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Skeptic | SUI Breakdown: Precision Triggers for Spot & FuturesWelcome, traders, its Skeptic! 😎 Ready to unlock SUI’s next big move? I’m delivering a pro-level breakdown of SUI, the #12 crypto with a $10.4B market cap.This Analysis dives into recent performance, ecosystem growth, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, all rooted in cycle-based strategies. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason , Let’s conquer SUI! 🚖 Recent Performance & Key Events SUI , trading at $ 2.98 with a $ 10.4 billion market cap, ranks as the # 12 cryptocurrency globally. A Layer-1 blockchain using the Move programming language, it boasts parallel transaction processing with over 160,000 TPS. In July 2025, SUI showed strong momentum, surging 10% in 24 hours and 12% weekly after bottoming in the $2.30–$2.40 range. However, a 44 million token unlock ($122M) on July 1 introduces potential selling pressure. 📊 Technical & Market Position SUI’s Total Value Locked ( TVL ) reached $ 2.1 billion in early 2025, ranking it the 8th largest blockchain by TVL. Its DeFi ecosystem is exploding, with stablecoin volume jumping from $ 400M to $ 1.2B . Bitcoin integration and a Microsoft partnership bolster institutional adoption, signaling strong fundamentals despite volatility. Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe The Daily (HWC) is in an uptrend, holding above the upward trendline (marked in blue). The major trend remains bullish unless this trendline breaks. However, the MWC is bearish, with declining volume during recent price rises suggesting a secondary corrective trend rather than a primary bullish trend. As Mark Andrew Lim notes in The Handbook of Technical Analysis, rising prices need increasing volume to confirm trader conviction and bullish momentum. Low volume indicates trend weakness, typical of corrective moves. Spot Trigger (Long): Break of the downward corrective trendline with consolidation above resistance at $ 3.0408 . The last series breaking this trendline saw 85 % growth, but don’t rush in. Confirm with: Falling BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance). Total 3 long triggers (market-wide altcoin signals). SUI/BTC uptrend, with an initial trigger on breaking its downward trendline and a primary trigger at 0.00003998 resistance. Key Insight: Volume confirmation is critical. Without a volume surge on breakout, the risk of fakeouts is high. 4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers) On the 4-hour chart, if price reacts again at resistance $ 3.0890 , you can go long on a breakout, confirmed by RSI entering oversold. If it rejects sharply, the next long trigger is a break of $3.1606. For shorts, a break below support at $2.6593 is a strong trigger, especially with volume confirmation. Pro Tip: Volume is king for all triggers. Without a volume spike on breakout, fakeout risk is high. Always apply capital management—1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe. Final Vibe Check This SUI Analysis equips you with precise triggers for spot ($3.0408) and futures ($3.0890/$3.1606 long, $2.6593 short) trading, leveraging cycle-based strategies. Want more cycle setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! Which SUI trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | PEPE : Spot & Futures Triggers for Maximum EdgeWelcome, traders, its Skeptic! Ready to dissect PEPE’s next moves? I’m diving into a pro-level analysis of PEPE, the #30 crypto and 3rd largest meme coin with a $4.08B market cap. This Analysis delivers a comprehensive breakdown—quick facts, 2025 performance, community strength, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, all rooted in HWC, MWC, LWC cycles. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. 🙌 Let’s master PEPE! 🚖 Quick Facts PEPE, an Ethereum-based meme coin launched in April 2023, is inspired by the Pepe the Frog internet meme. With a 420.69 trillion token supply, it features a deflationary burn mechanism and redistribution rewards for long-term holders. Currently trading at $ 0.00000946 , it ranks as the # 30 cryptocurrency and the 3rd largest meme coin behind Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, with a $ 4.08B market cap. Let’s unpack its 2025 performance and technical setup for actionable trades. 📊 2025 Performance & Community PEPE has faced significant volatility in 2025, down 25.7% year-to-date and 35% this month. Despite this, its community remains robust with 456,000 + holders, and an impressive 37% haven’t sold in over a year , signaling diamond hands and strong belief in the project. This resilience suggests potential for recovery if market sentiment shifts. Technical Analysis: Cycle-Based Breakdown From a cycle perspective, Weekly/Monthly timeframes are range-bound, meaning lower timeframes drive most price action and shape near-term opportunities. Let’s break it down: Daily Timeframe After a 100% jump from May 6-22, 2025, PEPE retraced nearly the entire move. Momentum is currently bearish on the Daily, but declining volume during this pullback suggests traders view it as a correction rather than a trend reversal. Interest in heavy trading is low, indicating limited momentum for now. Key Insight: The Daily is bearish but lacks strong selling pressure, hinting at consolidation. Watch for volume spikes to confirm directional moves. Triggers for Spot Trading Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 0.00001403 , confirmed by a volume surge during the breakout. For extra confirmation, check PEPE/BTC. If PEPE/BTC breaks its downtrend line, it signals liquidity inflow and potential for strong growth. The primary trigger is a break of 0.0000000001399 on PEPE/BTC, which could spark explosive rallies for PEPE. Use indicators/oscillators (e.g., RSI) for additional confirmation, as PEPE/BTC volume is fake due to it being a ratio. Key Insight: A PEPE/BTC breakout is a strong bullish signal, but volume confirmation is critical to avoid fake moves. 4-Hour Timeframe for Futures Triggers On the 4-hour chart, PEPE has started an uptrend momentum. Should you go long on a break of resistance at $0.00001049? No —the Daily remains bearish, making the first wave risky. First-wave moves against the Daily often face high volatility and fake breakouts, lowering your win rate. Instead: Long Trigger: Wait for the second uptrend wave after breaking $0.00001049, forming a range ceiling. Confirm with a volume increase, RSI entering overbought, or other oscillators to avoid fake breakouts or stop-loss hunts. Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 0.00000894 is a strong short trigger, aligning with the bearish Daily. This setup offers favorable R/R ratios, especially if 4-hour momentum turns bearish. Set alarms for this level to catch the move. Pro Tip: Shorts are safer due to Daily alignment. For longs, skip the first wave, wait for the second, and use tight risk management to navigate volatility. Final Vibe Check This PEPE Analysis arms you with precise triggers for spot and futures trading, leveraging cycle-based strategies. With a range-bound Weekly, focus on Daily and 4-hour for opportunities. Short at $0.00000894 aligns with the trend, while longs need second-wave confirmation above $0.00001049 or a PEPE/BTC breakout at 0.0000000001399. Protect your capital—stick to MAX 1%–2% risk per trade. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! Which PEPE trigger are you watching? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
by SkepticWise
3
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊 The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC We trade across three market cycles: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend. MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC. LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend. Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm. Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze: HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders). MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily). LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour). Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach. While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships. Trading Scenarios: When to Act Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout). Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry. Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend. Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend. Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave. Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC): Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure. Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high. Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario. Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10). HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly. Final Vibe Check This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Education
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD) Watchlist: Key Triggers for the WeekLast week, our XAU/USD short trigger from the previous watchlist activated cleanly, driving a strong downward move. Now, let’s unpack the Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to pinpoint the Low Wave Cycle (LWC) and lock in new long and short triggers for the week ahead. Here’s the no-nonsense breakdown to keep you ahead of the game. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture On the Daily chart, Gold pulled off an intriguing move last week. After breaking the ceiling of a previous downward channel, I cloned that channel and placed it above the prior one. Price reacted perfectly to the channel’s midline and is now heading toward the channel floor. Overall, the Daily trend is range-bound, likely ranging between 3125 and 3445. However, the Higher Wave Cycle (HWC) on the Weekly timeframe remains uptrend, so we focus on the Low Wave Cycle (LWC) for our setups. Key Insight: The range-bound Daily suggests consolidation, but the Weekly uptrend keeps the bigger picture bullish. Prioritize LWC for precise entries. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-Hour chart, let’s identify the LWC and set our long and short triggers: Short Trigger: A break below the 4-hour support at 3255.71 could drive price back to the channel floor, potentially re-entering the previous downward channel. This is the safer play, aligning with recent momentum. Long Trigger: A break above resistance at 3336.81 is the initial trigger, but the primary long trigger is a break of 3396.50 . This is riskier due to the range-bound Daily , so use a tighter stop-loss and take profits quickly to avoid choppy reversals. Pro Tip: Shorts are stronger given the recent downward momentum. For longs, expect volatility—set conservative stops to dodge stop-loss hunts in the range. Final Vibe Check This Gold Watchlist equips you to trade smarter, not harder. With XAU/USD in a Daily range but a Weekly uptrend, patience for clear triggers at 3255.71 (short) and 3396.50 (long) will maximize your edge. I’ll keep you updated daily as the market evolves. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want more on HWC/LWC strategies or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! Which Gold trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Weekly Watchlist : DXY Triggers & Pro SetupsLast week, DXY played out our bearish scenario perfectly, breaking the short trigger at 98.530 and delivering a strong downward move . With Higher Wave Cycle (HWC) and Minor Wave Cycle (MWC) now bearish, I’m leaning heavier on short positions with tighter risk management. Let’s break it down with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The key support at 98.801 was decisively broken, and we’ve confirmed below it—the major trend is now fully bearish. The next daily support lies at 96.478 , but I expect range-bound action early this week, especially after last week’s big move. Patience is key—let the market form a clear structure before jumping back in. Key Insight: The bearish trend is locked in, but early-week consolidation is likely. Wait for the market to signal its next move. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, let’s pinpoint Low Wave Cycle (LWC) and triggers for long and short setups: Short Trigger: Break below 4-hour support at 96.995 , confirmed by RSI re-entering oversold. Want to wield RSI like a pro? Check out my RSI Masterclass —it’s a game-changer! 😏 Long Trigger: Break above resistance at 98.215 . This is riskier since it’s against the bearish trend—set a wider stop-loss and take profits quickly. Why? HWC and MWC are bearish, so the first uptrend wave risks stop-loss hunts or fakeouts. I’ll drop an HWC/MWC/LWC guide soon to optimize entries, stops, and more—stay tuned! Pro Tip: For longs, expect volatility in the first wave. Shorts align with the trend, so they’re the safer play—focus on 96.995. Final Vibe Check This Weekly Watchlist sets you up to trade smarter, not harder. DXY’s bearish momentum is our focus, but patience will unlock the best setups. I’ll keep you updated daily as markets evolve. Protect your capital—max 1%–2% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want the HWC/MWC/LWC guide or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this watchlist sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! Which setup are you eyeing this week? Share in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
TVC:DXYShort
by SkepticWise
Skeptic | RSI Masterclass: Unlock Pro-Level Trading Secrets!Hey traders, it’s Skeptic ! 😎 Ready to transform your trading? 95% of you are using the Relative Strength Index wrong , and I’m here to fix that with a game-changing strategy I’ve backtested across 200+ trades. This isn’t a generic RSI tutorial—it’s packed with real-world setups, myth-busting insights, and precise rules to trade with confidence. Join me to master the art of RSI and trade with clarity, discipline, and reason. Big shoutout to TradingView for this epic free tool! 🙌 Let’s dive in! 🚖 What Is RSI? The Core Breakdown The Relative Strength Index (RSI) , crafted by Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures a market’s strength by comparing average gains to average losses over a set period. Here’s the formula: G = average gains over n periods, L = average losses. Relative Strength (RS) = | G / L |. RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS)). Wilder used a 14-period lookback , and I stick with it—it’s smooth, filters noise, and gives a crystal-clear read on buyer or seller momentum. Let’s get to the good stuff—how I use RSI to stack profits! 📊 My RSI Strategy: Flipping the Script Forget what you’ve read in books like The Handbook of Technical Analysis by Mark Andrew Lim— overbought (70) and oversold (30) aren’t just for shorting or buying. I go long when RSI hits overbought, and it’s been a goldmine. I’ve backtested over 200 trades with this approach, and it’s my go-to confirmation for daily setups. Why does it work? When RSI hits overbought on my 15-minute entry chart, it signals explosive buyer momentum. Here’s what you get: Lightning-Fast R/R: I hit risk/reward targets in 30 minutes to 2 hours on 15-minute entries (longer for 1-hour entries, depending on your timeframe). Massive R/R Potential: An overbought RSI on 15-minute can push 1-hour and 4-hour RSI into overbought, driving bigger moves. I hold for R/Rs of 5 or even 10, not bailing early. 🚀 Rock-Solid Confirmation: RSI confirms my entry trigger. Take BTC/USD: BTC bounces off a key support at 76,000, sparking an uptrend. It forms a 4-hour box range, but price tests the ceiling more than the floor, hinting at a breakout. Trigger: Break above the box ceiling at 85,853.57. On 15-minute, a powerful candle breaks the ceiling, and RSI hits overbought—that’s my green light. I open a long. Soon, 1-hour and 4-hour RSI go overbought, signaling stronger momentum. I hold, and BTC pumps hard, hitting high R/R in a short window. This keeps trades fast and efficient—quick wins or quick stops mean better capital management and less stress. Slow trades? They’re a mental grind, pushing you to close early for tiny R/Rs. 😴 Pro Rules for RSI Success Here’s how to wield RSI like a trading weapon: Stick to the Trend : Use RSI in the direction of the main trend (e.g., uptrend = focus on longs). Confirmation Only: Never use RSI solo for buy/sell signals. Pair it with breakouts or support/resistance triggers. Fresh Momentum: RSI is strongest when it just hits overbought/oversold. If the move’s already rolling, skip it—no FOMO, walk away! Customize Zones: Overbought (70) and oversold (30) can shift—it might show reactions at 65 or 75. Adjust to your market’s behavior. Backtesting RSI: Your Path to Mastery To make RSI yours, backtest it across at least 30 trades in every market cycle— uptrend, downtrend, and range. Test in volatile markets for extra edge. 😏 Key takeaways: Range Markets Kill RSI: Momentum oscillators like RSI (or SMA) are useless in ranges—no momentum, no signal. Switch to ROC (Rate of Change) for ranges—I use it, and it’s a beast. Want an ROC guide? Hit the comments! Overextended RSI Zones: On your entry timeframe (e.g., 15-minute), check higher timeframes (e.g., 4-hour) for past RSI highs/lows. These are overextended zones—price often rejects or triggers a range. Use them to take profits. Final Vibe Check This RSI masterclass is your key to trading like a pro—fast R/Rs, big wins, and unshakable confidence . At Skeptic Lab, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Guard your capital— max 1% risk per trade, no excuses. Want an ROC masterclass or more tools? Drop a comment! If this fired you up, smash that boost—it means everything! 😊 Got a setup or question? Hit me in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
Education
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Weekly Watchlist Top Triggers for Forex, Gold & More!DXY: The Market’s Compass Let’s kick it off with DXY—the Dollar Index every trader needs to watch to get the market’s big picture. Daily Timeframe: After a failed break below the critical support at 98.801 , DXY dumped to 97.596 , then pulled back to test 98.801 . With rate cuts looking likely soon , I’m betting on more downside for DXY. The only wildcard? Rising Middle East tensions could spike inflation, push rates higher, and strengthen DXY, hammering crypto and CFD indices. 4-Hour Triggers: Short: Break below 98.530 —a clean setup to ride down to 97.596 . I’m leaning heavier on this, pairing it with USD-based forex trades for max R/R. 😤 Long: Break above 99.114 —riskier against the trend, so keep stops tight and profits quick. Pro Tip: Shorts are the safer play here, but watch geopolitical news for sudden reversals. EURX: Uptrend Power EURX is flexing some muscle. Weekly Timeframe: The resistance at 1072.6 looks broken. If we avoid a fakeout and hold above this zone, I’m expecting the major uptrend to keep rolling. Game Plan: No trigger needed—just confirm a few 4-hour candles above 1072.6, and I’m opening longs on EUR-based pairs. Patience for confirmation is key! 🙌 Pro Tip: Watch for fake breakouts—let the market prove itself before jumping in. Commodities: Gold & Silver XAU/USD (Gold) My gold analysis from last week still holds ( check it if you missed it—it’s got Middle East war scenarios and Bitcoin insights too ). No need to repeat—go read it for the full scoop! 📚 XAG/USD (Silver) Silver’s been on a wild ride after a massive pump. 4-Hour Timeframe : We’re now in a 4-hour range, which makes sense, and I expect it to linger into next week. Triggers: Long: Break above resistance at 37.31559 . Short: Break below support at 35.56800 . Pro Tip: If you’re holding my 33.68317 long from last week, don’t close yet—let it ride for more gains. If you’re not in, avoid FOMO and wait for the range break. 😎 Forex Pairs EUR/USD: Ready to Pop With EURX in an uptrend and DXY likely breaking support, I’m super bullish on EUR/USD next week. 4-Hour Triggers: Long: Break above resistance at 1.15429 . No need for RSI or SMA confirmation—just a clean breakout, and we’re in. 🚀 Short: Break below 1.13566—only if EURX’s 1072.6 break turns out to be a fakeout. Pro Tip: Longs are the play here—keep it simple and ride the breakout wave. GBP/USD: Bearish Break GBP/USD is looking spicy after a downward move. Daily Timeframe: The upward channel broke to the downside. I cloned the channel and placed it below—support at 1.34090 is massive, with multiple reactions in the past. 4-Hour Trigger: Break below 1.34090 opens a bearish move with high R/R. I’m personally shorting this break. 😤 Pro Tip: This is a key level—set alerts and don’t miss it! USD/JPY: Range Game USD/JPY is stuck in a long 4-hour box range. 4-Hour Timeframe: Price keeps testing the ceiling but travels less toward the floor, showing traders want to break up, not down. Triggers: Long: Break above ceiling at 146.204. Short: Break below the upward trendline, then support at 145.194 . Pro Tip: Longs have more juice—watch for volume on the break. EUR/CHF: Mirror of USD/JPY EUR/CHF is vibing like USD/JPY—a 4-hour box range. 4-Hour Triggers: Long: Break above resistance at 0.94293 . Short: Break below channel floor at 0.92963 . Pro Tip: Wait for a clean break—ranges can be choppy! Final Vibe Check That’s your Weekly Watchlist , fam! I’ll keep you updated daily as markets shift. Stay safe with capital management—max 1% risk per trade, no excuses. This week’s loaded with banger triggers, so sit down now, analyze, and set your alerts so you don’t miss a single move. Let’s make it a profitable week! 🚨 💬 Let’s Talk! If this watchlist got you hyped, smash that boost—it means the world! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to hit next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for rolling with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact. Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎 Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation. Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry. Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏 Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game. Final Thoughts My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚 Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 . Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers: Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤 Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪 Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy! Final Vibe Check That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
Markets Crash: Gold Soars, Crypto Dips!Israel’s strikes on Iran shook markets—Bitcoin and stocks tanked, gold soared. What’s next? Let’s unpack the best trading moves for this chaos! Hey traders, Skeptic here!👋 Yesterday’s Israeli strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear sites, plus high-profile casualties, sent markets into a tailspin. If your positions got stopped out today, don’t sweat it—that’s normal in this mess. Today, I’m breaking down the most likely scenarios for financial markets, especially stocks and crypto, with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Stick with me to navigate this storm! 📉Right now, markets are screaming risk-off . Stocks like the S&P 500, indices, and crypto like Bitcoin are bleeding as buyers have zero confidence. Everyone’s piling into safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. Last night’s news triggered sharp drops in Bitcoin and SPX500, while gold’s rallying hard. This is classic flight-to-safety behavior, and it’s why your stops might’ve been hit. Let’s dive into the geopolitical scenarios driving this and then get to the charts. 📍First, the big picture. Scenario one: Iran retaliates for Israel’s strikes, and we’re stuck in a tit-for-tat escalation for weeks. Markets stay risk-off, stocks and crypto keep sliding, and safe havens like gold thrive. Scenario two: The US-Iran nuclear talks on Sunday, June 15th, lead to a deal, tensions cool, and markets stabilize. If those talks fail, I’m not optimistic— recent US inflation relief, might’ve pushed the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts to boost markets. Without de-escalation, rate cuts won’t save risky assets, and we’re looking at muted growth for crypto and stocks. But if a deal happens, markets could rip—Bitcoin might hit $130K short-term and even $170K as the bull run’s ceiling. For now, uncertainty rules, so let’s see what the charts say. 👀 Let’s start with Bitcoin on the daily. The first major support is $100K-$101K. If we lose that, we’re looking at a 3-4 month time-based correction . I know some of you see Bitcoin’s dip and think it’s a bargain, but hold up—if tensions escalate, breaking $100K-$101K is almost guaranteed. We could slide to $95K (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) or even $86K (0.618 retracement). No buying until Tuesday’s clarity—too risky. Shorting? Also a bad idea. After this sharp drop, where do you put your stop-loss? An 8% stop is the minimum, which trashes your risk-reward ratio. Best move? Sit tight, no positions, and wait for the dust to settle. 📈 Gold’s the star in this risk-off market. On the 4-hour, as we said in last week’s watchlist, it broke the descending channel’s ceiling at 3333.86 and pulled back. Using our trick of cloning the prior channel and placing it above, it’s reacting perfectly at the new channel’s midline. A break above 3434.35 could push us to the channel ceiling at 3550.13 . Personally, I’d wait for more ranging here before going long—stops are too wide right now for a clean entry. If you caught our 3340 long trigger from the watchlist, you’re sitting pretty— just hold . Gold’s got more upside potential, but if you’re not in, don’t FOMO. Wait for a better setup. 🎯 Our EUR/USD long trigger from last week’s watchlist at 1.14555 was a winner if you took it, you hit your risk-reward target and likely locked in profits. Nice work! The new long trigger is a break above 1.16142 resistance. No short triggers here, just like gold. With both major and secondary trends screaming uptrend, shorting against the flow is nonsense. I’d wait for key levels to break and confirm a bearish shift before even thinking about shorts. Trade with the trend, always. 📝our plan: Gold longs above 3434.35 target 3550.13; hold 3340 entries or wait for a range. EUR/USD longs above 1.16142, no shorts. Risk max 1% per trade, set alerts, and stay patient—geopolitical chaos means no FOMO moves. I hope for a day with no wars, where we can focus on what matters—building value and humanity.🤍 That’s today’s breakdown, traders! If this helped, smash that Boost button and Follow for more no-hype analysis. Drop a comment—what’s your next move? Want a coin or market analyzed? This is Skeptic, stay safe, protect your capital, and see you next time! <3
by SkepticWise
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Sharp Uptrend Triggers Ready!Hey, traders, it’s Skeptic! 😎 CMCMARKETS:USDJPY is gearing up for a sharp uptrend move, and if you sleep on it, you might miss it, jump in late, and get stopped out. So, let’s set our scenarios and triggers now to make quick, sharp decisions instead of lagging. Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture We were in a major bearish trend but now seem stuck in a triangle. The heavy bearish momentum and support zone at 142.232–142.604 —our key level—has held strong with reactions every time we hit it. But, the bearish moves are getting weaker , with shallower slopes and smaller, choppier candles, signaling fading momentum and a higher chance of a reversal. Still, we need a trigger to go long—without it, jumping in is risky. As a skeptical trader , I need solid reasoning for every move. That’s our vibe! :))) Now, let’s hit the 4-Hour Timeframe for our triggers. We’ve got a descending trendline , and breaking it upward could spark an uptrend. But here’s the deal: this isn’t a continuation pattern—a break means a trend reversal, so we need extra confirmation beyond just the break. Our main long trigger is a break above resistance at 145.071 . Stop loss? Place it below the trendline, previous support, or last low—depends on your strategy.I’m a breakout trader myself ( check my article for deets! ). For confirmation, watch RSI hitting overbought—it backs the uptrend momentum and can push you to your R/R faster. 😊 I’ll drop an RSI tutorial soon , so stay tuned! If we lose the support zone ( 142.232–142.604 ), expect the bearish trend to continue, so focus on shorts then. Final word: No FOMO . Wait for your triggers and confirmations. Our motto? No FOMO. No hype. Just reason :) 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you, smash that boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to hit next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for chilling with me—keep trading smart! ✌️
Long
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | This Week's Most Profitable Setups: Gold, Forex & SPX!hey, traders, it’s Skeptic ! 😎 Our last watchlist was straight fire, racking up some sweet profits with tons of setups. This week’s looking just as juicy, so stick with me to catch these killer opportunities! 🚖 Welcome to my Weekly Watchlist, where I lay out the markets I’m trading with active triggers—forex pairs, commodities, and CFD indices. No FOMO, no hype, just pure reasoning to keep your trades sharp. Let’s jump in! 📊 DXY (Dollar Index) Let’s kick off with DXY, ‘cause getting this right makes analyzing other indices and pairs a breeze. After multiple failed attempts to break support at 98.8 , it’s still ranging. This is a monthly support, so confirmation of a break needs to come on a monthly or at least weekly chart. Personally, I’m betting it’ll bounce from here. A break above 99.36 gives early confirmation of a rise, but the real deal is breaking resistance at 100 —then you can short USD pairs like EUR/USD . If 98.8 gives way, look for longs, but this monthly zone is tough, so expect some chop! 😬 EURX EURX seems to be in a weak upward channel. A break above 1063 could push us to 1071 . On the flip side, breaking the channel’s midline at 1058 might drag us to the floor or even support at 1049 . So, our EURX game plan is clear. Watchlist Breakdown Let’s hit the watchlist, starting with XAU/USD (Gold ). Triggers here are tricky, but I cloned last week’s downward channel and placed it above—this trick often gives us solid setups. If we bounce off the channel’s floor, a break above resistance at 3340 opens a long. For shorts, I don’t have a trigger yet since the market’s already dumped. If we form a 1-hour range, a break below its floor could trigger a short targeting 3249 or the previous channel’s midline. Now, XAG/USD (Silver) —no triggers this week. Our long trigger from last week’s analysis at 33.68 smashed it, spiking 8%! 🎉 That’s a lock even Bitcoin traders would drool over, but in Skeptic Lab :) Next, EUR/USD. The long trigger is set at a break above resistance at 1.14555 , which lines up with the DXY support break I mentioned. Heads-up: this trade won’t be easy. Reduce risk ‘cause we’re in for a big fight at this level—wild swings and tight stop losses get hunted fast. Stay sharp! 😤 GBP/USD Update My GBP/USD long got stopped out, so let’s break it down. I went long after a resistance break, with crazy uptrend momentum and RSI hitting overbought (which I see as a long confirmation). Everything looked dope except my stop loss placement. The prior move was so sharp that my stop had to be wide, tanking my R/R. It hit the box ceiling target but then dumped, nailing my stop. Lesson? Either jump in before the main momentum or let the move play out and skip it. Mid-move entries with big stops? Recipe for pain... SPX 500 Our SPX 500 long trigger from breaking the box ceiling already fired and seems to have pulled back. My target’s 6128.55 , and my open position has a stop loss below 5952.51. If you missed last week’s trade, a new trigger could be a 1-hour resistance break at 6014.20 . If you’re already long, no need to double up. Final Note my max risk per trade is 1%, and I suggest you stick to that or lower. I’m cooking up a Money management guide soon, diving deep into why it’s the key to outpacing 90% of traders and boosting your odds of consistent profits. Stay tuned! 🚨 No FOMO, and have an awesome week! 💬 Let’s Talk! If this watchlist lit a spark, hit that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for rolling with me—keep trading smart! ✌️
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | SPX 500 Analysis: Long Triggers Ready to Rip!Hey, what’s good? It’s Skeptic! 😎 Last week, we scored a nice R/R on SPX 500, and now it’s looking ready for another big move, super close to our long trigger. Let’s check it out with a multi-timeframe breakdown to grab those long and short triggers! Daily Timeframe: The Big View The SPX was riding a strong bullish wave, then hit a deep correction. Here’s what’s up: It’s bounced back most of that drop and is nearing its ceiling at 6128.55. 🏔️ A break and hold above 6128.55 could kick the bullish trend into high gear, per Dow Theory. Watch the daily RSI—if it goes overbought, we might see a fast, big rally. 🚀 This is our long-term play, so let’s zoom in for the short-term action! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers On the 4-hour chart, here’s the plan for our trades: Long Trigger: Break above 5990.67, with RSI above 66.57 to show the move’s got juice. Stop Loss: Your choice—put it below 5955.77, or check 1H or 15-minute charts for a tighter stop under the last low. 🎯 Short Trigger: A drop below 5856.93 lets you short, but it’s against the trend, so keep it low-risk. Take profits quick, use a small stop loss, and close when you hit a good R/R. ⚠️ Shorts are tricky here, so play it safe and don’t go all-in! RSI Trick & Your Input Love RSI? I’ve been using it forever, and I think most guides get it wrong. They say overbought RSI means sell, but for me, it’s a go sign for longs! Want a full RSI tutorial? Tell me in the comments, and I’ll hook you up! 📢 💬 Let’s Talk! If this got you hyped, hit that boost—it helps a ton! 😊 Got another pair or setup you want me to hit? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for chilling with me—keep trading smart! ✌️
SPREADEX:SPX
by SkepticWise
4
Skeptic | GBP/USD Analysis: Breakout Triggers in the Box!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! FX:GBPUSD has been killing it with a solid uptrend but now it’s chilling in a correction phase, trapped in a box range. A break above or below this box could light up some epic triggers, so let’s dive into a multi-timeframe analysis to get the full picture. 🧠 Starting with the Daily Timeframe we’re riding a powerful upward channel where price has been dancing perfectly with the ceiling, floor, and midline. We’ve nabbed some sweet trades from this setup before! After hitting resistance at 1.35576 , we slipped into a time-based correction. Here’s the daily breakdown: If the box floor at 1.35002 cracks, we could slide to 1.34173 , hitting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement— a legit first support zone. 🎯 If we bust through the ceiling, the channel’s midline is our next target. But with lower highs forming, I’m betting on a deeper correction for now. 📉 With that intel, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for our main long and short triggers. 🔥 For longs, a break above 1.35576 is our golden ticket, with a stop loss below the box. Want a quicker R/R and early profits? Set a tighter stop below the 1H or 15-minute floor that forms. 💸 For shorts, we can play with a smaller stop loss. I’d jump in after breaking support at 1.35002 , with a stop loss at 1.35464 if we go bearish from here. If we test the box ceiling again before breaking the floor, the stop loss sits above the box. 🚨 Heads-up: longs are riskier based on the daily clues. As always, do your own research, steer clear of FOMO, and never forget—capital management and stop losses are your market lifelines. Nobody shouts about those enough! A single trade, good or bad, won’t make or break your long-term game, so skip the emotional drama and grind on your strategy and psychology. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this recap got your gears turning, smash that boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | EUR/USD Update: New Triggers Unleashed!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! EUR/USD is heating up after EURX consolidated above 1058.8 — a level I highlighted in Sunday’s watchlist — signaling potential longs across EUR pairs. 😎 Let’s break it down with a quick EUR/USD update. After our trigger at 1.14183 fired, price climbed 33 pips, then pulled back to retest the breakout level. No fakeout this time — that zone is now acting as solid support. 👀 What’s the new trigger? You've got a few playbook options here depending on your trading style: Reaction traders: Watch for a strong bullish reaction candle at support. Momentum traders: Patience pays — wait for an indecision candle to resolve. Breakout traders: Keep an eye on a clean break above 1.14440. Shorts? Not yet. Major and minor trends are still bullish, so fading the move isn’t ideal right now. 📝 Quick note: I’m already in a position after the 1.14183 breakout. Still watching EUR/USD closely, especially with DXY nearing a key support at 98.683 — a break there could spark sharp, sustained moves and juicy R/R setups. As always: No FOMO. No hype. Just reason. Stay sharp, manage your risk, and let’s grow together! 🤍 💬 Let’s Talk! If this recap sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost — it helps a lot! Got a pair or setup you want me to break down next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for sticking around — keep trading smart! ✌️
PEPPERSTONE:EURXLong
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Bitcoin Weekly Recap #15 Bull Run On? Altcoin Next?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Bitcoin’s been throwing curveballs this past week—did it leave you spinning? 😵 Still unsure if the bull run’s officially on, or hunting for the perfect altcoin entry? Don’t worry, in this recap, I’m laying it all out with clear reasoning to give you a crystal-clear view of the market and help you ditch those FOMO-driven decisions. Here at Skeptic Lab , we analyze Markets with one motto: No FOMO. No hype. Just reason. We’re not like others who panic over dumps or hype every pump—we’ve got risk management , stop losses , and we stay glued to the market’s pulse. Let’s dive into the Bitcoin Weekly Recap and unpack it all! 📊 Monthly Timeframe: The Big Picture Let’s zoom out to the last three months. The 74,000 to 82,000 range has been a rock-solid support zone for Bitcoin, with heavy shadows every time we touch it. Big shadows like that scream potential trend reversal, and right now, Bitcoin’s major trend is firmly uptrend. Until we see a clear signal for a trend change, all that noise about Bitcoin crashing to 50K or “the bull run’s over” is pure nonsense. If you hear anyone making those bold future price predictions, run the other way! Our job isn’t to predict the future—it’s to map out scenarios and have a plan when they play out. Comparing the 2022 bear market to now is flat-out silly. Why? Back then, we’d already seen massive gains, but now, we haven’t had significant growth yet—altcoins are quiet, and total market volume hasn’t spiked. The end of a trend isn’t when everyone’s scared of losses; it’s when everyone’s dreaming of becoming a millionaire and the news is pumping FOMO. 😄 So, ignore those baseless analyses and let’s get to the real stuff. Weekly Timeframe: Momentum Check On the weekly chart, we kicked off a solid uptrend momentum, even hitting a new all-time high. Bears tried to jump in and sell, but here’s the catch: the previous ceiling hasn’t been technically broken yet, so we haven’t gotten a clear buy signal. Why? Because support and resistance levels aren’t static—they shift over time. The longer time passes, the higher or lower these levels move, and they need updating. Right now, we got rejected after testing the ceiling because our true resistance is still intact. So, when do we get confirmation? Let’s drop to the Daily Timeframe for clarity. Daily Timeframe: Spot Trigger After breaking 112,000 , we’ll get the main confirmation that the last ceiling before the correction is broken, signaling the continuation of the major uptrend per Dow Theory. That’s our spot buy trigger—buy above 112,000 with a stop loss below 100,000 , giving you a 10% stop loss size. Please, manage your capital so that if you hit the stop loss, you lose no more than 3% of your total capital. Staying alive in financial markets hinges on risk management. Now, let’s hit the 4-Hour Timeframe for long and short triggers. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups We had a solid upward trendline on the 4-hour chart, but it broke to the downside. When this happens, two scenarios are possible: either the uptrend’s slope has just softened with no trend change, or we’re entering a correction. My take? We’re likely heading for a time-based correction (think range-bound boxes). If we start ranging, don’t beat yourself up or pile into trades impulsively—win rates for most traders tank in range phases, and losing streaks pile up. For long positions, I suggest waiting for a break above 108,900 . That’s where we got a strong rejection and pullback last time, so we need solid confirmation to go long since bearish momentum is stronger in this phase. For shorts, 105,000 was a good level, but the next short trigger is a break below support at 101,577 . If we see a strong reaction at any level on this timeframe before that, you could short on a break there too. For breakout confirmation, indicators like SMA or RSI work, but volume is king. High volume on a break means it’s likely to continue; low volume screams fake breakout, so cut your risk there. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Timing Let’s wrap up with a quick look at BTC.D to figure out if it’s time to jump into altcoins. BTC.D shows Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap—the higher it is, the more liquidity flows into Bitcoin, often from altcoin sales. On the daily chart, we’re still above an upward trendline I mentioned in previous analyses, and altcoins haven’t made any real moves. When I say “moves,” I mean serious 100-500% or even 10,000% rallies , not just 10-20% pops. An altseason would be confirmed by a break of this trendline and a drop below support at 60.27. That’s when we’d expect massive altcoin gains, but it only works if Bitcoin’s already in a strong uptrend with solid market liquidity. Otherwise, don’t expect crazy altcoin pumps. The total market cap needs to be growing too for this to happen. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this recap sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for joining me at Skeptic Lab—let’s grow together with No FOMO. No hype. Just reason. Keep trading smart! <3✌️
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD): Breakout Triggers Set to Pop?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s fire up this Thursday morning with a fresh Gold (XAU/USD) analysis! 😊 We’re diving into the Daily Timeframe to spot the trend, then zooming into the 4-Hour Timeframe for juicy long and short triggers. Stay with me—let’s get to it! 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture Gold’s been on a tear, climbing to a high of 3416.19 (it went higher, but I’m using the candle close for faster triggers when we hit those levels :)). Now, we’re in a correction phase, forming a downward channel . This correction has been solid, dropping to the 0.5% Fibonacci retracement. What’s cool about this channel is how cleanly it’s reacting to the ceiling, floor, and midline, making it super valid for us. A break of either the ceiling or floor could give us some killer triggers. But since we’re in a correction, it’s smart to dial back risk on all positions. Lowering risk can mean taking profits quicker, shrinking position sizes, tighter stop losses, or a mix of these to keep your account safe. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for our long and short triggers. 📈 For longs, we’ve got two setups. The first is a bit risky since we haven’t confirmed the downward channel breakout yet—it’s a preemptive move. You can go long after breaking the resistance at 3366.71 . Our main long trigger, though, is a break above 3416.19 , which also cracks the channel’s ceiling and sets us up for new all-time highs. If you catch this one, don’t rush to take profits too fast—let it run! 📉 For shorts, a break below support at 3249.68 opens the door, with RSI hitting oversold as a solid confirmation. But since this goes against the major uptrend, it’s risky—take profits early and keep position sizes small to stay safe. :) 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum Fuels Short Setups!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! I know some of you might’ve missed our last USD/CHF short signal that hit a sweet 3:1 R/R—no worries! 😊 The market’s always here, so missing a trade isn’t the end of the world. I’m not here to push FOMO; my goal is to take you on a long-term trading journey, and I’m stoked to have you along for the ride! :))) Let’s get back to USD/JPY and break down the latest action. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture First, let’s zoom out and talk about the DXY (US Dollar Index), which recently broke the 99.005 support and turned bearish. This puts USD-based pairs like USD/JPY in the spotlight for short opportunities this week. Here’s what’s happening with USD/JPY: Trend Context: The major trend is bearish. Last week, sellers showed no mercy to buyers, and with DXY’s bearish move, we’re likely to see more of the same this week. Key Level: We’re currently reacting to a major daily support at 142.305. Expect a range or reaction here, so we must wait for confirmation before shorting. Recent Correction: The prior correction reached the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement and seems to have resumed the major bearish trend. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short setups. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups The 4-hour chart is giving us some clear signals to work with. Here’s the plan: Short Setup: Key Level: The 142.338 level is critical, as it formed a ceiling at 148.569 in the past and acted as support before. Trigger: If we form a lower high and then break below 142.305, open a short position. Confirmation: Use RSI to back up the breakout, ensuring momentum aligns. Why It Works: A lower high signals increasing weakness in this support, making a break more likely. Long Setup: My Take: I personally don’t have a long trigger right now. Both the major and minor trends are downtrends, so going long doesn’t make sense in these conditions. If You Insist: If you’re set on a long, wait for a break above 144.125. But keep it tight—low risk, small stop loss, and take profits quickly once you hit a decent R/R. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
3
Skeptic | SPX 500 Update: Bullish Breakout Brewing?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! It’s been a while since we’ve checked in on the SPX 500 , but the market’s now flashing a killer long opportunity with a high R/R—don’t miss this one! 😊 Stay with me to the end for the full breakdown. Let’s dive into the Daily Timeframe to set the stage. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The SPX 500 pulled off a deep correction , dropping from a high of 6154.64 to lows around 4810.39 with some wild shadows that caught everyone off guard. But now, it’s firing up with fresh momentum, carving out higher highs and higher lows that scream bullish strength. The corrections in this new uptrend are super shallow and flow with the trend—exactly what we want to see! After hitting resistance at 5961.82 , we’ve had a slight pullback, but it looks like this correction is wrapping up, and we’re on the verge of the next big uptrend leg. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups On the 4-hour chart, the correction shaped up as a descending trendline . We broke it, pulled back, and now we’re primed to crack 5895.39. A breakout above this level is our main long trigger. To get more precise, let’s check the 1-Hour Timeframe. For the long setup , a clean break above 5896.34 gets us in the game. This move also busts through P.P. Level 1, giving us solid confirmation, and we could ride the wave up to P.P. Levels 3 or 4, targeting 5930.83 to 5956.97 . Those are prime spots to lock in some profits, but don’t close the whole position—since we’re trading with the trend, we can hold for more upside. For shorts, I’ve got nothing. Going against this bullish momentum would be pure madness! I’d wait for a sharp drop below support at 5849.67 before even considering short triggers, but right now, there’s zilch. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this update sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out— let’s grow together and remember: Weathermen forecast. We trade! :))) ✌️
SPREADEX:SPXLong
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist! 👀XAG/USD Long Trigger : 33.68855, Short Trigger : 31.91991. 👀EUR/USD Long Trigger : 1.14183, Short Trigger : 1.12663. 👀USD/JPY Long Trigger : 144.125, Short Trigger : 142.218. 💬 Let’s Chat! If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | Silver (XAG/USD): Bullish Breakout Ready to Surge?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s dive into a quick Silver (XAG/USD) update—I’m catching some serious bullish vibes! 😎 On the 4-hour chart , Silver’s teasing a major resistance level right now. Keep your eyes locked on 33.68855 . If we break and hold above it, we could see a nice rally kick off. You can also use RSI hitting overbought to confirm that bullish momentum is heating up. Just stay patient and wait for that breakout confirmation to ride the wave! 👀 By the way, for you forex traders out there, what’s your go-to alternative to volume, which is super key in crypto? Drop your thoughts in the comments so we can learn together! 📝 💬 Let’s Chat! If this sparks some trading ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Want me to dive into another pair or setup? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out—keep trading sharp! ✌️
OANDA:XAGUSD
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | USD/CHF Analysis: Short Setups Ready to Pop!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the week with a sharp USD/CHF analysis, a pair that’s flashing some juicy short opportunities! 📉 Stick around as I break down why this could be a prime setup. Let’s dive in with the Daily Timeframe. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture USD/CHF has been rocking a major bullish trend, but in recent weeks, it’s slipped into a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This tells us the bullish momentum is still alive and kicking. The last candle, closed on May 12, was a full bearish engulfing pattern, showing that despite the correction, buyer strength is weak, and sellers are taking over. Because of this, if our short triggers activate, we could ride the continuation of the major bullish trend (likely a typo in the original, as the context suggests a bearish move for shorts) and target levels at 0.81904 and 0.80865 . If 0.80865 breaks, per Dow Theory, the major bullish trend officially resumes, and we can open shorts with more confidence and higher risk. With this big-picture view, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to find our long and short triggers. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups For our short setup, the main trigger is a break below the support at 0.83264 . As you can see, we’ve reacted to this support twice, but each time, we formed lower highs, signaling this support is getting weaker and weaker. This makes a break more likely. You could place a stop sell below this level, but personally, I wait for a breakout candle on the 15-minute timeframe to confirm. For a long setup, I’m not opening longs until we consolidate above 0.83902 and see uptrend momentum return. The risk of hitting a stop loss is too high otherwise, and since we’d be trading against the main trend, sudden reversals are likely, giving us a lower R/R. 😎 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Short
by SkepticWise
1
Skeptic | XRP Analysis: Can It Hit $6 After Bitcoin’s $111k?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Bitcoin just smashed through the $107K resistance, shaking up the whole crypto scene! Is XRP ready to rocket to $6 ? Curious about spot and futures triggers? Stick with me to the end of this analysis for the full breakdown. 😊 Let’s dive in with the Daily Timeframe. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture After an epic 500% rally , XRP has entered a consolidation phase, which we can spot from the decreasing volume. It’s too early to call this a distribution or re-accumulation, but I’m leaning toward re-accumulation for a few reasons: Bitcoin’s Uptrend: The ongoing bullish trend in Bitcoin is fueling crypto market liquidity. Positive XRP News: Ripple and the U.S. SEC reached a settlement in early May 2025, ending a long legal battle over XRP’s status as a security. Ripple paid a $50 million fine, with $75 million of a $125 million escrow returned. This cleared major regulatory uncertainty, boosting investor confidence and paving the way for broader U.S. adoption. XRP Spot ETF Speculation: BlackRock reportedly discussed an XRP ETF application with the SEC, and firms like Franklin Templeton and Bitwise have filed for XRP ETFs. With the SEC’s new crypto-friendly leadership, the odds of ETF approval are 80-85% by the end of 2025, potentially unlocking massive institutional capital. Spot Trigger: The main trigger is a break and consolidation above 3.3684 , which aligns with breaking the daily consolidation box. This could kick off a new momentum wave. Expect a sharp breakout, so don’t miss it! If you’re aiming for a long-term buy, I’ll share lower timeframe triggers to front-run this breakout. First Target : After breaking the box’s ceiling, aim for 6.64 . I cloned the box and placed it above, as this often works for target setting. 🙂 Tip: Pay close attention to Bitcoin and USDT.D for better target spotting. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups On the 4-hour chart, price action is getting tighter and tighter, which is awesome. Why? The longer we range, the more liquidity builds up, setting us up for a sharp move with smaller stop losses compared to trending markets. Here’s the breakdown: Market Context: The 4-hour timeframe shows stronger bearish momentum, but remember: the major trend is uptrend, and the secondary trend is consolidation. For shorts, keep position risk low since we’re in a bullish major trend. For longs, hold positions longer and, if possible, lock in profits early without closing the entire position. Long Setup: Trigger : Open a long after a break above 2.4742 . Key Notes: Ensure the break comes with rising volume to avoid a fake breakout. Reduce profit-taking on this position. Why? Higher levels have more liquidity, leading to sharp moves, making it harder to open new positions. Short Setup: Trigger: Open a short after a break below support at 2.2926 . Advice: Take profits quickly and close the position when you hit your targets. The current candle looks like it failed to break out and formed a shadow, which could increase the odds of a return to the ceiling and a resistance break. Front-Running Spot Trigger: To front-run the daily box breakout, open a position after breaking 2.9789 on the 4-hour timeframe. XRP/BTC Analysis XRP/BTC had a solid rally but is now in a price correction, and it’s a weak correction at that. Here’s what to watch: Key Level : A break above resistance at 0.00002548 could bring back uptrend momentum to XRP/BTC. Implication: If this breaks, buying XRP becomes more logical than Bitcoin, as XRP could outperform. Until Then: Stick with longs on BTC, as liquidity is flowing more into Bitcoin, giving it stronger growth potential. Pro Tip: Checking the BTC pair is a game-changer—trust me! 😎 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Let's grow together! 🤍
by SkepticWise
1