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BTCUSDT – Diametric G-Leg Underway?⏱ Timeframe: 4H / 1H 🔍 Method: NeoWave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 📍Posted by: CryptoPilot ⸻ 🧠 NeoWave Progression Update As outlined in our previous analysis, we are tracking a potential Contracting Diametric structure (A–G) originating from the March 2025 highs. 🚨 The G-Leg may now be actively unfolding. Here’s what just happened: • Price rejected sharply from the supply zone near 119,000–119,500, exactly where Wave F was expected to end. • After a drop to 115,780 (minor trendline), price bounced, but failed to make a new high, stalling at 118,700, forming a lower high → classic signature of a developing G-Leg. • This G-wave likely aims to break below Wave E low, seeking imbalance fills and structural resets. ⸻ 📊 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT) • 🟥 Bearish Market Structure confirmed via MSS on 1H: Lower Highs + Internal BOS • 🟨 Buy-side Liquidity above 120k was already swept • 🔻 Price failed to reclaim OB block around 119.5k • 🧩 FVGs remain open between 114.5k–113k, acting as magnet zones • 📉 Expectation: Price may now break the ascending minor trendline and accelerate toward the major structure low 📌 Primary Scenario: • Wave G of Diametric in motion • Potential structure: Zigzag or Complex Combination • Expectation: Bearish continuation to break below 113k 📌 Alternative Scenario: • If price closes above 120.5k, diametric structure may be invalidated • Watch for triangle/flat development instead ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management Note: Price action near 118.7k–119.5k is crucial. Reclaiming that zone with strength changes the bias. Until then, sellers remain in control. 💬 Final Thought: We’re tracking the final stages of a multi-month complex correction. The rejection at supply, combined with SMC signals and NeoWave symmetry, suggests sellers may push price into deeper demand zones soon. ⸻ 📌 Follow CryptoPilot for advanced wave structure updates, market geometry insights, and ICT-style smart money traps. 💬 Share your views or alternate wave counts in the comments!
Short
by CryptoPilot
XAUUSD Market Update – July 30 Late NY Recap🔸Macro Context Markets are still digesting Powell’s ongoing speech with no clear pivot signals. While FOMC tone remained cautious, no dovish surprise emerged. Trump’s upcoming comments keep geopolitical risks elevated. USD remains firm. Gold is reacting within key HTF demand as intraday volatility cools off. 🔸Bias Overview Weekly Bias: • Bearish rejection from the major supply wick 3439–3350 • Structure still below 3345, maintaining downside pressure • Weekly RSI cooling off — no bullish divergence yet Daily Bias: • Lower high locked below 3345 • Price reentered the imbalance toward 3272 • Clean structure remains bearish unless we reclaim 3302 H4 Bias: • Lower high formed at 3314 • Current price testing HTF Extreme Demand Base (3289–3272) • Still bearish unless we see a confirmed M15 or H1 BOS from demand 🔸Key Structural Zones 🔺Above Price (3272): • 3289–3294 Decision Block – M30 OB + FVG. First sign of momentum shift if reclaimed. • 3302–3314 Supply Reversal – H1 OB + previous BOS zone. EMA alignment adds pressure. • 3345–3350 Major Rejection Zone – H4 origin of last leg down. Strong resistance area. 🔻Below Price (3272): • 3254–3264 Imbalance + OB – H4 FVG + clean demand zone. Buy setup only on deep flush + reversal PA. • 3227–3214 HTF Demand Base – Daily OB + historical volume shelf. Final structural floor before deeper downside opens. 🔸Battle Plan ▶ Scenario 1 – Bearish Breakout If 3272 fails with momentum and no reversal signs, expect continuation into 3254–3264. No long trades unless BOS confirms. ▶ Scenario 2 – Reactive Long from Demand If price gives a strong reaction from 3272 with BOS on M15 or H1 and clears 3294, then a recovery into 3302 is possible. Only valid with confirmed PA + EMA shift. ▶ Scenario 3 – Choppy Rejection from 3294 If price tests 3294 but fails, watch for rejections back toward 3272. Scalpers can fade reactions if no bullish structure forms. 🔸Final Thoughts Price is once again testing our Extreme Demand Base from July 28 (3289–3272). The zone remains valid — but execution depends entirely on confirmation. Bears still in control unless we reclaim 3302 cleanly. No need to rush. Best RR setups are found at clean structural edges. Patience = profits. —💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments. ❤️ Like if you appreciate the precision. 🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more sniper-level updates. With you all the way, — GoldFxMinds 📊 Analysis based on Trade Nation TradingView charts.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
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GOLD PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? SCALPING PLAN – LIQUIDITY HUNT BEFORE THE REAL MOVE? 🔍 🔹 Timeframe: 30M 🔹 Bias: Intraday Bullish to Bearish Reversal 🔹 Posted by: Clinton Scalper | Smart Money Focus 🔹 Date: July 30, 2025 🔍 MACRO CONTEXT – WHY GOLD REMAINS HIGHLY REACTIVE The macro backdrop continues to favor volatility in gold: 🟢 Dovish Fed tone ahead of FOMC – Fed speakers hint at a pause or rate cut timeline. – Inflation pressures are easing → lowers interest rate expectations. 📉 USD weakening + falling yields – 10Y U.S. bonds retreating → dollar under pressure → gold gains ground. 🌐 Geopolitical risks remain elevated – Tensions from Middle East and global recession risks continue to drive flows into safe-haven assets like gold. 🧭 Conclusion: Short-term upside still viable – but be cautious of liquidity traps and OB rejection. 📈 TECHNICAL + SMC INSIGHTS – THE CHART TELLS THE STORY 🔹 Structure Overview: Market broke out of a descending channel and formed a bullish ascending wedge. However, price is now approaching multiple OB SELL zones, aligning with smart money exhaustion levels. 🔹 Key Zones: 🔺 OB SELL Zones: 3,334 → 3,342 3,354 → 3,369 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension) 🔻 OB BUY Zones: 3,302 → 3,291 (confluence with previous liquidity sweep) 📍 Current Price: 3,330 – approaching first supply zone. 🔹 Smart Money Flow: Liquidity above 3,334 has likely been targeted. If price reaches 3,354–3,369 and shows exhaustion, expect distribution + reversal. Key confirmation will be a break back below the ascending structure with momentum. 🎯 TRADE PLAN – TWO POSSIBLE SCALPING SCENARIOS ✅ SCENARIO 1: SHORT FROM PREMIUM OB SELL ZONE Looking to fade bullish liquidity grab near top of range. Entry: 3,354–3,369 SL: 3,375 TP1: 3,334 TP2: 3,302 TP3: 3,291 Ideal for reversal scalpers catching the distribution move. ✅ SCENARIO 2: LONG FROM DISCOUNT OB BUY ZONE If price rejects OB SELL and dumps into unfilled demand. Entry: 3,291–3,302 SL: 3,275 TP1: 3,322 TP2: 3,343 TP3: 3,354 Smart money often reloads after hunting liquidity beneath discount OBs. ⚠️ EXECUTION REMINDERS ✅ Wait for confirmation candles: engulfing / wick rejection / breaker structure ⛔ No market orders without OB reaction 📊 Risk max 1–1.5% per position 📉 Use volume to confirm absorption / exhaustion in OB zones 📢 FINAL THOUGHT – TRAPS COME FIRST, THEN MOVES Smart Money doesn't chase price — it hunts stops first. We’re watching closely to see if price completes its liquidity sweep at 3,354–3,369 before a potential reversal. Alternatively, we wait for price to return to the OB BUY zone around 3,291 for a high-RR long play. 🔥 If this helped you: 👍 Like this idea 💬 Comment your thoughts below 🔔 Follow Clinton Scalper for weekly institutional-grade setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SCALPER-Clinton
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