HP (Helmerich & Payne) Triangle Pattern shows 10% gain comingHP is a well-managed company that lost about 45% of its stock value during the once in a lifetime epic oil downturn. Its prospects look bright as the oil market starts to rebound. The charts also indicate it's about to spring up with a triangle pattern showing seller being edged out. Throw in a 4% dividend right now and it looks like you've got yourself a winner.
SLB
NEXT WEEK'S EARNINGS PLAYS -- NFLX, IBM, GS, SBUX, AND OTHERSNext week is literally hopping with potential earnings announcement plays.
I've tried to pick out the ones that (1) have > 70% implied volatility rank; (2) offer greater than a 1.00 credit ($100) for the "classic" one standard deviation short strangle setup; (3) have fairly good liquidity with options prices; and (4) offer weeklies, but there are also a few >.50/<1.00 credit plays that I might nevertheless play (e.g., CREE, SBUX), although I think I can afford to be picky here given the selection ... .
PLAYS TO PUT ON TUESDAY
CREE -- Tuesday, after market close. High implied vol rank/high implied vol, but <1.00 credit for a 1 standard deviation short strangle.
IBM -- Tuesday, after market close.
NFLX -- Tuesday, after market close.
GS -- Wednesday, before market open.
PLAYS TO PUT ON WEDNESDAY
SBUX -- Wednesday, after market close. High implied vol/but implied vol <50% and <1.00 credit.
PLAYS TO PUT ON THURSDAY
SLB -- Thursday, after market close. I don't think I've every played this underlying. It's a tech company that provides support to oil and gas, and I've got plenty of petro plays on.
Notes: There are also a couple of earnings plays that might be interesting to play via other methods. One of these that comes to mind is KMI. It's got a high implied volatility rank, high implied volatility, and liquidity. The problem is that the price of the underlying is currently $13.00, so you just can't get enough premium out of it via short strangle or iron condor to bother with it using one of those strategies ... .
XLE Broke Significant Support on Crude Price WoesPlease check out the full article here: oilpro.com
The Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLE) has been battered, and it is starting to bruise.
With the price of crude now just hovering $43 per barrel, this exchange-traded fund (ETF) is likely to get a whole lot cheaper.
This fund has support near-term because Wall Street is discounting recent events in the oil industry, as they did during the second-half of 2014. It also pays a dividend of 2.93 percent (SEC 30-day).
Thinking back, the Federal Reserve's call that lower gas prices (via lower oil) was "unambiguously good" is striking a nerve with those laid of in the energy sector, which shed nearly 68,000 jobs last month alone.
With a technical perspective, the XLE has confirmed downside weakness with a close below the major support trend created on 2009's bottom.
The trend's momentum could weakening slightly as traders fish off the bottom, but the strength of the trend still remains quite strong - ADX over 20 and a substantial divergence between +/-DMI.
Near-term range for XLE is $64.39 and $71.46, while a "relief" rally could spark buying up to $74.12; but, crude would have to play nicely.
If current price support breaks, XLE will trend lower within the disjointed angle (purple dotted line with grey shaded body), which represents widening support and resistance.
Additionally, the "death cross" is close to completion on the weekly chart. This bearish technical signal occurs when the 50-week moving average dips below the 200-week moving average.
At $43.27/bbl, crude is less than $2.00 about its inflation-adjusted price.
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