EUR/USD Daily Update (17 July 2017) *Ready for a bangWe are seeing an obvious congestion in EU right now. It is early to call for bearishness as there no Price action to support the claim, but it is very likely.
We have Euro rate decision on this Thursday and I reckon, that the market is front running for that.
This pair will be super active this week.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
Singapore
USD/CAD Daily Update (16 July 2017) *Bearishness to overflow
I am Very Bearish for this week. We had another ultra-heavy candle in the weekly.
The momentum is too strong.
Please do not long yet.
The bearishness shall spill over until in 1.26 region at least.
We need at least strong bullish candle to start with, to consider long.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
XAU/USD Daily Update (16 July 2017) *More upside for nowI am Slightly Bullish. We had a nice reversal week and it ends with bullish candle. It is likely to drift higher for a time being until USD rate on week 30. The level such as 1243 will be next resistant for a time being.
From Fundamental wise, we have no big polarized views yet. Please be aware that, USD rate info on week 30.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
Dow Jones Index Weekly (15 July 2017) * Bullish but be alertWe had a nice knee jerk action on the counter with strong break out in past 3 trading days a expected.
This bullish momentum shall continue for sometime. So I am not standing with BEAR Side at all yet.
The old thing to take note is that, the recent runup is not accompanied by thick volume. It can mean that the movement may not strong enough to hold it long.
So, Bulls, please do not complacent too.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
P.S. Please follow, like, give comment to my analysis.
NZD/CAD Weekly Update (15 July 2017) *Likely to go LowerEven though we are now nearing at nice support regions, but it still has seriously weakened Weekly Momentum.
The downward spiral still likely to continue.
I see that 0.9120 is a reasonable target.
I am standing with BEAR for now.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
P.S. Please follow, like, give comment to my analysis.
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 29/2017)This is how I evaluate the strength of currency and guage on their correlations.
I do it every weekend and look at how strong the trend of particular currency pairs are.
XXX/USD: Bullish
Gold & Silver: Bullish
XXX/JPY: Bullish
USD/XXX: Bearish
Indexes: Very Bullish
Trade Safe,
s0nic
NZD/JPY Weekly Update (15 July 2017) *Sign Of WeaknessWe are seeing more sign of possible weakness are showing up.
Moreover, we have BIG impact JPY news is coming up in the next week. I expect there will a firwork.
I am starting to stand on BEAR side.
Trade Safe,
S0nic
P.S. Please follow, like, give comment to my analysis.
GBP/NZD Daily Update (14 July 2017) *On track to 1.8Did you follow our trade analysis 10 days back?
The trade is still valid and we are still in the track of going 1.8 regions.
We are seeing NZD as the weakest among all while GBP still has its strength.
That makes us BULLISH on GBP/NZD.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
BitCoin Daily Update (14 July 2017) *Watch 2200There are more signs of bearish are IN for Bitcoin.
The very important level will be 2,200 as it has been holding well previously.
But once 2,200 is broken, 2,000 to 2,030 seems to be the next support level.
I am standing with BEAR for now.
Trade Safe,
S0nic
XAU/USD Daily Update (12 July 2017) * It is time for a swing UPA "one" day SELL Down that we had from 1228 to 1210 is a fake to me.
I am BEAR in term of mid and longer term but it is very possible for it to swing back to 1228 at least.
As I am seeing this a sell down was overstretched and it is time for it swing back as a breather.
More over, we have Yellen to appear not once but twice this week, Gold will be under spot light.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
USD/JPY Daily Update (12 July 2017) * Still Short, it is better
We have pretty solid bearish candles are showing up and it had a nice swing from previous swing high.
The first target will be 113.5x and the next one further down will be 112.5.
We have Yellen's appearance start from today and her speeches will have big impact on the market in general.
We will also have JPY BOJ rate decision on Next week.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 28/2017)This is how I evalutate the strength of currency and guage on their correlations.
I do it every weekend and look at how strong the trend of particular currenyc pairs are.
xxx/USD pairs: Slightly Bearish
Gold & Silver: Very Bearish
xxx/JPY pairs: Bullish
USD/xxx pairs: Mixed (USD/CHF is bullish, USD/CAD is bearish)
Stock Indexes: Mixed (USD index is slightly bullish, Hong Kong is Slightly bearish)
Trade Safe,
s0nic
GBP/USD Weekly Update (11 July 2017) *Leaning toward BEARPrice Action: Slight Bearish (Weekly)
Levels To Watch: 1.284 is supported, 1.305 is BIG resistant.
I am Slightly Bearish. There shall be bearish carryover. It can go to 1.284 level easily. The next support level will be 1.279. You can try to look for possible reversal from these levels.
Please take note that we have Yellen’s appearance in mid and later week.
Support 1.2860, 1.279, 1.27, 1.268 and Resistance level 1.297, 1.302, 1.305, 1.32
News: Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday
Trade Safe,
S0nic
Noble (SGX Stock) *Covering Old GapNoble is on the rise to me.
It has pretty strong base now and it is in gap covering mode.
0.88 on sight.
Trade Safe,
s0nic
SembCorp Industry - Potential long in the makingTechnicals/Charts:
- Approaching the Support/Resistance at 3.20/3.30 levels
- Weekly RSI turned up at 50 - showing strength still
- MACD consolidating for some time
I would like to see price break above the resistance TL and the support turned resistance zone with high than usual volume.
This will give an indication of a strong rally.
STI - A retracement or a reversal?The first half of 2017 has been a good run for the Singapore stock market - Straits Times Index (STI), gaining over 300 points.
However, we believe that a retracement or a reversal to the downside is imminent. The question is are we gonna see a retracement or a reversal?
Retracement
Price moves correctively, usually taking a longer period of time, and does not move much in terms of price.
Reversal
Price moves impulsively, usually taking a shorter period of time, and moves strongly in terms of price.
Knowing what constitute a retracement and a reversal is essential in knowing how to plan your trades.
1) If we see a correctively move lower towards 3077 area, it will present us a good opportunity to look for one more move to the upside towards 3360 area.
2) If we see an impulsively move lower breaking the trend line, we can expect price to move lower potentially towards 2901 area. If this happens, it will present us a good selling opportunity targeting 2901.
Based on our Elliott Wave analysis, with the current price development, we are expecting the 1st scenario to have a higher probability of happening.
Even if you are not trading the stock index, understanding and monitoring the equities market can provide us with the current market risk environment, and thus provide us with trading opportunities in the currency market too.