NZD_CHF BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅NZD_CHF keeps falling in
A strong downtrend and the pair
Made a bearish breakout and a
Retest of the key horizontal level
Of 0.4810 which is now a resistance
And the pair is already making a
Bearish pullback so we are
Bearish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Smartmoney
EUR/USD Reversal Ahead? COT + DXY Strength Signal Price has broken below the ascending channel that started in mid-May.
The current candle is rejecting the weekly supply zone (1.17566–1.18319), leaving a significant upper wick.
Daily RSI is losing strength but has not yet reached extreme levels.
A key daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies between 1.1600 and 1.1480, with the first potential downside target at 1.14802, which aligns with support and the FVG zone.
A deeper bearish continuation could push price towards 1.1350, but only if the FVG lows are clearly broken.
📊 COT Data (CME - Euro FX & USD Index)
Euro FX
Net long: +15,334
Commercials increased both longs (+13,550) and shorts (+9,913) → mild divergence.
Non-Commercials (speculators) increased shorts (+4,786) more than longs (+1,188) → speculative bias tilting bearish.
USD Index
Strong net long accumulation across all trader types: +4,597 net.
Non-Commercials added +3,590 longs, with only a minor increase in shorts.
→ USD strength continues, reinforcing potential weakness in EUR/USD.
🧠 Retail Sentiment
67% of retail traders are short EUR/USD → typically a contrarian bullish signal.
However, the price is already showing distribution, not accumulation, so we may see price push lower first to trap remaining retail longs, invalidating the contrarian signal in the short term.
📅 Seasonality
July is historically bullish, especially on the 2Y (+0.0142) and 10Y (+0.0106) averages.
However, the 15Y and 20Y averages show a much more moderate performance (+0.007 / +0.0025).
Based on current price action, the seasonal rally may have already played out with the run-up to 1.1830. A correction now seems likely, even if the broader macro remains supportive mid-term.
🧩 Conclusion
Despite historically bullish seasonality for July, both price action and COT data indicate distribution with early signs of reversal.
Retail sentiment is too skewed short for a major breakdown just yet, but the technicals support a short-term pullback toward more balanced levels.
USD strength from COT and DXY structure reinforces a corrective short bias for now.
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3311.9
Stop Loss - 3305.4
Take Profit - 3324.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is weaker than we
Expected and failed to break
The key horizontal level
Around 3360$ and we are
Now seeing a bearish rejection
So we are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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TESLA Reached The Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA gaped down on
Monday but the move was
Held up by a massive support
Area ending around 272$ and
As the support is strong we
Will be expecting a rebound and
A move up from the level
Buy!
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USDJPY: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the USDJPY pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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DXY Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY made a nice rebound
From the lows but will soon
Hit a horizontal resistance
Around 97.900 from where
We will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
Sell!
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GOLD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GOLD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 3360$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 3325$
SHORT🔥
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CADJPY: Short Trading Opportunity
CADJPY
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell CADJPY
Entry Level - 106.89
Sl - 107.40
Tp - 105.90
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPJPY: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
Looking at the chart of GBPJPY right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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AMAZON STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅AMAZON is going up
Now and the stock made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 220$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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EURUSD: Growth & Bullish Forecast
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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AUD_USD WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅AUD_USD has retested a key support level of 0.6540
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 0.6584 is likely
LONG🚀
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EUR-NZD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD keeps growing in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Made a retest and a rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 1.9480 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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NZDUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy NZDUSD
Entry - 0.5984
Stop - 0.5949
Take - 0.6053
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPCAD: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GBPCAD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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AUD-CHF Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF keeps falling but
A horizontal support level
Is ahead around 0.5160
And as the pair is locally
Oversold we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\
\ This article explores the foundation, key tools, and practical insights of Smart Money Concepts — and why it’s worth your attention.\
In today's fast-changing financial landscape, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) has become a popular strategy among modern traders. But what is SMC exactly, and how can it improve your trading decisions? This article breaks it down in a simple, professional way for traders at all levels.
---
\ What Are Smart Money Concepts?\
SMC is a trading approach based on the belief that large institutions ("smart money") like banks and hedge funds control most of the market's movements. These institutions often move the market in ways that confuse or trap retail traders. The goal of SMC is to understand and follow the footsteps of these big players.
Instead of relying on simple patterns or indicators, SMC focuses on:
\ - Market structure\
\ - Supply and demand zones\
\ - Liquidity pools\
By aligning your trades with the behavior of smart money, you can position yourself more strategically in the market.
---
\ Key SMC Concepts Explained\
\ Order Blocks\
Order blocks are zones on the chart where large institutions have placed significant buy or sell orders. These zones often lead to strong price reactions and act as hidden support or resistance levels. Order blocks are considered more precise than traditional supply and demand areas.
Example: ()
\ Fair Value Gap (FVG)\
A Fair Value Gap occurs when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving a gap or imbalance in the price action. These areas often get filled later and can act as magnets for price.
In a bearish move, the FVG is the gap between the low of the previous candle and the high of the next one. In a bullish move, it's the reverse.
Example: ()
\ Timeframe Consideration\
If you can’t monitor charts during the day, avoid relying on 5–30 minute setups. Consider 4H or daily timeframes for clearer signals and more manageable trading decisions.
\ Liquidity\
Liquidity refers to price zones where lots of pending orders exist. These are usually at obvious highs, lows, or trendlines. Smart money often targets these areas to trigger stop-losses and generate movement.
One common tool to identify liquidity is a "pivot point," which is a candle with a lower low or higher high than its neighbors.
Example: ()
\ Break of Structure (BOS)\
BOS occurs when price breaks above or below a previous high or low, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Example: ()
\ Change of Character (ChoCH)\
ChoCH happens when the market changes direction. For example, if price breaks a higher low in an uptrend, it may signal a reversal.
Example: ()
Combined with BOS: ()
---
\ How SMC Compares to Wyckoff\
The idea of "smart money" isn't new. Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in technical analysis, laid the foundation for understanding market cycles driven by institutions. His price cycle theory includes four phases:
\ 1. Accumulation\
Smart money buys while the public is unaware.
\ 2. Markup\
Price rises as smart money pushes the market.
\ 3. Distribution\
Smart money sells into public buying.
\ 4. Markdown\
Price falls as the cycle completes.
SMC borrows from this logic but focuses more on structure and liquidity zones. Still, the core idea is the same: understand what big players are doing, and follow them.
\ For deeper insights into Wyckoff, explore additional resources focused on accumulation/distribution cycles.\
---
\ Summary\
Smart Money Concepts give traders a deeper look into market mechanics. By focusing on order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity, and structure breaks, SMC helps identify high-probability trade setups based on institutional behavior.
It may seem complex at first, but once you understand the basics, SMC can become a powerful tool in your trading strategy. Whether you’re new or experienced, aligning with smart money can improve your edge in the market.
USD_CAD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅USD_CAD went down to retest
A horizontal support of 1.3560
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 1.3652
LONG🚀
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EUR-AUD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD keeps trading in
A strong uptrend and the pair
Is locally overbought so as the
Pair is retesting a horizontal
Resistance of 1.8019 from
Where we will be expecting
A local pullback on Monday
Sell!
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EUR-NZD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD made a retest
Of the local horizontal resistance
Of 1.9485 so despite the uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
On Monday
Sell!
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CAD_CHF GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅CAD_CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 0.5820 and we are already
Seeing a bullish reaction
So we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
On Monday
LONG🚀
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SPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
SPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell SPY
Entry - 625.36
Stop - 633.00
Take - 611.27
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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