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DJIA Dow Jones Industrial Average- MARKET CYCLES Lesson OneIntroduction to Market Cycles Lesson One Markets are more predictable than you and I have been led to believe. We have been told that historical data cannot be used to predict what will happen. But is that statement actually true? Answer -- YES and NO. It is not a lie. Even with the best techniques of technical analysis and analyzing the repetitive and predictable cycles which occur, we can make a fairly accurate prediction of future movements, but it is not 100% reliable. We must always leave some room for the unexpected to occur at any moment. That is true! But, can we learn to analyze market cycles in such a way that we can get a fairly accurate prediction of a rough prediction of future movements? My answer is YES! Not with 100% accuracy though. But honestly, even a 60% accurate prediction would be good. But I think we can do much better than 60 percent. I expect if we work at this method we can approach 80-90% accuracy But How? I am going to take you on a journey of discovering market cycles which occur in every chart on every time frame. These cycles have been staring at you in the face, but you likely have not noticed them. They are hidden in plain sight. Perhaps some of you already see these cycles, and some of them are more obvious than others. Maybe you already know all you need about market cycles on every level, in which case, why read more? My prediction is that not all of you will be able to understand or believe what I will tell you, maybe you will say I am crazy! If I am crazy, then let me be crazy, because this is working for me, better than other methods have. But if this is not helpful for you, then of course, I wish you well and hope you find something that is helpful. This method of analyzing charts does take a lot of work, mental effort and concentration. There is nothing easy about it. If you are looking for a quick and easy way to trade successfully then you should try looking somewhere else. It will take hard work and time and motivation to perfect this strategy. All this to say, if you don’t like what I am writing for any reason, you do not have to read this. You are completely free by me to stop reading now. First – we are taking about Market cycles – what is a market cycle ? People may mean different things but I am talking about recurring cyclical patterns in any chart. Sometimes we draw cycle diagrams in a circle – which is perfectly fine, but if we want to stretch out the cycle and measure a recurring cycle over time, then we need to use the example of a SINE WAVE. Sine waves are everywhere in nature. We have sine waves in SOUND WAVES, alternating current electricity, signal data, electromagnetic waves including radio, magnetic waves, light waves, xrays, gamma rays, etc. We can also use the sine wave to describe natural changes in the world – if we were to measure the quantity of light in the 24 hour cycle where we live, it would look like a sine wave. If we were to measure the cycle of inspiration and expiration, it would be a sine wave. If we were to measure temperature fluctuations in a temperate zone around the year, it would roughly form a sine wave. What about waking and sleep cycles, etc? There are many other examples. But in terms of the market, our sine wave describes two important phases – GROWTH and REST. GROWTH and REST, GROWTH and REST. Depending on the overall position of multiple cycles Rest can be a major correction, or just a flat zone, or even simply slower growth. But one thing is very important to understand – every chart and every market has MANY MANY MANY different cycles or sine waves of many different time durations, and amplitudes which are all occurring at the same time. If it were just one sine wave on a flat pattern, it would be obvious to everyone and there would be no need for me to point this out. (Continued in update section)
DJ:DJIEducation
by cedarfox
BTC Sine line price movementBTC price movement may copy sine line. Technical analysis (Triangle pattern) and Fundamental analysis (a lot of good news about adoption and regulation of BTC) confirms this scenario. However, BTC price falls dramatically each January and recovers from mid of February till April. Currently situation is pretty bad as the price went below Fib 0.786 support level and is under the ichi cloud, Stoch RSI is in an overbought state. It seems that it follows pessimistic scenario from the previous analysis. Do not panic and wait till April. To sell before April is senseless. Moreover we expect an entering of institutional investors to the market. It is about time for BTC to recover we are sure in it.
by Skyrexio
Bitcoin Long-term perspectiveOverlaying sine waves on top of a long-term weekly chart of Bitcoin suggests that the price could have already peaked for this time period and the next dramatic rise will not occur until 2020. Of course, this is only hypothetical based upon previous price movements. The result of the BTC ETF (due March 11th) if successfully passed could likely lead to a new price paradigm. If we see BTC keep upward momentum outwith the red sine wave then we know that it is exceptionally bullish and ready for new highs in 2017-2018. On the other hand, if the price continues downward, we can expect a test of the bottom around August 2018 and test of a new high around February-March 2020.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by CryptoCoinNomad
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