SLX
SLX Steel ETF Monthly view. Be aware of strong seasonalitySteel has been on a rip. New 52 week highs in:
STLD steel 999 sctr rating
SLX steel 996 sctr rating
ZEUS steel 974 sctr rating
(see stockcharts.com for definition of sctr rating).
Barchart has a strong buy on the ETF, with acknowledgement that reopening China is good for business. But before I would jump on the FOMO bandwagon, I would take note of the very strong seasonal downtrend that has occurred around every May. Ride it a little longer maybe but be ready to hop off the train.
Clear VCP in $VALE, I'm waiting for the breakoutSo the technicals are great, excellent uptrend with the price above its MAs and now formming a third base in which I'm waiting for the breakout to enter a position. The pattern is accompanied by low volume, that's good too. Also, is leading its sector. Very strong realtive strength against the Steel ETF AMEX:SLX , which has a 17% allocation of the stock.
Today Zacks gave it a Rank #1 for STRONG BUY and, is Rank #1 in its industry in the IBD Investors Group Leaderboard with a 92 Rating on the IBD Relative Strength. These are all good bullish signs. I'll be setting a stop buy order in $23.35 with a sell target in $27.10.
Another thing I like is that NYSE:VALE has a strong revenue growth since 2017.
MT steel sector
Shares of several steel companies are trading higher, potentially amid US infrastructure optimism and outlook for an economic recovery, both of which could lift demand. Additionally, ArcelorMittal (MT) reportedly raised flat steel price offers.
Steel Stocks Higher Friday: US Steel Up 8%, Nucor Up 7%, Arcelor Mittal Up 6%, Steel Dynamics Up 5%(Benzinga)
While I don't buy the news... it can confirm my observations.
03-26-2021 Buying with a small position (30%) due to market conditions. MT is in the metals and mining steel sector. Also, bought SLX ETF. All key stocks in this EFT have positive YTD return.
YOY Earnings 67.4%
Qtly: 57.89%
Others in sector up
For educational purposes only... not trading advice.
Undervalued Steel BreakoutTechnical Analysis
We have a breakout on strong intraday volume (200% above 10-day average).
RSI @67 - still not overbought.
OBV has been supportive.
Because we are in a longer down-trend, we will see multiple resistance; which will very helpful to set your limits.
Risk reward ratio is great, using $32.3 as stop-limit loss, and $39 as a sell-exit.
Be careful of a fake break-out, as this is only the 1st day.
Fundamental Analysis
One of the infrastructure plays with expected fiscal stimulus, could be steel.
As price is king, it tells a more accurate story of what market makers think of the upcoming events.
Taking a close look at US STEEL XI really like US STEEL down here. I've had my eye on this one for some time but the trend is still technically pointing down. Following the price direction and watching strength/momentum is key. I can speculate and say this is an excellent buy (I think it's fantastic).. However, the trend is still pointing down even though I see value here. Notice the hidden bearish divergence it's been forming for months..Be smart and stick to price direction. It could flush 50-60% lower before finding a final bottom..In my opinion it might be best to wait for confirmation of trend change and strength.