A SMA pair that still being the most profitable for 13 years!Hey there!
This is an example of how you can improve and simplify your trading decisions using algorithmic approaches.
Watching this video you can see that SMA 15/16 crossover trading system still being the most profitable combination for the last 13 years on daily AUDCAD.
The most profitable combination of the periods was obtained using Profitable SMA Crossover . You can see this indicator below the price chart. What is intresting is that it uses a decision tree-based algorithm under the hood to find and plot the most profitable SMA combination and that makes it stand out from other technical analysis indicators.
As I promised, this year I will work a lot on optimizing classical indicators and strategies.
Good luck and Happy Trading!
Sma
The SMA cross strategy In this educational idea I’ll cover the SMA cross strategy. I’ll will cover how it works, what my peripheral values are and how it can work for you.
The Simple moving averages cross strategy is a strategy where you buy something on a buy-signal of the indicator and sell it on a target, for example if you had 5% profit.
What is a moving average? A moving average is an indicator which helps you smooth out “noise” in a graph. The indicator is based on a formula you can find the formula below. You can add values to the indicator, let’s say you want a MA of 9 candles you just add a value of 9. You usually use more than one MA, I prefer using a 7 candle MA and a 25 candle MA. The thing I like on moving averages is that you can use them in any time frame.
What is a buy signal? A buy signal is created when the long moving averages (in my case the 25 candle MA) gets underneath the short one (in my case the 7 candle MA). When that happens a buy signal is created. When the opposite occurs it’s a sell order.
How to determine a target. Your goal is to make money, but how can you make as much money as possible with this strategy. You have to determine a goal, so an exit-position. Your exit-position is the hardest thing of this strategy, but you can use an average of what happened before. If the average of positive “breakouts” is for example 5% profit you can use 5% profit as target.
How to use a SMA strategy to make you money. Not all the SMA crosses will lead to profit, most of them are even false “breakouts”. So before you buy something on a buy-signal you have to wait a few seconds and watch what the price will do, when it goes up you buy, when it does nothing of goes down you do nothing. If you want to make money using this strategy you have to set a stop-loss, I recommend to always set a stop-loss not only for this strategy. You can keep your stop-loss really close to your buy order.
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UUUU - Could Go Either Way Short Term; Bullish Long TermClosed after a small bounce off the 50D SMA, just below the 100D. This stock has been incredibly correlated with the 50, 100 and 200D averages. Short-term, Wait to see which direction it breaks (above 100 or below 50) and long/short appropriately. Long term, still very bullish. Global uranium demand is only set to increase drastically, as well as being the only vanadium produced in the US.
The section 232 for Energy Fuels will be absolutely massive if approved and based on Trump's previous policy, that seems fairly likely. However, if denied it will destroy a lot of enthusiasm. The 232 was filed Jan 16th, 2018, and they were federally inspected a couple months ago. Once an investigation is started (started in July 2018), the final decision must be made within 360 days.
Fibonacci Sequence BTC price, and SMA 15 days to see next moves I start to study a little bit more of Fibonacci sequence and try those numbers on Bitcoin.
First, I setup a horizontal line from each Fibonacci sequence numbers as BTC price and find very interesting support and resistance levels
BNC:BLX
After that, I took the 15 days candles and put SMA with this numbers: 13, 34, 55, 89 and 144 (from Fibonacci sequence again).
The red arrow show to us that bitcoin fall to the 144 SMA level after the 13 SMA cross the 55 SMA.
And the green arrow is when 13 SMA Cross the 89 SMA and after that, Bitcoin bounce on 13 SMA to 89 SMA and stay there for a few month and then, when 13 SMA cross the 144 SMA, Bull race happen.
The 34 Period SMA & It's Relationship to the 500 DoubleHullYou'll note the 34 pulls thru, the pricing data runs back to 500 Double Hull and that's the shove off for most direction changes as shown in this graph of IMGN... Expecting significant upside based on my daily momentum model.
brschultz
The Question: Will S&P 500 4HR 34 SMA reject @ 500 Double HullI think we are in a bear market until March 2020
You can see from history the 34 has bounced off the Double Hull 500. We are approaching... will see if this ties out to my short term momentum model that i am testing ( maybe a Feb 5th peak for short term markets? ).
brschultz : markettimer777
MONERO INSANE PROFIT ?!?!
XMRBTC situated into a big big falling wedge which is a reversal pattern. What is the most important XMR have SMA monthly support which is insane strong :)
Stochastic is oversold
RSI curbating up now is below neutral zone
MACD probably will curbate up soon because to remain bullish in long term we need to hit neutral zone(0) and go up
Gold is pushed up by 55-hour SMAThe yellow metal's price has surged above the 1,285.00 level by the middle of Wednesday's trading session. Moreover, the surge was expected to continue.
In general, it could be observed that the commodity price was pushed higher by the 55-hour simple moving average. The price surged and retraced back down to the SMA during the last couple of weeks.
Sneak Peek: Intelligent Moving Average (AI)Here is the first sneak peak of the beta-version Intelligent Moving Average (AI).
Remember, this is currently the ONLY intelligent indicator on TradingView and any other indicator labelled as an "Intelligent" indicator may not be artificially intelligent.
I have been working hard to publish this in a reasonable amount of time and I should be done with it within the next couple of days (or less.)
Thanks for all of the kind messages and support.
BTC bullflag 1h analysis1hr analysis
Try to blank out what doesn't look relevant as I can't be arsed hiding lines etc to make it simpler and cleaner
(this is why a layers/groups option on drawings would be ideal, remove drawing objects related to an idea eg all trend lines or later for diamond bottom at the click of a button) anyway I digress
Looks to be painting a flag (blue line through candles as they break out of diamond)
flag pole length would bring it in line to reject after touching 200sma (white)
and it also lines up with a gap in the volume profile 3698 3704 3726 are numbers I am watching for candle tops / wicks
REMEMBER - I know we all know this but it is easy to forget. All ideas are second guessing using indicators and other factors to guide us. Everything can change on a candle.
BTCUSD Short Idea - Fibonacci and Stoch used 1HMy idea is that BTCUSD, without any major fundamental changes, will continue further down after it's recent retracement. My initial target is the low's of August 2017. Longer time frame(s) have been glanced at and an appropriate risk/reward ratio has been set. The 1W timeframe shows the initial target roaming around the 200SMA.
Optimised Moving Average!About
This tool measures the profitability of every moving average length combination between 5 and 40 and only displays the most profitable combination.
The Optimised Moving Average can be tested using a Moving Average strategy and the Strategy Tester panel on any instrument or time-stamp.
This can be used on its own, or paired with the Intelligent Moving Average (AI) for a better understanding of the indicators movements.
Challenge
Comment your favourite technical indicator that you would like to be optimised and intelligent in the comments below!
Intelligent Moving Average (AI)Introduction
This indicator uses machine learning (Artificial Intelligence) to solve a real human problem.
The Moving Average is the most used indicator on the planet, yet no one really knows what pair of moving average lengths works best in combination with each other.
A reason for this is because no two moving averages are always going to be the best on every instrument, time-frame, and at any given point in time.
The " Intelligent Moving Average " solves the moving average problem by adapting the period length to match the most profitable combination of moving averages in real time.
How does the Intelligent Moving Average work?
The artificial intelligence that operates these moving average lengths was created by an algorithm that tests every single combination across the entire chart history of an instrument for maximum profitability in real-time.
No matter what happens, the combination of these moving averages will be the most profitable.
Can we learn from the Intelligent Moving Average?
There are many lessons to be learned from the Intelligent Moving Average. Most will come with time as it is still a new concept.
Adopting the usefulness of this AI will change how we perceive moving averages to work.
Limitations
Ultimately, there are no limiting factors within the range of combinations that has been programmed. The moving averages will operate normally, but may change lengths in unexpected ways - maybe it knows something we don't?
Thresholds
The range of moving average lengths is between 5 to 40.
Additional coverage resulted in TradingView server errors.
Future Updates!
You can find this indicator in the Indicator Library above your chart, forever!
Soon, I will be publishing tools to test the AI and visualise what moving average combination the AI is currently using.
View the videos that preceded this post here:
TradingView's First Intelligent Indicator!The Moving Average is the most used indicator on the planet, yet no one really knows what pair of moving average lengths works best in combination with each other.
A reason for this is because no two moving averages are always going to be the best on every instrument, time-frame, and at any given point in time.
This will no longer be a problem because this free to use indicator will plot only the most profitable pair of moving average on your chart
when it is applied and it will update when a different combination of moving average lengths becomes more profitable .
This will be the first of a series of indicators that self optimise in real-time called the "Intelligent Series (AI)".
If you like this concept, you will like the indicator.
Also, please like this if you wish to support my endeavours as a contributor and wish to see more intelligent indicators as it is a lot of work.
Comment down below your favourite technical indicator that you want to become intelligent!