Sinecycle
THE SINE WAVE MARKET THEORY TO PREDICT TOPS AND BOTTOMSOkay, let's get straight to it. In physics and mathematics, a sine wave or sinusoid is a mathematical curve that describes a smooth periodic oscillation.
Key Points:
You only need to understand 3 concepts about a wave:
Waves are described using the following terms:
Peak – the highest point above the rest position.
Trough – the lowest point below the rest position.
Time period – the time taken for a full cycle of the wave. Usually measured from peak to peak, or trough to trough.
Source: BBC
Let's apply it in the financial markets:
Peak = Top
Trough = Bottom
Time Period = The time taken for a complete market cycle.
TRUTH IS YOU DON'T NEED FANCY INDICATORS. Using these three key information, you can detect the top and bottom of any market given it forms one full cycle. Apply it and backtest it. Lemme know your surprises.
Knowing when BTC Pumps HappenSo this is a very good example of how the market is always a sine wave.
As you can see this sine wave just resembles the FREQUENCY of when Pumps / Corrections happen.
It says nothing about the intensity of the impulse move or the correction.
So how can you use this information?
Well you now know the frequence in which BTC swings.
This is huge and super valuable if you know how to use this information.
You now know the rough timeframes in which BTC pumps and corrects.
Use this information in your future decissions and look where we are right now.
Then use your trading plan in order to find entrys (when we are at the bottom of a sine wave) and find exits when we are at the top of the sine waves.
Remember this is the frequenze of the daily chart!
This means you can use this information in any other timeframe that is shorter (1min, 15min, 1h, 4h, etc) and first take a look if we are about to go down or up again.
To put it in a nutshell you can use this information in order to trade smaller timeframes or in order to trade the bigger sine wave swings.
How To Trade DogecoinAs always, I like to take a look at the BIG PICTURE .
And for Dogecoin I see a fairly reliable sine wave.
We only skipped one wave at number 5.
Right now, we are at a critical support area, where it decides whether we skip the next sine wave or not.
We could see a basically 100% retracement like we did in the correction of wave 6.
I think O2 is more likely than O1.
And I actually think that if we see O1 and we don’t skip wave 8, that we will at least retrace to the yellow support line.
How To Trade:
Either way if we will see O1 or O2 I will use the same strategy.
I will enter the trade when we break through the 0.786 Fib (orange box)
And I will exit the trade at the 0.618 Fib (green box).
This results in about 55% profit in both cases.
And again I will use trailing stop losses in order to catch tops and bottoms.
More Updates/Details coming over the next couple of days.
VECHAIN LONGUsing market cycle theory VEN will start to rally now and then hit new peak at the beginning of April.
USOIL: LONG TERM OUTLOOK USING TIME CYCLES ON MONTHLY CHART !!!Hello Traders,
In the previous post on FX:GBPUSD , I shared the Time Cycle approach with you guys. Thus, here on FX:USOIL I have applied the same approach, using the Time Cycles to determine the most probable direction for the next coming 2 to 4 years and also when the reversal in direction is most likely to occur. I explained the concepts behind both Sine Cycles and Cycle Arcs in the previous post on FX:GBPUSD . I'll add a link to that post under the Related Idea section below.
By moving around the WEEKLY Cycle Arcs , we are able to identify a specific time period of 2254 days or 74 months cycle arc, on average, that currently exists in USOIL . At the end of each period we are most likely to find a significant low in the USOIL market. The highest probabilty lows are where all 3 cycles (Monthly cycle arc, Weekly cycle arc, and Sine cycle) lows meet at the same time. This is where we are most likely to get a strong reaction to the upside in the market. Take the 2002-11-01 cycle lows as an example, during that period we saw all 3 cycles turning back to the upside and this brought the USOIL market from 26.70 all the way upto 146.73 in a period of 74 months.
Currently we are sitting exactly at the same place as in 2002, where we have all 3 cycles pointing back to the upside. For more confirmation we also have a well respected MONTHLY trend line, at which we recently got a BULLISH HAMMER at the end of August. This is a strong indication that buyers are defineitely present at this key monthly trend line. We are also getting a valid HIDDEN BULLISH DIVERGENCE on the RSI .
I have labelled the predicted price range of 119.62 and the amount of time, about 68 days, that it will take to reach that level on the chart above. That's all I had to say about my perspective on the USOIL market. Please feel free to point out any errors that I may have made in this Time Cycles approach.
Please feel free to AGREE or DISAGREE with this idea by leaving a comment below. Hit that thumbs up button (top left corner of this chart) if you like the idea. Thank you everyone for all the SUPPORT that you have given me so far, I truly appreciate it. Good luck everyone :)