SHORT SILVER - near term target $18.50Would look at any bounce as opportunities to go SHORT around 19.75
Put options on ETF - SLV
Broke below moving averages in downtrend
MACD Negative
HUGE divergence on MACD -BEARISH
Rising Rates
Slowing Economy - Recession
Demand Imploding
SLV
Gold & Silver Reaching A Launchpad with Currencies (like 2003)Many traders believe the current setup in Gold/Silver is similar to 2018 or 2015. But the reality is this is more similar to 1999~2003 with a strong US Dollar and weakening global currencies.
As long as Gold/Silver continue to strengthen while the US Dollar stays strong, foreign currencies will weaken and wreak havoc on foreign markets.
Eventually, the risk levels will increase in foreign markets which will send FEAR skyrocketing. That will move capital into Gold/Silver and break the channel/trends that are currently in place.
I believe we are very close (possibly 2 to 4+ months away) from that breaking point.
Watch global Emerging Markets and foreign governments for signs of collapse. These will be the early warning signs that Gold/Silver are "T-minus 10".
Once the US Dollar peaks/turns, we'll be at "T-minus 3".
At that point, everything will be ALL SYSTEMS GO for Gold & Silver.
Pay attention. This is a huge setup for precious metals.
Silver - Golden Idea?
We are at almost 200% regular volume in the Futures market and is completely divergent - that said JP MORGAIN $JPM can do whatever they want - as they control the silver market. Gold is at 130% of reg volume BTW.
They blue and white lines in the RSI are indicting the increase of volume. This kind of volume is NOT common - while were moving up - we're being pulled up - not pushed.
The day Silver makes a life changing move up - will NOT be during the NY session. I am short back to $18.50 where the weekly POC lies.
www.wsj.com
nypost.com
mikesmoneytalks.ca
www.bullionstar.com
$SLV three possible outcomes, all lead to lower prices?While many people have started to turn bullish on $SLV, stating it's undervalued (which it very well may be), looking at the chart tells a different story. If you zoom out, SLV looks to be correcting still.
I see three possibilities in price action from here, and all lead to lower prices in $SLV.
While there may be a squeeze higher in the short term, I can't really see price getting above the $24 level. If we were to reject there, or below that level, it sets up the stage for a sharp move lower, somewhere into the $13-16 range. I've put key levels of support on the chart on the way down. I see this move taking the next 2-3 years to fully play out, and if it does, that would be a great range to buy for the long term as I'd expect SLV to finally breakout of a 10yr+ bear market afterwards.
Gold weekly chart broke down and headed lower.Gold weekly...The huge bull pennant has been
broken now...it seems it will head down to the
red consolidation box and the RSI should reset
and begin to make the next move up. The MACD
is still not bottoming out either. Price targets
and support lines are still intact.
FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER - PRESSURE BUILDINGThis is a weekly chart of AG, First Majestic Silver Corp. I like to call this pattern a giant compression wedge - it's just a simple descending triangle. But considering this is on the weekly timeframe, it's a mammoth-sized wedge. I like the pattern but I really like the company. I'll try to focus on the technical analysis, but First Majestic looks incredibly well positioned for what's unfolding in the metals market. They have their ducks in a row.
If you follow my ideas, then you'll know how I feel about precious metals. I believe we're facing a perfect storm that will propel precious metals & miners to incredible levels. The monetary circus, supply & demand, inflation, gold:silver ratio, and the commodity cycle are just a few of the ingredients in the recipe.
I'm torn about direction. Equities, the dollar, precious metals, and the miners are in a pivotal place. The dollar looks like it's trying to find a bottom. It's possible that the metals, miners, and equities get pushed down hard again.. potentially another crash. Having another crash in equities, metals, miners, etc.. would be my preferred path because I suspect that it wouldn't last long.. Inflation is coming but don't rule out another deflationary hiccup. I like to buy stuff cheap and so I'll be thrilled to have another discount. Watch the dollar. I think we're going to know soon.. and watch First Majestic. It would be incredible to have it tag (E) of this wedge. The measured move of this pattern is somewhere around 39-40 but a move from $4.00 to 40 is a 10x compared to the 2x it is from current prices.
XAGUSD 4H Possible scenarioI just wished that this would be the bottom, this would be the end, and just buy buy buy but, FED and Treasury are way more popular than Gold n Silver these days, specially Silver, despite higher cost for mining and, despite industrial demand for Silver to build solar panels and energy efficient cars, that's not what the price of Silver reflects
It's just down down down as everyday passes and, i'm just wondering what could've possibly gone wrong so i could just sit n watch the central planners just get away with this ? what this world has became and why do we people just keep listening to what central banks say
After all those poor people in 2008 who lost almost everything, their homes, their 401k their trust in life, why on earth history has to repeat itself and i'm just wondering when people including me gonna say, wait a minute, why do we have to keep doing this like a sheep ?
SLV - Long bear trap opporutnityPrice is moving up from the 9 month support level. Two bear traps in May and June and now price is breaking out.
Formulate a plan with solid money management. What if it doesn't work out? How will you respond?
Define how much you're willing to bet. Anything can happen (Mark Douglas)
Risk: 180 bps
Profit Protection: 3-Day Trailing Stop Rule (Peter Brandt)
Silver Breakout Long SetupToday a member of my social media pointed out that Silver may be setting up for a long trade. I like the price action on the Daily where Silver instruments (futures and SLV) have broken the 6 month 50% Retracement Resistance at 23 and confirmed the break by holding above it for the last few days. This sets up a breakout trade to retest the recent major highs around 26. I expressed this trade with the instrument SLVO
Getting excited for Silver?So with much elation those that were pumping silver over the weekend cheered a 7% gap open on futures. However, this move fails to break the most recent high. If traders are looking for technical confirmation first then this would be the high to mark as the breakout level. Jumping in at the open Monday would be doing so at a dangerous level.
1 of multiple scenarios for the S&PThe S&P closed right under major resistance on friday. This leaves the door open for 1 of multiple scenarios to play out.
1- the market tanks from here and dips below 3800
2- the market dips, hold a higher low then breaks thru resistance to 4321, then 4400
3- the market melts up to the top of the channel at 4400
$SLV Elliott Wave BeginnerStill sticking with my original EW counting.
Not sure if the corrective waves is done yet.
It can possibly go down to 15 before it hits TP1 because silver and gold tends to dramatically decrease during recession.
Still in the long run $SLV might have a lot of potential to go higher than ath.
SILVER XAGUSD Supply And Demand Support And Resistance AnalysisPlease see picture for analysis.
-Price is reacting off of demand/support that's been holding for 2 years now.
-Still a very high demand for REAL physical silver.
-Waiting for confirmation.
Thoughts? if you like it don't forget to hit the like =)
XAUUSD GOLD Supply And Demand AnalysisSee Picture Short for analysis..
Thoughts? I love gold for buying so this woud be a small risk.