GJ: 50 pip bear leg forecastHi everyone,
I'm forecasting a 50 pip bearish leg on GBPJPY from 197.5 down to 197.0
Looking at price to sweep the highs first (liquidity sweep), before then waiting for the right confirmations to take it lower... IF the price says so.
Kind regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
Smartmoneyconcepts
GU: Asian highs > Previous Day Low?Hi everyone,
Here is my forecast this morning for GBPUSD. Overall I'm thinking bearish, but I reckon that price could take out the Asian range highs first and then give us a bearish leg towards the previous day low.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
How to Trade Liquidity Sweep in Forex Market (SMC Trading)
I will show you a real example of trading liquidity sweep with Smart Money Concepts.
You will learn the essential SMC liquidity basics, a simple and profitable strategy to identify and trade liquidity sweep.
I will share with you an accurate entry confirmation signal that works perfectly on any Forex pair.
Liquidity Basics
In order to trade liquidity sweeps profitably, you should learn to identify significant liquidity zones.
To spot them, analyze a historic price action and find clusters of important historic key levels.
Examine a price action on EURUSD on an hourly time frame.
I underlined multiple horizontal key levels.
The price respected each level, found support on them, and rebounded.
What is so specific about these levels is that they are lying close to each other, composing a liquidity cluster.
That fact that EURUSD strongly bounced from these levels suggests that buying interest and high buying volumes were concentrated around them.
We can unite these levels and treat them as a single demand zone that has just been broken and turned into a supply zone.
After we found a valid liquidity zone, we can look for a liquidity sweep.
First, we should let the price approach that area and look for a specific price behavior then.
That is a perfect example of a liquidity sweep.
You can see that the price formed a wide range candle with a long tail.
Its high went way beyond the underlined area, but its body closed within.
In order to understand, why a liquidity sweep occurred, let's zoom in our chart and try to understand a behavior of the market participants.
Our supply zone concentrated selling orders , we assume that sellers were placing their orders across its entire length.
Their stop losses were presumably lying above that area.
Smart Money know that and with a liquidity sweep they manipulate the market, making sellers close their positions in a loss (buying back their positions from the market) and providing a liquidity for big players.
After a formation of a such a candlestick, a reliable confirmation of a saturation of the Smart Money is a formation of a strong bearish candle - a clear sign of strength of the sellers.
A bearish engulfing candle above confirmed a completion of a liquidity sweep and indicates a highly probable bearish continuation.
Your perfect sell entry is immediately after a close of such a candlestick.
Stop loss should strictly lie above the high of a liquidity sweep.
Take profit is based on a local low.
Look, how quickly the price reached the goal.
Your strategy of trading liquidity sweeps of demand zones is absolutely the same.
Let the price test a demand zone, wait for a formation of wide range bearish candle with a tail going below its lows.
Wait for a bullish imbalance candle and buy immediately then.
Stop loss will be below the low of a liquidity sweep, take profit - a local high.
This SMC strategy works on any time frame and can be applied for trading any Forex pair, Gold, Silver, Crypto and commodities.
Try it by your own and let me know your results.
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GBP_CAD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made a
Retest and a rebound from the
Horizontal support of 1.8675
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD-CAD Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD keeps growing
In an uptrend but the pair
Will soon retest a wide
Horizontal resistance level
Around 0.8350 so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A bearish pullback
Sell!
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AUD_CHF BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅AUD_CHF is going down currently
As the pair broke the key structure level of 0.5240
Which is now a resistance, and after the pullback
And retest, I think the price will go further down
SHORT🔥
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EUR-CHF Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF is trading in a
Parallel range and we see
A rejection from the horizontal
Support area below around 0.9293
And we are already seeing a bullish
Reaction so a further move up
Is to be expected
Sell!
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CAD-JPY Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY keeps trading
In an uptrend along the
Rising support line and
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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GOLD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD keeps falling just
As I predicted but the price
Will soon hit a horizontal support
Around 3235$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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EUR_AUD LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_AUD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 1.8018
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 1.7900
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅GBP_CHF fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit at 1.0932
Thus as a rebound is already happening
A move up towards the target of 1.0970 shall follow
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD_JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 88.000
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 87.341
SHORT🔥
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AUD_NZD LOCAL LONG|
✅AUD_NZD is trading along the rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 1.0789
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GU Friday Bearish ReviewHi everyone,
GBP/USD played out exactly as per forecast (link below if you'd like to revisit):
It was fairly simple price action to forecast, price sweeped 1.375 initially, taking out the Asian highs and the similar equal highs (liquidity)
Before then creating its bearish leg towards the next liquidity zone of 1.37.
I was able to jump onto a few moves throughout both London & NY (have thrown in those screenshots onto the chart for you guys)
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
Market Re-Cap and Outlook for NEXT WEEKHere I am giving you a little insight as to what trades I am currently in, taken & looking to take for the week just gone and the week coming.
1 Winning trade on EU
1 Current open position on EU
EURGPB - Breakdown
AUDUSD - Breakdown
NZDUSD - Breakdown
Gold - Breakdown
If there are any pairs you would like me to share my feedback on give me a message and I will be happy to try and do so.
Thanks
Happy Hunting
EUR-NZD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Is printing higher highs and
Higher lows while breaking
Important key levels such
As 1.9270 which is now
A support and the pair
Is consolidating above the
New support so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further move
Further up on Monday
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX)
In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character.
Change of Character relates to market trend analysis.
In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis.
🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market.
They believe that the trend is bullish ,
if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them.
The market trend is considered to be bearish ,
if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them.
Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice.
One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs.
According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs.
🔘Of course, trends do not last forever.
A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading.
Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation.
📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high.
While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish .
However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal,
it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend.
In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern.
Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold.
After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave.
📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish.
A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern.
Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below.
In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level
quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal.
Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know.
First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP-CHF Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF is hovering above
The wide horizontal demand
Level around 1.0926 from
Where we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
So a further local bullish
Move up is to be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GU Bearish Friday ForecastHi everyone, hope we've all had a good week.
Here is my forecast for GBPUSD for today. After a fairly bullish week, I'm expecting some bearish price action to give us that top wick on the weekly candle close.
I'm looking at 2 price points, a pivot from 1.375 towards key level 1.37.
I'll post an update at the end of the day on how price ended up unfolding.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
NZD-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 0.6087 and as it
Is a strong key structure
We will be expecting
A local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD - Potential buying opportunityLooking at EURUSD
We are still very bullish with no sign of it slowing.
I am aware of a potential weekly liquidity point to the left, however, until EURUSD shows its hand it's important that we still remain bullish.
We have set up a lovely liquidity point before a lovely demand area.
So I will be setting a pending order at the demand area after the New York close and the Asian session begins.
CAD-CHF Bullish Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF fell down sharply
And the pair was oversold
So we are not surprised to
See a bullish rebound from
The strong horizontal support
Around 0.5830 level and we
Think that we are likely
To see a further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/06/2025This week the Judas Swing strategy has delivered two clean setups on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Both trades played out beautifully, hitting their targets and ending the day with a solid +4% return (2% each), reinforcing the power of patience, structure, and sticking to the rules.
Let’s break down how each trade unfolded:
Trade 1: OANDA:AUDUSD Long — Textbook Setup
We kicked off Wednesday’s session watching OANDA:AUDUSD closely after identifying a classic Judas Swing scenario.
First, we saw liquidity swept below the previous session’s low, exactly what we’re looking for. This kind of move is crucial to the strategy, it grabs early sellers or stop orders and sets the stage for a reversal.
Right after the sweep, price broke structure to the upside, confirming our bullish bias. At this point, we didn’t rush in. We waited for price to retrace into our FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Patience paid off and price finally tapped into the FVG, and as soon as the entry candle closed in our direction, we executed the trade.
We risk 1% on every trade, aiming for a 2:1 reward-to-risk. After being in drawdown for a bit, price accelerated sharply and hit our target after being in the trade for 5 hours. Clean setup, clean execution, and a smooth +2% return.
Trade 2: OANDA:NZDUSD Long
OANDA:NZDUSD presented a near-identical setup. Price had been consolidating, but by the time the NY session rolled in, the stage was set.
Just like OANDA:AUDUSD , we saw a liquidity sweep at the lows, followed by a bullish break of structure, textbook Judas Swing again.
This time, the retracement into the FVG came swiftly. We executed as soon as we had confirmation on the candle close.
The trade barely hesitated, and price moved decisively in our direction, steadily climbing until our target was hit. Another +2% return, reinforcing the strategy’s strength when rules are respected
What This Week Reminds Us:
Discipline matters: We don’t chase trades. Both setups met all our checklist criteria
Patience is key: Waiting for the FVG entry and confirmation avoids emotional entries
Risk management is the foundation: With a 1% risk and 2:1 target, you only need to win half the time to be consistently profitable
When you follow a rules-based strategy like Judas Swing, you remove the guesswork and bring structure to your trading decisions.