Get started

Sma99

EUR/USD: Awaiting a Breakout from the Symmetrical Triangle📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We'll be focusing on the EUR/USD pair in the daily time frame. 🧲 Symmetrical Triangle Formation In the daily time frame for EUR/USD, we can observe a symmetrical triangle pattern. Currently, the price is in the last third of this triangle, indicating that the best course of action is to hold off on trading this pair until one of the dynamic lines is broken. 🎲 Moving Averages The moving averages are not particularly useful for analysis right now. As you can see, the SMA99 has flattened out, indicating a lack of momentum in the market. 🪤 Momentum Oscillators Given the lack of momentum, there's no reason to use momentum oscillators like the RSI. These oscillators are only useful in markets with momentum, so checking the RSI would just provide unnecessary data. 🧩 Breakout Scenarios If the descending trendline is broken and the price stabilizes above this area, we can expect the price to move up to the 1.11056 resistance level. The trigger for this scenario to be activated is at 1.09066. ⚡️ If the 1.09066 trigger is not activated, we need to wait for a new structure to form and draw new triggers on the chart accordingly. If the ascending trendline is broken, the trigger for this scenario is 1.06774. The next support level is very close to the price, at 1.06057, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level in the weekly time frame, forming a crucial area. 📉 Downside Targets If the price declines, the final target I see is 1.04225, which corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci level on the weekly chart. However, there is also a significant support zone between 1.04225 and 1.05007, where substantial demand is likely to enter the market, making it difficult to break through easily. ⌛️ Apex Point of the Triangle The converging lines of the triangle always intersect at a point called the apex. From a timing perspective, this is an interesting point. Although it's not always exact, we can expect a potential structural change around November 29. This change could be a continuation of the trend, a reversal, or the end of the current trend. Typically, something significant happens around this time. 🎈 Range-Bound Market Scenario If the price ignores the trendlines and starts ranging, the triggers at 1.09066 and 1.06774 can still be relevant. However, a ranging market will likely create a new structure and provide new triggers accordingly. 📝 Conclusion The EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle, indicating indecision and low momentum in the market. The moving averages and momentum oscillators provide little insight due to the flat market. Traders should wait for a breakout from this triangle to confirm the next direction of price movement. Whether the breakout is to the upside or downside, it will set the stage for subsequent trading opportunities. Patience is key until clear signals emerge from this consolidation pattern. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
Gold Analysis in Forex Market📅 Let's get into today's analysis. I've decided to focus more on Forex analyses, and today we're analyzing gold with the main timeframe being daily. I'll be looking at the chart solely from a technical analysis perspective. 🔍 In the daily timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 2075 resistance level, bullish momentum entered the market, and we managed to move up to the 2425 resistance level. After this sharp upward movement, the market entered a correction phase and corrected down to 2289. Currently, the price is ranging between the 0.236 Fibonacci level and the 2425 resistance. I believe that until the SMA99 reaches the price, new bullish momentum could enter the market, and you can confirm this momentum by a break above 2425. If the candle closes below the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we might move down to the Golden Zone of Fibonacci, which lies between 0.5 and 0.618. 🧩 There is also a minor trend line that the price has reacted to three times so far, which could be a key determinant for future price movements. 🧲 Regarding the SMA99, it has the property of creating significant distances when the market is trending. However, it eventually acts like a black hole, pulling the price towards it. This is happening after the rejection at 2425, and I believe the price will range until it meets the SMA99. Additionally, this SMA acts as a support and resistance level, potentially supporting the price once it reaches it and pushing the price upward. 📈 For a long position on the daily timeframe, it seems appropriate to wait for a break of the trend line and a confirmation above the 2425 area. The target for this move, based on Fibonacci extension, could be 2759. However, this target is quite high, and if the price aims to reach it, it will likely be a long-term move. 📉 For a short position, breaking below 2289 serves as a good trigger. If the price stabilizes below this level, it might move down to the area between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This position is quite risky as the High Wave Cycle for gold is bullish, and this move in the Low Wave Cycle could be filled with noise. For shorter-term positions, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. In this timeframe, we have a long-term range box and a significant support area at the 0.236 Fibonacci level on the daily chart. There’s no need to extend the analysis here; I’ll just discuss the entry triggers. 📈 For long positions, we have three different triggers. The first trigger is at 2338, which is the riskiest one with a target of 2365. The next trigger is at 2365 with a target of 2439. The final trigger is at 2439. 📉 For short positions, there's a very risky position with a trigger at 2320, and the second trigger is the break of the support area. ♟ Now, let me explain how I personally trade with each trigger. For the long trigger at 2338, I open positions in lower timeframes such as the 1-hour chart and set a small stop loss to quickly reach a risk-reward ratio of 2, which is my first target, with minimal risk. For the 2365 trigger, I open a position with normal risk and a regular stop loss size. For the 2439 trigger, I open a position with a larger stop loss because the trigger is at an all-time high (ATH) and represents a very strong supply zone. For short positions, I do not open any until the price stabilizes below the support area. 📝In summary, gold is currently in a ranging phase between the 0.236 Fibonacci level and the 2425 resistance level. Depending on the break above 2425 or below 2289, there are opportunities for long or short positions, respectively. For those trading in shorter timeframes, key entry triggers and careful risk management are essential to navigate the market effectively. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by itsparham96
3
🥇Gold Analysis:Long-Term Trend and Key Scenarios👑🔍Let's dive into today's analysis, which is different from our usual cryptocurrency reviews. Today, we'll be analyzing gold on the weekly timeframe, as this is our first gold analysis in the channel. We'll start with a broad overview of the chart and later delve into lower timeframes. ⌛️As you may know, gold's long-term trend has historically been bullish. This is largely due to the persistent inflation in the United States, which averages around 4-5% annually. This means that the dollar loses about 5% of its value each year compared to the previous year. Since gold is traded relative to the US dollar, it naturally appreciates by approximately 5% annually, assuming no significant global events occur. 🤔However, US inflation is not the only variable affecting gold prices. For example, geopolitical events like wars can drive gold prices higher. This happens because countries feel threatened and central banks around the world increase their gold reserves as a safe-haven asset. 📰Other factors also influence gold prices. For instance, during Indian festivals, gold prices often rise due to the cultural tradition of wearing significant amounts of 24-karat gold in their festival attire. 📣Discussing all the factors would be too lengthy and beyond the scope of this analysis. The three examples mentioned above illustrate that the long-term bullish trend of gold is logical and expected. 📊 Technical Analysis Now that we understand gold's long-term trend, let's examine the chart to explore potential scenarios from a technical analysis perspective. Before detailing the scenarios, we'll review the market's past behavior to give context to our projections. 📆Historically, gold has faced significant resistance between 2014 and 2071, with the price being rejected three times at this level. However, it eventually formed a higher low at 1815, above the previous low of 1619, and managed to break through this resistance zone. Currently, the price has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci extension level, where upward momentum has decreased, indicating potential weakness in the bullish trend. Despite this, the trend remains bullish until confirmed otherwise. 🪄 Potential Scenarios 📉 Correction Scenario : If a correction occurs from the current area, the first key level to watch is the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, coinciding with 2238. The next critical zone is the golden zone (0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement), aligning with the previously broken resistance area, making it a strong and reliable support zone. Additionally, the 25 and 99 SMAs are significantly below the current price, suggesting a potential gravitational pull towards these moving averages. The initial target for the correction is 2238, with the second target between 2014 and 2071. 📈 Continuation Scenario : If the price continues its upward movement and breaks above 2434, the next target would be 2719. However, this scenario seems less likely due to several factors: the price is near a significant resistance, showing signs of trend weakness, it's far from the moving averages, the RSI is diverging after exiting the overbought zone, and the candle patterns suggest decreasing volume, which often precedes corrections. Moreover, a healthy uptrend typically requires periodic corrections to remain sustainable; otherwise, the trend becomes unreliable and prone to sharp reversals. 📝In conclusion, while gold has a long-term bullish trend driven by economic and geopolitical factors, the current technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction. Monitoring key levels and market behavior will be crucial for making informed trading decisions. For long-term investors, understanding these dynamics can help in identifying optimal entry points. If you enjoyed this analysis and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a specific asset for future analysis. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶If you enjoyed this analysis and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
FX:XAUUSD
by itsparham96
1
📈IOTA Analysis: Short and Long Opportunities in Focus💥🔍Following Bitcoin's recent uptick last night, the concurrent increase in Bitcoin dominance prevented most altcoins from experiencing significant price gains. Instead, many coins traded within a range, with some even witnessing a decrease in value, such as IOTA, which we'll analyze today. 📚While I haven't conducted an in-depth study on the IOTA project yet, it generally operates as a protocol for feeless and permissionless data transfer, actively functioning in this domain. I'll provide more insights into this project once I've conducted thorough research. For now, let's delve into the chart to identify potential entry points. 📈On the 4-hour timeframe, which serves as my primary analysis timeframe for futures, the downward trend is evident, indicating a bearish trajectory. Therefore, with a suitable trigger, we can consider opening short positions. However, initiating long positions on short-term shorts requires higher risk tolerance due to the market's direction. ✨Currently, we are within a support range from 0.2020 to 0.2086, and the price is consolidating within this range to determine whether buyers can maintain this support or if selling pressure will overwhelm them, causing the support to fail. Hence, we need to observe the upcoming developments. If the support breaks, we can expect a target of 0.1719, but if it holds, it may act as a bounce back to the SMA99. 📉For short positions, exert effort to open positions upon the breakdown of 0.2020 and the confirmation of a candle below this level, as this scenario could easily drive the price to 0.1719, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. However, if you're considering long positions, patience is required until the price surpasses the SMA99, followed by identifying a trigger from the candles. The nearest trigger is at 0.2328, but as we're against the trend, consider securing profits at a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 or 3 and leaving some room for a target of 0.2599. 📊Currently, the candle volumes do not provide sufficient data due to recent holidays, with low volumes followed by a sudden increase. Therefore, we need to wait for a few more candles to compare volumes effectively. RSI triggers for long positions cannot be specified due to the timeframe limitation, as price movement towards the range high can significantly alter the RSI structure, rendering the triggers meaningless. However, for short positions, you can consider the breakdown of 27.22 as confirmation. 📝In conclusion, the analysis of IOTA presents both short and long trading opportunities, contingent upon market dynamics and price movements. While the current downtrend suggests potential short positions, traders should exercise caution and wait for confirmatory triggers, particularly a breakdown below the support range of 0.2020 to 0.2086. Conversely, for long positions, patience is advised until the price surpasses the SMA99, followed by identifying suitable triggers. It's essential to maintain a disciplined approach, considering risk management strategies and closely monitoring candle volumes for a comprehensive assessment of market sentiment. As always, adaptability and readiness to adjust trading strategies in response to evolving market conditions remain paramount for successful trading endeavors. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
by itsparham96
📈Exploring Atom's Market Moves: A Detailed Analysis⚡️☀️Today, let's delve deep into the intricate dance of the market, particularly focusing our attention on Atom. As we navigate the current landscape, it's evident that the market is still caught in a state of indecision, oscillating without committing to a definitive direction. However, amidst this uncertainty, there's a subtle shift in momentum—a slight dip followed by a surge in selling volume. Could this be the prelude to a more significant move? 🔄🎯Reflecting on our previous discussions surrounding Atom, it's noteworthy that our trading triggers have been quite active. The long trigger was activated, followed swiftly by the short trigger, resulting in a commendable 32% target hit. Kudos to those who capitalized on this opportunity! 🔍Now, turning our attention to today's analysis, Atom finds itself retracing to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, comfortably nestled within the confines of its range box. Our focal point lies on the critical support level at $7.808. Should this support falter and find stability below, it may pave the way for a compelling short position. Reinforcing this perspective, the RSI indicator dipping below 32.71 lends credence to the bearish sentiment. 📉For those considering long positions, keen observation of the $8.914 level is warranted. A bounce from this level could serve as a potential trigger for long entry, although without such confirmation, we remain in search of a clear long signal. 💎Furthermore, let's not disregard the significance of SMA99, which has demonstrated resilience as a dynamic resistance barrier, repelling price action on two occasions. 📊In navigating these volatile market conditions, it's imperative to maintain composure and discipline. Impulsive trading decisions are best avoided, as they often lead to unfavorable outcomes. Instead, let's remain vigilant, adhere to our trading strategies, and prioritize effective risk management practices. 📝In conclusion, as we navigate the intricacies of Atom's market trajectory, let's approach with caution, patience, and a keen eye for potential opportunities amidst the uncertainty. 🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
by itsparham96
📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis - Rndr 📊🔍Diving into today's analysis, we find ourselves amidst the aftermath of the recent Bitcoin halving event, where miners are now receiving half of their previous rewards. As the broader market takes a breather, exhibiting signs of consolidation, it's evident that the current landscape doesn't quite cater to the dynamics of day trading. Hence, shifting our focus to a higher timeframe, we delve into the daily chart to dissect the intricacies of Rndr's technical outlook. 🚀 Project Overview: Rndr stands out as a premier cryptocurrency project, recognized for its practical implementation of metaverse concepts. More importantly, the project is actively progressing, with ongoing developments outlined in its whitepaper, offering tangible services for its users. 📈 Chart Analysis: After a notable uptrend from $4 to $12, Rndr initiated a corrective phase, retracing to around $7.633. Presently, amidst a period of market stabilization reminiscent of Bitcoin's behavior, Rndr has settled into a consolidation phase, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. 📊 Volume Insight: Analyzing recent candlesticks, it's apparent that red candles dominate in terms of volume, signaling a phase of market consolidation. While a reduction in volume often accompanies price relaxation, it also suggests a period of subdued market sentiment, characterized by decreased trading activity. 🔄 Fibonacci Retracement Analysis: A notable observation is the Fibonacci retracement from the previous upward wave, which suggests a pullback to the 0.5 level, indicating a phase of consolidation. Should a breakout occur, the potential target could be the previous high at $12.603. Conversely, a reversal from this level could signify a bearish trend reversal. 📉 SMA Evaluation: Of particular interest is the SMA99, currently intersecting with the price action. This convergence may signify a significant market influence, potentially laying the groundwork for a renewed bullish trend. 🎯 Conclusion: Taking into account all essential parameters, the analysis underscores the presence of a robust Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) within the current price range, presenting an opportune entry point for spot traders. Furthermore, the ongoing high wave cycle serves as an additional catalyst, bolstering the potential for an upward trajectory. Stay tuned for further insights as the market unfolds!
RLong
by itsparham96