SLV
GOLD Plan Your Trade For 8-7 : Huge Dual-Leg Rally Setup $2550+Gold is setting up a unique dual-leg rally phase, and traders need to be aware of this before the move is complete.
The recent panic setoff by the BOJ unsettled the markets - including Gold.
The Yen Carry-trade unwound over the past 5+ days - resulting in a very consolidated downward price trend in Gold.
I believe Gold is about to make two very big moves to the upside.
The first move will be quick. Probably lasting only 2 or 3 days.
The second move may be a bit longer, but it has the ability to rally well above $2550 as Gold reverts higher.
Please pay attention to this video if you follow Gold. Gold as a hedge is one thing. This move is related to the reversion pressure and the protection of currency devaluation after the past 3+ weeks of global decoupling.
I believe this next rally in gold will be explosive (min upside target $2550 or higher).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD Plan Your Trade 7-31 - Gold Reaches Upper Flag ChannelPrepare for Gold to move into a consolidation phase lasting 5 to 10 days before moving higher again.
The next upper target area is $2560++.
Watch this video and consider what I see as a structural Flag formation.
Gold will continue to attempt to move higher - but it will do so in structural price waves.
If you are holding any open long positions, be prepared to protect those positions as I see Gold flagging sideways (attempting to contract downward) in about 2~3 days.
The current upward price move appears to be over.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold/Silver/Metals Cycle Patterns - Rally - Rally - RallyThis short update highlights what I call the "Kamala Shakeout" - which is uncertainty and fear driving market trends over the past 48+ hours.
Be prepared for a sudden and aggressive move to the inside in metals as uncertainty fades.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD Cycle Patterns - Get Ready - Rally - Rally - RallyThis short video shows how my GOLD Cycle Patterns are set up for a broad upward price move in Gold/Silver over the next 5+ trading days.
If you've been following my Plan Your Trade videos (for the SPY/QQQ), you'll probably love these Gold Cycle Patterns and my metals research.
Some people continue to comment that my research is "Spot On". I tend to agree, but remember, these patterns are only about 80% accurate over 12 months.
Still, there is nothing else like these SPY/GOLD Cycle Patterns that provide clear/actionable trading signals/insights 2~3 weeks into the future.
Check it out... Get ready for Gold to target $2550+ over the next 5+ trading days.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Bitcoin v SilverBitcoin vs Physical Silver gives a calmer view of bitcoin value increase.
It follows a repeating trend of bitcoin supply halving (yellow), followed by supply shock run-up to correct value (orange circles).
Each halving has consisted of 3 phases (blue) we are entering the breakout price discovery phase, with potential 15x return against silver.
Silver is about to blast off for 3 weeks! (OPTIONS PLAY INSIDE) Livermore Accumulation Pattern is playing out, low is tomorrow till Wednesday, high will be July expiration to possibly end of July. Please check out my previous threads on AMEX:SILJ and NASDAQ:QQQ to see a repeating fractal that the market has been on since COVID.
Right now buy calls for $35 for July for $1-$2 and you're return will be 50-75-156x returns!!
NFA ;-)
Then there will be a plummet in silver, and it'll ride back up to tag $50 before EOY.
Silver Miners pop, down and then launchI feel a flash crash coming on, similar to Covid - wouldn't surprise me if Birdflu was the catalyst (see my NASDAQ:GILD idea). The patterns line up exactly the same. You can't see it with this picture, but tons of my indicators are going off -which I will post below. Silver Miners will exit the ascending triangle this go around as the commodity supercycle takes off. Could silver miners go a little more up then down? Absolutely, but miners are sensitive to market rallys and poundings like other stocks (see the pandemic in March 2020 on the chart).
Gold & Silver Build Momentum Into A New Rally PhaseAre you following my videos/research? If not, pay attention.
Gold and Silver will start to build momentum over the next few weeks - eventually moving 5 to 12% higher before mid-September.
This is a huge move for metals and will prompt Gold to attempt a rally toward $2750 while Silver attempts to rally above $32 - possibly targeting $34.
The dynamics of the global markets and the pending US POTUS elections will continue to drive global traders harder into precious metals as a hedge.
Nothing has changed.
The only thing that is new and taking place right now is the pause in metals is nearing an end point - which means we shift into bullish trending again.
Get ready - here we go (BULLISH)
Junior Miners will take some time off soon I see a repeat of March 2020 happening but with birdflu (check out my silver miners AMEX:SILJ thread where the fractal looks better).
Within 5 months, miners had a 42% gain, but within that time period there were 2 huge drops and 3 huge gains:
1. $46-$20 (56% loss) in 2 weeks (June-July)
2. $20-$40 (100% gain) in 4 weeks (July-August)
3. $40-$50 (25% gain) in 4 weeks (August-September)
4. $50-$42 (15% loss) in 4 weeks (September-October)
5. $42-$65 (55% gain) in 6 weeks (October-Mid November)
We'll want to target events 1, 2 and 5. OTM puts and calls on AMEX:NUGT , AMEX:JNUG and AMEX:AGQ will be the way to go on this assuming some exogenous event doesn't take down our markets (hack, EMP etc.), and IV is affordable. 1 will be moderately expensive because of hitting the top (unless it grinds slowly sideways dragging IV down with it). 2 could be pretty expensive. 5 should be highly affordable after a slow walk up and down for 2 months.
I will also be keeping a close eye on several junior miners like NYSE:EXK and one pharmaceutical company NASDAQ:GILD (check those threads also)
Opening (IRA): SLV July 26th 25 Monied Covered Call... for a 24.26 debit.
Comments: High IV here at 36.4%. Using the July 26th weekly here for the setup, since this is one of those options highly liquid underlyings with both liquid monthlies and weeklies, and I like to attempt to keep things in that 45 DTE wheelhouse if I can.
Because of the size of this underlying, I'm looking to ladder out if we get continued weakness, but am fine with taking my Happy Meal profits and move on if that happens.
Here, I like the metrics of the monied covered call relative to a similarly delta'd short put, so sold a -75 delta call against a one lot to emulate a 25 delta short put's metrics, but have the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 24.26
Max Profit: .74 ($74)
ROC at Max: 3.05%
50% Max: .37 ($37)
ROC at 50% Max: 1.53%
2XBEAR JUNIOR MINERS LOOKING GOOD FROM HERE!It's time for precious metals to take a cooler.
I noticed AMEX:JDST 's options for $5 is off the chart compared to other months. I bought calls for .20 for $5 strike price in September. I anticipating these going to 2.00 by then which is 1000% return.
I also think AMEX:DUST is worthy of buying at these levels too - except they don't have miners, but I see a 500% return for this stock by the fall.
I will also link to some supportive ideas following this post.
2XBEAR MINERS LOOKING GOOD FROM HERE!It's time for precious metals to take a cooler.
I noticed JDST's options for $5 is off the chart compared to other months. I bought calls for .20 for $5 strike price in September. I anticipating these going to 2.00 by then which is 1000% return.
I also think DUST is worthy of buying at these levels too - except they don't have miners, but I see a 500% return for this stock by the fall.
I will also link to some supportive ideas following this post.
Silver is in short term consolidation before breaking $30It doesn't matter what short term paper contracts do, or taking profits - the East is importing gold and silver at a beguiling rate that won't allow for much shenanigans for the metals market. I was however surprised to see the price bounce exactly off the top of the box.
I see silver going down to $24 area, shake out some hands, and rocket up past $30 after options expiration date. I see a smaller consolidation week in May before going even higher.
I HIGHLY recommend Silver Miners right now. They saw some life this week and last - and since they usually lag, I can see them being down for the next two weeks before going up themselves. I like AMEX:SIL , AMEX:SILJ , and NUGT for indices, and NYSE:NEM for the best miner in the world for one simple reason - AMERICA will be the LAST country to nationalize their natural resources in a communistic reaction to the skyrocketing dollar. I expect that to happen starting next year.
Double Top in Gold That Strangely is Correlated with NividiaDid you know gold and Nividia have an 81% correlation? That's strange. (chart in comments)
I see a double top in gold.
TTM Squeeze firing on weekly, daily, 4 hourly and it's a continuation of a squeeze on the hourly. TTM Squeeze's usually bounce off the opposite side when it breaks/fakes out. Outside an exogenous event I see pm's taking the summer off and reawakening in the fall when the dollar tops out after the BOJ sells US treasuries after China devalues their currency after the dollar spikes when Europe cuts rates soon. It's going to be an epic chain reaction.
The FED will cut rates heading into the election and if Trump wins he'll ride the last meme wave until it crashes and reinstitute a gold standard, or if Biden wins we get CBDC's.
I'll be looking for low IV OTM calls in the fall after the FED cuts rates...
Gold & Silver have done very well#GOLD & #SILVER have been on tear for some time.
Both showed bullish patterns & we took advantage of that.
GOLD
We've been long term holders of the shiny metal but we did take a chunk of the "paper gold" profits (stocks, contracts)
Want to step back in but RSI and $ flow have lost some steam, waiting.
Silver
Still looks pretty good.
Volume is still heavy for both = demand.
AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV $PSLC AMEX:CEF
This little guy is about to rocket 700% minimumThis is a great leveraged silver miner play. I can see this easily doing more than 700% when silver breaks its ATH, which this miner wasn't even around for, so I can say that it can do 1400%. Obviously do your own research, this is NOT financial advice. I also own this miner myself so I put my money where my mouth is...
Silver will fall 10% - AGQ will fall 20% for retracementA 70% chance that silver provides a retracement next week, as the attacks on Israel by Iran are not coming out - and the West is getting desperate (I smell a false flag if Iran doesn't bite).
Asia (ChIndia - China & India) are hodling silver and gold and will provide the impetus for the forward price of precious metals.
TTM squeezes normally see price bounce off the opposite end as a fakeout before its continuation. I see that on multiple smaller TF's and a retracement to the middle BB on higher TF's.
I see a huge boost of silver miners coming up shortly, but for now I see a consolidation happening. Options for AMEX:AGQ was .05 for $36 June, so I see this going up to $1 or 20x if all goes as planned.
Then time to reload for metals blasting off!