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Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190). 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum. ✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks. ✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation. 🔹 Target Zones: 📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high). 📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern. Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure. Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment. 🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend. 📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze. 📌 Liquidity Data: Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest. Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events 📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD: 📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD. 📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback. 📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold. ✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis: ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility. High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area. Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup ✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias. ✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement. ✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LDForex_
GBPJPY: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GBPJPY pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Long
by UnitedSignals
1
USD/JPY – Precision Short Trade Breakdown🔥 Executed a precise short trade on USD/JPY this morning, aligning with institutional order flow and Prime Market Terminal insights. Here’s the full breakdown of how this setup played out! 🔍 Trade Setup & Analysis: 📌 Entry: 149.300 – Price rejected a key supply zone & Fibonacci retracement level. 📌 Stop Loss: 149.558 – Above key liquidity & invalidation area. 📌 Take Profit: 148.504 (first TP), 148.213 (final target). 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 📊 Prime Market Terminal Insights That Confirmed This Trade: 🔻 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow: ✔ Smart Money Report: Large institutions were heavily net short USD/JPY, with leveraged funds reducing their long exposure. Dealer intermediaries (banks and liquidity providers) also added more short positions, indicating further downside momentum. ✔ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Open interest showed a significant drop in long positions, suggesting weakness in USD/JPY. Hedge funds and asset managers increasing short exposure aligned with my bearish bias. ✔ DMX Open Interest: 66% of institutional traders were short on USD/JPY, confirming my sell-side setup. Short positioning had increased by 34% in the last session, reinforcing my downside expectation. 🔻 Volatility & Liquidity Insights: ✔ Average True Range (ATR) Analysis: ATR showed a high probability of an extended move, suggesting the potential for price to hit my targets. Recent daily ranges indicated USD/JPY had room to move another 100+ pips to the downside. ✔ Session Range & Market Structure: Liquidity grab above 149.300 supply zone, followed by strong rejection and sell-off. Previous session lows were swept, indicating smart money targeting deeper liquidity. Institutional orders clustered around 148.200, suggesting a likely downside target. 🔻 High-Impact News That Influenced USD/JPY: 📢 Japanese Unemployment Rate (Actual: 2.5% | Forecast: 2.5%) → No surprise, minimal impact. 📉 Business Capex (MOF YY) (-0.2% vs. 8.1% previous) → Indicated economic slowdown, weakening JPY demand. 📰 U.S. Economic Data Later Today: Redbook YY (USD) expected at 6.2% – could impact USD sentiment. Fed’s Williams speech on monetary policy could affect USD volatility, reinforcing our bias. 🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome: ✅ TP HIT! Price dropped as expected, hitting both targets with precision. 🚀 Perfect confluence of: ✅ Smart money selling pressure ✅ Liquidity sweep & supply zone rejection ✅ High-probability move from ATR analysis 📸 Prime Market Terminal Screenshots Included: 📊 DMX Open Interest → Confirmed institutions were net short. 📊 COT Data → Showed decline in long positions. 📊 ATR & Volatility Charts → Supported extended downside movement. 📊 Session Ranges & Market Structure → Confirmed liquidity grab & supply zone rejection. 🔑 Key Takeaways from This Trade: ✔ Trade with institutional momentum – Always check positioning before entering! ✔ Multiple confirmations = High probability setups – Don’t rely on a single indicator. ✔ Liquidity is key – Smart money moves price to hunt liquidity, trade accordingly. ✔ Fundamentals matter – Weak JPY capex data helped push price lower. 💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY? Will we see further downside? Drop your thoughts below! 📊 Follow for more trade setups, market analysis & strategy breakdowns!
Short
by LDForex_
EURGBP at major support zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURGBP is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 0.83350 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
3
US30 Analysis: Demand Zone Rejection – Reversal Incoming? The Dow Jones (US30) is experiencing high volatility as investors digest recent economic data and Federal Reserve statements. The latest U.S. ISM Services PMI came in stronger than expected, signaling economic resilience 📊, but concerns remain about inflation and the Fed’s next move on interest rates 💰. 🔹 Key Market Drivers: ✅ Federal Reserve Rate Decision – Hawkish or Dovish? 🏦 ✅ Upcoming NFP Data – Job growth impact on the index 📉📈 ✅ Bond Yields & USD Strength – Affecting institutional risk appetite 💵 With economic uncertainty still in play, traders are looking for key structural levels to position themselves in the market. 🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) US30 is reacting from a strong demand zone (42,400 - 42,500), showing a possible reversal after a liquidity grab below recent lows. 📊 Key Observations: 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS) at the lows, signaling potential bullish momentum ✅ 🔹 Change of Character (ChoCh) – Early signs of a shift from bearish to bullish 📈 🔹 Premium/Discount Zone – Price is in a discounted area, offering potential long entries 💰 🔹 Liquidity Sweep – Stops taken out before an impulsive move upward 🚀 🎯 Trade Setup & Targets: 📍 Bullish Bias: Looking for long entries from the 42,400 - 42,500 demand zone 🎯 First Target: 43,112 (mid-range resistance) 🎯 Second Target: 43,858 (supply zone) 🚨 Invalidation: Below 42,400 – If price breaks lower, expect further downside 💡 Confluence: The combination of smart money concepts (BoS, ChoCh, liquidity grab) and fundamental factors supports a potential bullish reversal. Traders should watch price action closely and confirm momentum before entering. 👀 Final Thoughts US30 is showing signs of demand zone strength, but macroeconomic risks remain. Traders should stay cautious and monitor how price reacts at key levels. A confirmed break above 43,112 could fuel a rally toward 43,858 and beyond. 📊 How are you trading US30 this week? Bullish or Bearish? Let’s discuss below! ⬇️🔥
OANDA:US30USDLong
by FrankFx14