EURJPY: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The analysis of the EURJPY chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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Smartmoney
EURUSD: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of EURUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
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Gold Just Grabbed Liquidity Below a Key LowGold reacted sharply at a major structural level last week, sweeping liquidity below the previous weekly swing low. That move was immediately followed by a strong bullish rejection candle with a deep lower wick — signaling aggressive buyer absorption.
The price also respected a long-term ascending trendline, which has acted as dynamic support since early March. Two demand zones are clearly identified on the chart (based on HTF imbalances and previous accumulation ranges), and price tapped the upper zone near 3,160 before bouncing.
The bullish structure remains intact unless price closes below 3,080 on the weekly. Until then, the trendline and recent liquidity grab favor further upside continuation.
📉 COT Data Insight
Gold Non-Commercials:
Net long remains strong (238k long vs 76k short)
New long contracts: +746 | Shorts: +2,034
However, a large drop in spread positions (-12,424) signals a tactical unwind in hedge fund exposure
USD Index (DXY) Non-Commercials:
Net long positions down significantly (-5,712)
Softening dollar bias adds tailwind for gold in the short term
🧠 COT Takeaway
Speculative interest continues to favor Gold, while USD positioning weakens — supporting the idea of a technical bounce and potential bullish continuation.
🧮 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian View)
Retail traders are currently 54% short on XAU/USD — classic contrarian signal suggesting the path of least resistance remains to the upside.
📆 Seasonal Outlook (May Performance)
Historically, May tends to be a neutral-to-weak month for gold based on 10- to 15-year data.
However, in the last 2 years, May has delivered clear bullish seasonality, which reinforces the case for upward momentum after pullbacks.
✅ Summary
🔸 Directional Bias: Moderately Bullish
🔸 Invalid if: Weekly close < 3,080
🎯 First Target: 3,280 – 3,320
🎯 Extended Target: 3,440 resistance zone
📌 Final Thoughts
The technical reaction from demand, supportive COT structure, soft USD positioning, and contrarian sentiment all point toward potential continuation higher.
As long as Gold holds above the 3,080 zone, the bulls remain in control.
EUR_USD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 1.1260 which is now
A resistance then made a
Retest and is going down now
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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DAX Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX broke the key horizontal
Level of 23,319 and the index
Made a pullback and retest
And is now going up again
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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EUR/USD Loading for Takeoff? We got OB + Liquidity Combo.📊 EUR/USD 30-Min Smart Money Breakdown — May 15, 2025
Price is setting up for a high-RRR bullish reversal from a premium Smart Money zone — combining a textbook Order Block, Fibonacci golden zone, and uncollected Buy-Side Liquidity above.
Let’s zoom into this sniper play 🎯👇
🧠 1. The Setup
Recent bullish rally broke structure to the upside
Current retracement taps deep into:
✅ 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone
✅ A confirmed Bullish Order Block (OB)
Price currently pulling back for liquidity before an expansion move
🔍 2. Entry Strategy
Entry zone: Between 1.11762–1.11599 (purple OB + fib confluence)
Stop loss: Below 1.11500 (just under 61.8%)
Target:
🔹 TP1 → 1.12283 (Buy-side Liquidity)
🔹 TP2 → 1.12930 (Weak High = clean liquidity pool)
➡️ This gives a solid 1:3+ RRR if managed well with confirmation
📉 3. Smart Money Logic
Price is engineered to draw down into OB, liquidate early longs
Then Smart Money steps in, pushing price upward into inefficiencies + liquidity
Sell-side gets cleared, buy-side becomes the magnet
⚠️ 4. Caution Points
Wait for bullish confirmation on the 5m–15m inside the OB zone
Avoid early longs — let the trap complete!
Monitor USD news or macro catalysts that could spike volatility
This is how Smart Money traps are laid out: grab liquidity → rebalance price → expand into inefficiency zones.
If you're trading SMC without waiting for the OB reaction, you’re just gambling with smart money’s leftovers. 🍽️💸
💬 Drop a “📈” if you're watching this OB level!
📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and liquidity-based trades!
BTCUSD 1H | Liquidity Grab + FVG Play Before Bullish Expansion📊 BTC/USD 1-Hour Smart Money Outlook — May 15, 2025
Bitcoin is setting up for a classic SMC combo move — targeting sell-side liquidity before flipping bullish and running for the buy-side liquidity at ~$106K.
Let’s break it down 👇
🧠 1. The Setup
Price broke structure to the downside ✅
Heading into a liquidity sweep of the recent lows around $100,000
Major Fair Value Gap lies between $98,100–$96,800
This gap aligns with the 61.8–70.5% fib zone — a premium rebalance area for smart money
🔍 2. Expectations
Short-Term Bearish into FVG → Sell-side liquidity gets swept
Then strong bullish reversal targeting:
🔹 First target: $103,000
🔹 Final target: $105,787 (Buy-side liquidity + Weak High)
Trade Idea: Long after FVG rejection confirmation
SL below $96,800, TP up to $106K — insane RRR of 1:4+
⚠️ 3. Risk Management
Wait for a bullish reaction inside the FVG zone
Protect capital if price closes below $96,800 → setup invalid
Look out for NY session volatility and CPI/FOMC-driven fakeouts
This is textbook Smart Money behavior: draw liquidity, rebalance price, and expand into inefficient price zones. If you're not trading with liquidity in mind — you're the liquidity. 🧠💸
💬 Comment “🚀” if you're long from the Fair Value Gap zone!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and smart money breakdowns!
XAUUSD (CONFIRMATION + OB + OTE)Hello traders!
From our previous analysis we expected reversal in 705 zone, now we have confirmation already and our target to close imbalance. Last open zone for interest is OB and mitigation(possible pullback with LG)
Have a profitable day and don't forget to subscribe for updates!
GBP-JPY Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY is trading along
The rising support line
And the pair will soon hit
A trend-line from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound and a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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EUR_JPY LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_JPY is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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EUR_AUD BULLISH WEDGE|LONG|
✅EUR_AUD made a bullish
Breakout from the bullish
Wedge pattern and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
On Monday when the
Market reopens
LONG🚀
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ETH/USDTAlt Market on Watch — All Eyes on ETH ⚠️
Despite a strong start to the week, some red flags are starting to show up on the horizon.
The spotlight is on ETH — it’s the key to what’s next for the altcoin market.
In the last update, I shared altcoin levels to work from,
but right now ETH should be your primary reference.
📍 $2400 is a major zone — I’m watching for a reaction there to get aggressive on alt entries.
❌ If that zone doesn’t hold, we’re likely heading down to $2200–2100, possibly even $1900.
No need to overexpose — I’m sitting mostly in cash, waiting for clear signals.
🚫 And most importantly — this is not a short setup (yet).
Let’s wait for the new weekly open before making any big moves.
USD-CHF Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a bullish
Rebound from the horizontal
Support level around 0.8318
So we are locally bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting further growth
On Monday
Buy!
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NATGAS: Long Trade Explained
NATGAS
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy NATGAS
Entry - 3.325
Stop - 3.206
Take - 3.559
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SILVER: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long SILVER
Entry Point - 32.284
Stop Loss - 32.071
Take Profit - 32.675
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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CHFJPY: Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the CHFJPY pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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USOIL: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USOIL pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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USD_JPY RISKY SHORT|
✅USD_JPY made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 146.133 which is a
Resistance now and the pair
Is now making a pullback
But as we are bearish biased
We will be expecting a move
Down after the pair retests
The new resistance
SHORT🔥
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AUD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is making a local
Bearish correction but the
Pair will soon hit a horizontal
Support level of 0.6358 from
Where we will be expecting
A local rebound and a move up
Buy!
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EUR_CHF LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_CHF is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above of 0.9360
LONG🚀
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EUR-JPY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading along the
Rising support line and the
Pair will soon retest the
Support from where we will
Be expecting a bullish rebound
And a local move up
Buy!
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EUR-AUD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD has formed a bullish
Wedge pattern and now we are
Seeing a bullish breakout which
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.