AUD-NZD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD price has been
Increasing rapidly and the
Pair looks locally overbought
So as the price is approaching
A horizontal resistance level
Of 1.1060 a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
Sell!
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GOOGL 2 VALIDATED CONFIRMATIONS! EXTREMELY BULLISH !!!!GOOGL, 2 VALIDATED CONFIRMATIONS!
Last week, I mentioned that I was extremely bullish on Google. In fact, I even sent a buy alert to my investment clients since Google has shown many bullish patterns and is displaying typical "pre-earnings" behavior. However, I have shared my analysis with you for free because I want us all to succeed! And if you've been following my analysis for months, you've seen for yourself that we’ve been on the right track.
Everything happens with Google after it breaks out of a channel. Whenever the price breaks a channel, we need to wait for it to reach its high and look for when the pullback will occur. In this case, after finding its high post-breakout, Google entered a candle congestion channel.
STACKED CHANNEL: A candle congestion channel can be considered a volume indecision. What do I mean by this?
The price creates a bottleneck-like pattern within a very tight channel, behaving strangely, with candles almost the same size and very close to one another. In this situation, it’s very difficult to determine which direction the price will take, and I consider it a complicated and dangerous pattern. All we can do is wait for the price to make a decision.
Once the price makes a decision, it breaks the congestion channel, forming a new high, and consequently, reaching our target zone. That’s precisely when it begins its pullback, and the next step we’re looking for is A NEW EXTREME.
I’ve marked this pattern in yellow, and I call it the N3 Pattern. This usually happens most of the time after a breakout, and we must be very attentive to the candles it produces to execute it.
An N3 pattern involves three movements:
#1 Breakout and New High
#2 Pullback and Rebound
#3 New Extreme
That simple.
Going back to the analysis, we’ve reached our next stop with double confirmation.
In conclusion, I remain very bullish on Google, especially as we are just a few weeks away from Google announcing its earnings report. So, if you're considering entering, whether for a swing trade or long-term, there's still time.
Remember that, based on my valuation and fundamentals, Google has an intrinsic value of $180, so the final decision is yours.
OF COURSE… This is not financial advice, and you make your own decisions and take your own risks.
Thank you for you support :)
SPY is looking Very Sexy ! There is 1 more step to go ! N3 Confirmed!! The price is doing exactly what we had predicted (see previous analysis).
Indeed, the price bounced in the zone we had predicted last week, creating an "N3" pattern. Now, we are waiting for the final phase of the N3 pattern, which is to reach new highs or new extreme.
What do we need to see?
This phase is of great importance because, if completed, we would be at new historical highs again.
The Key is the Last Candle: If you can observe the last candle on the chart, you'll see it has a very long lower wick. I call this a buying pressure candle; however, we need confirmation with the next candle, which should have a large bullish body in order to reach the new extremes we've been seeking.
So, we can conclude that by putting all the points together when analyzing this chart, we have a bullish outlook for the rest of next week. However, it’s important to remember that we need solid confirmation with a bullish candle to confirm we will have a green week!
Best regards and success in your trades.
Thanks for supporting my analysis.
GBP-AUD Retesting Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a swift
Recovery after a sudden
Price drop but the pair
Will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 1.9325
From were we will be
Expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
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NZD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is falling down
Now and the pair is locally
Oversold so I think that
After it hits the horizontal
Support of 0.6121 from
Where we will be expecting
A local bullish correction
Buy!
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USD-JPY Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY went up sharply
But the pair is about to
Hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 149.500 and as
The pair is locally overbought
We will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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AUD-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A retest and a rebound from
The broken key round horizontal
Level of 100.000 which is a
Support now and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a further move up
Buy!
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Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 01/10/2024The Judas Swing strategy is straightforward and can be incorporated into any trader's toolkit. It is a well-tested approach that has shown effectiveness when its guidelines are adhered to. The strategy offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, risking 1% to potentially achieve a 2% return. In this post we intend to walk you through a recent trade we took on EURUSD using this strategy.
We arrived at our trading desk at 08:25 EST, where we began by demarcating the zones for the trading period. This involves drawing vertical lines on the 00:00 and 08:30 EST candles. Following this, we mark the highs and lows within these zones, as they will serve as the liquidity pools for our trading session.
The subsequent step on the checklist is to observe whether the high or the low of this trading zone is breached, as it will guide our bias for the trading session. Five minutes later, the low of the zone was breached, indicating that we should be on the lookout for potential buying opportunities during this session.
Even with a bias for the session, we don't execute the trade blindly. The next step on our checklist is to wait for a break of structure to the buy side. This break of structure must leave a Fair Value Gap (FVG) behind.
Once the structure is broken and the fair value gap (FVG) conditions are met, the next step is to wait for the price to retrace back into the FVG. A trade should only be entered after the candle that moves into the FVG has closed. After 10 minutes, price retraced and closed within the Fair Value Gap, fulfilling all the conditions on our entry checklist, allowing us to execute our trade.
For stop placement, we use the lowest point of the price leg that broke the structure, provided it satisfies specific conditions. The minimum stop loss applied is 10 pips because a tight stop loss is not desirable, as it doesn't allow the trade sufficient room. In this instance, using the low would have resulted in a 4 pips stop; therefore, we extended it to a 10 pips stop loss with a 20 pips take profit and executed the trade.
It's important to note that we risked only 1% of our trading account, an amount we're comfortable with losing, thereby eliminating any emotional attachment to this trade. Consequently, we are at peace with the outcome of this trade, be it a win or a loss.
The result of this trade was a loss, which we accepted because we understand that the win rate for this strategy on EURUSD is around 50%, indicating that losses are inevitable with this strategy. However, as our winning trades typically outweigh our losses over time, this strategy should yield positive returns, making it unnecessary to focus on a single loss. Moreover, this post serves as a tutorial on how to trade using the Judas swing strategy and emphasizes that incurring losses is a normal aspect of trading.
GOLD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOL D is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the price is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 2680$
LONG🚀
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