Who Doesn't Love Wine & Trading? Is this a New Year Delight $VWEI just came across Vintage Wine Estates and damn! I have not initiated a position but you better believe I'm looking for the pullback!!!
Smallcaps
RUT Russell 2000 Santa Rally?The Santa Rally is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27.
This period gave positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time.
Since 1950, the average return of the Santa rally was 1.33%.
How do you think this will be reflected in the Russell2000 index?
The reasons could be optimism over the new year ahead or holiday spending.
Small Cap Rotation - EpicLots of market breadth was eroded this year, with most small and micro-cap investors becoming frustrated by shameless levels of naked shorting across a lot of sectors, such is the frustration always felt in a wave-four correction. This may be a leveraged ETF but the structure here is undeniable. Our last chance at the big time!
With the S&P (ES1!) driven to insane levels by only a handful of tickers, we have some time left to take us to levels in excess of 5000+
Because of the ridiculous valuation levels, I expect we may not see the same returns in big-cap tech and instead see rotation into small and micro-cap value and tech.
I have loaded a huge bag since mid-2021 along the line of this thesis, and I can tell you personally the turning point is here.
BOTTOM IS IN? - I think so yes, note the confident bounce here from a lower low with bullish divergence.
The chart is annotated with an Elliott wave count showing that we are completing a W4 consolidation that began in Feb 21, a fib extension to 230+,
The yellow line on March 21 shows when I expect the market may begin to show exhaustion which is the time I expect to go to cash and maybe some VIX calls. (timing is not exact but an indication)
Check out my ISWH chart for my favourite stock that sits at the nexus of crypto leverage and small-cap OTC.
Russell, 22 Dec. End of a Gigantic RangeIWM has been in a range for 329 days. It has tested the lower boundary 7 times. Many analysts now believe that 2022 will see a rotation back into value and small-caps, after 2021 was the year of the big tech corporations.
Elliott:
The range makes it difficult to determine a clean count, however we can count 5 waves to the downside in the last swing from 8 Nov. This is important because any complex correction such as the WXYXZ would complete with a 5-wave move, before price departs to the upside.
Oscillators:
The MACD crossover is imminent and the MFI is pointing upwards after a bullish divergence.
Geometry:
Price has reversed on the 50% Fib of the current pitchfork with a typical reversal doji. The next resistance is the pitchfork median at 221, potentially the end of wave (i).
How I trade it:
If we assume that the range is a completed re-accumulation, we can begin to build back long exposure. In Wyckoff terms, we would now be looking for the LPS/SOS stages. If price gives us a wave (i)-(ii) structure (in blue), we will get a H&S pattern that provides a solid bullish setup (long above wave B of (ii)). Support on the pitchfork median and a break of the 20 week MA at 224 would then signal that our assumption is likely correct.
A well-prepared entry is important because price can also exit the range to the downside. The bullish idea is invalidated if price moves out of the pitchfork altogether, which is below 202.
Cheap Valuations for Fintech PSFERecent strategic partnerships and acquisitions, insider share buying, trading under a 2.0 P/S with ~ $1.5B annual revs and $120B transactional volume, and significant gaps to fill on the chart all make PSFE a no-brainer buy at these levels.
Just my personal opinion, not investment advice.
BNGO Sell Off TodayNASDAQ:BNGO
OANDA:US2000USD
BNGO down 5.63%...time to panic? Absolutely not, after the rally of small caps over the last two days, it is expected to see a pull back. Short term traders are locking in profits, and volatility was low today (only 5.6Mil). I expect to see the climb of BNGO through the holiday season.
Current Options Positions
Short Calls - Strike 5.00 @ 1.21, 21-01-2022
Long Puts - Strike 2.00 @ 0.05, 21-01-2022
Short Calls - Strike 6.00 @0.21, 21-01-2022
Current Stock Positions
@5.97
@4.00
@3.69
Historical Behavior post-recessionsThe Russell 2000, as well as the S&P500 tend to have a similar behavior coming out of market bottoms. In this case, we analyze the potential move with past historical data.
The first year is usually a strong one, the second one there is consolidation and accumulation, the third there is a strong rally that loses steam near September.
Using market bottoms from:
1974
1982
2003
2009
QspBtc - 4x - 10x Breakout coming?In 1D TF 50MA/100MA/200MA are very close to each other.
1D 50MA could be the support now.
We have 1W, 1M bullish cross-ups in #STOCHRSI
1. take profit level in 1W 100MA (150sats)
2. take profit level in 1M 45MA (around 350sats)
Cap is very low in around 0,05Bn Usd.
Important security project for many big ones. #bnb #eth #dao
Not Financial Advice. Do your own research.
Suprajit Engineering BreakoutThe stock has broken out and retested, therefore it may undergo a rally. Trade is supported by Supports Nearby.
Risk Reward Ratio - 2:1
SL is placed below support zone & Previously upper trendline. The target is placed near swing high.
Note: Market is having weak sentiments, making this a high risk trade. Due Caution Is Required.
Oasis Network Breakout OpportunityThis crypto has broken out with good volumes and could Retest in daily candlestick chart, and may rally further.
It is a small cap and the markets are showing signs of weakness. so this trade is of high risk and due caution is advised.
A good point of entry would be around 0.32 USDT, which is the point of retest in Fibonacci levels and previously higher trendline.
Risk Reward Ratio - 2:1
SL placed below major support and below trendline.
Biotech primed for a move higher?This one is almost pure intuition. We're in pharmaceuticals earnings season now. Seagen reports after market today. A bunch of other large holdings of XBI report on November 3-4, and a bunch more on November 8. Bonds and tech stocks have made a breakout move upward, and small caps look primed. (XBI is full of small and micro caps.) XBI has had a long consolidation here, and I really like the price action on it today. A lot of other sector funds have had mid-day pullbacks, but XBI has maintained its steady upward slope. It has poked above the 20-day EMA. My guess is that this will be green again tomorrow, so I've rolled the dice on a call expiring October 29. I'm also looking for continuation the next two weeks, with a first target of about 131.75.
POLKACITYMY TA on this one.
I like the project and believe if they continue to hit their company targets, we can expect significant gains. We can already begin to see a trend developing and big money buying in, on the lows, making it thus far an easy one to find the trends on.
Obviously high risk with a very small market cap.