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FISHY moves in the STOCKMARKETHey tradomaniacs, Current markets mood is harder to indentify as we see the same cashflow like we`ve seen with the first vaccine-wave this year. Comparing RUSSELL 2000 and SPX500 it looks like we see a flow out of big companies into the small-cap-section. This is very weird as the small businesses were those who suffered the most during the COVID-Lockdown in the USA. Does the market expect a BOOM of these companies with the upcoming vaccine? There is one fact: More than 50% of these companies listed in RUSSELL are not making any profit 👉 They are the "zombies" of the market who are only able to survive due to financial injections by the central bank. These odd moves are forcing me to trade a bit less as I don`t think that institutional traders are willing to buy stocks of companies that only just able to buoy up. Sell off coming soon? LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me. Any questions? PM me. :-)
TVC:RUT
by Trading2ez
2
STRANGLE FOR PROFITThis year has been one of the best to be a (smart) trader. We've had absolutely historic opportunities and I'm sure there's more to come. This little ascending wedge (abcde) could be creating an opportunity for a strangle (long & short). I have several strategies I follow for the other indices but I will occasionally play a strangle where I can see it going either direction. Personally, I may wait until (E) is tagged and will buy a long position in calls and hedge that position with puts. There are other ways to play the breakout but I prefer to buy at (E) and wait until a target is reached (up or down). I also like to use options that have a medium term expiry (5-6 months out) so decay and noise aren't too dramatic. Let's see what happens!
AMEX:IWM
by gghsusa
1
October 17 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Prior ATH, Poor Structures, $3,500 and $3,370 High-Volume Areas. Technical: Broad-market equity indices ended the week higher with S&P 500 retracing more than 80% of its September sell-off. During Last Week’s Action: Alongside fiscal stimulus hopes, U.S. index products surged past and built value above a major high-volume concentration as initiative participants (i.e., those buying within or above prior value) showed continued confidence to explore higher. As the week progressed, however, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) suspended its vaccine trials and expectations regarding further stimulus tempered. The weakness was exacerbated by the prior week’s emotional activity which attracted an enormous amount of speculative derivatives activity and left behind poor structures that offer little-to-no support; as the monthly options expiry neared and dealers unwound their hedges, the market endured a quick correction of the poor structure. Overall, the market remains out of balance and higher. Barring some exogenous event -- such as negative news regarding added stimulus, vaccine progress, and the election -- there is good potential that the market continues exploring higher with an obvious target being, in reference to the S&P 500, the prior all-time-high. Fundamental: In its 2020 World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its expectations on global growth, but cut long-term forecasts on a slower recovery. "The scarring is expected to compound forces that dragged productivity growth lower across many economies in the years leading up to the pandemic — relatively slow investment growth weighing on physical capital accumulation, more modest improvements in human capital, and slower efficiency gains in combining technology with factors of production,” the report said. bit.ly Adding, according to Axios, the hard part of the recovery is just beginning; the IMF is urging governments to keep financial lifelines open; "I worry most about withdrawing support to workers and firms prematurely because it could cause a wave of bankruptcies and massive increase in unemployment," IMF head Kristalina Georgieva said during a media appearance. Key Events: Monday: Fed Chair Powell Speech, Fed Williams Speech, NAHB Housing Market Index, Fed Clarida Speech, Fed Bostic Speech, Fed Harker Speech. Tuesday: Building Permits, Housing Starts, Fed Quarles Speech, Fed Evans Speech. Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Fed Brainard Speech, Fed Mester Speech, EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change, EIA Distillate Stocks Change, Fed Beige Book. Thursday: Jobless Claims, CB Leading Index, Existing Home Sales, Fed Barkin Speech, Fed Kaplan Speech. Friday: Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash. Recent News: Data points to reduction in economic activity on virus restrictions. bit.ly Despite the virus, structured finance ratings have remained stable. bit.ly Bank earnings soar again alongside increasing trading revenues. bit.ly Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) still burning cash amid recovery. reut.rs EU makes 1 billion-euro bet on Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ: GILD) reut.rs BP Plc (NYSE: BP) leaving emerging market oil, but could return. bit.ly BlackRock Inc (NYSE: BLK) beat estimates on strong inflows. reut.rs JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM) optimistic on virus recovery. reut.rs With economy and credit rolling along, Fed unlikely to alter buying. reut.rs Big technology companies nervousness prompts calls to diversify. reut.rs U.S. retail sales blow expectations in September amid recovery. reut.rs Gulf Coast energy companies restoring oil, gas output post-storm. reut.rs Caterpillar Inc (NYSE: CAT) is betting on self-driving machines. reut.rs New Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone to offer non-material 5G. reut.rs Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) cut prices of Model S in U.S., China. reut.rs Used vehicles again lift U.S. consumer prices, but inflation cools. reut.rs U.S. consumers more optimistic about the labor market, says Fed. reut.rs As the globe gallops into vaccine trials, insurers remain unfazed. reut.rs U.K. minister is seeking cash from the Treasury for a no-deal Brexit. reut.rs Despite economic and health crisis, consumers defy expectations. bit.ly How the market learned to stop worrying and love the blue wave. reut.rs Fed officials calling for tougher regulation to prevent asset bubbles. reut.rs Citadel Securities has sued the SEC over a new trading mechanism. reut.rs Moody’s downgrades U.K. as COVID-19 and Brexit hit debt outlook. reut.rs Newly rated loans from high-yield issues rose for the second month. bit.ly Funding to North American startups held steady in Q3 as exits rose. bit.ly The President does not actually impact the economy as thought. bit.ly U.S. gun sales soar amid pandemic, social unrest, election fears. reut.rs Facebook Inc’s (NASDAQ: FB) Libra tapped an ex-HSBC executive. reut.rs Trump urges big COVID-19 stimulus, but Mitch McConnell disagrees. reut.rs U.S.’s weakest local economies may face worse from the pandemic. reut.rs G20 pledges to do ‘whatever it takes’ to support the global economy. reut.rs Fed’s Clarida says data 'surprisingly strong,’ but deep holes remain. reut.rs IEA: Oil producers may struggle to gauge demand amid second wave. reut.rs Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) sees virus credit losses rising. bit.ly Key Metrics: Sentiment: 34.8% Bullish, 29.5% Neutral, 35.7% Bearish as of 10/14/2020. bit.ly Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) 3,113,195,433 as of 10/16/2020. bit.ly Dark Pool Index: (Trending Neutral) 41.1% as of 10/16/2020. bit.ly Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by Physik
CHRS, Stochastic Oscillator left the overbought zone on Oct 09This is a signal that CHRS's price trend could be reversing, and it may be an opportunity to sell the stock or take a defensive position. Tickeron A.I.dvisor identified 63 similar cases where CHRS's stochastic oscillator exited the overbought zone, and 58 of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success: 90%. Current price $18.48 crossed the resistance line at $18.65 and is trading between $18.65 resistance and $18.00 support lines. Throughout the month of 09/09/20 - 10/09/20, the price experienced a -1% Downtrend, while the week of 10/02/20 - 10/09/20 shows a +10% Uptrend. Bearish Trend Analysis CHRS moved below its 50-day Moving Average on October 09, 2020 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. The 10-day Moving Average for CHRS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. Tickeron A.I. detected that in 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%. Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%. The Aroon Indicator for CHRS entered a downward trend on September 16, 2020. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
NASDAQ:CHRSShort
by AlTorress
10 Mid to High Risk Stocks for my Breakout WatchlistImagine holding SPI as a penny stock, selling it at 7% draw-down, and few month after waking up to see it somehow have went up 4000%? While I do think there might be a possibility of foul play or might not, I have obviously made a mistake. This lead me to create this list of ten stocks I am watching from the sidelines, that I may do a breakout entry for. These are mid to high risk, and the drawdown can be severe. Volatility is not for the faint of heart. JMIA has a lot of high growth potential, and I feel like it just needs to break the resistance curve. SLNG is not too high risk of an OTC stock if you are wanting to invest a bit in that sector. SXTC may be somewhat of an oversold penny stock. Hudson Capital seems like a dip in the real estate space. I also think it may have around the same potential as CBL, but I rather trade something new. RZLT is a biopharma play that I think may be underrated. NWGI has a decent buy target by many analyst (so I heard), and is in a trending market segment. Remark Holdings already had many dips and so did BBI. I think the current entry is one of the more decent ones. Adomani may be oversold, and they recently updated their executive team in which I am on the fence. While I think they need to start looking less at buses and more on expanding the electrification tech they have, I still think for the price they are, definitely has somewhat some long term potential. $TAKOF is extremely dirt cheap and underrated in my opinion. I think this is one of the more worthwhile "gambles". That being said, invest at your own risk and do your own due diligence. Please consider everything I say "as is" or on an opinion based basis. This is not meant to be taken as actionable financial advice.
NLong
by gamer456148
1
BrainChip Holdings (ASX:BRN) - What I see happening from hereLooking at the chart today from BrainChip ( ASX:BRN ) I can see they it has a couple of potential directions from here. Over the last week or so, the stock has been retreating back from its highs of close to $1.00. Overall though, I can see 2 possible scenarios. Scenario A Holding current levels (which look good considering the 61.8 fib line placement) here could see a price grab back up to above $0.50. Holding there would mean BrainChip is still maintaining an overall uptrend and also holding above the 50 fib line. Breaking through the next level of resistance at $0.64 is critical for recover efforts. A bullish scenario overall with some risk. Scenario B Failing to hold here would mean a fall back to previous support and older trend line around $0.34. A note here though that the old trend line has less touches, so holding it is yet to be determined. However, the fact that we have a trend line and a support line means we might see a bounce. Options If I was looking to gain entry, I can do so immediately, however I would be prepared for further volatility. A further fall back to $0.34 could mean a need to top up the position with more cash. I can also choose to wait for one of the following scenarios: - A clean break up and out of $0.64, signalling a much stronger bullish case. - A break down and a hold at $0.34, signalling a position of relative safety to begin investment. Risk Management I can deploy risk management techniques including limiting the percentage exposure to this stock, applying a stop loss if it falls too far or reserving cash to purchase lower entries and reduce my average, should I want a long term position. Hope this analysis helps! Note - this is a record of my thoughts for personal use only. Nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Investors and traders should always do their own research before buying or selling assets.
ASX:BRN
by glennleese
23
$IWM Financials Bull Run - Component #2 AMEX:IWM As we continue to embark on this epic economic bubble , there will be varying components that will be mixed in so the trend can continue. To allow some normality to the markets, profit rotations still seem to be taking place and tech seems to be the one market that is becoming exhausted. With that said, I think we continue to see those absurd profits roll into financials and small caps, allowing $IWM to be a benefactor of that, which the technicals are starting to show. With that thought in mind, looking at the chart you can clearly see a strong bullish breakout, with volume (last green volume bar to the right) from consolidation and our first attempt at breaking the first red trend line. I expect us to retrace a bit from here, and each red line there after once contacted, but also fully expect us to make our way up to at least the $170 region (3rd and final red trend line). From there, in J. Powell we trust and Gods speed. I leave you with this, "cut your losses early and let your profits run" - J. Livermore - PennyBag
AMEX:IWMLong
by PennyBagsCapital
Most Promising Highest Potential Small Cap Tech StocksThese charts belong to publicly listed small caps that have fundamental and strategic value in this current economic and social environment. With zoom and tick tock being attacked, some of these companies fill a part of that void. Others fill voids created by pandemic corona covid virus. These guys are tiny and whimsical. So anything can happen. It's easier for them to die than to level up. That said, if we cross any of these red lines, it's a buy.
NASDAQ:WATTLong
by bitcoinfundmanager
1
July 26 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Prior-Balance; Weak Highs and Lows; Dull, Emotional Participation; Nasdaq Weakness; Financials Intact. Technical: Broad-market equity indices struggled to hold onto recent gains, evidenced by the failed continuation higher. Recapping last week’s action, on Monday, after a good amount of volatility contraction, the S&P 500 opened inside prior balance and tested lower, before rotating higher, into the gap zone left from the late February sell-off. Pre-open, on Tuesday, the market rallied, further discovering prices up into the gap zone. After the U.S. cash open, Tuesday’s activity was reminiscent of rebalancing to recent overextension. On news that China would react to the closure of its consulate in Houston, Texas, Wednesday’s session saw prices push lower overnight, before turning and balancing out higher, into the close. On more news regarding geopolitics and initial jobless claims turning higher, Thursday’s session experienced a news-driven, emotional liquidation, with the Nasdaq leading lower. Friday’s session opened near a high-volume area, balancing out and trading responsively, before closing and accepting prices lower. Looking beyond broad market indices, the innovation-driven, technology-based sectors are showing signs of relative weakness, while other sectors, such as industrials, energy, and financials are finding more support. Overall, the S&P is in balance. Absent positive news regarding geopolitical tensions, monetary policy, a vaccine, earnings, and stimulus, the market may find itself correcting through time, testing as low as the prior balance area, below $3,180, as more impactful earnings are released. Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts. Key Events: Earnings; Durable Good Orders; Consumer Confidence; Initial Claims; GDP; Personal Income; Personal Spending; Employment Cost Index; Consumer Sentiment. Fundamental: Big tech antitrust probe report from Congress expected early fall. reut.rs Nasdaq Composite, tech weakness comes alongside a weaker dollar. bit.ly 5 charts illustrating U.S. economic trends amid the coronavirus pandemic. cnb.cx General Motors Company (NYSE: GM), Volkswagen AG (OTC: VWAGY), Nissan Motor Co Ltd (OTC: NSANY) charge ahead with electric-vehicle plans. on.wsj.com Consulate closures mark escalation between U.S., China. reut.rs Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) to delay 777X as demand drops for big jets. fxn.ws Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) shares dive on manufacturing retreat. reut.rs American Express Company (NYSE: AXP) warns of slow spending recovery. reut.rs Inflation-adjusted bonds are currently priced for very low inflation. bit.ly Proposal to suspend certain payroll taxes is a high priority. bit.ly U.S. home prices, existing home sales rise toward records. bit.ly Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) chose Texas for the new Cybertruck factory. reut.rs FDA orders unauthorized e-cigarettes removed from the market. bit.ly China’s regulators take over insurers, financial institutions to cut risks. bit.ly Supplemental unemployment benefits expire alongside new stimulus efforts. bit.ly Housing strengthens while mortgage forbearance continues to decline. bit.ly Biden may enact higher taxes, climate reform, and increased health care spending. bit.ly EU leaders have agreed on an $860 billion stimulus package. bit.ly Earnings beat expectations, but fundamentals remain weak. bit.ly Commercial real estate market slips despite Federal Reserve action. bit.ly The face value of defaulted non-financial corporate bonds jumped to a record. bit.ly American Airlines Group Inc (NASDAQ: AAL), United Airlines Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: UAL) to lay off workers. bit.ly Dell Technologies Inc’s (NYSE: DELL) VMware spin-off increases uncertainty. bit.ly U.S. global investment banks preserved capital strength in Q2 amid credit provisions. bit.ly UnitedHealth Group Inc’s (NYSE: UNH) earnings, lower leverage is credit positive. bit.ly Sentiment: 26.1% Bullish, 27.1% Neutral, 46.8% Bearish as of 7/22/2020. bit.ly Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) 1,281,189,859 as of 7/26/2020. bit.ly Dark Pool Index: (Trending Lower) 42.9% as of 7/26/2020. bit.ly Product Analysis: S&P 500 (ES): AMEX:SPY TVC:SPX Nasdaq 100 (NQ): NASDAQ:QQQ TVC:NDX Russell 2000 (RTY): AMEX:IWM TVC:RUT Gold (GC): AMEX:GLD AMEX:GDX Crude Oil (CL): AMEX:USO AMEX:DBO AMEX:USL Treasury Bonds (ZB): NASDAQ:TLT Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Physik
Time is running out for Russell 2000! $IWMRussell 2000 still has a decent amount of momentum on the H1 and Day time frames, but it is decision time next week into the FOMC statement and press conference. It is time to decide if we obey election year seasonality (and get an emergency PUA extension next week likely) or fall into mid August. Please like this post 👍🏻 and give me a follow! PM for more information on how to retrieve these dark pool blocks ⚫️ on demand and watch them stream in on all of your devices 📱 💻!
OANDA:US2000USDLong
by mortdiggiddy
July 12 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: S&P $3,200 Balance; Multi-Week Consolidation; Close Above Mechanical Highs; Nasdaq Overextension; Financials Find Support. Technical: Broad-market equity indices balanced last week, evidenced by the responsive, tight trading range. Recapping last week’s action, on Monday, the S&P 500 traversed higher and left minimal excess before balancing into the close. Tuesday’s session made an attempt for Monday’s high, near $3,180, but sold off, leaving value higher and closing just below the overnight low. After a quick morning liquidation, Wednesday’s session rejected prices in the lower part of the balance area and left value overlapping, with a close at the highs. Thursday responded lower, after a quick push to the $3,170 area of resting liquidity, to and through a low volume area and the prior day’s low, before squeezing back into range. Despite the high gamma expiration suggesting many names could pin, Friday opened up around a composite high-volume area, within range, and attempted lower, before responding back through the open, and repairing earlier weak highs. bit.ly Looking beyond broad market indices, the innovation-driven, technology-based sectors are extremely extended while relatively weak sectors, such as energy and financials, have found it hard to come by support. Overall, the market is at an important level and will likely, based on its reaction to Friday’s close, experience volatility in coming sessions. Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts. Key Events: Federal Budget; NFIB Business Optimism; CPI; NY Fed Manufacturing; Industrial Production; Initial Claims; Retail Sales; Business Inventories; NAHB Housing Market Index; Building Permits; Housing Starts. Fundamental: In light of extremely accommodative policies, investors should feel optimistic. bit.ly United Airlines Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: UAL) may furlough 36,000 staff. on.wsj.com NASDAQ:UAL Rivian raised $2.5B led by T. Rowe Price Group Inc (NASDAQ:TROW). bit.ly NASDAQ:TROW Economic weakness may lead to new rounds of layoffs, business failures. bit.ly Corporate loan growth may slow as firms make use of liquidity piles. bit.ly OPEC and allies to ease oil cuts amid demand recovery. on.wsj.com Canada’s long-term financial profile is consistent with AAA rating. reut.rs Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) to hold shareholder meeting, battery day on 9/22. on.mktw.net NASDAQ:TSLA Credit Suisse Group AG (NYSE: CS) settles shareholder suit over debt. reut.rs NYSE:CS Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) scrambles over 737 MAX financing. reut.rs NYSE:BA Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN) rolling out bigger United Parcel Service Inc (NYSE: UPS), FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) style trucks. reut.rs NASDAQ:AMZN Pfizer Inc (NYSE: PFE), BioNTech SE (NASDAQ: BNTX) vaccine ready by end of year. reut.rs NYSE:PFE NASDAQ:BNTX Canada posts record job gains in June as services reopen. reut.rs U.S. producer prices fall while underlying inflation stabilizes. reut.rs Europe challenges Visa Inc (NYSE: V) and Mastercard Inc (NYSE: MA). bit.ly NYSE:V NYSE:MA A Citigroup poll of 140 fund managers found that 62% expect Biden to win. bit.ly NYSE:C International trade in LNG collapsed, squeezing outlets for U.S. shale. on.wsj.com IEA raises 2020 oil demand forecast, but warns COVID-19 clouds outlook. reut.rs Increased tax rates may not matter as much with central banks adding liquidity. bit.ly Jefferies economic activity index has been flat-lined for numerous weeks. bit.ly Legislation to move Chicago casino forward a credit positive. bit.ly China’s manufacturing recovered and exports normalized. bit.ly White House aides urge proposals to undermine Hong Kong’s peg to USD. bloom.bg TVC:DXY Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE: UBER) to acquire Postmates for $2.65B. bit.ly NYSE:UBER Savings rate, liquidity to fund upside for motor vehicles, housing. bit.ly Coinbase crypto exchange prepares stock market listing. reut.rs Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR), Stitch Fix Inc (NASDAQ: SFIX), Wayfair Inc (NYSE: W), and UpWork Inc (NASDAQ: UPWK) have room for upside. bit.ly NYSE:TWTR NASDAQ:SFIX NYSE:W NASDAQ:UPWK U.K. COVID-19 measures add fiscal cost, consolidation plan coming. bit.ly Latin American connectivity leading to increased digitalization of work, commerce. bit.ly Decline in unemployment largely the result of classification. bit.ly Coronavirus to weigh on fiscal 2021 tax revenues despite employment bump. bit.ly Pandemic Unemployment Assistance claims have risen. bit.ly Pandemic is outpacing the ability to respond in some states. bit.ly Gold rally backed by fears of future inflation, debt, and negative yield. bit.ly Sentiment: 27.2% Bullish, 30.2 Neutral, 42.7% Bearish as of 7/12/2020. bit.ly Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) 5,251,920,785 as of 7/12/2020. bit.ly Dark Pool Index: (Trending Lower) 44.3% as of 7/12/2020. bit.ly Product Analysis: S&P 500 (ES): AMEX:SPY TVC:SPX Nasdaq 100 (NQ): NASDAQ:QQQ TVC:NDX Russell 2000 (RTY): AMEX:IWM TVC:RUT Gold (GC): AMEX:GLD Crude Oil (CL): AMEX:USO AMEX:UNG AMEX:DBO Treasury Bonds (ZB): NASDAQ:TLT Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Physik