EUR-NZD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD keeps falling
But the pair will soon
Retest a horizontal support
Level of 1.8732 so after
The pair makes the retest
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Smartmoneyconcept
Bitcoin - $100k retest before new ATH?Bitcoin has broken out of its 1-hour ascending channel with a sharp bearish displacement, ending the slow grind higher that had been in place since the 9th of May. That channel served as a controlled environment for accumulation and small trend continuation, but the move we just saw confirms that the phase of balance has shifted into a clear retracement. The displacement candle was strong, clean, and aggressive, closing well outside the lower boundary of the channel and taking out multiple internal lows in the process. This wasn’t a weak break, it showed intent.
From a market structure standpoint, this confirms that short-term control has shifted to the downside. That move also left behind a visible Fair Value Gap just above current price, which is likely to act as a draw in the coming sessions. Unless that FVG gets reclaimed impulsively, this looks like the beginning of a deeper retracement.
Consolidation Structure
Prior to the break, BTC was building liquidity inside a clean ascending channel. The highs kept getting swept by small wicks, which hints at repeated inducement and short-term stop hunts. The final push into the top of the channel marked the last bullish attempt, and price immediately reversed after that sweep. The moment it broke structure with a high-volume bearish candle, the entire channel was invalidated and turned into supply.
We now have a clean CISD framework in play, price consolidated inside a channel, created inducement near the highs, triggered a stop hunt into the upper end of the range, and then dropped with strong displacement. That displacement not only broke structure but also left behind an imbalance that has yet to be filled.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
Right now, the short-term bias is bearish. The break of structure is confirmed, the Fair Value Gap is still open, and there is a clear inefficiency left behind. I expect price to revisit that gap and then reject to the downside again. That would complete the FVG retest leg and open the door for a move into deeper zones.
The next key area of interest is around the $100,000 mark, slightly below the current trading range. That level holds both technical and psychological weight. It lines up with a previous breakout zone, an unfilled imbalance, and likely a large pool of resting liquidity from retail long stops and institutional bids. If we reach that zone, I’ll be watching for signs of strength to suggest that this pullback was a liquidity grab before the next leg up.
If we do get that tap into $100K and price responds with bullish displacement from there, the bullish narrative would be back in play. That could easily form the base for a new impulse toward all-time highs. However, if $100K fails to hold and price pushes through without a significant reaction, then we’re dealing with a larger correction, and I’d expect continuation toward lower inefficiencies.
Price Target and Expectations
First, I expect a small leg up to fill the Fair Value Gap inside the broken channel structure. That area will act as the first test, and if price shows rejection there, I’m looking for continuation toward the $100,000 to $99,500 region. That zone aligns with a clean 1H imbalance and marks the origin of the last strong bullish expansion.
If BTC taps into that deeper imbalance and confirms a reversal with clear bullish intent, the stage will be set for a potential breakout into new all-time highs. That’s where I would expect stronger hands to step in and take control. The longer price holds above that $99k zone, the higher the odds we break past the previous high.
But if there’s no reaction and price bleeds through $99K, the bullish structure on the higher timeframes would be compromised, and the move could extend toward the mid-$90K range.
Current Stance
Short-term bearish, waiting for price to retest the FVG inside the previous channel. That will be the first key area where I expect a reaction. If the rejection confirms, I’ll be watching for signs of continuation into $100K.
Not interested in chasing price between levels. I’ll either look to short the FVG retest with confirmation or wait for the deeper tap into the $100K zone to look for a long setup. No trades in the middle, only acting at the extremes where the risk-reward makes sense.
Conclusion
This setup fits cleanly into a classic displacement narrative. Bitcoin broke out of structure with a high-volume move, left behind an FVG, and is now likely preparing for a short retrace before continuing lower. The $100K zone is the main area to watch — that’s where the next high-probability trade opportunity is likely to develop. If bulls defend that zone and we get bullish confirmation, the path to new highs is still intact. But if $99K fails, I’ll be sidelined and looking for the next major level.
The structure is clear, the inefficiencies are visible, and the plan is defined. Now it’s just about waiting for price to do its job.
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GBPCAD 2H (BOS 2H + Supply + Fib 88 level + GAP)Hello traders! We have good reaction from supply zone + BOS 2H(confirmation). Now i expecting that price will close fully gap and after it we need another confirmation from 1-3min BOS.
TP till Demand+0.5 Fib level.
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CAD_JPY STRONG BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅CAD_JPY made a bullish
Rebound from the rising
Support and then broke the
Key horizontal level
Around 105.727 so we are
Bullish biased and after a
Local pullback we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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GBP-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 1.3232 and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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GBP-CAD Local Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD keeps growing
And the pair is locally overbought
So despite our local bullish bias
We will be expecting a pullback
And a move down after the
Pair hits the horizontal resistance
Around the 1.8600 area
Sell!
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EUR_USD MOVE DOWN IS LIKELY|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD is retesting a
Horizontal resistance level
Around 1.1280 and we are
Locally bearish biased we
Will be expecting a pullback
And a local move down
On Monday
SHORT🔥
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EURGBP 1DHello traders! As you can see we have BOS 1D and we came almost to our demand! On RSI hidden convergence + OTE + Order Block. From that zone I expecting reversal on LTF.
1. TP - on top we have shadow wick.
2. !!! - From downside we have global fib 0.5 (monthly demand) - manage your risks.
Have a profitable day!
EUR-GBP Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP keeps moving
Down but I don't see any strong
Bearish pressure and so as the
Pair is about to retest a horizontal
Support level around 0.8435
We will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound and a move up
Buy!
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USOIL GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 60.00$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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GBP-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is once
Again about to retest a horizontal
Resistance level of 193.665
So despite our bullish bias
We will enter a local short trade
On Monday with the Take Profit
Of 192.946 and the Stop Loss
Of 193.799 which is slightly
Above the upper bound of
The wide supply area
Sell!
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GBP_CHF SWING SHORT|
✅GBP_CHF will soon retest a key resistance level around 1.1111
So I think that the pair will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level below around 1.1024
SHORT🔥
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EURUSD – Bearish Rejection and Targeting the 4H Imbalance ZoneEURUSD has shifted into a clear bearish tone following multiple rejections from a well-established resistance level. Over the past several weeks, price has struggled to break above that zone, showing consistent signs of selling pressure each time it attempted a push higher. The most notable move came when price briefly spiked above the resistance in what now appears to be a fakeout. That move did not hold, and it’s very likely that it served as a classic liquidity grab engineered to sweep buy stops resting above the range highs before reversing direction.
This kind of behavior is typical in a distribution phase, especially when seen at a high-timeframe resistance zone. The fake breakout essentially confirms that the upside liquidity has been taken, and that smart money is shifting direction. Since that event, price has been making lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the current bearish structure.
Consolidation Structure
Before the fakeout, EURUSD had been consolidating just under resistance, building up a tight range. This kind of structure tends to lure in breakout traders, and the eventual spike above the range likely cleaned out a lot of stop orders. What followed was an aggressive reversal back into the prior range, which is a strong sign that the breakout was not genuine.
Since then, price pushed down and attempted a retracement, but that retracement got rejected precisely within a fair value gap. This is significant. It tells us that even during a pullback, the market is respecting inefficiencies and continues to deliver bearish reactions rather than signs of strength. That rejection further confirms that bears remain in control and that the earlier break was nothing more than a trap.
Bearish Scenario
With resistance holding and the fair value gap rejection now confirmed, I expect EURUSD to continue its descent and seek out deeper levels of interest. The most obvious draw on liquidity now sits below the current price, the large four-hour imbalance zone. This imbalance was left behind during the impulsive rally that preceded the fakeout, and it has yet to be filled.
Inside that imbalance, there’s also a golden pocket level lining up almost perfectly. That confluence between the imbalance zone and the 0.618–0.65 region adds weight to the idea that this area will act as a magnet for price. Markets seek efficiency, and this entire zone represents a void that price is likely to come back and rebalance.
The move into that zone would also allow the market to engineer sell-side liquidity along the way, particularly under the recent higher lows. Once those are swept, and if price begins to react inside the golden pocket, we may then begin to look for early signs of accumulation or even a bullish displacement, but until then, the short bias remains firmly in play.
Price Target and Expectations
The first key expectation is a clean sweep through the current local lows and a drive into the heart of the 4-hour imbalance. This is where I’ll be watching most closely for a potential change in behavior. Ideally, I want to see price push deep into the imbalance and tap the golden pocket before doing anything significant on the long side.
If price shows a strong reaction there, such as a bullish engulfing or a clear market structure shift that would signal the potential for a reversal. Until then, any bounce is likely to be short-lived and corrective in nature. The structure is still bearish, and the fair value gap rejection reinforces that.
Current Stance
Right now, I remain bearish. I’m not interested in fighting this momentum by jumping into premature longs. As long as price remains under the level it got rejected from, and continues to print lower highs, I’ll maintain a sell-the-rip mindset. If price delivers a deeper pullback from here, it may offer a short-term intra-day bounce, but the core expectation is still a move lower into the imbalance zone.
The area that interests me the most is the combination of the 4-hour imbalance and golden pocket, that’s the zone where I’ll shift from reactive to proactive and start looking for possible long setups. But I won’t consider longs unless price gets there and shows clear intent to reverse.
Conclusion
The market has already swept buy-side liquidity with the fakeout above resistance, and the rejection from the fair value gap confirms that sellers are still in control. Price is now being drawn toward the inefficiency below, and all signs point toward a continued bearish move until that imbalance is filled.
Until price reaches that zone and delivers a reaction worth trading, I’m staying patient and waiting for the setup to complete. Chasing entries in the middle of the range here doesn’t offer the best risk-reward. The focus now is on watching how price interacts with the 4-hour imbalance and the golden pocket, that’s where I’ll reassess the narrative and consider shifting bias if conditions warrant it.
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EUR_GBP POTENTIAL LONG|
✅EUR_GBP will be retesting a support level of 0.8428
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD broke the horizontal
Level of 1.1300 which is now
A resistance and went down
So the breakout is confirmed
And now the pair is retesting
The resistance so as we are
Bearish biased we will be
Able to to enter a short trade
On Monday with the Take
Profit of 1.1197 and the
Stop Loss of 1.1311
Sell!
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NI225 CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅NIKKEI has been growing recently
And the index seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 38,216
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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TESLA Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA stock is growing
And we are bullish biased
Mid-term but the price is
About to hit a horizontal
Resistance of 322.00$
So after the retest we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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ETHEREUM BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅ETHEREUM is growing finally
And the coin broke a key horizontal
Level of 2,200$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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CRUDE OIL Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a bullish
Correction from the lows and
The price made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 60.10$ then made a
Retest and a rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further bullish
Continuation on Monday
Buy!
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