TESLA: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
TESLA
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell TESLA
Entry Level - 339.30
Sl -354.47
Tp - 301.39
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Smartmoney
BTCUSD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the BTCUSDpair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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USOIL: Market of Sellers
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell USOIL.
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Gold 4H VIP Move – MMC Curve Break or Bounce?📈 Market: XAUUSD – 4H Timeframe
This setup is based on Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method that reflects the idea of market symmetry, key structural levels, and curve dynamics (institutional behavior). We’re looking at how price interacts with historically significant zones, demand transfers, and resistance curves.
🔍 Full Chart Analysis Breakdown:
1. ⚙️ Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)
MMC focuses on how past price actions "mirror" into the future. If a zone caused a strong move before, it can likely do it again — either by rejecting price or acting as a magnet for liquidity. You can see how historical supply and demand zones still influence price today.
2. 🧱 Major Resistance Zone (Top Blue Zone: ~$3,470 – $3,520)
This is a historical supply area where sellers were previously dominant.
Every time price enters this zone, it reacts with strong selling pressure.
Watch closely: a clean breakout + retest above this zone could open the door to higher time frame bullish continuation.
3. 🚧 Black Mind Curve Resistance (Orange Arc)
A dynamic resistance level based on institutional selling behavior over time.
This curve aligns with historical highs and retracements, suggesting smart money is actively defending this region.
Price is now testing this curve — either it gets rejected and drops, or breaks above for a breakout boom.
4. 🟦 Mini Reversal Zone (Around $3,400)
This zone sits right under the curve and major resistance, making it a critical decision point.
A strong reaction here could mean a short-term selloff, but if broken, this zone could flip into support, validating the breakout.
5. 📉 Trending Support Line (Upward Diagonal)
Acting as short-term bullish support.
As price pulls back, this trendline could catch the dip, causing a bounce toward the reversal or major resistance zone.
You can also call this the "retest and boom" line, as seen in your chart’s annotation.
6. 🧊 Demand Transferred (Mid-Zone Shift)
Shows where institutional demand entered and was then shifted upward to support the rally.
This is a powerful MMC concept — demand didn’t disappear, it just migrated up, forming new support levels.
7. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~$3,160 – $3,200)
Classic support/resistance flip zone.
If the trendline and mid-zone fail, price might drop here to collect liquidity and trigger new buy orders.
This is your “last stand” zone for bulls.
8. 🧱 Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmation
BOS already occurred earlier on the chart — this confirms bullish shift in structure.
Now, price is looking to retest the previous high or break it entirely.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Setup (Base Case):
Price continues to hold above the trending support.
Breaks mini reversal zone + Black Curve Resistance.
Retests the zone (validation).
Pushes toward the Major Resistance Zone ($3,470 – $3,520).
⚠️ Bearish Setup (If Rejected):
Price hits the curve and mini reversal zone and gets rejected hard.
Drops back to trending support, possibly breaks it.
Targets SR Interchange Zone (~$3,160 – $3,200) as the next buy zone.
💬 Mind / Trading Wisdom:
“Price doesn’t lie. It reacts. Let it show you the intention — breakout or rejection. Follow MMC structure, respect the curve resistance, and let price action guide your entries.”
📌 Summary for Traders:
Concepts Used: Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), Curve Resistance, SR Flip, Demand Transfer, BOS.
Current Price Action: Testing reversal zone + curve.
Bias: Bullish but cautiously watching for rejection.
Next Levels: Watch $3,400 – $3,520 for decision. Retest = entry. Rejection = liquidity hunt.
Cocoa Explosion Loading? Specs & Hedgers Agree🔍 Fundamental Analysis – Commitment of Traders (COT)
The latest COT report, dated May 13, 2025, reveals a strong bullish accumulation signal, with a significant increase in long positions across all major trader categories.
Specifically, Non-Commercials (speculative traders such as hedge funds and money managers) increased their long positions by +3,490 contracts while simultaneously reducing shorts by -467 contracts. This dynamic reflects renewed speculative confidence in the cocoa bullish trend.
Simultaneously, Commercials (typically producers and processors) added +5,187 long contracts and closed -661 short contracts. This is especially noteworthy, as commercials usually take the opposite side of speculators. Here, however, their alignment with speculators may indicate expectations of upcoming supply constraints or market stress.
Total open interest rose by more than +6,000 contracts, suggesting real capital inflow into the market rather than just rebalancing.
This alignment between speculators and institutional hedgers is rare and often precedes further price appreciation.
📈 Net Positions & Price Action
Looking at the “Net Positions & Prices” chart over the past year, it’s clear that Non-Commercial net positions are recovering after a notable drop in March and April. This reversal aligns with the technical bottom and the start of the current price rally.
Commercials, although still net short (in line with their historical bias), are reducing their bearish exposure, hinting at lower physical supply pressure or a need for hedging against further price increases.
Price action has reflected this narrative, surging higher following the April lows.
🕰️ Seasonal Analysis
Seasonality adds another layer to the analysis.
Historically, May tends to be flat or slightly bearish (10Y and 15Y averages), but the 2-Year seasonal line—which better reflects current market behavior—shows a strong bullish tendency starting mid-month. This supports the ongoing rebound and increases the likelihood of further upside in the short term.
Historical data also shows that June, while volatile, is often positive or neutral in shorter cycles.
📊 Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, cocoa recently completed a strong bullish leg, rebounding from the 8,800–9,000 USD demand zone, identified as a clear area of institutional buying (evident through volume and impulsive candles).
The price then decisively broke through mid-range resistance levels and tested a key weekly supply zone between 11,200 and 11,500 USD, where it was initially rejected.
Currently, we are in a technical pullback, likely targeting the mitigation zone at 9,700–10,000 USD. This area represents a solid long entry opportunity if the market confirms a bullish structure on intraday charts (H1 or H4).
The RSI is near overbought, yet without divergence—suggesting the trend remains structurally bullish despite a natural correction.
🧭 Strategic Conclusion
Cocoa currently shows a rare convergence of bullish signals: supportive COT positioning, increasing net long interest, strong 2Y seasonality, and clear technical structure controlled by buyers.
However, after the recent sharp upside move, a correction to key support zones is likely before another bullish leg unfolds.
GBP/USD About to Explode?GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.3360–1.3380 zone after testing the key weekly resistance area between 1.3400 and 1.3450. The bullish momentum remains strong, supported by speculative positioning still favoring the pound, while the dollar shows signs of softening. On the macro side, the interest rate differential between the UK and the US may narrow in the coming months, but for now, it continues to support upward pressure on the pair.
From a technical standpoint, price has broken out of an ascending triangle on the daily chart, showing strong momentum and confirmation with multiple closes above 1.3300. Market sentiment remains skewed to the short side, adding contrarian fuel to the bullish bias. The key short-term support lies between 1.3270 and 1.3300. As long as this area holds, the base case favors a continuation toward 1.3520 and potentially 1.3600. A break below 1.3170 would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door for a deeper pullback toward 1.3000.
From an execution standpoint, a confirmed breakout above 1.3415 could offer a long entry opportunity with active management. Still, caution is advised around the weekly supply zone due to its historical responsiveness. Eyes remain on upcoming macro data and potential volatility from central bank statements.
Corn at a Historical Turning Point? Corn futures are currently at a technically significant juncture. After an extended bearish phase from the yearly highs, price has reached a key monthly demand zone between 445 and 435 cents, an area that has historically triggered major reversals. This level is further validated by technical signals indicating potential exhaustion of the bearish momentum: the price action is showing rejection candles, and the RSI is recovering from oversold territory, creating room for a possible upside move.
However, it’s important to consider the seasonal context, which doesn’t favor an immediate reversal. Historical data shows that May, June, and July are statistically the weakest months for Corn. In particular, July tends to be highly bearish, with an average performance of -22% over the last 20 years and -36% over the last 10. This means that while the technical setup may suggest a potential bounce, seasonal pressure may continue to cap prices in the short term, making a sustained rally unlikely before August.
The COT positioning adds another layer of insight. Non-commercial traders (speculators) have recently closed a significant number of long positions and added shorts, reflecting strong bearish sentiment. In contrast, commercials (hedgers) have increased long exposure and decreased shorts, signaling optimism and a willingness to accumulate at these levels. This divergence often marks contrarian opportunities, especially when speculators are heavily short and commercials are heavily long—often a sign of a market bottom forming.
🧠 Summary:
Corn is sitting on major structural support, with early signs of a potential rebound. Yet, the seasonality remains bearish through mid-summer. The COT report, however, supports a bullish medium-term outlook, particularly heading into August–September, when prices historically begin to climb decisively.
🔔 Trading Outlook:
In the short term, tactical longs can be considered if the 445–435 area holds, with tight risk management. Initial targets are set at 465 and 472. The true strategic setup, however, is more likely to emerge in the coming months, with August as the key window for a sustained upside move supported by both seasonal and COT positioning.
XPTUSD 1W:While Everyone Watches Gold, Platinum Quietly Wakes UpGold gets the headlines — but platinum just broke two years of silence with a clean, high-volume breakout from a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart. And this isn’t noise — this is the structural shift traders wait for.
Price has been coiled inside a compressing wedge since early 2022. Equal highs. Equal lows. Stop hunts both ways. The classic “shake out before take off.” Now? The breakout is in. And the weekly candle closed above resistance with volume confirmation. Oh, and while we're at it — the 50MA just crossed above the 200MA, signaling a long-term trend reversal.
Target? Measure the triangle height: ~398 points. That projects a breakout target of 1440 USD, which aligns perfectly with previous institutional rejection zones.
But this isn’t just about the chart.
🔹 South Africa, the top global supplier, is struggling with energy and production cuts;
🔹 The Fed is pausing rate hikes — the dollar weakens, metals rally;
🔹 Demand from hydrogen tech, clean energy, and industrial catalysts is on the rise.
Translation? Smart money has been accumulating. The move from 965–1070 was just the ignition. The drive hasn’t started yet.
So while everyone fights over gold highs, platinum sits at the base of a move no one's prepared for — except those who know how accumulation ends.
🧭 Key support: 965–985
📍 Resistance zone: 1150–1180
🎯 Measured target: 1440+
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025
Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking:
🧩 1. Market Structure
Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220
Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity
Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high
🛠 2. Key Confluences
🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above
💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers
🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation
🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116
🧠 3. Trade Setup
Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB
SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure)
TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100
RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials
⚠️ 4. Risk Management
Watch for NY session reversal attempts
Secure profits at first demand zone reaction
Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle
📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it!
💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
EUR_USD HEAD AND SHOULDERS|LONG|
✅EUR_USD has formed a
Head and Shoulders pattern
And the pair has now formed
The last leg of it, so we are
Bullish biased and IF we see
A bullish breakout of the
Neckline of 1.1380 next week
Then we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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USD-JPY Free Signal For Monday! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is about to retest
A horizontal support level
Around 142.000 and after
The retest on Monday we
Will be able to go long on
The pair with the Take
Profit of 143.331 and the
Stop Loss of 141.939
Buy!
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GBP-CAD Support Cluster! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in a
Local uptrend along the
Rising support and the pair
Made a retest of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support lines
Around 1.8546 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we
Will be expecting a
Further local bullish move
Up on Monday
Buy!
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DAX WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅DAX made a retest of
The horizontal support level
Of 23,371 and the index is already
Making a bullish rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we will
Be expecting further growth on Monday
LONG🚀
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GBP_USD SWING BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅GBP_USD made an absolutely
EPIC breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.3426 and the breakout is
Confirmed even on a DAILY timeframe
Which combined with the strong uptrend
Makes us extremely bullish biased on
The pair and we will be expecting
Further growth in the coming weeks
After a potential local pullback
LONG🚀
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AUD-USD Free Signal For Monday! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD keep growing in
An uptrend an we are bullish
Biased mid-term, however
The pair is locally overbought
So after the pair enters the
Resistance area around 0.6510
On Monday we will be able
To go short on the pair
With the Take Profit of 0.6480
And the Stop Loss of 0.6516
Sell!
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APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 195.23
Stop - 188.82
Take - 206.74
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDJPY: Long Signal Explained
USDJPY
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDJPY
Entry Point - 142.56
Stop Loss - 141.39
Take Profit - 144.82
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCHF: Market of Buyers
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USDCHF pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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EURUSD: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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USOIL Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 61.69
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 61.18
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅AUD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6515
Price decline is to be expected on Monday
SHORT🔥
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DAX Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in an
Uptrend and the index
Is retesting the horizontal
Support level at 23,319
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A bullish rebound and
A move up next week
Buy!
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GBP_CAD RISING SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 1.8605
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.