COVID-19 Wave 2 onset and ongoing... SG, MY, ID and CNAs posted weeks to months ago, it is becoming clearer than daylight that Wave 2 is upon us in 2021.
As described previously, the CONFIRMNED charts here have a peciliarity... that the MACD histograms hint of the trend months ahead in advance.
As observable, Singapore is currently maanging pretty well, but is heading towards a Wave 2 slowly and surely. The trend is telling us that for the past 16 weeks (4 months) already!!!
SG's neighbours Indonesia (lower left) and Malaysia (lower right) have been having trouble keeping the lid on it... with Indonesia experiencing Wave 1.2, and Malaysia in a massive Wave 2.
China, top right, had a similar build up to SG and is pretty much in a mild Wave 2 currently.
Clearly, showing the path of what to expect as Singapore is heading down the same road. 16 weeks of notice, and nothing solid is being done to stop the wave from reaching. At this rate, by about Chinese New Year, SG should be in Wave 2 proper.
In any case, pretty much the whole world is sinking into Wave 2 already...
Contrary to the main belief, the vaccine availability, intended to slow down the spread, may actually allow expectations to rise, and a false sense of security to set in... this is where the virus will be taking advantage, as it creates variants, and penetrates through populations
So there... INCOMING!
Singapore
STI 3108 THEN WHAT?The STI continues its climb to test 3108.
Pivot 2920
Long positions above 2920 to test 3108 and 3270
Short positions below 2920 for 2871 and 2813
Looking at the monthly chart of the STI since 2007, the STI has been in a broad range between 2580 and 3898. A break of 3108 will test the 2 year downtrend cap on price since 2018. A break and hold above 3270 most optimistically tests the 2018 highs at 3646 (20 percent upside). A failure to break 3108 will likely test the 2020 lows at 2199 (30 percent downside risk).
An investor needs to consider the risk reward ratios when money is put at work. A range market poses considerable risk as there is no observable trend since 2007 to follow especially for those who look to build portfolios for the long term. Range markets favors the technical/swing traders and puts long term holders of stocks at risk.
STI BREAKS RANGE, TARGETS 3108After 5 weeks of hibernation, the STI breaks range and targets 3108.
Property and bank components are leading the charge.
3108 is the LT supertrend line that has capped the STI on a downtrend since 1st Oct 2018.
The SSSA line on the monthly charts sits at 3270.
Only a break and hold above 3270 on a monthly basis will return the STI to an uptrend.
Pivot 2892
Long positions above 2892 targets 3108 3270
A break of 2892 will test 2856 and 2792
Mapletree Ind TR (Covid will hit this industry HARD)Updated View on Mapletree Ind TR (23 Oct2020)
We are seeing some failed bullish attempts last week, it can be a nice sign to say, that the bulls are exhausted.
So, we expected some sort of pull back. It could go to $2.9-$3 region first.
No hurry to buy in at the moment.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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COVID-19 check-in on Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and ChinaSimilarly to previous scan set up...
Singapore numbers are rising, heads up given weeks ago, and still continue to rise... once the MACD histogram crosses above zero, it is highly likely to be the next wave.
Having said that, you can see China’s chart is just about starting up (ahead for Singapore), and after Chinese New Year, would likely be a spike or Wave 2 in motion, IMHO, it has already started for China.
Indonesia is accelerating again in their initial wave...
Malaysia is deep into Wave 2 and has not peaked out yet.
Risks are there, and honestly does not appear that a vaccine would quell the pandemic. Perhaps mitigate the spread and moderate its acceleration somewhat. So be prepared. We are getting data heads up weeks, maybe months in advance.
MSCI SINGAPORE INDEX ready for a new bullish run 🦐MSCI SINGAPORE futures after the nice impulse until the 333 level started a retracement move.
The market touches the 0.382 Fibonacci level over a support structure and started a consolidation move.
IF the price will break and close above the minor resistance structure, we can set a nice long order according to Plancton's strategy.
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
SG Market Technicals Ahead (7 Dec – 11 Dec 2020)The Straits Times Index (STI) retraced -0.56% (-15.93 points), implying the play of the weekly Bearish Shooting Star candle highlighted last week. This retracement also coincide with the gap resistance zone of 2,900-2,960 levels.
However, STI have exhibited its first major moving average golden cross (50DMA vs 200DMA) which was last witnessed in March 2019. The significance of this major MA golden cross is a midterm predictor for direction of its market index in the next 6-9 months. The major support to watch at this junction is at 2,785 level, a minor classical support established last week.
DBS on a sunny island... setting into the seaDBS, a big component of the STI (Straits Times Index) finds itself on an island (yellow circle)
This is precarious... a drop below the current support will result in a decent retracement.
MACD and Relative Price Strength already turned down... so it is held up with very little.
Be aware, beware!
Singapore Straits Times Index (STI) has Dark Cloud Cover issues!Technically, this is a classic pullback all set up...
A strong rally to the upside based on vaccine elation
supported by financials and sectors for "going back to Normal"
followed by a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern
that was confirmed with a Gap Down.
It is just above a range support, but breaking into the next Gap Down range (below the red line) would be very bearish.
MACD is showing a bearish cross down
Similarly the Relative Price Strength has crossed down
What this means is that to keep up with the bullish rally, there needs to be a much greater upward push...
which is less probable than the easier downside retracement.
Still, this downside may be quick, shallow and a set up for the bigger picture in 2021...
SPX short term weakness. Target 3455.A short signal has been issued on 191120 at 3559. The target is on the Kijun line of the Daily charts at 3455.
A break below 3455 will test 3399.
A break above 3576 will test 3674.
The SPX is bullish on LT/MT and facing short term correction in the very short term.
Watch for price action within the 4hr cloud to be ranging and volatile. A clear break below the SSSB line must take place for 3455/3399 to materialize.
COVID-19 Scanning outlook for US, SG, MY and IDJust compiling a snapshot chart of the COVID-19 confirmed cases of US, SG, MY and ID.
These charts are avail in TradingView and if you are worried about the situation getting better or worse, you can use the MACD to give an indication.
Remember that these charts track the Confirmed cases, so the charts will only increase, else flatline.
Here we see how SG has flatlined much, such that the MACD is falling.
Contrary to that, the US numbers are escalating again, and MACD clearly shows it is in Wave 1.3
Indonesia is increasing, but the rate is moderating at best.
And in Malaysia, it is escalating so fast, it is almost going parabolic. The MACD accentuates the rising differences per week on week.
All these can give a better outlook into the fear of future lockdowns, and perhaps Forward economic status.
Hope this helps!
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDSGDMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.3400, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.3885 breaks.
If the support at 1.3400 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the trough at 1.3549 on 2020-09-01 and the trough at 1.3512 on 2020-10-22, the probability of downtrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of uptrend is increased.
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.3510 on 10/22/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.3550, 1.3675, 1.3785 and maximum to Major Resistance (1.3885) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 35.
Take Profits:
TP1 @ 1.3550
TP2 @ 1.3675
TP3 @ 1.3785
TP4 @ 1.3885
TP5 @ 1.4270
TP6 @ 1.4635
TP7 Free
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STI RALLIES WITH WALL STREET. SUPPORT AT 2506. A Biden win gave the STI a strong boost and broke the ST downtrend on 4hr charts on the 3rd of Nov 2020 at 2517. The STI hit and intraday high of 2519.
Levels to support uptrend on the day and 4hr charts will be at 2506.
Uptrend targets are now at 2626 and then 2697 initially.
A break of 2506 will see the test of 2200.