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Bitcoin - Imbalance Fill Before Liquidity ExpansionBitcoin is trading inside a compressing structure beneath a clean descending trendline. Price action has been choppy but controlled, creating multiple zones of inefficiency that remain unfilled. We’re currently positioned between two major Fair Value Gaps, one above and one below, which gives us a clear roadmap. The broader market context suggests accumulation beneath key resistance, and the chart structure points toward a two-legged play before any breakout. First Target: Upper Imbalance and Liquidity Trap The first objective for price is to reach into the Fair Value Gap sitting just above current levels. This zone overlaps with the trendline and is backed by several wicks and failed breakouts, which likely means liquidity is built up there. Price may push through this area to trigger stop losses and induce breakout buying, only to reverse shortly after. The imbalance makes it an attractive magnet for price and a likely turning point once filled. Retracement Move: Clean-Up Below After sweeping the highs and filling the upper imbalance, price is expected to rotate back down. The area below holds an untouched Fair Value Gap from a previous bullish impulse, now acting as a demand zone. Once the upper inefficiency is filled, the market should drop into this zone to rebalance. This move will also help clear internal liquidity from the structure formed during the short-term rise. Trendline, Inducement, and Execution Layers The descending trendline plays a critical role here. With many traders watching it for a breakout or rejection, it acts as inducement. A false break or a touch just above the trendline may trigger entries in the wrong direction. The optimal move would be for price to react from the upper imbalance, reject at or just above the trendline, then fall into the lower zone, where we look for confirmation of reversal or continuation. Final Expansion: Breakout After Cleanup Once both Fair Value Gaps are filled and internal liquidity is cleared, Bitcoin will be in a clean position to rally. The area above the prior wicks and rejections is likely to hold significant liquidity, and the final move would aim to sweep that. This would complete the full cycle of imbalance fill, liquidity grab, and directional expansion. Price is unlikely to sustain a move higher until both zones have been addressed. Conclusion This setup focuses on efficient price delivery between key imbalances. Expect a short-term push up into the upper FVG and liquidity cluster, followed by a clean rejection into the lower demand zone. Once both sides are filled, Bitcoin should be ready for a real move higher, targeting liquidity above the current range. Let the market complete the cycle before looking for continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
45
EURUSD - EURUSD – The Calm Before the SweepAfter months of climbing steadily within a rising wedge structure, EURUSD has finally broken beneath the bullish trend line that previously acted as dynamic support. This shift is significant, as it marks the first decisive violation of the bullish momentum that has carried price from the April lows into the July highs. The break occurred with strong bearish displacement, leaving behind an unfilled daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) just above the current price. This area now acts as a potential magnet for price before continuation lower. Trend Line Retest and FVG Confluence Price is currently hovering near 1.1570 after the trend line break. Above, we have a clean FVG on the daily chart which aligns closely with the underside of the broken trend line. A retracement into this zone would offer the ideal setup for short positioning, combining the concept of a bearish retest with inefficiency fill. From a technical perspective, this would give institutions a perfect level to engineer a lower high before continuing the move down. Sell-Side Liquidity Objective The major downside target sits below the swing low formed in early May. This area likely holds a large pool of resting sell-side liquidity, which would be an ideal draw for smart money before any potential reversal. If the market respects the bearish structure and rejects the FVG zone cleanly, the move toward this liquidity pocket becomes increasingly probable. Reversal Conditions While the short setup is currently the main focus, the area below the May low also presents a key decision point. If price sweeps that low and we begin to see bullish structure return, this could mark the beginning of a new leg up. For that to be valid, we’d need to see signs of strong buying interest, displacement, and reclaim of key short-term highs. Until then, we remain on the lookout for short opportunities into the FVG and trend line retest zone. Execution Plan and Expectations Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion or rejection once price enters the FVG zone. Bearish price action on lower timeframes like the 1H or 15M could confirm entry, particularly if the trend line holds as resistance. Stops can be placed above the swing high before the break, with targets below the major low around 1.10500. The reward-to-risk on this setup is favorable, but patience is needed to wait for the retrace to complete. Conclusion EURUSD has shifted from bullish to bearish structure after breaking the rising trend line. With an unfilled FVG above and a clean downside liquidity target, this setup offers a well-defined short opportunity. Reactions at the FVG and below the May low will dictate whether we extend lower or begin a new bullish phase. For now, all eyes are on the retrace and short continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
28
Accurate Price Model for Trading Smart Money Concepts SMC (= If you trade Smart Money Concepts SMC, there is one single pattern that you should learn to identify. In this article, you will learn an accurate price model that you can use to predict a strong bullish or bearish movement way before it happens. Read carefully and discover how to track the silent actions of smart money on any market. The only thing that you need to learn to easily find this pattern is basic Structure Mapping . After you map significant highs and lows, you will quickly recognize it. This SMC pattern has 2 models: bullish and bearish ones. Let's start with a bearish setup first. Examine a structure of this pattern it should be based on 2 important elements. The price should set a sequence of equal lows. These equal lows will compose a demand zone. The area where a buying interest will concentrate. The minimum number of equal lows and lowers highs should be 2 to make a model valid. Exhausting of bullish moves will signify a loss of confidence in a demand zone . Less and less market participants will open buy positions from that. At some moment, a demand zone will stop holding. Its bearish breakout will provide a strong bearish signal , and a bearish continuation will most likely follow. This price model will signify a market manipulation by Smart Money. They will not intentionally let the price fall, not letting it break a demand zone. A buying interest that will arise consequently will be used as a source of liquidity. Smart money will grab liquidity of the buyers, silently accumulating huge volumes of selling orders. Once they get enough of that, a bearish rally will start, with a demand zone breakout as a trigger. Though, the chart model that I shared above has a strong bullish impulse, preceding its formation, remember that it is not mandatory. The price may also form a bearish impulse first and for a pattern then. Each bullish movement that initiates after a formation of an equal low should be weaker than a previous one. So that the price should set a lower high every time after a formation of an equal low. Look at a price action on USDCHF forex pair. Way before the price dropped, you could easily identify a market manipulation of Smart Money and selling orders accumulation. A breakout of a horizontal demand zone was a final bearish confirmation signal. Let's study its bullish model. It has a similar structure. The price should set a sequence of equal highs, respecting a horizontal supply zone. Each bearish move that follows after its test should have a shorter length, forming a higher low with its completion. This model will be also valid if it forms after a completion of a bearish impulse. Weakening bearish movements will signify a loss of confidence in a supply zone, with fewer and fewer market participants selling that. Its bullish breakout will be an important even that will confirm a highly probable strong bullish continuation. Smart Money will use this price model to manipulate the market and accumulate buying orders, not letting the price go through a supply zone. They will grab a liquidity of the sellers each time a bearish move follows from a supply zone. When they finally get enough of a liquidity, a bullish rally will initiate and a supply zone will be broken , providing a strong confirmation signal. That price model was spotted on GBPJPY forex pair. Smart Money were manipulating the market, not letting it continue rallying by creating a significant horizontal supply zone. Selling orders that were executed after its tests provided a liquidity for them. A bullish breakout of the underlined zone provides a strong bullish confirmation signal. A breakout and a future rise could be easily predicted once this price model appeared. Why they do it? But why do Smart Money manipulate the markets that way? The answer is simple: in comparison to retail traders, they trade with huge trading orders . To hide their presence and to not impact market prices much, they split their positions into a set of tiny orders that they execute, grabbing the liquidity. The price model that we discussed today is the example how they do it. The important thing to note about this pattern is that it efficiently works on any market and any time frame. You can use that for scalping, day trading, swing trading. And it can help you find great investing opportunities. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3