BTCUSD ONLY INTRADAY BEARISH BELOW $7,200Bitcoin may have found a temporary price-high, after price spiked sharply higher on Friday, then quickly reversed back towards key support. Price action on the BTCUSD pair appears overstretched, while the MACD indicator across the four-hour time frame is also starting to point lower. BTCUSD sellers need to contain price below the $7,200 support level, while buyers will look to hold the BTCUSD pair above the $ 7,500 level.
The BTCUSD pair is only intraday bearish while trading below the $7,200 level, key technical support below $7,200 level is located at the $7,000 and $6,837 levels.
If the BTCUSD pair continues to trade above the $7,500 level, further upside towards the $7,738 and $8,000 resistance levels seems possible.
Sma
ETHUSD FUTHER BEARISH BELOW $440Ethereum continues to drift lower after a strong technical rejection from the $500 level and a loss of the key $482 support level. The MACD indicator on the four-hour time frame is pointing lower, with price fast-approaching the $450 support zone. ETHUSD sellers will aim to break below the $440 level, while buyers will attempt to move price back above the key $482 level.
The ETHUSD pair remains bearish while trading below the $482 level, further losses towards the $440 and $415 support levels seems possible.
If the ETHUSD pair moves above the $482 level, buyers will likely test towards the $500 and $530 resistance levels.
GBPUSD UNDER PRESSURE BELOW 1.3030 LEVELThe British pound has recovered back above the 1.3000 level against the US dollar, after the US dollar index failed to make traction above the 95.50 level on Thursday. The GBPUSD pair is likely to remain under heavy downside pressure on Friday while trading below the 1.3030 resistance level. Sellers will look for further losses below the 1.3000 level, while buyers will attempt to stabilize price above the 1.3030 level.
The GBPUSD pair is strongly bearish while trading below the 1.3030 level, key technical support is found at the 1.3000 and 1.2954 levels.
If the GBPUSD pair moves above the 1.3030 level, buyers will likely target the key 1.3082 and 1.3100 resistance levels.
EURUSD STILL UNDER PRESSURE BELOW 1.1681The euro has reversed sharply from the 1.1570 region against the greenback, after the US dollar index suffered a third major technical rejection from the 95.50 level. The EURUSD pair has so far found strong resistance from just below the key 1.1681 level and trades back towards the 1.1650 level once again. Buyers will try to force price above the 1.1681 level, while sellers will target losses below the key 1.1600 support level.
The EURUSD pair is still bearish while trading below the 1.1681 level, key support is found at the 1.1630 and 1.1600 levels.
If the EURUSD pair moves above the 1.1681 level, buyers will attempt to move price towards the 1.1700 and 1.1744 resistance levels.
USDJPY CORRECTION ONLY POSSIBLE BELOW 112.80The US dollar has started to edge lower against the Japanese yen currency, following FED Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on US inflation at the second-half of his testimony on Wednesday. The USDJPY pair has broken below key support, and the four-hour time frame MACD indicator is also starting to turn lower. Sellers will likely target the 112.20 support region, while buyers will aim to reclaim the 113.00 level.
The USDJPY pair is only intraday bearish while below the 112.80 level, downside targets are found at the 112.20 and 111.70 levels.
If the USDJPY pair moves above the 113.00 level, Buyers will likely test towards the 113.20 and 113.40 resistance levels.
ETHUSD INTRADAY BEARISH BELOW $482Ethereum, the second largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has corrected lower after bulls failed to hold price above the $500 resistance level.
The ETH/USD pair has slipped below the key $482 support level, and the sentiment surrounding Ethereum remains bearish while trading below this key level. Sellers will target the $440 support level, while bulls will try to push price back above the key $482 resistance level.
The ETHUSD pair is intraday bearish while trading below the $482 level, key technical support below $482 is located at the $452 and $440 levels.
If the ETHUSD pair moves back above the $482 level, buyers may test towards the $505 and $530 resistance levels.
EURUSD ONLY BEARISH BELOW 1.1650 LEVELThe euro has moved back towards the 1.1650 level, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a more dovish tone during the second-part of his testimony before US Congress. The MACD indicator across the four hour time frame is also showing bullish potential, however, price still trades below the 200 period moving average on the mentioned time frame. Sellers will once again target a break below the 1.1600 level, while buyers will look to push price above the 200 period moving average.
The EURUSD pair is only bearish while trading below the 1.1650 level, key support is found at the 1.1630 and 1.1600 levels.
If the EURUSD pair moves above the 1.1650 level, buyers may once again test towards the 1.1684 and 1.1700 resistance levels.
BTCUSD BITCOIN PRICE CORRECTION LIKELYBitcoin has surged to its highest trading level of the July so far, as the bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern was triggered above the $6,800 level on Tuesday. The BTCUSD pair now has scope to correct level if the $7,400 resistance level holds, as the price has reached overstretched levels. The MACD indicator also appears overbought across the one and four-hour time frames, further supporting a correction lower from current trading levels.
The BTCUSD pair is strongly bullish while trading above the $7,400 level, further upside towards $7,550 and $7,760 levels seems possible.
If the BTCUSD pair continues to fail around current levels, price may correct back towards the $7,000 and $6,850 support levels.
USDJPY NOW BULLISH ABOVE 112.80 LEVELThe US dollar has soared to a new six month trading high against the Japanese yen currency, as FED Chair Jerome Powell’s bullish comments on the US economy and future rate hikes lifted the US dollar.
The move higher in the USDJPY pair has scope to run higher if buyers can keep price above the 112.80 level, which is former key resistance now turned support. USDJPY buyers will target further upside towards the 113.40 level, while sellers will look to break the 112.80 level.
The USDJPY pair is strongly bullish while trading above the 112.80 level, upside targets are found at the 113.40 and 113.88 levels.
If the USDJPY pair moves below the 112.80 level, sellers may test towards the 112.55 and 112.20 support levels.
EURUSD STRONGLY BEARISH BELOW 1.1650 LEVELThe euro has erased recent trading gains against the US dollar, following hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his testimony before US Congress.
The EURUSD pair is turning bearish across the four-hour time frame, with the MACD indicator turning lower and price now trading below the 200 period moving average on the mentioned time frame.
Sellers will once again target the 1.1600 level, while buyers will look to stabilise price above the 1.1684 level.
The EURUSD pair is strongly bearish while trading below the 1.1650 level, key support is found at the 1.1612 and 1.1554 levels.
If the EURUSD pair moves above the 1.1684 level, buyers may once again test towards the 1.1700 and 1.1724 resistance levels.
GBPUSD RETAINS BULLISH BIAS ABOVE 1.3205The British pound continues to move away from the 1.3290 level against the US dollar, as traders book profits ahead of the release of key Jobs and Wage data from the United Kingdom economy.
The GBPUSD pair has recently failed to move price above the 1.3300 level, as ongoing Brexit concerns limit the upside in the British pound. Buyers will look to target the 1.3300 level once again, while sellers will look for a sustained break below the 1.3205 level.
The GBPUSD pair is intraday bullish while trading above the 1.3205 level, key technical resistance is found at the 1.3255 and 1.3300 levels.
If the GBPUSD pair falls below the 1.3205 level, sellers will likely target the 1.3155 and 1.3130 support levels.
EURUSD INTRADAY BULLISH ABOVE 1.1724 LEVELThe euro currency continues to trade above the 1.1700 level against the US dollar, with bulls pressing against the key 1.1724 resistance level.
Euro traders remain cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s semi-annual testimony before US Congress later today.
Buyers will look to advance well-beyond the 1.1724 level to keep the recent bullish momentum in the EURUSD, while sellers will target losses below the 1.1674 support area.
The EURUSD pair is only intraday bullish while trading above the 1.1724 level, key resistance is now found at the 1.1757 and 1.1820 levels.
If the EURUSD pair falls below the 1.1700 level, key technical support is found at the 1.1674 and 1.1650 levels.
UC Ready For Another Strong Bearish Move?USDCAD is still struggling to break the support zone at 1.315 - 1.316. However, looking at the 1H chart we see multiple indications of a downtrend.
1. Price got rejected of Fibonacci R2 level and have seen a downward move since
2. After rejection, price came back below R1 and then crossed back to the upside but failed to stay above forming a Lower High
2. Price did not complete a lower low, however, did see the closing price lower than since we broke above the support level
3. 5 EMA and 10 EMA have crossed the 21 EMA
4. 5, 10, 21 EMA are all below the 50 SMA
5. Price is well below the 50 SMA
6. We closed the week just below the 100 SMA on the 1H time frame (SMA is in the middle of the candles body at the moment).
7. 200 SMA in a neutral position with no slope after a slope downward indicating price may be consolidating for a strong bearish move
7. MACD has crossed to the downside with a weak move on the upside prior to the crossover
If you see others indications for the bearish move or if you see reasons for this pair making a bullish move, please comment below. I'd love to hear your feedback.
Happy trading.
LTCUSD STILL BEARISH BELOW $79.00Litecoin continues to trade to the downside, as the broader cryptocurrency remains pressured by bearish fundamentals developments and a lack of buying interest.
Litecoin is likely to see the next strong directional move coming soon according to the MACD indicator. Buyers will aim to break above the LTCUSD pairs 50 period moving average on the four-hour time frame, while sellers will continues to target a break of the $70.00 support level.
The LTCUSD pair remains bearish while trading below the $79.00 level, further losses towards the $73.00 and $70.00 support levels seems possible.
If the LTCUSD pair moves above the $79.00 level, buyers may test towards the $81.00 and $82.35 resistance levels.
GBPUSD FURTHER UPSIDE EXPECTED ABOVE 1.3235The British pound has regained bullish momentum against the US dollar, after US President Donald Trump’s speech with British Prime Minister Theresa May reaffirmed the two countries commitment to a future trade deal.
The GBP/USD pair has now moved back above the key 1.3205 level and is currently testing the 200 period moving average on the four hour time frame.
If the GBPUSD pair starts to trade above the 1.3235 level, buyers will likely target the 1.3255 and 1.3300 resistance levels.
The GBPUSD pair is only bearish while trading below the 1.3205 level, key technical support is found at the 1.3170 and 1.3133 levels.
EURUSD ONLY BULLISH ABOVE 1.1681 LEVELThe euro currency has once again recovered upside momentum against the US dollar, after the US dollar index failed to hold onto gains above the 95.00 level during the US trading session on Friday.
The EURUSD pair is now trading above its 200 period moving average on the four hour timeframe, whilst the MACD indicator on the four hour timeframe is currently pointing to further upside.
The EURUSD pair is bullish while trading above the 1.1681 level, key resistance is now found at the 1.1700 and 1.1750 levels.
If the EURUSD pair moves below the 1.1681 level, key technical support is found at the 1.1650 and 1.1630 levels.
Dow Jones analysis
The DJI did not close below the 200 SMA on a daily timeframe since June 27th, 2016. This is a major signal, which could be one of the reasons Trump decided to ease the tensions with China, at least for now. Potentially expecting the Fed to back off the rate hikes to lower the dollar or make some announcement stop the drop in indices. With all the tensions now, a strong dollar is more damaging to the US economy.
Dow respected each fib level and now price is still at 61.8% retracement. Elliot waves suggest that we could see a test of the trend line, where the corrective wave ends and a new trend should start to emerge. But a 3rd touch and bounce of the trendline is needed, which would make it a good setup to trade.
With price below both 50 and 200 SMA’s, a break above 24600 is needed for a long term long position.
RSI approaching oversold area as well and reaching 30 on it seems to be in line with price touching the trend line soon.
Today’s GDP will shed further light on the US economy and could provide a boost depending on the figures. I would expect that a figure lower than 2% or higher than 2.4% is needed for a serious price dollar move.
With both GBPUSD, EURUSD testing the trend line support again and DXY testing resistance, we could see some explosive moves today on the majors, which will reflect on the Dow.
Happy Trading!
Personal Request - What's my opinion of the GBPNZDDay - Price at BB Dev 1 top band - Watch where day closes
4H - Price needs to breakout of the SMA's range
1H - Watch if 50 sma holds - Price may be retesting support - New fractal high
made
15m - Wath if 50 EMA holds
Watch red/green arrows indicating possible directional choices price can make
4H has possible target prices from breakout
BTC Fan-out. Order is Restored (for now).Notice that the SMAs have reconciled to their normal uptrend position in the hourly charts.
Watch for the SMA(20) to cross under the SMA(50) as a cue for a reversal to the downside.
Look for continuation of the nascent uptrend if this pattern spreads to the 2-hour, 4-hour and daily charts.