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Sine Wave

Hidden Periodicity and Pitchfork Suggests Short-Term SupportCAD is otally coupled with the price of oil, which is the major factor in this currency couple in recent times. The fact that EUR gained a lot during the first COVID-19 lockdown was mainly due to the price of oil going downwards. This was evident as well during the recent Suez canal blockage, which started a new bullish run for oil and a pull back for EURCAD. Yet, there is a hidden pattern at play here, one which can be shown using the sinusoidal of wavelength 5 months. The prices have been going up and down consistently through this pattern since a couple of years, mainly due to market dynamics, often augmented with political events. Following this pattern, you can see that we are approaching a crest in the sine wave, yet we are a law low point in the dominant bearish trend. Also, oil prices are increasing since the Suez crisis, which suggests that the pattern might not be followed. Yet, careful pitchfork analysis shows that we are currently at the line of support, which is also confirmed by the lower Bollinger band, as well as the almost over-selling RSI. The bearish trend doesn't seem to be waning anytime soon, since most of the action is take place in the lower side of the pitchfork. However, for the short-term, the price is going higher and now sounds like a good short-term buy.
Long
by MontyMacht
Unity's Squeeze-Price Inflection oscillation tied to EarningsPremise: Convergence probably occurred before initial jump to ATH (not drawn) 2nd convergence noticeably begins around the time Momentum Squeeze kicks in for the buildup to Q4 earnings report. Momentum at breakout was BEARISH, despite P/L changing in the positive direction (earnings much closer to estimate than in Q3) If this performance holds up, Unity's stock should be competitive against established entities (see background: 700 and ATVI) in the gaming market which looks poised to resume an upward trend. One Possible Scenario: The last 2 weeks in March are showing the beginning of a 3rd convergence; will keep updating to see if this pattern holds up. A new Squeeze indicator along with past experience suggests it will, crucially timed to the earnings release on May 6th. The sine wave shown here in purple is not meant as a trendline projecting the stock's price level at some point in the future but is simply an extrapolation of past inflection points to identify at what point along the new growth curve the stock will be if and when Momentum breaks decisively in the positive direction. My conclusion is that Unity will probably continue trading in its current range for some time, possibly even taking another downward turn this month as public sentiment on the stock has been increasingly bearish as its clear it isn't poised to rocket back to 150. That would be the time to buy and hold, if the enthusiasm for Unity among developers is to be taken seriously, or at the very least, place your May-21 calls.
NYSE:U
by nadyj
BTCUSDT Potential direction (Estimate next peak in April)My very novice TA. I suspected that 42k (8th Jan) was the peak of that cycle & it would dip from there probably to 28-25k over a week or so, say by the 18th feb. That process held off for about a week but is now in full swing. I estimate that it could go to as low as 22 & then pop back up, & follow more or less within the range (Yellow plot), more or less a in fluctuating sideways direction, then gradually start coming back up again. With the next peak sometime in April, probably not drastically higher, but probably about 47k to 52k. Just an idea, not financial advice. I am short-term bearish as the December wave was far too frothy & clearly broke at 42k, and now that wave is still coming down, getting ready for the next set. If I look at the fib circles & sine waves, or atleast just visually with my very basic understanding, & then look at the MACD, there is still some more room to come down before it plateaus out. Then as I say I think it will go sideways, then gradually back up. There's so much institutional investment money pumped into it, but in every cycle, there's a dip, as sell orders get triggered & people cash out, before buy orders get triggered & people buy more. So that's my very novice TA.. Definitely not financial advice, I'm a construction worker, not a financial analyst lol. Just an idea & trying to see if i can map out the potential direction moving forward. Give it a like or some constructive criticism if you like. Look after yourselves, & buy the dip.. Peace :)
Long
by Destyd77
1
Sell Signal: 0.6907Ingenuity Trading Model- Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions. Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
Short
by IngenuityTrading
Reversing Long to Short at: 1.3232Ingenuity Trading Model- Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions. Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
Short
by IngenuityTrading
1
Sell Signal: 77.39Ingenuity Trading Model- Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions. Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
NASDAQ:AMATShort
by IngenuityTrading
Trade Update: Sell 25-50% and move stop to breakeven #crypto Ingenuity Trading Model- Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions. Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
BITFINEX:LTCUSD
by IngenuityTrading
7
Buy Signal: 1664.7 #goldIngenuity Trading Model- Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions. Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by IngenuityTrading
Buy Signal: 36.21 #stocksIngenuity trading Model- Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions. Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
NYSE:DTLong
by IngenuityTrading
Reversing Long to Short at: 0.6291 #forexIngenuity Trading Model- Geometric Markov Model : In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions. Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement.
Short
by IngenuityTrading
1