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CL / Crude Oil ShortContext: • Monthly: First signs of bearish orderflow. Bearish FVG in the making • Weekly: Bearish FVGs getting respeced • Daily: Rejection and break below prev. day low. Caution because of two bullish FVGs Idea: • 1h-4h Mitigation Block with 1h close below prev day low. • Respecting 1h FVgs • Inside current 1h candle on 15min closed last 15min bullish FVG • Potentially building a balanced price range on 15min → Long around prev. day low about 77.88 Target: • 1st would be currend day low • 2nd: Upper limit of daily FVG at 77.22 Entry / Stop: • Reversal Setup with stop above the entry signal • Or at 77.88 with stop about 78.05 Signal invalidated: • breaking lower withoug looking back • Prive going above 78.05 I want the current 15min-Candle to close inside the range of the previous 15min candle. Be careful about News in about 30minutes! Please feel free to comment
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by MichaelBw
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 06/06/2024Despite taking the loss on 05/06/2024, we remained committed to our strategy. The thorough testing of the Judas Swing strategy has bolstered our confidence, allowing us to continue trading whenever our setup forms. The next day 06/06/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes: - Making sure the timezone is set to New York time - Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe - Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30 - Marking the high and low of the zone Now that we have established the day's low and high, we await the sweep of liquidity on either side of the zone to determine our bias for the trading session. Liquidity was taken at the lows after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities. To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the buy side which occurred at 09:40. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure. Price then retraced into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), so we waited and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. After executing the trade, price moved in our intended direction with minimal drawdown. Similarly, we entered a trade on NZDUSD, and it was also progressing well towards our take profit target. Price nearly reached our take profit (TP) level but then reversed, prolonging our position in the trade. On average, we anticipate being in a trade for approximately 8 hours and 6 minutes, so we remained calm and trusted our strategy. Our patience was rewarded when we achieved our target on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD trades, resulting in a 4% gain (2% from each trade), having risked a total of 2% (1% on each trade).
by CleoFinance
Profitable Multiple Time Frames Smart Money Strategy Revealed In this post, I will share with you a very accurate SMC strategy that combines top-down analysis, liquidity, imbalance, order block and inducement. Step 1 - Identify liquidity zones on a daily Liquidity zones are the areas on a price chart, where big players are placing their orders. From such areas, significant bullish and bearish movements initiate. Liquidity zones that are above the current price will be the supply zones, while the liquidity zones that are below the current price will be the demand zones. We will look for shorting opportunities from supply areas and for buying opportunities from demand zones. Here are the liquidity zones that I identified on EURJPY. Step 2 - Wait for a test of one of the liquidity zones Let the market test the liquidity zone. For buying, the price should reach a lower boundary of a demand zone. For shorting, the price should test an upper boundary of a supply zone. I underlined the exact levels that the price should test on EURJPY. Here is the test of the lower boundary of the demand zone. Step 3 - Look for inducement on an hourly time frame With the inducement, smart money make the market participants think that the liquidity zone that the price is testing doesn't hold anymore. When the price tests a supply area, an hourly candle close above its upper boundary will be a bullish inducement. With that, the smart money incentivize buying orders. When the price tests a demand area, an hourly candle close below its lower boundary will be a bearish inducement. With that, the smart money incentivize selling orders. The price closed below a lower boundary of a demand zone on EURJPY on 1H time frame. Step 4 - Look for imbalance on an hourly time frame After a violation of a supply area on an hourly time frame, look for a bearish imbalance. Bearish imbalance is a strong bearish candle with wide range and big body. With that candle, the market should return within a supply zone and closed within or below that. After a violation of a demand area on an hourly time frame, look for a bullish imbalance. Bullish imbalance is a strong bullish candle with wide range and big body. With that candle, the market should return within a demand zone and closed within or above that. Here is the example of a bullish imbalance on EURJPY. After a bearish inducement, the price formed a high momentum bullish candle and closed within the demand zone. The imbalance signify that a liquidity zone violation was a trap . With that, smart money simply was trying to grab the liquidity. That will be a signal for you to open an order. Step 5 - Look for an order block After the formation of the imbalance, the market becomes locally week and quite often corrects to an order block. Order block will be the closest hourly liquidity zone. After a formation of a bearish imbalance, look for a supply zone on an hourly time frame. That will be your perfect zone to sell. After a formation of a bullish imbalance, look for a demand zone on an hourly. That will be your area to buy from. Here is the order block on EURJPY. Step 6 - Set a limit order Set a sell limit order within a supply area after a formation of bearish imbalance on an hourly time frame. Set a buy limit order within a demand area after a formation of a bullish imbalance on an hourly. Here is your buy entry level on EURJPY. Step 7 - Select the target If you sell, your target should be the closest daily structure support: horizontal or vertical one. If you buy, your target should be the closest daily structure resistance: horizontal or vertical one. In our example, our closest structure resistance if a falling trend line. Step 8 - Set stop loss If you sell, stop loss will lie above a bullish inducement. If you buy, stop loss will lie below a bearish inducement. Here is a perfect point for a stop loss for a long trade on EURJPY. Step 9 - Trade Let the price trigger your entry, and then be prepared to wait. It took many days for EURJPY to reach the target. Trading Tips: 1. Make sure that you have a positive reward/ratio. It should be at least 1.2 2. Risk no more that 1% of your trading account per trade Being applied properly, that strategy shows 70%+ accuracy. Try it by yourself and let me know your results. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/CHF ShortContext: • Monthly Rejection confirmed • Weekly build a RBD with FVGs • Daily consolidated for 3 days below Swing Low and left that base Idea: • Short on 4h-Supply Entry Area: • 0.9642 - 0.9670 Entry Signal: Two options • LMT on 4h Supply • Reversal on lower timeframe like 1h Stop: • Above Supply or entry setup Target: • 0.9565 (last bullish montly candle low) Scenario invalidated: • Bullish Reversal into breakout-Range, i.e. above 0.967 • If we build up momentum and create another base → would be new scneraio Please feel free to comment!
Short
by MichaelBw
USD/JPY LongContext: • W and M showing (yet to be confirmed) rejections: Neutral with bullish touch • Respecting Daily FVGs • 2h big bullish FVG, 4h close above equal Highs Idea: • Entry in area between 156.600 - 156.15 with LTF reversal (e.q. 1h) Scenario: • Entry area should be approached without bearish FVGs • 4h close below 156.49 (Equal Highs): Caution! Scenario terminated: • 4h Retracement below 156.15: Trade is off Stop: • Determined by your entry setup Please feel free to comment with other ideas or questions.
Long
by MichaelBw
1