CYBERARK SOFTWARE: The Underdog of the CybersecurityCyberArk is a smallcap security company offering Privileged Account Security ( e.g. financial services, energy, retail, healthcare).
Cause of the Covid19-Crash the Cybersecurity section crushed down to -33% but we are seeing fast recovery in the Cyber Sector recording to the First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (Blue Line).
I expect that Cyberark is going to have a big bound upwards. Your Christian S.
Smallcapstocks
Can The Bulls Keep $JE Afloat?Interesting day after what has been an amazing run. But a big retraced candle and lower volume are raising an eyebrow or two.
"The year-to-date chart for this stock is pretty boring until you get to August 15th where the stock absolutely tanked. This was due to an abysmal earnings report which decreased the likelihood of a buyout for Just Energy. Fast forward a month and a half and the stock is beginning to rally.It has started filling the gap that was formed on the 15th. It has bounced back 117% since September 5th. The support of news regarding Snyder Trust adding to its ownership position of Just Energy of September 27th."
Regardless, it has been an interesting penny stock to watch . Just curious if it can actually push through this "no man's land" area where it gapped down previously.
*Quote Source: Money Making Penny Stocks To Watch This Week
$IWM $RUT - Small Caps Under PressureAs the trade war heats up, risky assets are getting hammered, and one area where this is evident is in small cap stocks.
On a technical basis, small cap stocks have been deteriorating. Since May, prices have fallen below both the 10-Day and 50-Day EMAs, with a deteriorating MACD to back it up . Furthermore, prices have suffered from lower highs and lower lows since that same time, with no relief in sight.
We believe that as the geopolitical landscape becomes more hostile, and global macro pressures mount, there will be more downside for the $RUT in the near term.
NIFTY Smallcap 100 Index - Simplistic ViewNIFTY Smallcap 100 index has closed above its 200 day moving average for the first time in nearly 11 months.
Today's closing is at 6653.
200 Day Simple Moving Average is at 6638.
Support are currently at 6630, 6580 and 6515.
Resistance levels are 6840, 6900, 6950 and 7000.
A daily close above 7000 could really put the bulls in the front seat.
Technical View - NIFTY Smallcap 100 IndexNIFTY Smallcap 100 index has near-term resistance in the zone of 6615-6645. The index has faced tough resistance for a few trading sessions around these levels.
200 Day Simple Moving Average is at 6642.
200 Day Exponential Moving Average is at 6639.
A daily close above 6645 would be positive.
$RUT $SPY Small Caps? - Loosing Steam or Taking a Breather?Small cap equities have had a fantastic run since the beginning of 2019, so much so that the asset class is up 12.72% year-to-date. However, the asset class has been loosing a little bit of luster as of late, especially in relation to their large cap counterparts.
Since mid-February 2019, the price ratio between small cap and large cap equities (RUT/SPY as a proxy) hit its 200-day moving average and failed to breakthrough, and in turn, has been falling since. In addition, its Smart Money Indicator reading shows it is 1.84, well of its highs of 1.98 as seen earlier in the year, indicating that this trend has some legs to stand on.
Thus, this lends credence to the fact that global investors have been rotating out of small cap stocks and into large cap stocks.
We believe that this trend is due to two reasons:
1) Improving Trade Deal Prospects Between the US and China - As talks of a trade deal continue to progress well between the two nations, investors have begun to move money back into large cap sectors and names that will greatly benefit from the reduction, or even removal, of trade barriers between the US and China. This can been in the fact that trade sensitive sectors such as technology (up 16.67%) and industrials (14.44%) have been some of the top performing sectors year to date.
2) Slowing Global Economy - With the current economic expansion growing tired and weary, from a factor perspective, investors have been moving money out of riskier segments of the equity market and into “safer” areas such as large cap stocks, companies with stable earnings growth, value stocks, and firms with lower betas in relation to the general market. Investors have realized, and rightfully so, that though this recent run in the markets has been solid, the macroeconomic backdrop continues to be an area of concern.
Overall, though we think that small caps still have some to run, investors should take heed over the fact that money is moving out of this segment of the equity market and into large cap equities. Furthermore investors should be cautious if this trend continues.
NIFTY Smallcap 100 - Technical ViewNIFTY Smallcap 100 has resistance in the zone of 6620.
A closing above that, will be positive.
A daily close above the 200 SMA level which is currently at 6683, will confirm that a bottom has been made and may turn the smallcaps bullish in the medium term.
Resistances are currently at 6620/6900
Support is in the zone of 5680-5660.
NIFTY Smallcap 100 may turn bullish above 6710.NIFTY Smallcap 100 has resistance in the zone of 6540-6570.
A closing above that, will be positive. A daily close above 6710 will confirm that a bottom has been made and may turn the smallcaps bullish in the medium term. 200 SMA level is at 6707 as of now.
Resistances are currently at 6545/6570/6710.
Support is in the zone of 5680-5660.
Positive RSI Divergence on SmallCap 100 IndexPositive RSI Divergence on SmallCap 100 Index. Some bounce expected.
Resistance is at 6555 and 6950. Note that 6555 is also the 200 MA on weekly.
Slightly Risky buy on a closing above 6555. Possibly safe to buy on a closing above 6950.
Downside can possibly accelerate towards 5400 if 5650 is broken. Huge downside possible below 5400.
AMBA - High Def SCAMBA: The simple answer...Ambarella, Inc. offers semiconductor processing solutions for video that enable high-definition (HD), video capture, sharing and display.
Love this long run on sentence and now you know why the dip. Await smart driving cars for growth as likely booster.
The company's system-on-a-chip designs integrated HD video processing, image processing, computer vision functionality, audio processing, and system functions onto a single chip for delivering video and image quality, differentiated functionality, and low power consumption. Its solutions enable the creation of video content for wearable cameras, automotive cameras, and professional and consumer Internet Protocol (IP) security cameras, as well as cameras incorporated into unmanned aerial vehicles in the camera market; and manage IP video traffic, broadcast encoding and transcoding, and IP video delivery applications in the infrastructure market.
Small cap 1.4B Mkt Value Ambarella is beaten up currently with negative ROI, lower revenue growth and earnings. It is below it's normal resistance line, but ROI not ready to put in quarters. Still looking at Jukebox for play options. If you like smart car tech semiconductor, this will drive it's growth. Its system-on-a-chip design offers acquisition mindset for GOOG, APPL, etc. as other play. $38 bargain risky.
For own use. Viewers come to own investment opines/sententia.
$LMFA OThe Technicals -
A clear divergence of the OBV and Price Action , which preludes growing buyer volume and long position sentiment.
Earlier last week, $LMFA hit all time-lows with its bottom at 5 cents above the half dollar. Although we have a considerable amount of selling to break past, I would anticipate the larger corrective retest to occur at the 1.414/1.618 extension, throw some impulse/corrective waves on that bad boy and leg it up.
The Fundamentals -
Domestic based capital financing/lending company serving the nonprofit sector - overall a safer alternative to other loan portfolios, especially amid the turbulence of global trade and the increasing value of real estate and real-estate development. Recently secured a partnership which appears to have expedited what was already anticipated last week in terms of Price Action . Have not yet read up on these developments (tend to not pay attention to news) but from what I hear, seems to have stirred up investor interest.
Supplementing Your Portfolio with NAIINAII is a sports nutrition and supplement company flushed with cash, no debt, and increased operating income over the last three years. Check out my latest analysis of the comp here: rockvuecapital.wordpress.com
The short of it: The market seems to be mis-pricing the tremendous margin and operating efficiency that NAII has compared to its peers. With higher margins, lower operating costs, and an peer leading ROA and ROE, I think the market is overemphasizing the recent downtrend in the company's earnings.
I entered at 11.35 with a stop loss at 10.00 in the paper account, risking 46bps of capital. I might add to this position if price advances in my favor.
Please be critical in your analysis, help me find my blind spots.
Always trying to improve,
Brandon
Investing in The Mind of Jay WalkerWLKR is virtually unknown in the stock market world. Morningstar's website crashes when you look it up, and various stock market websites have zero data on the company. It's a net cash play trading at a 60% discount to its liquid cash on its books. Plus, the company is run by none other than Jay Walker, Time Magazine's Top 50 Most Influential Businessmen in the Digital Age, and Top 10 Most Patented American.
The company is not without its problems, which I go into detail about in my latest blog post .
I like the $0.60 price level for entering, and would place my stop loss around $0.35 per share, risking no more than 100 - 125bps on this trade.
This stock is low volume, so be cautious of that if you decide to take the plunge.
Always trying to improve,
Brandon
NSPR Could Be Deep Value Comeback StoryI wrote an extensive piece on NSPR in which I go into depth on the company and the potential turnaround story, you can find it here: rockvuecapital.wordpress.com
Trading at a 77% discount to book value, an 81% discount to sales, an 81% discount to NCAV, and a 43% discount to net cash, NSPR is roadkill in the market. However, no matter how great the value may seem, it does nothing for us if the price action doesn't coincide with our thesis. For this reason we must take into consideration the chart. As you can see from the chart, there is tremendous amounts of consolidation at the 0.76 to .60 price channel. In an effort to focus more on the price action, I am looking for a breakout from that 0.76 price level. If that breakout happens, it could signal the bullish thesis I laid out. A more convincing price action would be a breakout above the 50 MA. I am content to wait on this one and wait for the price action to confirm my entry.