Smartmoneyconcept
ETH/USD Range Strategy: Key Levels for TradingThe provided content appears to be a snapshot of a TradingView chart for the Ethereum (ETH) to U.S. Dollar (USD) pair, dated February 28, 2025. Here’s an analysis and a potential trading idea based on the information:
### Analysis:
1. **Price Levels**: The chart shows Ethereum's price ranging from a low of around 1,200.00 to a high of 3,800.00. The current price seems to be fluctuating within this range, indicating potential support and resistance levels.
2. **Trend**: The chart spans several months, showing periods of volatility and consolidation. The price has experienced significant movements, suggesting that Ethereum is subject to strong market sentiment and external factors.
3. **Support and Resistance**: Key support levels are visible around 1,500.00 and 2,000.00, while resistance levels are around 3,400.00 and 3,800.00. These levels are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points.
4. **Time Frame**: The data spans from March of one year to November of the next, indicating a medium to long-term analysis window.
**Description**:
- **Entry Point**: Consider entering a long position near the 2,000.00 support level with confirmation from bullish indicators. For a short position, consider entering near the 3,400.00 resistance level with bearish confirmation.
- **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss just below the 1,800.00 level for long positions or above the 3,600.00 level for short positions.
- **Take Profit**: Aim for a take profit level near the 3,000.00 resistance for long positions or the 2,200.00 support for short positions.
- **Risk Management**: Ensure proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade.
This strategy leverages the current range-bound movement of Ethereum, providing clear guidelines for entering and exiting trades based on key support and resistance levels. It also emphasizes the importance of risk management to protect your capital.
ETHEREUM MASSIVE LONG|
✅ETHEREUM is set to retest a
Strong round support level below at 2000$
After trading in a strong downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 2531$
LONG🚀
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EUR/GBP Breakdown – More Downside Ahead? Local Short! SellAnalysis & Description:
The EUR/GBP pair is showing bearish momentum, having broken below a key horizontal resistance zone, confirming a potential downtrend continuation.
Key Observations:
✅ Break & Retest Pattern: The price has broken below the previous support (now resistance) and is retesting it before further downside.
✅ Bearish Structure: Lower highs and lower lows indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
✅ Target Level: The next bearish target is marked around 0.82441, aligning with previous support.
Trading Plan:
📉 Bearish Bias:
A successful rejection from the resistance zone could provide a selling opportunity targeting 0.82441 and lower.
⚠️ Bullish Invalidations:
If the price reclaims 0.82760, it could signal a fakeout and potential bullish reversal.
Final Thought:
EUR/GBP is in a clear bearish trend, and a rejection from the resistance zone could trigger a further decline toward the 0.82441 level. Stay cautious of any false breakouts! 📉🔥
AUD-JPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Made a bearish breakout
Of the key horizontal
Level of 94.025 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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EURUSD: Confirmed Bearish Trap 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a confirmed bearish trap
after a test of a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a neckline
of an inverted head & shoulders pattern with a bullish imbalance.
The pair is going to reach 1.044 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURUSD 28 Feb 2025 W9 -Intraday Analysis- US PCE Day! EOM FlowsThis is my Intraday analysis on FOREXCOM:EURUSD for 28 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Heavy economic news:
EU : German Prelim CPI m/m
US : the most awaited report Core PCE Price Index m/m - Personal Spending m/m - Chicago PMI
The market sentiment detailed as following:
Trump's Tariff Announcements:
President Trump's announcements regarding new and increased tariffs significantly impacted market sentiment. Uncertainty surrounding trade relations with various countries, including the European Union, Mexico, and Canada, created volatility.
These tariff announcements created fears of trade wars, which negatively impacted investor confidence.
Economic Data:
Reports of declining new home sales in the U.S. and concerns about overall economic health contributed to market unease.
Also, the release of various economic data points, and the anticipation of the PCE inflation data release, influenced market movement.
NVIDIA's Performance and AI Competition:
While NVIDIA beat earnings estimates, concerns about increased competition from Chinese AI companies, particularly DeepSeek, led to a significant drop in its stock price, impacting the broader tech sector.
Geopolitical Uncertainty:
Geopolitical factors, such as the removal of Chevron's oil license in Venezuela, contributed to fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly oil.
Bank of Japan governor Ueda's statements regarding the uncertainty of US policies also added to uncertainty.
Additional Factors:
Geopolitical Resolution: A sudden de-escalation in a prior crisis (e.g., eased tensions in a conflict zone) might have reduced safe-haven demand for gold, though this was secondary to dollar strength.
Technical Factors: End-of-month rebalancing or options expirations could have amplified downward moves.
The interplay of a hawkish Fed, a resilient dollar, and risk aversion triggered broad-based declines. The overarching theme was a recalibration of investor expectations around tighter monetary policy and its implications for global growth and asset valuations.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move)
🔹Complex Swing INT Structure
2️⃣
🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand.
🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase.
🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play.
3️⃣
🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand.
🔹It’s not a must to reach these Liq. points as we already in a Daily partially mitigated Demand Zone and maybe some orders reside there. But Will need LTFs to show clear Bullish OF to confirm the 4H Bearish INT structure is staring the PB.
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish continuation till we have a clear Bullish OF. Also, keep in mind that Daily and Weekly are still Bearish and we may target the 4H Strong Swing Low to fulfill the Daily and Weekly move.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Swing structure turned Bearish with confirmed BOS. And after BOS we expect PB phase to start.
🔹We didn’t mitigate any HP POI/Liq. to initiate the Swing PB phase.
🔹Will need a clear INT Structure shift to Bullish with momentum in order to play the PB phase otherwise price will continue Bearish till the sweep of Liq. on the 4H TF at 1.03730 and 1.03173 before tapping the clear 4H Demand.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bearish with cautious from the Swing PB phase that can start at any time.
🔹Also keep in mind the End of Month Flows and PCE report today.
EUR-NZD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD keeps going up
Just as I predicted but will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Of 1.8544 from where we will
Be expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
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EUR-CHF Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF is going down
And the pair made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.9370 and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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AUDUSD Buy zone. After Market structure shift in 4H and Daily shift now price is taking a way down to the point of interest (liquidity zone) in this zone there is 4H liquidity engineer as well as five minute Liquidity Engineer.
The price is predicted to tap into liquidity engeneer and move to the bullish direction.
The trade can be taken directly, or one can wait for change of structure in lower time frame and enter.
I wish you all the best.
EURUSD 27 Feb 2025 W9 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Heavy economic news:
US: Durable Goods Orders - GDP - Initial Jobless Claims - Pending Home Sales
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Swept ii-High Liq.)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Is the Bearish INT structure still intact?! This is the 1st scenario of the current 4H Bullish Swing PB. INT Structure still Bearish and we reached the INT Structure Extreme and now failing to break the Weak Swing High (Not confirmed yet, we need at least a Bearish ii-BOS) and LTFs started to show weakness that may support this scenario.
🔹Currently price had swept the Liq. above the Weak ii-High and created a bearish CHoCH.
🔹With that failure to break the Weak High, the low that failed to break the high is now the target. With that low having Liq. below and above the unmitigated 4H Demand, there is a probability that we may mitigate the 4H Demand after taking the Liq. reside above to continue Bullish if and only if price started to show Bullish on LTFs where its going to have Bullish Structures.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Liq. above the unmitigated 4H Demand and maybe after we will have the Bullish continuation from the current move is looking for more Liq. to target the Weak Swing High.
🔹Also, keep in mind that today is having US Volatile new and tomorrow is the most awaited US PCE report where will have high volatility. (It’s always the rule of investors positioning before high volatile reports)
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swept Liq. above Weak Swing High
2️⃣
🔹With the INT structure turned Bearish yesterday in LDN session, this indicated that there is weakness in the 15m Swing continuation.
🔹Also, with Trump talk yesterday on Tariffs, this didn’t help price to hold Bullish and formed another Bearish iBOS after failing to break the Weak Swing High and just swept the Liq. above and confirmed Bearish INT structure.
🔹With failure to break the Weak Swing High, there is a HP that price will target the Low that failed to break the Swing High. The low that failed to break the high is having Liq. below above the 4H Demand where if price to keep the 15m Swing Bullish, this is the zone where we will see Bullish continuation from.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set to continue Bearish as intraday targeting the Liq. below the lows and mitigating the 4H Demand for maybe a Bullish continuation later after confirmation.