EUR_USD POTENTIAL SHORT|
✅EUR_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching
A horizontal resistance of 1.1632
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Smartmoney
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350
“From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.”
🔸 Sunday Plan Recap
Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240).
The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held.
Above price, major zones included:
3314 – mid-structure
3330–3345 – supply zone
3368–3380 – final retracement targets
🔸 What Changed?
✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed.
✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg.
🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345).
🔸 Current H4 Structure
🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement
📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone
📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum
💡 RSI = approaching overbought
⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314
🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1)
🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355
Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs:
Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing)
If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265
High RR short only if structure confirms
🔵 Breakout Bullish Case
If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active
Next upside target: 3368 → 3380
🧭 Final Thoughts
We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan.
The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming?
Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts.
💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply?
📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together.
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📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
Ethereum: Smart Money Reversal After Stop Hunt?In the previous update, we warned that Ethereum might drop lower before any meaningful bounce — especially if it failed to hold the midline of the ascending channel. That scenario played out exactly as anticipated.
🟡 Price action summary:
ETH broke below the midline of the weak ascending channel, hunted the liquidity below recent lows, and tapped into the key bullish order block near $3,490 – $3,520. Price is now reacting to this zone with early signs of a reversal.
📌 Key observation:
Midlines of weak or low-momentum channels often act as liquidity traps in smart money models. Buying at these levels can be extremely risky — especially during corrective or distribution phases.
⸻
📚 Educational Note:
Never enter long positions solely at the midline of a weak ascending channel, especially when there’s a high probability of liquidity sweep below. Smart entries usually occur at order blocks formed after stop hunts.
⸻
🎯 Next steps:
Wait for confirmation (such as internal BOS or FVG closure) before entering longs. The structure suggests a potential move back toward the upper boundary of the channel if this OB holds.
⸻
🔗 Save this analysis and share it with fellow traders.
💬 Thoughts? Drop your view in the comments.
XAUUSD August 2025 Monthly OutlookWelcome to August — and welcome to the top of the macro ladder. Gold is not just rising. It’s rewriting structure.
🔸 Macro & Fundamentals
Gold opens August with a fresh impulsive breakout above $3360, fuelled by a weaker USD, rising global risk sentiment, and continued speculative positioning from institutional buyers. The upcoming Jackson Hole meeting and shifting Federal Reserve expectations create the perfect climate for volatility. All eyes are now on the premium structure top — but will gold expand beyond it or retrace to refill?
🔸 Monthly Trend & Bias (HTF Overview)
🔹 Structure: Clean bullish BOS, continuation leg in progress
🔹 Last CHoCH: April 2023 → Confirmed full trend shift bullish
🔹 Current Monthly Candle: Explosive push into supply with top wick rejection beginning to show
🔹 Bias: Still bullish but in extreme premium — watch for cooling/rebalancing
🔸 EMA Structure
| EMA Type | Status | Signal |
| ----------- | -------------- | ------------------------------------- |
| EMA 5 / 21 | Strong Bullish | Dynamic expansion, steep angle upward
| EMA 50 | Below | Clean breakout from range
| EMA 100/200 | Far below | Long-term uptrend deeply intact
🔸 Key HTF Levels (Wick-to-Wick Mapping)
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔴 Premium Supply 3350 – 3439 Monthly FVG + Wick exhaustion + RSI 80+
🔵 Bullish Imbalance 3180 – 3270 Monthly FVG + old BOS + EMA5 baseline
🔵 Mid-Level Support 2920 – 3000 Monthly OB + FVG + structure base
🔵 Deep Demand 2670 – 2780 HTF equilibrium zone + RSI support
✅ The current candle has pierced into the final wick supply, but with clear signs of loss in momentum.
⚠️ If 3439 breaks cleanly, next expansion zone opens toward 3505 → 3610 (Fibonacci projection). Otherwise, expect cooling to 3270–3180 first.
🔸 Fibonacci Context
🔻 Swing Low: 1810
🔺 Swing High: 3439
🎯 Current price ($3363) sits just below the 100% Fibonacci projection, with the 1.272 and 1.618 extensions at 3610 and 3740.
This confirms we are in a macro premium, and any long positions from here forward must be built only on strong LTF confirmation or clean pullbacks into value.
🔸 August Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1 – Breakout + Price Discovery
If bulls break 3439 with strong volume and close:
New leg toward 3505 → 3610 opens
Watch for LTF continuation on H4–D1 with bullish OB reentry
Only valid if 3350 holds as new support
🔻 Scenario 2 – Rejection + Healthy Pullback
If price holds below 3439 and monthly wick exhausts:
Clean retracement toward 3270 → 3180 expected
EMA5/21 rebalancing will support bullish structure
Deeper rejection could retest 3070 zone if volatility spikes
🔸 Conclusion & Action Plan
We open August fully inside the last monthly supply zone. Trend is still bullish, but RSI, FVGs, and EMA distance warn us: this is not the time to chase — it’s time to wait for structure to speak.
📌 Key pivot = 3439.
Above it → Expansion.
Below it → Retracement.
Let August unfold — but stay sharp. The next big move will be born from this compression.
—
What’s your take — are we just getting started or about to cool off?
Drop your thoughts, chart it out, and stay ready for what August brings. ⚔️
—
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GoldFxMinds
EURUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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DAILY SCALPING PLAN | CLINTON SMC STYLE✅ XAU/USD - DAILY SCALPING PLAN | CLINTON SMC STYLE
📆 Date: August 1st, 2025
📍 Strategy: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔑 Focus: Liquidity Sweep | Order Block | BOS | Premium/Discount Model
🔍 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently in a manipulation phase after a strong move down from a premium supply zone. The market has swept key liquidity and is preparing for a high-probability move in both directions based on Smart Money footprints.
Current structure suggests:
Bullish intent forming from a discount demand zone.
Liquidity resting above recent highs – perfect for short-term scalps and intraday swings.
🟢 BUY SETUP – DISCOUNT DEMAND REACTION
🎯 Entry: 3275
🛡️ Stop Loss: 3268
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 3285
TP2: 3295
TP3: 3305
TP4: 3315
TP5: 3325
TP6: 3335
Reasoning:
This is a clean bullish OB resting beneath a CHoCH and BOS zone. Price may wick into this area as Smart Money reloads after sweeping early long positions. If held, expect sharp upside expansion toward previous liquidity highs.
🔴 SELL SETUP – PREMIUM SUPPLY REJECTION
🎯 Entry: 3356
🛡️ Stop Loss: 3362
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 3350
TP2: 3345
TP3: 3340
TP4: 3330
TP5: 3320
Reasoning:
This level is a key supply block where price previously distributed. If price expands into this zone, it’s likely to act as a liquidity magnet for Smart Money to offload longs and enter short-term shorts. Expect reaction.
🧠 SMC Insights
Internal BOS & CHoCH signal early signs of accumulation.
Price respects the premium vs. discount framework with clear liquidity targets.
SMC traders understand that price doesn’t move randomly – it targets liquidity, mitigates OBs, and respects structure.
🔔 Note:
Always wait for clear confirmation (rejection wick, engulfing pattern, or M15 structure shift) before execution. Entries without confirmation are riskier in current volatility.
📌 Follow @ClintonScalper for daily SMC scalping plans & deep institutional insight.
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BTCUSD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy BTCUSD
Entry Level - 11326
Sl - 11231
Tp - 11516
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD – SMC ProTrading Breakdown Plan Next WEEK GOLD – SMC ProTrading Breakdown | Clinton Scalper | 4H Timeframe
XAUUSD is currently displaying clear institutional order flow behavior after a deep liquidity sweep at the end of July. Here’s a full breakdown using advanced SMC (Smart Money Concepts) methodology:
🔍 1. Liquidity Sweep at the Low
Price maintained a series of lower highs and bearish structure until it executed a classic liquidity grab between 3,270 – 3,290. This is a textbook move by Smart Money: sweep retail stop orders before initiating a reversal.
This zone aligned with:
✅ Untapped Fair Value Gap (FVG)
✅ Reversal Order Block (OB)
✅ Fibo 0.236 of the mid-term bullish leg
After the sweep, the market printed a micro CHoCH, indicating early signs of smart money accumulation.
🧠 2. CHoCH → BOS → Reaccumulation Structure
CHoCH (Change of Character) marks the first break in the bearish microstructure – suggesting a possible shift.
Then, price delivered a BOS (Break of Structure) around the 3,334 zone, confirming bullish intent.
Buy-side is now:
Positioned from a deep discount zone
Mitigating key inefficiencies
Targeting higher liquidity zones above current price
Price is currently reacting to a previous supply OB around 3,362.
📐 3. Institutional Order Flow & Target Zones
Now that price is in a key reaction zone, we prepare for two high-probability scenarios:
🅰️ Continuation Scenario (Reaccumulation)
A retracement to the 3,317–3,311 zone (Fibo 0.5–0.618) could offer a premium re-entry
This area is stacked with:
FVG
Order Block
Equal lows liquidity
🔼 From there, potential targets include:
🎯 TP1: 3,371 – previous imbalance zone
🎯 TP2: 3,392 – minor liquidity cluster
🎯 TP3: 3,429 – premium OB and high-liquidity zone
🅱️ Distribution Scenario (Bearish Rejection)
If price fails to hold bullish structure and forms a bearish CHoCH around 3,392–3,429
This would signal a distribution zone, and potential reversal back toward 3,290 support
🔂 4. Smart Money Flow Logic
“Smart Money doesn’t follow price. They lead price to liquidity.”
This chart reflects the complete Sweep → CHoCH → BOS → Mitigation → Expansion sequence. A classic SMC Pro model where:
Liquidity is engineered and swept
Structure is shifted
Price returns to mitigate institutional entries
Price expands into external liquidity
📌 Clinton Scalper Outlook:
We don’t chase reversals – we track the footprints of capital. The real edge is understanding where smart money is positioned, and aligning with their narrative.
🔔 Stay tuned for continued updates using this precise and probability-driven Pro SMC framework.
NASDAQ at Key Turning Point 🔍Technical Context
After testing the 23,600–23,800 supply zone, price printed a strong bearish rejection with a weekly engulfing candle.
The RSI broke decisively below the midline, signaling a clear loss of momentum.
Price is now trading back within the weekly demand zone between 22,800 and 22,950.
If a pullback toward 23,200 occurs, it could offer a fresh short opportunity, with downside targets around 22,600.
🪙 COT Report – July 29
Non-Commercials (speculators):
Long: +8,581
Short: +4,355
Commercials (hedging):
Long: +4,955
Short: +8,556
The market remains net long, but commercials are increasingly hedging with shorts.
The current imbalance — 88.6% long vs 11.3% short — suggests excessive bullish positioning, raising the risk of a correction.
🗓️ Seasonality – August
August is historically strong for the NASDAQ:
+222 pts (10Y)
+400 pts (5Y)
+912 pts (2Y)
While the trend is clearly bullish seasonally, caution is warranted:
Tops are often formed during the first half of August, followed by more pronounced corrections in September.
📉 Operational Summary
Primary scenario:
Wait for a retest of the 23,200–23,250 area
Look for rejection signals → enter short
Target 1: 22,800
Target 2: 22,600
Alternatively:
If 22,800 breaks on a strong weekly close, deeper downside scenarios may unfold.
GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
GOLD surged up sharply
On Friday and is already
Retesting the horizontal
Resistance of 3377$
From where we will be
Expecting a local pullback
On Monday as Gold
Is locally overbought
Sell!
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GBPUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GBPUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPUSD
Entry Point - 1.3264
Stop Loss - 1.3287
Take Profit -1.3218
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AAVE Daily Chart – Key Buy Zone & Two ScenariosAAVE is currently moving within a well-defined ascending channel on the daily timeframe. The last major bullish leg began from the $120 support and surged nearly +180% to a local high near $330.
Now, after a 25% pullback, price is consolidating around the midline of the channel near $250. More importantly, there’s a strong bullish order block sitting between $220–230, making this a low-risk buy zone with a stop below the order block.
🔸 Scenario 1 (bullish preferred):
Price dips into the $220 OB zone, completes a possible ABC correction, and launches a new bullish leg targeting the channel top above $500.
🔸 Scenario 2 (bearish alternate):
If the $220 order block fails, deeper correction could follow toward the channel bottom near $135.
⏳ This is a critical area to watch for reaction – Smart Money will likely show its hand soon.
🔗 Analysis by CryptoPilot
OTHERS.D – Perfect Reaction to Previous AnalysisAs predicted in the last update, OTHERS.D broke structure and dropped sharply toward the 7.20% demand zone — exactly as expected.
Now, we’re waiting for a potential bullish reaction from this key area. If demand holds, a move toward the upper channel boundary (~7.70%) could follow.
🧭 Technical Outlook:
• Price tapped into a key demand zone at 7.20%, which aligns with the lower boundary of a descending channel.
• A bullish reaction is forming, suggesting short-term strength in altcoins.
• A move toward the channel top near 7.70% is now on the table if demand holds.
⚠️ Important Note:
This move is likely to remain a corrective rally unless we see a proper breakout above 7.70% with volume and structure shift. Be selective with altcoin longs.
🔍 Watch for:
• Reaction at 7.50% midline
• Price behavior at 7.70% resistance
• Structure shift or failure pattern near channel top
⚠️ Caution: This remains a corrective rally unless price breaks 7.70% with structure shift.
🔗 Analysis by CryptoPilot
GBP-JPY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY collapsed on Friday
And the pair's final move
Was absorbed by the horizontal
Support of 195.400 so as the
Pair is oversold we will be
Expecting a local rebound
And a correction on Monday
Buy!
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GBP_NZD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GBP_NZD has retested
A resistance level of 2.2500
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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GBPNZD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPNZD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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NZD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is retsting a
Strong horizontal support
Level around 87.044 and
As the pair is locally
Oversold we will be expecting
A local rebound and a move
Up on Monday!
Buy!
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NZDJPY: Bullish Continuation
The recent price action on the NZDJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 3299.9
Sl - 3304.2
Tp - 3291.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD SETUP – BUY THE DIP OR SELL THE LIQUIDITY?Smart Money Playbook with Macroeconomic Context
📅 Date: July 31, 2025
🧠 Analyst: Clinton Scalper
🔍 Technical Breakdown (XAU/USD – H1/H4 Confluence)
Price is currently reacting within a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and appears to be setting up a liquidity sweep on both sides before committing to a strong directional move.
🟢 BUY PLAN
Entry: 3,284
SL: 3,275
TP Targets:
▫️ TP1: 3,290
▫️ TP2: 3,300
▫️ TP3: 3,310
▫️ TP4: 3,320
▫️ TP5: 3,330
▫️ TP6: 3,340
▫️ TP7: 3,350
Key Support Zone: 3,276–3,284
→ Bullish OB + previous demand + potential BOS if price holds
🔴 SELL PLAN
Entry: 3,324
SL: 3,334
TP Targets:
▫️ TP1: 3,320
▫️ TP2: 3,310
▫️ TP3: 3,305
▫️ TP4: 3,300
Sell Zone: Inside FVG + liquidity inducement structure
→ Sell into imbalance after price fakes above recent swing highs
🔎 Smart Money Logic
Price is navigating a deep retracement inside a key FVG, targeting both sides of liquidity before trend continuation.
The BUY PLAN aligns with a classic "liquidity sweep → OB rejection → internal structure break".
The SELL PLAN is a short-term scalping idea inside the FVG liquidity zone, where institutional orders are often triggered before real bullish continuation.
🌍 Macroeconomic Context
US GDP data recently came in slightly below forecast → weaker USD outlook.
Gold demand remains supported due to:
Geopolitical risks (Ukraine, Taiwan tensions)
Market uncertainty over next Fed move (dovish bias increasing)
Real yields declining → bullish for precious metals
However, any hawkish Fed speak or sudden bond yield spikes can trigger intraday sell-offs into OB demand.
🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook
Buy if price sweeps below 3,284 and holds the demand zone. Target extended upside as macro supports gold.
Sell scalp at 3,324–3,330 zone if price shows rejection in FVG zone, but don’t overstay shorts.
⏳ Patience is key: Let price fill liquidity zones and follow smart money trail.
📌 Summary
🔸 Primary Bias: Bullish (Buy Plan favored due to macro + structure)
🔸 Secondary Bias: Bearish scalps from premium FVG
🔸 Watch for: USD volatility, yields, and institutional reaction in OB/FVG zones.
GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 3313$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction and
We will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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CHF_JPY LOCAL SHORT|
✅CHF_JPY has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal resistance of 186.000
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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CHFJPY: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why
The price of CHFJPY will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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