Smartmoney
NZDUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Looking at the chart of NZDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
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GBPCHF: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPCHF
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPCHF
Entry Point - 1.0754
Stop Loss - 1.0768
Take Profit - 1.0732
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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AUDNZD: Short Signal Explained
AUDNZD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell AUDNZD
Entry Level - 1.0926
Sl - 1.0929
Tp - 1.0920
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Euro Drops Hard — Is a 100-Pips Slide Toward 1.1500 Next?Euro’s current situation doesn’t look great — we’re clearly seeing strong selling pressure across the board.
Price has now reached the block zones near 1.1600, and I want to break down what this area means to me.
The lower pivot of the 1.1600 zone was created after the 50% level of the previous bullish leg was consumed — which is typical in many bullish trends. Based on that, we expected a move toward 1.1800 to break the structure and continue the uptrend.
However, the recent bullish move lacked strength, which became quite clear during the last upward leg. And now, after that weak rally, we’re witnessing a sharp and aggressive selloff.
This reaction weakens the 1.1600 block in my eyes — and I’m now watching 1.1500 as the more probable target. It’s a major price level and also aligns with a bank-level midline zone.
In my view, it’s still too early to buy. I’d want to see price range and confirm before looking for longs.
That said, this area could be a good place to partially exit short positions and lock in some profits.
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!
XAUUSD: Demand Rejection or Breakdown? All Eyes on 3,300 ZoneChart Analysis Breakdown (30m TF – Gold/USD)
1. Market Structure Overview
Bearish Trend Dominance:
The price has shifted into a bearish structure after a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, indicating bearish control after failing to sustain higher highs.
Lower Highs & Lower Lows:
A consistent formation of LHs and LLs confirms bearish momentum.
2. Key Zones & Reactions
🟩 Demand Zone (~3,300–3,310):
Current price is reacting from a clearly defined demand zone.
Strong buying wick indicates interest and potential short-term bounce.
This zone has historical significance — previous reversal point.
🟥 Supply Zone (~3,420–3,445):
Price reversed sharply from here.
This is a key liquidity zone; expect heavy resistance if price retraces.
🔵 BOS Areas Marked:
Confirmed transitions in structure:
Bullish BOS followed by a bearish BOS — great illustration of shift in control.
🟨 Consolidation Blocks:
Highlighted ranging periods show distribution/accumulation phases before breakouts.
3. Trendlines & Channel Patterns
📉 Descending Trendline:
Acts as dynamic resistance.
If price retraces to this level (around 3,330–3,340), expect potential rejection unless broken cleanly.
📈 Previous Bullish Channel (Broken):
Price moved out of a bullish ascending channel, confirming bearish intent.
4. Ichimoku Cloud Context
Price is below the Kumo cloud, suggesting bearish bias remains intact.
Future cloud is bearish.
However, short-term pullback into cloud possible (especially if demand zone holds).
📊 Forecast & Trade Idea
Scenario 1: Bullish Rejection from Demand
Price may bounce towards 3,340 (previous S/R + trendline retest).
Watch for reaction at this level.
Scenario 2: Clean Break of Demand Zone
Opens path toward deeper downside (e.g., 3,280 or even lower).
Could trigger liquidity grab before reversal.
EUR/USD at a Turning Point:Rally or Trap for the Bulls?📉 Technical Analysis
Price has decisively broken out of the descending channel highlighted in recent weeks. The weekly support zone between 1.1540 – 1.1580 is holding, triggering a significant technical reaction. The weekly RSI has entered oversold territory, suggesting a potential short-term reversal.
Key Support: 1.1530–1.1580 (currently reacting)
Key Resistance: 1.1720–1.1780 (inefficiency & supply zone)
Base Case: Potential rebound toward 1.1720–1.1750 before next structural decision
🧠 Sentiment Analysis
82% of retail traders are long, with an average entry at 1.1635
Only 18% are short, a clear minority
This extreme imbalance suggests downside pressure may persist to flush out weak long hands before a genuine reversal takes place.
📊 COT (Commitment of Traders)
USD Index:
Non-Commercials increased both long (+663) and short (+449) positions → uncertain stance but slight USD strengthening
EUR Futures:
Non-Commercials increased long (+6,284) and short (+8,990) positions, but net increase favors the bears
This shift signals a bearish turn in sentiment among large speculators, indicating short-term downward pressure.
📈 Seasonality
In July, EUR/USD historically tends to rise, but:
This year’s price action is underperforming the seasonal pattern, showing relative weakness
August is historically flat to slightly bearish
Seasonality does not currently support a strong bullish continuation
✅ Strategic Conclusion
Current Bias: Bearish-neutral (with short-term bullish bounce expected)
A technical rebound toward 1.1720–1.1750 is likely (liquidity void + RSI bounce + retail imbalance)
However, 1.1720–1.1750 is a key supply zone to monitor for fresh shorts, in line with:
Dollar-supportive COT data
Overcrowded long retail positioning
Weak seasonal context
🧭 Operational Plan:
Avoid holding longs above 1.1750 without macro confirmation
Monitor price action between 1.1720–1.1750 for potential short re-entry
Clean breakout above 1.1780 → shift bias to neutral/bullish
EUR_AUD LOCAL GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_AUD will soon retest a key support level of 1.7750
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 1.7800
LONG🚀
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EUR-NZD Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD keeps falling
Down and we are bearish
Biased mid-term but there is
A horizontal support level
Below at 1.9370 so after
The retest we might expect
A local bullish correction
Buy!
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GBP_CAD RISKY SETUP|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is going down to retest
A horizontal support of 1.8320
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
Towards the target above at 1.8380
LONG🚀
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AUD-NZD Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD made a retest
Of the wide horizontal support
Level again at 1.0909 and we
Are already seeing a bullish
Reaction so a local bullish
Rebound can be expected
Buy!
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EUR_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅EUR_CHF is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 0.9300
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 0.9320
LONG🚀
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CRUDE OIL Bullish Continuation! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL made a rebound
From the support just as
I predicted and the price
Went further still and broke
The key horizontal level
Of 66.50$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up!
Buy!
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DXY LOCAL SHORT|
✅DXY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 98.948
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 98.451
SHORT🔥
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GOLD Epic Trendline Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD was trading along
A long-term trend-line but
It is broken now and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bearish biased now
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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USD_CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅USD_CHF has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching
A horizontal resistance of 0.8064
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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USD-JPY Is Overbought! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 149.200
So after the retest a
Local bearish pullback
Is to be expected
Sell!
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GBP_USD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅GBP_USD is going down currently
As the pair broke the key structure level of 1.3380
Which is now a resistance, and after the pullback
And retest, I think the price will go further down
SHORT🔥
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EUR-USD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is making a massive
Bearish correction and the pair
Is already locally oversold
So after it hits a horizontal
Support level below at 1.1568
We will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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"XAU/USD Hits Major Demand – Is a Relief Rally Brewing?"🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Demand Zone Rejection in Play | Bullish Correction Ahead?
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Date: July 25, 2025
Created by: AllyPipsExpert
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), Dynamic S/R, Trendlines
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🔍 Technical Analysis & Key Insights:
🔸 1. Market Recap – Distribution & Downtrend Confirmation:
After the Break of Structure (BOS) near 3385, gold confirmed a bearish reversal following the distribution phase at the top resistance zone around 3445–3460.
Bearish momentum was sustained by a descending trendline, paired with a bearish Kumo (Ichimoku cloud) crossover.
🔸 2. Major Zone Tagged – Key Demand Area Tested:
Price has now reached the critical demand block at 3320–3340, a zone that previously initiated bullish impulse on July 18–19.
The current bullish projection (in blue) reflects potential short-term recovery or correction phase, following oversold conditions and historical support strength.
🔸 3. Bullish Reversal Potential – Short-Term Retracement?
The blue arrow reflects a likely bullish retracement toward 3360–3380, aligning with trendline retest and potential Kumo rejection.
Expect sellers to re-enter if price retests former BOS/imbalance zone, creating scalp or swing sell setups on confirmation.
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🔧 Confluences & Technical Highlights:
Confluence Point Description
Demand Zone Strong previous accumulation at 3320–3340
BOS Retest Area Key liquidity level now acting as resistance
Ichimoku Cloud Price below cloud = bearish bias maintained
Descending Trendline Reinforces bearish structure unless broken
Price Action Rejection wick at demand + potential short squeeze
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🎯 Trade Outlook:
🧭 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Rebound → Long-Term Bearish Continuation
🟩 Support: 3320 – 3340
🟥 Resistance: 3360 – 3385 (BOS & Trendline zone)
🔁 Scenario: Bounce → Retest → Continuation lower (unless breakout confirmed)
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📘 Why This Chart Could Be Featured:
✅ Multi-layered Analysis: BOS, zones, cloud, price action, and psychological zones used together.
✅ Forward-Looking: Projects the next logical market reaction instead of just explaining the past.
✅ Clean, Structured, Educational: Layout and visuals guide the viewer through logical trade steps.
✅ Value-Packed: Provides actionable levels and flexible scenarios — helpful to traders of all levels.
CADCHF: Market of Sellers
The recent price action on the CADCHF pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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