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Smallcaps

$IWM $145 before $400+?I know everyone is getting excited about IWM as it's rallied a lot over the last couple of months, but I think it'll face some pain in the coming weeks before it really starts to outperform. I am of the mindset that everything has it's cycle and I do think that going into the next bull market, that QQQ and SPY will underperform relative to IWM. That said, I think IWM will have a 25% correction before the bull market really begins. However after that happens, I think IWM will go to hit new highs and top around $400 sometime in 2025-2026. Support = $145 Resistance = ~$400
AMEX:IWM
by benjihyam
IWN Russel Index ETF ShortIWN on the reliable daily chart has been trending down for two in a descending channel as shown on the chart with upper and lower trendlines drawn with the tool. The Stochastic RSI oscillates in the interval between oversold and over bought and presently is well overbought at nearly 100. While the RSI may double top like it did in July, it is at least right now at the first top. The zero lag MACD is confirmatory with a K/D line cross well above the histogram. I will play this by buying a put option at a strike of $ 150 for October 24 If Biden tries to prompt up the market to gain a re- election and is successful, this will get stopped out. If interest rates are not pulled back by the fed soon, small caps will continue to get crushed. On the other hand when rates are pulled back, they will be nimble and recover quicker than the large caps and it will get stopped out. I think the fed will pullback rates to help Biden out, although the fed is not partisan ? Oil prices in their downward trend lend support to a slow fall off in the inflation rate. What goes for IWN also goes for DIA.
AMEX:IWNShort
by AwesomeAvani
IWM: Small Caps Continue the Rally, Eyeing $198Small caps have sprung back to life. The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) fell nearly 20% from its July 31 recovery high to a multi-year low in October of $162, undercutting the June 2020 mark of $164. Today, the move back up to $186 might feel like too much, too fast, but I see things otherwise. Notice in the chart that IWM actually went through a more than two-week stretch of trendless price action. Technicians like to see such periods of consolidation within uptrends as healthy signs of rest and recovery, often setting the stage for the next leg higher. That’s about what took place. Printing above $186 this morning in the premarket, outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures which are in the red, the little guys of the market are once again spreading some pre-holiday cheer. The move comes under the radar, too, considering that the focus among traders is primarily on bitcoin and gold. I also find it encouraging that IWM is up despite a bout of selling pressure in the bond market today, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield up a few basis points. I’ll be watching to see if IWM manages to retest the July highs at $198, up to the $202 area – a long-term resistance range dating back to Q3 2022.
AMEX:IWMLong
by mikezaccardi
WTK/USDT Short-term PredictionThis is my prediction of how the chart will behave in the short-term during the current pump. Wadzpay Token is a very undervalued cryptocurrency with an unbeatable team and community. I am extremely bullish on the long-term for this project. This is only a very short-term analysis designed for any swing traders here. My long-term prediction reaches prices of $0.08 - 0.09, $0.15, $0.25, $1 and beyond that is price discovery with almost infinite potential. Wadzpay has a really good chance of becoming the next big thing, even the next Top 20 project one day if it manages to succeed in its mission, its goals and its adoption in the Middle East, Asia and even in Europe now. The chart is in an extremely bullish pattern right now, and it's showing all the signs of continuation in an upwards direction here. The safest play is to hodl this coin for at least a couple of months to see how high this move goes. I don't think it'll stop any time soon, apart from some retracements like the one to $0.034 that just happened this morning. Curious to find out how accurate this <1 week drawing ends up being, whether it pumps faster than that, slower than that, or it retraces deeper, everything is possible and so this drawing must be taken with a grain of salt, as it's just an idea and an attempt at predicting an exact chart pattern from "previous experience". Not financial advice. Always use caution when entering any trade in crypto, we never know what could happen. Good luck to all of the WTK community and any other traders.
WLong
by jariii
IWM: Breaking Down From A Bear Flag Visible on the MonthlyThe Russell 2000 has broken down from a Bear Flag that is visible on the monthly timeframe; at the same time, the RSI is breaking below trend and the MACD has flipped Bearish. If this goes like last time, it will result in a deep bearish retrace, perhaps all the way down to the $70s or even the $50s. One thing to keep in mind is that the Russell is heavily linked to Finacial Stocks and Banks, so this Bearish Setup here is likely more indicative of what's to come for the financial sector, including Banks, REITs, and other Services, than anything else.
AMEX:IWMShort
by RizeSenpai
If you count with a market crash this one goes firstMonthly timeframe chart. Price is building up a huge bearish flag, it may try another push to the flag resistance (I would open a short then) but it doesn't look good at all for the Russell 2000. Another strategy is to open a small position now and add if price hits the resistance and is rejected or add is price breaks down the flag support in the weekly timeframe. This is a long term trade it could take several weeks to play out. TP at 145 support. SL at 205 level.
AMEX:IWMShort
by ArturoL
ASTER DM HEALTHCARE LTD - Ascending Triangle Breakout📊 Script: ASTERDM (ASTER DM HEALTHCARE LIMITED) 📊 Nifty50 Stock: NO 📊 Sectoral Index: NIFTY 500 / NIFTY SMALLCAP / NIFTY PHARMA 📊 Sector: Healthcare 📊 Industry: Healthcare Services - Hospital Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 Script is trading at upper band of Bollinger Bands (BB) and giving breakout of it. 📈 MACD is giving crossover. 📈 Double Moving Averages also giving crossover. 📈 Volume is increasing along with price which is volume breakout. 📈 Script is giving breakout of Ascending Triangle. 📈 Current RSI is around 65. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade. ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 265.55 🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 304 ⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 247 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ⚠️ Purely technical based pick. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:ASTERDMLong
by radha_23
1
Is the Market Deluding Itself with a Soft Landing Fantasy?As markets surge against expectations, many are starting to believe that the impossible might unfold. The unusually low fund allocation to equities reflects a market sentiment plagued by fear, yet mega caps are continuing to rise against expectations, making some investors feel left behind. With GDP figures beating expectations and headline inflation plummeting, markets are now starting to believe the soft landing narrative. Can the Federal Reserve, after decades of economic engineering, finally dodge a recession? The bond market remains skeptical. When the yield curve inverted, everyone thought a recession was imminent. However, many overlook the lag between the onset of the inversion and an actual recession. Depending on historical context, a recession can either hit while the yield curve remains inverted or much later, once it has normalised. Thus, relying solely on the yield curve as a recession indicator can be misleading. Nevertheless, history has consistently shown that a recession follows the inversion at some point. However, the human psyche is notoriously impatient. If a predicted event doesn't manifest promptly, the market tends to discount its possibility. Remember, most people buy at tops and sell at bottoms. So, the real question isn't whether a recession will happen, but rather when. Why and When Could a Recession Happen? The Federal Reserve holds significant influence over this timeline. As long as interest rates hover around 5.5%, the recession clock ticks faster. With headline inflation plummeting (orange line) and inflation expectations paralleling this descent (blue line), we must understand what caused inflation initially to gauge where it's headed. The inflationary surge was mostly driven by the excessive expansion of the money supply. Examining the first derivative of the US money supply (M2) shows a rapid expansion followed by a subsequent decline. Comparing the growth rate of the money supply (yellow line) with the CPI year-over-year (orange line) reveals a 16-month lag. If this lag remains consistent, there's significant potential downside to inflation. Yet, the Fed continues to hike rates, despite projections of disinflation and deflation. This is because the Fed's job isn't to predict the future, but to respond to current data. Indicators showing a robust labor market and elevated Core PCE caution against prematurely reducing rates. It would be wise for the Fed to await signs of weakening in these indicators before contemplating rate cuts. This could potentially take a while to materialise, especially since unemployment doesn't seem poised to weaken in the immediate future. Unlike previous business cycles, the current situation stands out due to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data. There remains a significant number of job openings for every unemployed individual. This bolsters the resilience of the labor market, making rate cuts less probable. Furthermore, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) - a lagging indicator - remains historically high and resilient. Powell has emphasised the Fed's intent to avoid repeating the same mistakes made in the '70s, suggesting we should expect higher rates for longer in order to permanently get Core PCE to 2%. He's also highlighted the relative ease of stimulating the economy out of a recession compared to raising rates, implying it might be more straightforward for the Fed to rein in Core PCE by inducing a recession. Similarly, the government can't afford the risk of the Fed raising rates later on. Considering the government's dependency on low-cost borrowing to manage interest payments on existing debts, higher future rates could pose a big challenge. Fortunately, the Fed uses the Reverse Repo (blue line) as a strategic tool to bypass any potential liquidity crisis until they are able to finance the government's balance sheet (orange line) with cheap debt once again. Given that interest expenses are nearing 1 trillion USD, the Fed will inevitably have to cut rates to zero and initiate Quantitative Easing (QE) in the future. Remember, the sole limitation to Keynesian economics is inflation. Hence, it's logical for the Fed to avoid risking a resurgence of inflation. In essence, a recession might be essential for the Fed's future assistance to the government. Deciphering the Stock Market's Puzzle Despite Powell's frequent emphasis on a 'higher for longer' stance, the market remains skeptical. This is alarming, especially as the full implications of a 5.5% rate haven't been fully experienced by the economy. Once they manifest, job openings will plummet, unemployment figures will surge, and the 'soft landing' illusion might crumble. Historically, such scenarios are common when real rates reach unsustainable levels. Fortunately for investors, there seems to be room for the AI bubble to continue. Markets typically peak about a month before a sustained increase in unemployment. Hence, forward-looking unemployment indicators like job openings, initial claims (blue line), and continued claims (orange line) are crucial for those wishing to divest before a potential market downturn. In the current scenario, it might be wise for investors to stay away from higher-risk assets like small caps and cryptocurrencies. Historically, these haven't performed as well as mega caps during liquidity crunches. Investors might want to reconsider taking on additional risks unless there's a sustained surge in global liquidity (yellow line). Conclusion: A Time for Caution and Opportunity In conclusion, even though a recession seems inevitable, mega caps may continue their upward trend until the labor market reveals signs of distress. Therefore, it's crucial for investors to closely watch leading unemployment indicators and central bank balance sheets to ensure they're well-positioned for both the upcoming market downturn and the subsequent recovery. Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and you should conduct your own research when making a decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NASDAQ:NDX
by ingeforberg
$NOA is leading the international small capsNorth American Construction Group provides mining, heavy construction services to customers in the resource development, industrial construction in the US, Canada and Australia. I tried trading this stock back in 2021 and got stopped out. If it wasn't for that I would have had dead money for more than a year! Thank God for stops. Now, NYSE:NOA is ready to make all time highs and it could be a good trade again. Already broke out relative to its peers ( AMEX:GWX ). Other stocks in its industry/sector like NYSE:GVA , NYSE:MTZ , NYSE:EME & NYSE:OII are also in strong uptrends. The Invesco Dynamic Building & Construction ETF AMEX:PKB is also making new highs. I'm looking for stocks in this sectors. Not everything is tech stocks!
NYSE:NOALong
by dpuleo19
ASX: LEL - predicted $1.40, soon to be a lithium giant.Hopefully we close above the 50ema today, otherwise we'll be opening bellow it on Monday. I believe we've already broken out of our "bear" market. Using the Volume Profile indicator, I've found key areas where price reverses its trend. Every dip bellow the POC has been followed by large growth. Considering SP hit a 2 month gain of 104% after it dipped bellow the POC, it's safe to say the market is reacting to that and retail investors are taking profits. This is healthy market movement after a company doubled their MC. Now, SP is sitting at a very key level, perfectly sat within the .5 fib, and price action moving closely to the POC. A dip bellow it in my books really wouldn't be the end and could probably cause a huge jump in SP. The 2 Month POC is going to act as a level of resistance once price action moves closer, but breaking that will mean huge moves. Ghost trend isn't meant to represent expected SP movment, simply a guide to show current trend. (We've been moving up for months, clearly we're just looking at a healthy market retrace) $1.40 Level could see some heavily selling once reached due to past double top pattern at that level.
LLong
by boiledpeas