresponding bounce could occur to push price up.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver starting to break out nicely,watch for strong bullishnessSilver (XAGUSD) has broken out of our long term descending resistance-turned-support line signaling that there’s strong potential bullishness. Our 1st major support is at 16.66 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, breakout level) and a strong rise could occur from here to push price all the way up to 16.92 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
RSI (21) has correspondingly broken out of our long term descending resistance-turned-support line signaling that a potential rise is approaching.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver testing major resistance, potential drop from here!Silver (XAGUSD) is testing major resistance at 16.63 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, descending resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this level to push price down towards 16.38 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support, Fibonacci extension). We can see our long term descending resistance line add a lot of bearish pressure to our idea.
RSI (21) sees a long term corresponding descending resistance line hold price down really well too. Only a break above this descending resistance line would be a precursor to a larger recovery in silver.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver now testing strong support, watch for a potential bounce!Silver is now testing major support at 16.63 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce could occur at this level to push price up towards 16.96 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major support at 7% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver is testing major resistance,watch for potential reversalSilver has been rising strong and is now testing major 50% resistance at 16.91 (Fibonacci retracement, Elliott wave structure, horizontal swing high resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this level to push price all the way down to 16.48 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance at 95% where a corresponding reaction could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver right on major resistance, watch for a potential reversal
Silver is now testing major resistance at 16.56 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance, Elliott wave corrective structure) and a strong reaction could occur at this level to push price all the way down to 16.19 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance at 95% where a corresponding reaction could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver testing major resistance, watch for bullish move
Buy above 17.31. Stop loss at 17.16. Take profit at 17.48.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is now testing major resistance at 17.31 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and we require price to close nicely above this level before triggering a bullish move that should push price up to at least 17.48 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
RSI (34) sees an ascending support line hold up our bullish move really well.
Silver hovering right above major support,watch for bearish moveSell below 17.34. Stop loss at 17.48. Take profit at 17.11.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Silver is now hovering above 17.34 major support (swing low support, Fibonacci retracement, ascending support) and a clean break of this level would trigger a bearish move to drive price down to at least 17.11 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
RSI (34) sees an ascending support line hold price up really well correspondingly. A similar break of this support line would trigger a bearish move downwards.
Silver testing major resistance, prepare for a potential reversaSilver continues to test major resistance at 17.03 (Fibonacci retracement, breakout area) and a potential reversal could occur at this level. We can see that price has made a bearish exit of our long term ascending support-turned-resistance line and coupled with a bearish divergence, this could be the setup for a strong drop.
RSI (34) has made a bearish exit of our long term ascending support-turned-resistance line signaling that a reversal is impending. Coupled with the bearish divergence we’re seeing vs price, this could be the precursor of a major bearish move.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
ICHIMOKU & RSI - CAPTURING SHORT TERM TRENDS $DSLVTHE ICHIMOKU PROJECTS STRONG LEVELS OF SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE THAT ALLOWS US TO GAUGE RISK/REWARD. BY USING MULTIPLE TIME-FRAMES TO DETECT THE SHORT-TERM FRACTALS WITHIN THE LONGER MORE PREVAILING TREND YOU CONFIRM A TREND BY DEFINING IT (LOWER LOWS AND LOWER HIGHS & VICE VERSA).
THE RSI GAUGES THE TIPPING POINTS OF MOMENTUM, LIKE IF A PENDULUM'S SPEED WAS GAUGED (TIPPING POINT IS A SPEED OF 0).
$DSLV
Silver approaching major level of resistance, keep an eye out!Silver is approaching a major level of resistance at 16.31 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this price to push price down to support at 15.62 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support). Our next major level of resistance is at 16.63 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,3,1) is seeing major level of resistance at 99% where a corresponding drop could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver approaching supply area, could a reversal occur?Price is approaching an area of resistance at 16.31 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this level. Our next level of major resistance is at 16.63 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance) and our next major level of support is at 15.62 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,3,1) is seeing major resistance at 99% where a corresponding reaction could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver approaching major resistance!Silver is seeing major resistance at 16.313 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong reaction could occur at this level. The next major level of resistance is at 16.639 (Long term 38.2% retracement, horizontal pullback resistance) and the next major level of support is at 15.62 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,3,1) is also seeing major resistance below our 99% level and stochastic could rise to that level before having a corresponding reaction.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Silver Sell offIdea: Possible resistance and return to the down trend.
DISCLAIMER:
This is where I practice ideas and work on my trading techniques. Please note I am only providing my own trading information for insight to my trading techniques, you should do your own due diligence and not take this information as a trade signal. Trade at your own risk.
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