Bitcoin 61548 correction cycle ends Bitcoin 61548 correction cycle ends
And it reaches a price that must start a new cycle of climbing or correction
It has a target of 65623 to 65952 in 1 and 4 hours.
On the other hand, there is another target in the daily time of 53498
We have to see what will happen, whether we have a bullish candle or a correction
My opinion is more on the upside, after the upper target is hit, the correction should start
On the other hand, we have a daily target of 88,500, although this is weaker than the rest of the targets, but it cannot be ignored.
You have to see what they do
Sine Wave
Is Kaspa ($KAS) About to Repeat History?Is Kaspa ( CRYPTOCAP:KAS ) About to Repeat History?
Looking at Kaspa’s price action, we are approaching a key bottom based on its power law model. Historically, Kaspa has followed its own unique cycles, with the -50% deviation from the power law providing ultimate buy opportunities. These moments are rare, and we are currently hovering around that critical zone, signaling a potentially high reward entry point.
While past cycles weren’t always perfectly aligned, the bottom signals have consistently been amazing buy zones. If Kaspa continues to follow its power law trend, this could be a golden opportunity for those looking to enter at a strategic price.
Does the news even matter, or should we simply wait for Kaspa to grow in USD value over time?
With Kaspa’s cyclical nature, it seems that patience could pay off massively. The power law has proven to be a reliable guide so far, and right now, we may be witnessing another rare buying window.
Key Points:
Approaching a -50% deviation from Kaspa’s power law: Historically rare and highly profitable
buy zone.
Kaspa follows its own cycles, and we may be at another cyclical bottom.
The risk-to-reward ratio in this area could be massive if history repeats itself.
What do you think—will Kaspa follow its power law and surge, or are we in for a new pattern?
📉💥 Ultimate buying opportunity?
#Kaspa #KAS #Crypto #PowerLaw #Cycles
Gold? I see long and big shortThis is an experimental model, if this was accurately impressive then it should reach those levels and you know that market is most likely manipulated and controlled
To predict the market you need a frequency domain analysis rather than time domain analysis with some trigonometric functions
DISCLAIMER : Idk anything about the result of this model and indeed i'm not responsible of any investment you made since this was not an investment or financial advice
Will Bitcoin bonce off the Power Law trend this time?After each halving event in the past bitcoin price tend to come back to the blue "buy zone".
Currently bitcoin price toched the 15 year long Power Law trend (green line).
It is the perfect line to bounce off. However, if we analyze the previous 3 halving events we will see that the blue zone was hit each time after halving. In the current cycle this means that the price may come in below 50k zone, but not for very long time.
The lower wave band is corrently at about 40k level.
Let's see the outcome.
Bitcoin and Global LiquidityWhenever global liquidity increases, this liquidity increase fuels Bitcoin and supports Bitcoin's rise. This pattern has been continuing in the form of a sine wave since 2009. Global liquidity falls at certain times and rises at certain times. Since 2011, global liquidity has been rising in a low-speed trend, exceeding the previous peak each time it rose. Global liquidity, which last peaked in 2022, returned to a slow increase at the beginning of 2023. I think there is currently at least a 100% gap for this rise to be completed. I think Bitcoin will also rise as this gap is filled. I think it is essential for at least a long-term cryptocurrency investor to follow global liquidity closely. While this global liquidity is not meaningful to explain the SP500 or Nasdaq indexes, it appears to be in full correlation with Bitcoin.
Sine Curves and NasdaqSharing a quick chart art analysis of sine curves over the Nasdaq.
If this kind of pattern continues, we should see the start of a sideways move over to the second half of the sine curve after which, the move to the top continues. If the pattern holds true, we can expect a retracement in the 40% to 30% range sometime in an 18 month timeline.
Short and BTFD on the transition across during the Summer
Long in the Autumn for the final leg up
Note that the first two sine curves complete on a 2 year schedule and are part of a similar inflation regime. This current sine curve looks set to extend to 4 years with significant inflationary attributes.
I think this is interesting because it is not a click bate doom scenario nor is it a full guns blazing BTFD scenario.
Anyhoo... it's chart art. Take it for what it is.
Title: Bitcoin's Post-Halving Seasonality: A Cyclical PatternDescription:
The Bitcoin halving cycle is becoming increasingly established. We can observe a recurring pattern:
Spring Equinox (Upward Crossing): Approximately 10,000 blocks after a halving, the cyclical wave (sinusoidal oscillation) crosses above the long-term power-law trend line. This marks the beginning of a significant price increase.
Summer Solstice (Cycle Peak): The price peaks around block 60,000 post-halving (roughly 1/3 of the halving cycle).
Autumn Equinox (Downward Crossing): The price declines, and around block 110,000, the cyclical wave crosses below the long-term trend line. This marks the maximum pain and speed of down movement.
Winter Solstice (Cycle Bottom): The price bottoms out around block 140,000 (2/3 of the halving cycle).
This pattern suggests that the bull run and bear market phases each last approximately 1/3 of the halving cycle. We are currently in the early stages of a new bull run, having just passed the "Spring Equinox" point where the cyclical wave crossed above the long-term trend line.
Additional Notes:
This pattern has been observed in past cycles and appears to be repeating.
This analysis is based on the observation of cyclical price movements and their correlation with the halving events.
It's important to remember that Bitcoin's price is influenced by multiple factors, and this pattern is not a guarantee of future performance.
You may add this indicator freely to you favorites.
Bitcoin Rainbow Wave
It includes the Power Law (Logarithmic Trend), the Rainbow Chart and the Bitcoin Wave model all in one adjustable indicator. I will use it for further updates.
Here is intraday swing forecast for GOLD, heading towards 2300As we expected in 2023, we know any limited supply commodities will lead to an All Time High caused by FEDs monetary policy
When we combine with Gann Method on how he predict everything, we know it will really happens for sure.
Now we can see that GOLD and BTC will reach All Time High as soon as possible
Watch the time and date we have mentioned in the analysis, time will control as swing reversal while price will control market behavior. While yellow line in Gann Fan act as fair value slope, so price will be back on that yellow line before it change its direction
GOLD MAY RIS3 TO 2200Yes, there is a possibility that gold could reach $2,200 per ounce or higher in the near future. Several factors are supporting this potential move, including:
Economic uncertainty: The global economy is facing a number of headwinds, including rising inflation, interest rate hikes, and the war in Ukraine. These uncertainties are causing investors to seek out safe haven assets like gold.
Weakening US dollar: The US dollar has been weakening in recent months, which makes gold more attractive to investors who hold other currencies.
Central bank buying: Central banks around the world have been increasing their gold reserves in recent years. This is a sign of confidence in gold as a long-term store of value.
Of course, there are also some risks to the gold price outlook. If the global economy improves, the US dollar strengthens, or investors lose interest in gold, the price could fall. However, the overall outlook for gold is positive in the medium to long term.
Here are some specific forecasts for gold prices in 2024:
UBS: $2,200 per ounce
Société Générale: $2,200 per ounce
BCA Research: $2,200 per ounce
Please note that these are just forecasts and there is no guarantee that they will be accurate. The actual price of gold could be higher or lower than these forecasts.
Exploring Cycles and Sine WavesEUR/NOK 4H Chart Analysis: Exploring Cycles and Sine Waves
In this EUR/NOK 4-hour chart, we've delved into the fascinating world of market cycles and sine waves to hypothesize future price movements. By closely examining the rhythmic patterns of the market and applying cycle analysis tools, we aim to capture the essence of the currency pair's fluctuations.
The chart showcases key sell signals where we hypothesized cycle peaks, complemented by a robust indicator at the bottom which merges cycle theory with classic technical analysis. The color transitions in the oscillator provide additional insight, potentially indicating momentum shifts.
Please note that this is a speculative approach based on pattern recognition and cyclical behavior of the market, not a definitive prediction. As always, trade with caution and consider integrating other forms of analysis for a comprehensive strategy.
An update to my previous 2145, probably will continue to go 2085Gold has reached 2150 lows as yesterday's choppy movement
According to my method, it still continue its movement until further FED interest rate on March 25
I bet they won't cut the interest rate, or if they're getting insane they just gonna increase it by 25-50 basis points, if they did it will leads to a biggest crash ever that last up to 4 years.
BTC : 5Day MACD Fib WavesBitcoin Bitstamp 5Day moving average convergence/divergence
and fibonacci-based primary and secondary sine wave structures
established from historical MACD positive and negative momentum.
The MACD is displayed using the standard fast and slow lengths of 12 and 26, respectively.
Signal smoothing length is the standard value of 9.
For visual clarity, the signal line is not displayed...
but I have left in the colored fill between the MACD line and signal line,
so you can still see where the signal line would be.
Also included is the colored fill between the MACD and zero line.
The wave structure template used in this idea is roughly relative to a standard fibonacci channel,
using the following levels : 0, 0.214, 0.236, 0.50, 0.764, 0.786, and 1.00.
The primary fib wave template is displayed using solid lines.
The positions of the upper and lower bounds of the wave structure
are established using the March/April 2021 high, and the June/July 2022 low.
The horizontal positioning of the wave structure is established
using the March/April MACD high for the lowest wave value.
The highest value of the 1.00 wave (amplitude), as well as its' wavelength,
is established using the 0.50 midline level interactions...but more on that soon.
Note,
while the build and placement of the fib wave structures mimic a standard fib channel, it is not exact.
Looking closely, you'll notice that the midline isn't exactly in the middle of the 0 and 1.00 wavelines.
The structure compresses towards the bottom, thus it is not vertically symmetrical.
Either way, these fib wave levels surely line up with the MACD rather impressively.
Also of note,
by applying a horizontal fibonacci channel using the lowest values of the 0 and 1.00 wave levels,
and adding 0.35, 0.382, 0.618, and 0.65 to the existing levels,
one can see interesting interactions between the MACD and these horizontal levels.
Returning to the primary wave structure...
we can see some very interesting interactions between the MACD and the waves.
Here we look at the pink/blue wave levels :
And here, we look at the 0.50 green midline :
These midline interactions were used in creating the amplitude and wavelength of the entire wave structure.
By looking at all the interactions, I believe that it is fair to assume
that interactions similar to these could occur in the future
when the MACD reaches the various levels of this fibonacci wave structure.
Ok.
So what if, in the future, the MACD reaches beyond the upper and lower bounds of the fibonacci wave structure?
My first thought was to just extend the current wave structure
by adding more levels above and below the existing structure :
This could indeed be useful.
But, when I looked at the current structure, and then looked at historical MACD values before 2017,
I concluded that this structure doesn't necessarily apply to that data.
If I were to predict future MACD action beyond this structure,
especially a massive logarithmic rise/drop similar to what happened at the end of 2020/beginning of 2021,
I would need to think about this completely different, and find a another method...
one outside of simply adding more levels above and below the existing structure.
What did I find?
Let's return to the midline interactions that we looked at earlier.
We see the MACD hits the green midline and reverses 3 times before breaking through the it,
and then the MACD rises to the white 1.00 fib wave level.
I realize the following might be reaching a bit far,
but, what if this particular MACD behavior pattern occurs again in the future?
If the possibility of this occurring again exists,
is there any existing MACD data that I can use to form an entirely new fib wave structure?
A new structure that when placed properly, allows this behavior pattern to occur once again?
Here is what I found.
I can place a brand new wave on the chart, one with a larger wavelength, and a much larger amplitude.
I can modify its' wavelength, amplitude, and position,
so that it mimics the midline of the existing wave structure, but on a larger scale.
Take a look... here it is, displayed with a dashed line :
Now I ask, is it possible to estimate the other levels of this new structure using this waveline
and any existing MACD data?
Here is what I found :
Is this stretching a bit too far? Maybe.
But, I think that this way of thinking is what is necessary to imagine
what the MACD may look like in the future if there is a massive logarithmic swing in either direction.
And of course, because this new fib wave structure is built using less data than the previous structure,
and involves more estimation, it is likely to be less accurate as well.
So, if all of this possibly plays out, what would the MACD look like if it did reach these types of levels?
Well, using an unpublished pinescript indicator that I wrote,
I can give you an idea of what it would look like...
If you take all of the existing MACD data, offset it horizontally to the right by 500,
and then multiply the values by 4.20, you get this :
Awesome, right?!?!
Interestingly, this projection also fits the initial fib wave extensions
that I used in one of the previous images above. Take a look :
So, in conclusion, this is how I created the main chart of this idea.
I tried to include my logic and reasoning behind it.
Is this useful? I think so.
Naturally it depends on several factors such as whether you agree with the logic and conclusions of this idea,
whether you use the MACD to help you trade, the timeframes of your trades, as well as your trading style.
If anything, I think this chart is definitely worth looking at every now and then,
especially when the MACD gets close to the various levels.
Regarding sine waves, I have found some other waves that can be applied to the MACD that could prove useful.
I refer to them as sub-waves. These are not placed within a unifying fib structure...
they are individual waves, each with different amplitudes and wavelengths.
All sub-waves :
I think that these sub-waves can be useful at levels in between the fib wave levels of the two main structures,
and overall help add to the validity of the notion of using sine waves in conjunction with an MACD while trading.
Finally, here is a bonus 5Day MACD fib grid image...
Thank you for checking out my idea.
I hope it makes you look at sine waves, fibs, and the MACD differently.
Please give it a boost if you liked it, and feel free to comment.
//Durbtrade
The Bitcoin Wave Model: An Even More Accurate ForecastThe bitcoin wave model , which predicts price cycles based on mining reward halvings, has become even more accurate. A new formula with just 3 parameters can now perfectly model the previous 5 price cycles. What's more, it has enough predictive power to potentially forecast the next 2 cycles as well.
With its simplified inputs and precise historical fittings, this enhanced bitcoin wave model is now the most accurate halving-based price model available. By tracking halvings and using this formula, investors may be able to reliably forecast when bitcoin could reach its next peak and plan their trading accordingly.
As the premier cryptocurrency continues maturing, models like this will become indispensable tools for analyzing bitcoin's booms and busts. This new wave model sets the standard for bitcoin price modeling today and demonstrates crypto's increasing predictability as an asset class for prescient traders and analysts.
Gold to Natural Gas ratio cycles suggest upcoming low in Nat GasMain tops in the Gold-to-NatGas ratio indicate low in the underlying commodity and vise versa. I am sharing weekly 218wk cycle and the daily 255d cycle. Both form a cycles-within-cycles alignment in regards to time. The cycles-top in the ratio suggest an upcoming key low in the raw US gas prices.
(this analysis results in long on nat gas, not gold!)