We are back!! $SIA(C6L.SI) Showing sign of bottomHas been away awhile from here! Hope everyone is doing well in the stock market! Let's dive into our analysis on SIA C6L
Recent fall shows signs of volume supporting the price at the previous low in the 5 mins chart (yellow box).
With price moving slightly higher could be a sign of short term rebound is on the way.
Our trading method:
Taking advantage to this possible short term rebound & maximizing the returns with our low exchange rate of MYR to SGD, we look into SIA's DLC issue by #societegenerale, TSX:SIA 5xLongSG250709(DZTW.SI), long position due to lower outstanding%, lower DLC price, & more sensitive to the underlying securities.
@roundnsurge
Share your view about TSX:SIA (C6L.SI) in the comment section.
About our analysis :
Utilizing the dynamic insights from a 5-minute chart. By closely examining this timeframe, we dissect the intricate volume and price transactions of significant market players. Our aim is to identify short-term support and resistance levels, enabling informed trading decisions. Through this meticulous analysis, we decipher price patterns and trends, providing valuable guidance for traders navigating the fast-paced realm of stock trading.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Any action you take upon the information in this post is strictly at your own risk. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may occur in connection with the use of this information. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organization, employer, or company.
#shorttermtrading #SGX #demandsupplytrade #pricevolumeanalysis #roundnsurge #DLC #sia #dailyleveragecertificates
Singaporeairlines
SIA BREAKS 5 YEAR DOWNTRENDSingapore Airlines broke the long term downtrend that started in Aug 2015 with a close at $5.70 surpassing our target at $5.46.
PIVOT 5.27
Long positions above 5.27 target 5.75 and 7.05
Short positions below 5.27 target 4.91 and 4.63
Long Term UPTREND since 190321
Medium Term UPTREND since 161120
Short term UPTREND since 051120
SG: SIA ... to continue its fallLooking at the SIA weekly chart, it is obvious that there is a lower high, and a concomitant failure of the 55EMA. 4.15 is the final support, breaking down of this level means more downside.
The MACD, RPM and Volume Divergence are all supportive of the bearish outlook.
Possible to revisit its last low... around 3.50
$C6L Time To Load Up Shares On This National CarrierTechnical Analysis
Currently, $C6L is trading within a Descending Channel chart pattern, where it has been making a series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows since 23/3/2020. As of 6/10/2020, the price closed at $3.500, at an area within the Descending Channel. We notice that recently, on 23/9/2020, $C6L has made a Higher Low, with reference from the Low preceding it on 4/8/2020. If we take a look at historical Higher Low formations within the current Descending Channel - where I have marked these points in dotted lines , we notice that every single time a Higher Low is formed, they will only form after touching the slope of Lower Highs, but never before . Not until 23/9/2020. You may be thinking now that this could be a sign that $C6L is about to make a new Lower Low again. However, I highly doubt that is the case. From a technical perspective, based on case precedents, whenever $C6L touches the slope of Lower Lows as seen on 23/3/2020 and 20/5/2020, without fail, $C6L will revisit the slope of Lower Highs. As such, the Lower Low of 4/8/2020 will likely be no exception. If we look at the Elliot Wave Principle, we are currently in a period of Corrective Trends A, B, and C. Dominant Trends 1 to 5 have already been formed during the period between 23/3/2020 and 4/8/2020; while Corrective Trends A and B have been formed on 25/8/2020 and 23/9/2020 respectively. As such, we are now likely in the midst of forming Corrective Wave C, which will bring $C6L up to a minimum of $3.990. In this sense, the premature Higher High would make sense and we are now just waiting for Corrective Wave C to be formed.
If we look at the situation of Singapore Airlines (SIA) and the general gravity of COVID-19 in Singapore, it is looking fairly optimistic. On 5/10/2020, SIA announced that by end-December, it will reach about 15% of its pre-COVID-19 passenger capacity. Compared to the announcement preceding it on 2/9/2020, where SIA announced that they are looking at around 11% by end-November, this is an increase of 4% in projected passenger capacity within a month. On the COVID-19 aspect, the number of new cases daily has been fairly stable, where there has been an average of less than one to one new daily community cases and unlinked cases in the past 2 weeks. The Government is also looking to implement Phase 3, with details of Phase 3 to be released in the coming weeks. This signifies that overall, Singapore has been coping well with the COVID-19 situation. As such, based on all the factors mentioned, I have the conviction that Singapore Airlines will pull through this crisis and come out stronger.
Entries, Price Targets, Stop Losses
The best price for entries would be within the Loading Zone I have indicated in the graph between $3.310 and $3.510, which is near the converging point of the Symmetrical Triangle.
The price target would be $3.990, the minimum price which Wave C will bring $C6L to. I expect this to take at least 1 to 2 months to reach. As such, this is a very long game that we are playing, but with a very good risk to reward ratio. If you don't have other stocks you are eyeing on as an investment and you have some excess cash in the bank, this is a decent company to invest into and check back once a month. Of course, I also have positions in this company from a few months back, at an average cost price of $3.652. I have held the stock to the lows of $3.200 and I have also held it to prices where I was seeing profits. I plan to continue holding it at least until $3.990 because my conviction that SIA will pull through this crisis is strong.
My stop-loss for this particular analysis is $3.250, but personally, I am ready to hold it to $3.000. However, based on the current COVID-19 situation and SIA sentiment, it is rather unlikely that it will visit $3.000 without any serious COVID-19 situation deterioration.
Disclaimer
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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$C6L Swing Trade AnalysisIn this post, I will be going in detail with regards to my view of $C6L from a technical perspective.
As of the time that I am writing this post, $C6L is trading at $3.560. I am fully aware that, right now, it may not be the best time to invest in the airline industry due to the uncertainties that surround it. We do not know when a vaccine will be developed, we do not know when a newly developed vaccine will be available for the masses, we do not know whether $C6L will be able to survive the crisis, we do not know whether there will be a new wave of COVID-19 infection, we do not know when international travel will resume, we do not know how long it will take before travelers overcome the fear of getting infected and start traveling in the future. I can write a whole list of reasons why investing in C6L, or any airline company right now is too early.
As such, currently, I am bearish on $C6L as long as international traveling is not widely allowed and COVID-19 vaccines are not available for the masses yet. However, despite being aware of all of the above, I still have small positions in $C6L which averaged up to a cost price of $3.652. This is a very long term position that I entered with money that I am comfortable with losing. The reason I did so was that after doing my own due diligence, I strongly believe that $C6L will be able to pull through the COVID-19 crisis because of its strong fundamentals and the financial backing that Singapore provides to the company. Singapore will not let $C6L go under. Of course, this is a very speculative play on my part, so I hope that before you enter into a position into $C6L, think twice, and ensure that you are able to stomach the potential downside that any airline industry investment can bring during such an uncertain period.
Technical Analysis
I believed that I have broken down the technical aspect of $CCL's chart quite clearly in the candlestick chart above, but just to emphasis on a few things:
1. I strongly believe that if the support zone that I've marked with a star is breached + if everything else remains status quo, or possibly, gets worse, we will definitely revisit $3.200. If the situation remains the same or worse after the retest of $3.200, we will undoubtedly breach it and enter the $3.000 zone and beyond. As such, I believe that right now, we are at a very crucial level from a technical perspective.
2. This is similar to the first point, but I want to emphasize that the upside potential for $C6L is bleak. All, if not most of the movements towards the upside will be extremely dependent on the news releases. Furthermore, even if there are news releases that positively impact $C6L, the upward movement will not be sustainable unless the news is related to confirmation of vaccines being successfully developed and distributed, or if it is regarding a widespread resume of air travel.
3. I believe that currently, should COVID-19 eases and the demand for air travel rises, the fair value of $C6L will be somewhere between $5.500 to $6.000. So, if prices of $C6L push up, my profit target will be right around there.
4. Lastly, I believe that an optimal entry price will be whichever price that $C6L is at when news of vaccines is made available in Singapore (or when there is a news release with a similar impact scale-wise). However, there's also the saying that "Time in the market beats timing the market". As such, you can still enter a small position at the current market price and slowly average down/up; but that is provided that you are able to stomach the possible downside that has still yet to come.
Disclaimer
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
If this post has helped you out in making your investment/trading decision, do it give it a like, and follow for more updates regarding this ticker symbol!